Joeri Rogelj
@joerirogelj.bsky.social
5.5K followers 510 following 130 posts

prof. climate science & policy | father | Imperial College London | 1.5C/net zero/carbon budget/pathways/justice | IPCC & UNEP lead author | ESABCC member

Joeri Rogelj is a Belgian climate scientist working on solutions to climate change. He explores how societies can transform towards sustainable futures. He is a Professor in Climate Science and Policy at the Centre for Environmental Policy (CEP) and Director of Research at the Grantham Institute – Climate Change and Environment, both at Imperial College London. He is also affiliated with the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. He is an author of several climate reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), and a member of the European Scientific Advisory Board for Climate Change. .. more

Environmental science 39%
Economics 26%
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joerirogelj.bsky.social
In this context, this forthcoming @granthamicl.bsky.social shortfilm on the UK’s net zero journey will offer a timely reflection on how science, institutions, and politics aligned to deliver evidence-based #ClimatePolicy serving the public interest. 2/2
bsky.app/profile/gran...
granthamicl.bsky.social
COMING SOON…

In 2019, the UK made history as the first major economy to commit to net zero by 2050.

But, while the science hasn’t changed, political consensus is fracturing.

We can’t wait to share our new film & to tell the inside story of the UK’s climate target

Stay tuned…
👀13 October
Joanna Haigh seen from behind the cameras, with two members of crew either side. Joeri Rogelj seen from behind the camera, sitting ready to interview Theresa May ready to interview, seen from behind the camera and lighting equipment

joerirogelj.bsky.social
Next week, we reflect on how science and society shaped the UK’s #NetZero target. As political consensus wavers, the scientific evidence underpinning the need for rapid #ClimateAction remains robust and unequivocal. 1/2

Reposted by Joeri Rogelj

granthamicl.bsky.social
COMING SOON…

In 2019, the UK made history as the first major economy to commit to net zero by 2050.

But, while the science hasn’t changed, political consensus is fracturing.

We can’t wait to share our new film & to tell the inside story of the UK’s climate target

Stay tuned…
👀13 October
Joanna Haigh seen from behind the cameras, with two members of crew either side. Joeri Rogelj seen from behind the camera, sitting ready to interview Theresa May ready to interview, seen from behind the camera and lighting equipment

joerirogelj.bsky.social
Pope Leo XIV has reaffirmed the imperative to act upon climate change and environmental degradation.

This firm response to climate science deniers marks the 10th anniversary of his Predecessor Pope Francis' encyclical "On Care of Our Common Home".

www.bbc.com/news/article...
Pope Leo hits out at critics of global warming
In his first major statement on climate change, the pontiff criticises those who minimise climate change.
www.bbc.com
iiasa.ac.at
The third and final day of the #OvershootConference kicked off with an insightful report-back and reflection session, where theme leads shared insights from their discussions so far.

See insights from discussions on Day 2 in the thread below:
iopp-environment.bsky.social
🌍New #ERL focus collection on #climate #overshoot is open!

Linked to @iiasa.ac.at Overshoots conference in Vienna this week. ERL Publisher Lauren Carter will be attending, email to discuss a contribution: [email protected]

📅Deadline: 30 April 2026
🔗 iopscience.iop.org/collections/...

Reposted by Joeri Rogelj

iiasa.ac.at
@joerirogelj.bsky.social: “The pursuit of 1.5°C endures as a legal and ethical imperative. Overshoot does not erase this goal - it makes it more urgent.”
He called overshoot a test of our generation’s responsibility.
#ScienceInAction #ParisAgreement

Reposted by Joeri Rogelj

granthamicl.bsky.social
Despite the centrality of equity in the Paris Agreement, no framework exists to allocate responsibilities for carbon dioxide removals among countries.

A new paper, co-authored by Imperial's Professor ​@joerirogelj.bsky.social​, presents a framework for allocating CDR globally 🧵

joerirogelj.bsky.social
In a new study, we estimate how much geological CO2 storage capacity would be available when considering social, environmental, seismic and other risks.

Lead author @gidden.bsky.social wrote an extensive 🧵on the work 👇

joerirogelj.bsky.social
Yes - if we don't use any of it for fossil CCS and emit zero CO2 in the meantime.

