Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Strategic foresight analyst: future security environment, defence policy, strategic planning, warfare development | Climate-energy-defence interactions | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in complex adaptive systems, sustainability and governance
Reposted by Andy Scollick
New Zealand braces for more heavy rain, severe gales after floods kill one person reut.rs/3OH8Apg
New Zealand braces for more heavy rain, severe gales after floods kill one person
New Zealand's weather forecaster on Sunday warned of intensifying heavy rain and severe gales for the country's North Island, a day after floods linked to the death of one person caused power outages, road collapses and home evacuations.
reut.rs
February 14, 2026 at 11:25 PM
New Zealand braces for more heavy rain, severe gales after floods kill one person reut.rs/3OH8Apg
Remember Nicolae Ceaușescu's palace in Bucharest? Remember how Ceaușescu's life ended in a hail of bullets from an improvised firing squad?
February 14, 2026 at 11:39 PM
Remember Nicolae Ceaușescu's palace in Bucharest? Remember how Ceaușescu's life ended in a hail of bullets from an improvised firing squad?
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The US is deliberately starving millions of people across the world including Cuba. This is a brilliant, enraging piece by Ruaridh Nicoll
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...
No water or electricity, and children begging in streets filled with rubbish – but this is why I won’t leave Cuba
Whether you blame the US or the communist regime, there is no doubt that this is an island spiralling into tragedy
www.theguardian.com
February 14, 2026 at 11:33 PM
The US is deliberately starving millions of people across the world including Cuba. This is a brilliant, enraging piece by Ruaridh Nicoll
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Greenland PM Jens-Frederik Nielsen: “Imagine a NATO country acquiring, taking, or threatening an ally. Where would the world stand if that happened?
“…what would prevent the United States, Russia, and China from splitting up the world into three big blocks if that were allowed?
“It’s outrageous.”
“…what would prevent the United States, Russia, and China from splitting up the world into three big blocks if that were allowed?
“It’s outrageous.”
February 14, 2026 at 9:56 PM
Greenland PM Jens-Frederik Nielsen: “Imagine a NATO country acquiring, taking, or threatening an ally. Where would the world stand if that happened?
“…what would prevent the United States, Russia, and China from splitting up the world into three big blocks if that were allowed?
“It’s outrageous.”
“…what would prevent the United States, Russia, and China from splitting up the world into three big blocks if that were allowed?
“It’s outrageous.”
Reposted by Andy Scollick
EU President growing tired of Rutte's "We need Daddy" mantra.
"Let’s develop our strength without constantly leaning on someone else," she said.
"Let’s develop our strength without constantly leaning on someone else," she said.
February 14, 2026 at 2:28 PM
EU President growing tired of Rutte's "We need Daddy" mantra.
"Let’s develop our strength without constantly leaning on someone else," she said.
"Let’s develop our strength without constantly leaning on someone else," she said.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
PM Frederiksen:
We have to recognize,we have to learn that Russia will not change&they aren’t interested in peace, unfortunately
I mean,it's like minus 25 °C &then you attack the energy system.I mean,it's so crazy that only Russians would do such a thing.But this’s how Russia is&it will not change
We have to recognize,we have to learn that Russia will not change&they aren’t interested in peace, unfortunately
I mean,it's like minus 25 °C &then you attack the energy system.I mean,it's so crazy that only Russians would do such a thing.But this’s how Russia is&it will not change
February 14, 2026 at 7:37 PM
PM Frederiksen:
We have to recognize,we have to learn that Russia will not change&they aren’t interested in peace, unfortunately
I mean,it's like minus 25 °C &then you attack the energy system.I mean,it's so crazy that only Russians would do such a thing.But this’s how Russia is&it will not change
We have to recognize,we have to learn that Russia will not change&they aren’t interested in peace, unfortunately
I mean,it's like minus 25 °C &then you attack the energy system.I mean,it's so crazy that only Russians would do such a thing.But this’s how Russia is&it will not change
Reposted by Andy Scollick
🇩🇰🇺🇦 Denmark’s PM Mette Frederiksen:
Our problem in Ukraine is still that there are red lines when it comes to the weapons they can use to win this war.
