Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Strategic foresight analyst: future security environment, defence policy, strategic planning, warfare development | Climate-energy-defence interactions | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in complex adaptive systems, sustainability and governance
Pinned
As defence chiefs, we warn you today about Russia, and say this rearmament is not warmongering | Richard Knighton and Carsten Breuer
Our security is more uncertain than in decades. But by working together, and by showing strength, Britain, Germany and the rest of Europe can preserve peace, say defence chiefs Richard Knighton and Ca...
www.theguardian.com
Our security is more uncertain than in decades. But by working together, and by showing strength, Britain, Germany and the rest of Europe can preserve peace.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
So good. @kajakallas.bsky.social is all of us.
February 14, 2026 at 3:24 PM
So good. @kajakallas.bsky.social is all of us.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Europe’s push to reduce its reliance on the US is likely to be permanent. US policymakers should wake up to this new reality. https://bit.ly/4tBhYL4
What should a more European NATO look like? The US and Europe disagree
Europe’s push to reduce its reliance on the US is likely to be permanent. US policymakers should wake up to this new reality.
bit.ly
February 15, 2026 at 10:00 PM
Europe’s push to reduce its reliance on the US is likely to be permanent. US policymakers should wake up to this new reality. https://bit.ly/4tBhYL4
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The EU foreign policy chief, @kajakallas.bsky.social, pushed bak on Rubio's white nationalist claim that Europe was in danger of "losing its civilization" to immigrants. Utter nonsense, she politely says.
February 15, 2026 at 9:38 PM
The EU foreign policy chief, @kajakallas.bsky.social, pushed bak on Rubio's white nationalist claim that Europe was in danger of "losing its civilization" to immigrants. Utter nonsense, she politely says.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The New York Times reports that the Department of Homeland Security has sent Google, Meta, and other media corporations subpoenas for the names on accounts that criticize ICE enforcement. The department wants to identify Americans who oppose what it’s doing. I’ll save them time.
A short note to Kristi Noem
To a current Cabinet secretary from a former one
robertreich.substack.com
February 15, 2026 at 5:01 PM
The New York Times reports that the Department of Homeland Security has sent Google, Meta, and other media corporations subpoenas for the names on accounts that criticize ICE enforcement. The department wants to identify Americans who oppose what it’s doing. I’ll save them time.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
🇨🇦🇪🇺 Canada has officially joined the SAFE program, aimed at facilitating the rearmament of European countries.
February 15, 2026 at 9:41 PM
🇨🇦🇪🇺 Canada has officially joined the SAFE program, aimed at facilitating the rearmament of European countries.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
OpenAI ”acknowledged in its own research that LLMs will always produce hallucinations due to fundamental mathematical constraints that cannot be solved through better engineering, marking a significant admission from one of the AI industry’s leading companies.”
You can’t trust chatbots.
You can’t trust chatbots.
OpenAI admits AI hallucinations are mathematically inevitable, not just engineering flaws
In a landmark study, OpenAI researchers reveal that large language models will always produce plausible but false outputs, even with perfect data, due to fundamental statistical and computational limi...
www.computerworld.com
February 15, 2026 at 8:25 PM
OpenAI ”acknowledged in its own research that LLMs will always produce hallucinations due to fundamental mathematical constraints that cannot be solved through better engineering, marking a significant admission from one of the AI industry’s leading companies.”
You can’t trust chatbots.
You can’t trust chatbots.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Netanyahu tells American Jewish leaders at the annual Conf of Presidents mission in Is🇮🇱 he's proposed a "10-year drawdown to zero" in U.S. military aid.
"Israel will support itself..just as we fight for ourselves...Our goal is to build an independent arms industry in 🇮🇱”
@jacobkornbluh.bsky.social
"Israel will support itself..just as we fight for ourselves...Our goal is to build an independent arms industry in 🇮🇱”
@jacobkornbluh.bsky.social
February 15, 2026 at 9:30 PM
Netanyahu tells American Jewish leaders at the annual Conf of Presidents mission in Is🇮🇱 he's proposed a "10-year drawdown to zero" in U.S. military aid.
"Israel will support itself..just as we fight for ourselves...Our goal is to build an independent arms industry in 🇮🇱”
@jacobkornbluh.bsky.social
"Israel will support itself..just as we fight for ourselves...Our goal is to build an independent arms industry in 🇮🇱”
@jacobkornbluh.bsky.social
Reposted by Andy Scollick
War weather news: within a week, Ukraine went from considerable frost to a thaw on Thursday-Friday to a windy blizzard today.
Which means some areas survived local flash floods and snowfall disruptions in two days.
As if The War itself wasn't enough😣
Which means some areas survived local flash floods and snowfall disruptions in two days.
As if The War itself wasn't enough😣
February 15, 2026 at 9:16 PM
War weather news: within a week, Ukraine went from considerable frost to a thaw on Thursday-Friday to a windy blizzard today.
Which means some areas survived local flash floods and snowfall disruptions in two days.
As if The War itself wasn't enough😣
Which means some areas survived local flash floods and snowfall disruptions in two days.
