François Heisbourg
fheisbourg.bsky.social
François Heisbourg
@fheisbourg.bsky.social

Senior adviser (Europe), IISS,
Special adviser, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique

François Heisbourg is currently Senior Advisor for Europe at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and Special Advisor at the Paris-based Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique. He was director of the IISS from 1987 to 1992 and its chairman from 2001 to 2018. .. more

Political science 72%
Economics 21%

Trump sends Witkoff to Moscow. What can go wrong?
Trump claims his team has made “tremendous progress” on ending the war in Ukraine, stating only a few points of disagreement remain. He’s sending Witkoff to Moscow and Driscoll to meet with Ukrainians. Trump says he’ll meet with Zelensky and Putin only when a deal is nearly finalized.

And who knows what Witkoff and Putin will come up when they meet later this week
A Ukrainian negotiator says talks have been positive and constructive, but key issues remain unresolved. The toughest topics: territorial questions, frozen Russian assets, and future security guarantees are still on the table. On NATO, Ukraine aims not to amend its constitution regarding membership.
A Ukrainian negotiator says talks have been positive and constructive, but key issues remain unresolved. The toughest topics: territorial questions, frozen Russian assets, and future security guarantees are still on the table. On NATO, Ukraine aims not to amend its constitution regarding membership.
Trump claims his team has made “tremendous progress” on ending the war in Ukraine, stating only a few points of disagreement remain. He’s sending Witkoff to Moscow and Driscoll to meet with Ukrainians. Trump says he’ll meet with Zelensky and Putin only when a deal is nearly finalized.
"Now, me to you, I know what it’s going to take to get a peace deal done: Donetsk and maybe a land swap somewhere."
-- Steve Witkoff, in his call to Putin aide Yuri Ushakov

Read the whole transcript of the Oct 14 call. It's amazing.

Gift link (for 7 days) ⤵️

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Witkoff Discusses Ukraine Plans With Key Putin Aide: Transcript
The following is a transcript of an Oct. 14 phone call lasting just over 5 minutes between Steve Witkoff, Donald Trump’s special envoy for peace missions, and Yuri Ushakov, Vladimir Putin’s most senio...
www.bloomberg.com
The incident comes amid an ongoing diplomatic spat between Tokyo and Beijing.
Japan scrambles jets after suspected Chinese drone spotted near Taiwan
The incident comes amid an ongoing diplomatic spat between Tokyo and Beijing.
www.abc.net.au
Unmanned Systems Forces commander Magyar confirms: SSO, SBU, GUR, and others, hit deep inside Russia. Targets: the Beriev plant in Taganrog (A-50s, A-60 and Tu-95MS present), drone maker Atlant Aero, Sheskharis oil terminal in Novorossiysk (damaged oil loaders + S-400), and Tuapse oil refinery.
That night, Ukraine’s special forces struck the Novorossiysk port, hitting an oil terminal and S-300/S-400 positions. A Project 1171 landing ship was reportedly damaged.

Russian air defense was so active it even fired toward civilian buildings.
Russia launching a massive attack on Ukraine while the plan to end the war is being discussed is a sign of disrespect to President Trump personally.
Guerre d'Ukraine | 24/11/25

Secteurs :
🌐 Siversk🔹U251124-1045
🌐 Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad-Rodynske🔹U251124-1112
🌐 Novopavlivka🔹U251124-1056
🌐 Huliaipole🔹U251124-1053

#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1371

1. EU issues peace proposal. 🇷🇺rejects. Peskov: US plan very good basis
2. Driscoll meets🇷🇺 team in Abu Dhabi
3. 250 Shaheds, 26 leakers; down:
1/4 Kinzhal, 5/8 Kalibr, 3/3 Iskander M, 5/5 Iskander K (14/22 missiles)
4. Taganrog Beriev & Natek plants hit
5. 🇷🇺 1/2 A-60 laser A/C hit?