And you cannot win a war with one hand tied on your back. We need to give them weapons so they can strike into Russia.
Our problem in Ukraine is still that there are red lines when it comes to the weapons they can use to win this war.
And you cannot win a war with one hand tied on your back. We need to give them weapons so they can strike into Russia.
February 14, 2026 at 10:09 PM
🇩🇰🇺🇦 Denmark’s PM Mette Frederiksen:
Our problem in Ukraine is still that there are red lines when it comes to the weapons they can use to win this war.
And you cannot win a war with one hand tied on your back. We need to give them weapons so they can strike into Russia.
Our problem in Ukraine is still that there are red lines when it comes to the weapons they can use to win this war.
And you cannot win a war with one hand tied on your back. We need to give them weapons so they can strike into Russia.
No one in Europe believes anything the Trumpist Americans say anymore. We might pretend we do. But that's stalling for time whilst we get our shit together and 'decouple'. But we don't and cannot trust America. It's over.
US ambassador to NATO: America is 'not leaving' Europe
His comments are part of a more conciliatory tone American officials are taking during the Munich Security Conference.
www.politico.com
February 14, 2026 at 11:22 PM
No one in Europe believes anything the Trumpist Americans say anymore. We might pretend we do. But that's stalling for time whilst we get our shit together and 'decouple'. But we don't and cannot trust America. It's over.
A "security guarantee" must endure. It cannot be time limited to a 15- or 20-year period of applicability.
Ukraine wants 20-year US security guarantee to sign peace deal
Speaking in Munich, Volodymyr Zelenskyy also called for a clear date for his country to be allowed to join the EU
www.theguardian.com
February 14, 2026 at 11:20 PM
A "security guarantee" must endure. It cannot be time limited to a 15- or 20-year period of applicability.
Reptile Man really is quite thick. There's not an ounce of original thought in that tiny little mind. He just sits there and parrots the crap his boss has spouted.
🇺🇸🇺🇦 Marco Rubio: I don’t think anyone is winning. The Russians are losing seven or eight thousand soldiers a week now, wounded and dead.
Ukraine has suffered extraordinary damage, including overnight attacks again on its energy infrastructure.
Ukraine has suffered extraordinary damage, including overnight attacks again on its energy infrastructure.
February 14, 2026 at 11:18 PM
Reptile Man really is quite thick. There's not an ounce of original thought in that tiny little mind. He just sits there and parrots the crap his boss has spouted.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Trump is sabotaging action on climate change and health, and Kemi Badenoch and Nigel Farage are cheering him on.
Our government must draw a line in the sand and call out this dangerous rollback.
Our government must draw a line in the sand and call out this dangerous rollback.
February 13, 2026 at 4:15 PM
Trump is sabotaging action on climate change and health, and Kemi Badenoch and Nigel Farage are cheering him on.
Our government must draw a line in the sand and call out this dangerous rollback.
Our government must draw a line in the sand and call out this dangerous rollback.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The U.S. Department of Defense has barred military personnel from enrolling in courses at many of the nation’s top universities, including Harvard, Yale, MIT, and Johns Hopkins. A leaked email is said to contain the full list of affected schools. Shared by MeidasTouch.
February 14, 2026 at 10:42 PM
The U.S. Department of Defense has barred military personnel from enrolling in courses at many of the nation’s top universities, including Harvard, Yale, MIT, and Johns Hopkins. A leaked email is said to contain the full list of affected schools. Shared by MeidasTouch.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
‘Unfortunately, I think the desire is the same.’ Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said she believes that US President Donald Trump still wants to own Greenland despite dialing back his recent threats to seize it by force.
u.afp.com/S6SW
u.afp.com/S6SW
February 14, 2026 at 10:45 PM
‘Unfortunately, I think the desire is the same.’ Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said she believes that US President Donald Trump still wants to own Greenland despite dialing back his recent threats to seize it by force.
u.afp.com/S6SW
u.afp.com/S6SW
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Yesterday morning kids were sent running from their bus stop in panic because ICE showed up. This guy at today’s ICE Out of Lindenwold protest is a must watch 😭. @maddow.bsky.social
February 14, 2026 at 2:37 AM
Yesterday morning kids were sent running from their bus stop in panic because ICE showed up. This guy at today’s ICE Out of Lindenwold protest is a must watch 😭. @maddow.bsky.social
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Defense Minister Pistorius:
20yrs later [after the signing of the Budapest Memorandum], Russia invaded&annexed Crimea
We cannot afford another paper tiger like the Budapest Memorandum.To provide credible&reliable security guarantees,all of us,European&Americans,have to deliver.