As if The War itself wasn't enough😣
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Dutch Defence Secretary Boldly Claims F-35 Software Could Be ‘Jailbroken’
Addressing the F-35’s operational independence from the U.S., Secretary Gijs Tuinman made the claim to Dutch radio station BNR Nieuwsradio.
Story: theaviationist.com/2026/02/15/d...
Addressing the F-35’s operational independence from the U.S., Secretary Gijs Tuinman made the claim to Dutch radio station BNR Nieuwsradio.
Story: theaviationist.com/2026/02/15/d...
Dutch Defence Secretary Boldly Claims F-35 Software Could Be 'Jailbroken'
Addressing the F-35's operational independence from the U.S. amid tensions between Europe and the Trump administration, Secretary Gijs Tuinman made the
theaviationist.com
February 15, 2026 at 8:12 PM
Dutch Defence Secretary Boldly Claims F-35 Software Could Be ‘Jailbroken’
Addressing the F-35’s operational independence from the U.S., Secretary Gijs Tuinman made the claim to Dutch radio station BNR Nieuwsradio.
Story: theaviationist.com/2026/02/15/d...
Addressing the F-35’s operational independence from the U.S., Secretary Gijs Tuinman made the claim to Dutch radio station BNR Nieuwsradio.
Story: theaviationist.com/2026/02/15/d...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The Dutch Defence Minister suggested on a radio interview that European countries can “jailbreak” an F-35 in case the US blocked software updates:
“I'm going to say something I should never say, but I'll do it anyway. Just like your iPhone, you can jailbreak an F-35. I won't say more about it.”
“I'm going to say something I should never say, but I'll do it anyway. Just like your iPhone, you can jailbreak an F-35. I won't say more about it.”
February 15, 2026 at 9:17 PM
The Dutch Defence Minister suggested on a radio interview that European countries can “jailbreak” an F-35 in case the US blocked software updates:
“I'm going to say something I should never say, but I'll do it anyway. Just like your iPhone, you can jailbreak an F-35. I won't say more about it.”
“I'm going to say something I should never say, but I'll do it anyway. Just like your iPhone, you can jailbreak an F-35. I won't say more about it.”
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The Royal Navy will deploy an aircraft carrier strike group to counter Russia in the North Atlantic and the Arctic.
militarnyi.com/en/news/uk-d...
militarnyi.com/en/news/uk-d...
UK to Deploy Carrier Group to Counter Russia
The Royal Navy will deploy an aircraft carrier strike group to counter Russia in the North Atlantic and the Arctic.
militarnyi.com
February 15, 2026 at 9:25 PM
The Royal Navy will deploy an aircraft carrier strike group to counter Russia in the North Atlantic and the Arctic.
militarnyi.com/en/news/uk-d...
militarnyi.com/en/news/uk-d...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
“Nuke-talk is heating up among Europeans in Munich”
Nuke-talk is heating up among Europeans in Munich
‘Nuclear deterrence can give us new opportunities. Why not?’ Latvian PM tells POLITICO.
www.politico.eu
February 15, 2026 at 9:27 PM
“Nuke-talk is heating up among Europeans in Munich”
Reposted by Andy Scollick
President Nawrocki has called for Poland to seek a nuclear deterrent, saying that it is necessary in the face of an “aggressive, imperial Russia”.
President calls for Poland to seek nuclear deterrent
notesfrompoland.com
February 15, 2026 at 8:54 PM
President Nawrocki has called for Poland to seek a nuclear deterrent, saying that it is necessary in the face of an “aggressive, imperial Russia”.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
💀 The price of the Russian offensive: British intelligence has revealed the ratio of losses in the war in Ukraine
In some areas of the front, the losses of the Russian occupiers are 25 times higher than the losses of the Ukrainian defenders.
In some areas of the front, the losses of the Russian occupiers are 25 times higher than the losses of the Ukrainian defenders.
February 15, 2026 at 8:54 PM
💀 The price of the Russian offensive: British intelligence has revealed the ratio of losses in the war in Ukraine
In some areas of the front, the losses of the Russian occupiers are 25 times higher than the losses of the Ukrainian defenders.
In some areas of the front, the losses of the Russian occupiers are 25 times higher than the losses of the Ukrainian defenders.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The U.S. Air Force plans to purchase additional GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) bunker-busting bombs to replenish stockpiles after Operation Midnight Hammer in Iran.
militarnyi.com/en/news/us-a...
militarnyi.com/en/news/us-a...
US Air Force Wants to Purchase GBU-57 MOP
The documents state that the purchase is “critically needed to replenish the GBU-57 stockpiles expended during the operation in Iran.”
militarnyi.com
February 15, 2026 at 8:59 PM
The U.S. Air Force plans to purchase additional GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) bunker-busting bombs to replenish stockpiles after Operation Midnight Hammer in Iran.
militarnyi.com/en/news/us-a...
militarnyi.com/en/news/us-a...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
“This would lock the world into a new and hellish “hothouse Earth” climate far worse than the 2-3C temperature rise the world is on track to reach. The climate would also be very different to the benign conditions of the past 11,000 years, during which the whole of human civilisation developed.”