Right side up. Dans le bon sens 🙃

My Figaro interview
‼️ Moldova confirms Shahed-type UAV crossing its territory en route to Romania
Moldova confirms Shahed-type UAV crossing its territory en route to Romania
Moldova's Border Police have confirmed reports that its airspace was violated by a Shahed-type drone during a Russian combined air attack against Ukraine on the night of 24-25 November.
www.pravda.com.ua

My interview in LeFigaro Tuesday 25 November

"A very good basis for negotiations" says Peskov re Trump plan. Yes
But right now, the only substantive thing is the American project, Trump's project. We believe that this could be a very good basis for negotiations, and our president has also spoken about this. We still hold this view. The time will come, and we will look into this matter in detail.
But right now, the only substantive thing is the American project, Trump's project. We believe that this could be a very good basis for negotiations, and our president has also spoken about this. We still hold this view. The time will come, and we will look into this matter in detail.
This claim is inaccurate and misleading. The members of Congress categorically did not tell the military to "defy the president" as implied here. What they said was this: "you can refuse illegal orders." That statement is accurate and consistent with American law—though it does require context.
⚡️Update: Death toll in mass attack on Kyiv rises to 6; Russian drone reportedly enters Romania.

During the large-scale attack, one Russian drone reportedly crossed the border into Romania, Ukraine's Air Force said.
Ukrainian homes burn as Russian missiles hit Kyiv — at least 6 killed, 8 injured in mass attack
Several multistory residential buildings caught fire and at least six people have been killed in what the Energy Ministry called "a massive combined attack...on infrastructure facilities."
kyivindependent.com
U.S. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll is in Abu Dhabi to meet with Russian officials, who will presumably tell him that Europe's revised 28-point plan is a nonstarter and it's the original Dmitriev–Witkoff document to get things moving or nothing. www.cbsnews.com/news/army-se...
Army Secretary Driscoll meeting with Russians in UAE as Trump administration presses for Ukraine peace deal
U.S. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll is in Abu Dhabi to meet with Russian officials, two U.S. officials and two diplomatic sources who were not authorized to speak publicly told CBS News.
www.cbsnews.com
⚡️ Update: Ukraine says no plans for Trump-Zelensky meeting yet, despite media reports.

There are no plans for President Volodymyr Zelensky's visit to the U.S. so far, but no options are off the table, the Ukrainian Embassy in Washington told the Kyiv Independent on Nov. 24.
Ukraine says no plans for Trump-Zelensky meeting yet, despite media reports
There are no plans for President Volodymyr Zelensky's next visit to the U.S. so far, but no options are off the table, the Ukrainian Embassy in Washington told the Kyiv Independent on Nov. 24.
kyivindependent.com
To be precise:
The Office of the First Lady issued that statement. 🤷‍♂️🤦‍♂️

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1370

1. White House issues joint US-Ukraine statement after Geneva meeting. No details yet

2. 80 Shaheds; 37 leakers
Trump administration has released a official readout on the Geneva peace talks. Rubio, Envoy Witkoff, Kushner, and Driscoll met with Ukraine’s delegation to review the peace deal. Ukraine confirmed that its key concerns, security, sovereignty, economic recovery, and energy stability, were addressed.
🇫🇮🇺🇦 Stubb: I spoke with Zelensky. The negotiations were a step forward, but there are still major issues which remain to be resolved.

Any decision falling in the remit of EU or NATO will be discussed and decided by EU and NATO members in a separate track.

Inviting the turkey for Thaksgiving?
🇺🇸🇺🇦 U.S. and Ukrainian officials are discussing a possible visit by President Zelensky to the U.S., but it depends on how ongoing peace talks in Geneva unfold, - CBS News
🇺🇸🇺🇦 U.S. and Ukrainian officials are discussing a possible visit by President Zelensky to the U.S., but it depends on how ongoing peace talks in Geneva unfold, - CBS News
Ukraine’s government has been insufficiently thankful for American aid, President Trump said Sunday, as representatives from both nations were meeting to discuss a peace plan with Russia.
Trump Calls Ukraine Ungrateful, Again, for U.S. Support in War With Russia
President Trump renewed his criticism of Ukraine’s government as emissaries from Kyiv and Washington met to discuss a plan to end the war.
nyti.ms

Has anybody told Trump #MonroeDoctrine
Russian Colonel General Oleg Makarevich, who organized the Kakhovka dam destruction in June 2023, now leads over 120 military advisors training Venezuelan forces, HUR chief Kyrylo Budanov told The War Zone.

www.twz.com/news-feature...