20yrs later [after the signing of the Budapest Memorandum], Russia invaded&annexed Crimea
We cannot afford another paper tiger like the Budapest Memorandum.To provide credible&reliable security guarantees,all of us,European&Americans,have to deliver.
February 14, 2026 at 6:39 PM
Defense Minister Pistorius:
20yrs later [after the signing of the Budapest Memorandum], Russia invaded&annexed Crimea
We cannot afford another paper tiger like the Budapest Memorandum.To provide credible&reliable security guarantees,all of us,European&Americans,have to deliver.
20yrs later [after the signing of the Budapest Memorandum], Russia invaded&annexed Crimea
We cannot afford another paper tiger like the Budapest Memorandum.To provide credible&reliable security guarantees,all of us,European&Americans,have to deliver.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
munich opened with anxiety.
it closed with uncertainty.
ukraine still at war.
europe still divided.
america still dominant.
everyone sees the cracks in the transatlantic alliance.
no one has a near-term fix.
@gzeromedia.com
it closed with uncertainty.
ukraine still at war.
europe still divided.
america still dominant.
everyone sees the cracks in the transatlantic alliance.
no one has a near-term fix.
@gzeromedia.com
Challenges facing the transatlantic relationship
YouTube video by GZERO Media
www.youtube.com
February 14, 2026 at 6:19 PM
munich opened with anxiety.
it closed with uncertainty.
ukraine still at war.
europe still divided.
america still dominant.
everyone sees the cracks in the transatlantic alliance.
no one has a near-term fix.
@gzeromedia.com
it closed with uncertainty.
ukraine still at war.
europe still divided.
america still dominant.
everyone sees the cracks in the transatlantic alliance.
no one has a near-term fix.
@gzeromedia.com
Reposted by Andy Scollick
🇵🇱🇺🇸🇺🇦 Sikorski: If the US forces Ukraine into an unfair deal, we will continue our commitment to Ukraine.
It is Ukraine that will decide when to make a deal.
And then we will not be able to be ignored by Putin, because we will become the main provider to Ukraine.
It is Ukraine that will decide when to make a deal.
And then we will not be able to be ignored by Putin, because we will become the main provider to Ukraine.
February 14, 2026 at 6:15 PM
🇵🇱🇺🇸🇺🇦 Sikorski: If the US forces Ukraine into an unfair deal, we will continue our commitment to Ukraine.
It is Ukraine that will decide when to make a deal.
And then we will not be able to be ignored by Putin, because we will become the main provider to Ukraine.
It is Ukraine that will decide when to make a deal.
And then we will not be able to be ignored by Putin, because we will become the main provider to Ukraine.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
There will be people who are understandably desperate to hear this, but it's important to be clear-eyed about Rubio himself and what the Trump administration is doing. 🧵
February 14, 2026 at 12:56 PM
There will be people who are understandably desperate to hear this, but it's important to be clear-eyed about Rubio himself and what the Trump administration is doing. 🧵
Reposted by Andy Scollick
„Climate Change is not a hoax! It’s happening and it is a massive risk for our security.“
Þorgerður Katrín Gunnarsdóttir, Außenministerin Islands mit Vertretern der kleinen und mittleren Inselstaaten auf der #MSC2026.
Þorgerður Katrín Gunnarsdóttir, Außenministerin Islands mit Vertretern der kleinen und mittleren Inselstaaten auf der #MSC2026.
February 14, 2026 at 5:13 PM
„Climate Change is not a hoax! It’s happening and it is a massive risk for our security.“
Þorgerður Katrín Gunnarsdóttir, Außenministerin Islands mit Vertretern der kleinen und mittleren Inselstaaten auf der #MSC2026.