Point of no return: a hellish ‘hothouse Earth’ getting closer, scientists say
Continued global heating could set irreversible course by triggering climate tipping points, but most people unaware
www.theguardian.com
February 15, 2026 at 8:57 PM
“This would lock the world into a new and hellish “hothouse Earth” climate far worse than the 2-3C temperature rise the world is on track to reach. The climate would also be very different to the benign conditions of the past 11,000 years, during which the whole of human civilisation developed.”
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service: 'International Security and Estonia'
www.valisluureamet.ee/doc/raport/2...
www.valisluureamet.ee/doc/raport/2...
February 15, 2026 at 9:05 PM
Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service: 'International Security and Estonia'
www.valisluureamet.ee/doc/raport/2...
www.valisluureamet.ee/doc/raport/2...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
❗️🇺🇦The Armed Forces of Ukraine are counterattacking near Hulyaipole and Zaporizhzhia to slow down the Russian offensive, —Mashovets
AFU on some sections of the southern front have advanced 9-9.5 km in depth and disrupted the enemy's preparations for the Zaporizhzhia-Orikhiv offensive operation.
AFU on some sections of the southern front have advanced 9-9.5 km in depth and disrupted the enemy's preparations for the Zaporizhzhia-Orikhiv offensive operation.
February 15, 2026 at 9:09 PM
❗️🇺🇦The Armed Forces of Ukraine are counterattacking near Hulyaipole and Zaporizhzhia to slow down the Russian offensive, —Mashovets
AFU on some sections of the southern front have advanced 9-9.5 km in depth and disrupted the enemy's preparations for the Zaporizhzhia-Orikhiv offensive operation.
AFU on some sections of the southern front have advanced 9-9.5 km in depth and disrupted the enemy's preparations for the Zaporizhzhia-Orikhiv offensive operation.
Our security is more uncertain than in decades. But by working together, and by showing strength, Britain, Germany and the rest of Europe can preserve peace.
As defence chiefs, we warn you today about Russia, and say this rearmament is not warmongering | Richard Knighton and Carsten Breuer
Our security is more uncertain than in decades. But by working together, and by showing strength, Britain, Germany and the rest of Europe can preserve peace, say defence chiefs Richard Knighton and Ca...
www.theguardian.com
February 15, 2026 at 9:12 PM
Our security is more uncertain than in decades. But by working together, and by showing strength, Britain, Germany and the rest of Europe can preserve peace.
Britain and Germany’s highest ranking military leaders have made an unprecedented joint appeal to the public to accept the “moral” case for rearmament and prepare for the threat of war with Russia.
Top British and German military chiefs press ‘moral’ case for rearmament
Defence leaders write joint appeal urging public on need to be prepared for war with Russia and resulting costs
www.theguardian.com
February 15, 2026 at 9:10 PM
Britain and Germany’s highest ranking military leaders have made an unprecedented joint appeal to the public to accept the “moral” case for rearmament and prepare for the threat of war with Russia.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
European and American leaders spent three days pledging cooperation and offering to slap a new coat of paint on the façade of the transatlantic relationship at the Munich Security Conference.
But the cracks are still showing.
But the cracks are still showing.
A relationship on the rocks: Europe and America need each other but trust is gone
This year’s Munich Security Conference was milder than last year’s, but Donald Trump has fundamentally changed transatlantic ties.
www.politico.eu
February 15, 2026 at 7:51 PM
European and American leaders spent three days pledging cooperation and offering to slap a new coat of paint on the façade of the transatlantic relationship at the Munich Security Conference.
But the cracks are still showing.
But the cracks are still showing.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
"Trump Issues a Death Sentence on Our Children, Grandchildren and the Planet With His Payoff to the Fossil Fuel Industry" | My interview with Ian Masters of #BackgroundBriefing courtesy of @kpfk.bsky.social So. Cal public radio: soundcloud.com/user-8304426...
February 15, 2026 at 7:42 PM
"Trump Issues a Death Sentence on Our Children, Grandchildren and the Planet With His Payoff to the Fossil Fuel Industry" | My interview with Ian Masters of #BackgroundBriefing courtesy of @kpfk.bsky.social So. Cal public radio: soundcloud.com/user-8304426...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
February 15, 2026 at 7:57 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The end of the world order as we know it? What the Munich Security Conference means for the UK
The end of the world order as we know it? What the Munich Security Conference means for the UK
The old, rules-based order that evolved from the ashes of the Second World War no longer exists - at least that is the verdict of Germany's chancellor, and the evidence is clear to see.
news.sky.com
February 15, 2026 at 6:45 PM
The end of the world order as we know it? What the Munich Security Conference means for the UK
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Adding even more cameras for a surveillance state: 'autonomous' delivery robots, and 'autonomous' taxis.
Can be combined with facial recognition, of course.
Can be combined with facial recognition, of course.
February 15, 2026 at 6:04 AM
Adding even more cameras for a surveillance state: 'autonomous' delivery robots, and 'autonomous' taxis.
Can be combined with facial recognition, of course.
Can be combined with facial recognition, of course.