You'll also have to tell me what's the latest on perfect reversability of global warming after overshoot though. :)

Reposted by Jeremy J. Schmidt

joerirogelj.bsky.social
CO2 removal will play a pivotal role in any future where we achieve net-zero CO2 and eventually net-zero GHG emissions. By acknowledging its scarcity and reserving it for essential and strategic uses, governments can design fairer, robust mitigation strategies that limit risks and harm. /7

joerirogelj.bsky.social
The bottom line of this study connects to previous work on legal limits to the use of CO2 removal, and robust decarbonisation strategies. /6

joerirogelj.bsky.social
It assumes every tonne stored CO2 was removed from the atmosphere (and not captured from fossil fuel combustion or industry sources).

And meanwhile no other CO2 emission are emitted.

0.7°C of global warming reversal is thus a clear ceiling, based on a central estimate of climate response. /5

Reposted by Miriam Rehm

joerirogelj.bsky.social
If every single ton of this 1,460 GtCO2 would be used to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, we could reverse 0.7°C of global warming.

And this estimate is a clear ceiling, because... /4

joerirogelj.bsky.social
1,460 GtCO2 (thousand four hundred sixty billion tonnes of CO2!) of practically available geological CO2 storage seems a lot, but lets translate this to its potential for reversing global warming to get a sense of magnitude. /3

joerirogelj.bsky.social
This comes with important consequences for long-term climate change mitigation scenario planning.

Geological CO2 storages moves from a virtually unlimited potential to a rather scarce resource, with a central estimate of 1,460 GtCO2, globally. /2
joerirogelj.bsky.social
NEW STUDY: How much CO2 can we safely store in geological formations?

In a new @nature.com study, we cross-check established academic and industry estimates with various risk factors.

We find a prudent geological CO2 storage limit that is about 10x smaller. /1

Reposted by Joeri Rogelj

granthamicl.bsky.social
Coauthor @joerirogelj.bsky.social Rogelj, Director of Research at the Grantham Institute says:

“This study should be a gamechanger for carbon storage. It can no longer be considered an unlimited solution to bring our climate back to a safe level.

joerirogelj.bsky.social
Announcement:
Climate Science and Policy Event on 9 September 2025 by @iiasa.ac.at at the @royalsociety.org

Register if you're interested in attending in person. 👇
iiasa.ac.at
IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · Aug 27
🔍Session spotlight: Planetary Crisis and Overshoot Management at @royalsociety.org 📆 9 Sep, with @ukri.org 📲register here: iiasa.ac.at/events/sep-2...

Reposted by Joeri Rogelj

iiasa.ac.at
IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · Aug 27
🔍Session spotlight: Planetary Crisis and Overshoot Management at @royalsociety.org 📆 9 Sep, with @ukri.org 📲register here: iiasa.ac.at/events/sep-2...

Reposted by Joeri Rogelj

granthamicl.bsky.social
⚖️Climate litigation is entering a new era 🌏

Thanks to attribution science, courts now have the tools to link climate impacts, such as floods, wildfires and extreme heat to major polluters — and assign legal responsibility. 🧵

📒 imperial.ac.uk/stories/polluters-on-trial
joerirogelj.bsky.social
And of course there was a typo in the visual I posted earlier.

Three thumbs up and green heart for whoever can spot the difference between the former and current version.

🔎👁️🤯

joerirogelj.bsky.social
New research on limits to CO2 removal (CDR). CDR is key to our ambition to stop adding climate pollution to the atmosphere. Because it's uncertain how much will be delivered and it clearly comes with risks of social & environmental side-effects, legal issues arise. This paper provides an overview. 👇
rupertstuartsmith.bsky.social
🚨 Out now in @climate-policy.bsky.social: New research with @thomwetzer.bsky.social @rubenpruetz.bsky.social @joerirogelj.bsky.social Lavanya Rajamani, Marianne Wood and Ewan White: States are depending heavily on CO2 removal to meet climate targets, risking the Paris Agreement goal.

Reposted by Joeri Rogelj

rupertstuartsmith.bsky.social
🚨 Out now in @climate-policy.bsky.social: New research with @thomwetzer.bsky.social @rubenpruetz.bsky.social @joerirogelj.bsky.social Lavanya Rajamani, Marianne Wood and Ewan White: States are depending heavily on CO2 removal to meet climate targets, risking the Paris Agreement goal.

Reposted by Joeri Rogelj

granthamicl.bsky.social
⛈️ @frediotto.bsky.social reviewed extreme weather, such as the LA wildfires, to show that climate change is outpacing adaptation efforts.

🎯 @joerirogelj.bsky.social warns that passing the 1.5°C goal only intensifies the legal & ethical obligations of the Paris Agreement.

buff.ly/dIdDn5a