Þorgerður Katrín Gunnarsdóttir, Außenministerin Islands mit Vertretern der kleinen und mittleren Inselstaaten auf der #MSC2026.
Hitler's paramilitary "Brownshirts" sit down with a farmer and his wife and try to persuade them to vote for the Nazi Party.
Mecklenburger, Germany, 21 June 1932
📷 Bundesarchiv
Mecklenburger, Germany, 21 June 1932
📷 Bundesarchiv
February 14, 2026 at 6:42 PM
Hitler's paramilitary "Brownshirts" sit down with a farmer and his wife and try to persuade them to vote for the Nazi Party.
Mecklenburger, Germany, 21 June 1932
📷 Bundesarchiv
Mecklenburger, Germany, 21 June 1932
📷 Bundesarchiv
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Polish Deputy PM Radosław Sikorski tells DW's @ninahaase.bsky.social that Europe's most urgent security threat — Russia's aggression against Ukraine — was missing from US Secretary of State Marco Rubio's speech at the #MSC2026.
⬇️ Watch the full conversation.
⬇️ Watch the full conversation.
Polish deputy PM: US and Europe perceive threats differently
The most urgent security issue Europe faces never made it into the speech by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the Munich Security Conference, says Polish Deputy Prime Minister Radoslaw Sikorski, w...
p.dw.com
February 14, 2026 at 6:22 PM
Polish Deputy PM Radosław Sikorski tells DW's @ninahaase.bsky.social that Europe's most urgent security threat — Russia's aggression against Ukraine — was missing from US Secretary of State Marco Rubio's speech at the #MSC2026.
⬇️ Watch the full conversation.
⬇️ Watch the full conversation.
What Reptile Man really means is:
"Buy more American weapons and make my shares in Lockheed Martin earn me a fortune. (But you can forget about us coming to your rescue again.)"
"Buy more American weapons and make my shares in Lockheed Martin earn me a fortune. (But you can forget about us coming to your rescue again.)"
Secretary of State Marco Rubio, addressing the Munich Security Conference, said the U.S. wants to see a strong Europe 👇
It’s a wholly different message than the one JD Vance delivered last year.
More on our #MSC2026 live blog: www.politico.eu/article/muni...
It’s a wholly different message than the one JD Vance delivered last year.
More on our #MSC2026 live blog: www.politico.eu/article/muni...
February 14, 2026 at 6:35 PM
What Reptile Man really means is:
"Buy more American weapons and make my shares in Lockheed Martin earn me a fortune. (But you can forget about us coming to your rescue again.)"
"Buy more American weapons and make my shares in Lockheed Martin earn me a fortune. (But you can forget about us coming to your rescue again.)"
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Switching from Russian gas to US gas (instead of just getting off gas altogether) is a danger to the climate and to Europe's security
For a safe climate, clean air and water, and more peace – the EU must put and end to fossil fuels and move to 100% renewable energy
#MSC2026
For a safe climate, clean air and water, and more peace – the EU must put and end to fossil fuels and move to 100% renewable energy
#MSC2026
Munich Security Conference: the EU’s dependence on US gas is a security threat, Greenpeace warns - Greenpeace International
“We are here today to highlight a very concrete security threat for Europe: its energy import dependency, and its growing reliance on gas from the US."
www.greenpeace.org
February 13, 2026 at 9:07 AM
Switching from Russian gas to US gas (instead of just getting off gas altogether) is a danger to the climate and to Europe's security
For a safe climate, clean air and water, and more peace – the EU must put and end to fossil fuels and move to 100% renewable energy
#MSC2026
For a safe climate, clean air and water, and more peace – the EU must put and end to fossil fuels and move to 100% renewable energy
#MSC2026
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Russian Shahed drone in the Ukrainian house. Behind it, there is a video showing drone attacks on Munich, Vienna and other European cities.
#MSC2026
#MSC2026
February 14, 2026 at 12:06 PM
Russian Shahed drone in the Ukrainian house. Behind it, there is a video showing drone attacks on Munich, Vienna and other European cities.
#MSC2026
#MSC2026