Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Strategic foresight: future security environment, defence policy, defence planning, warfare development regarding the climate change, energy, defence nexus | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in sustainability science (complex adaptive systems)
Pinned
The best kind of insurance is fully comprehensive insurance.
The best kind of security is fully comprehensive security.
There is no security without:
🔹 Human (individual)
🔹 National (civil, military, defence)
🔹 Collective (international)
🔹 Energy
🔹 Climate and
🔹 Food security.
The best kind of security is fully comprehensive security.
There is no security without:
🔹 Human (individual)
🔹 National (civil, military, defence)
🔹 Collective (international)
🔹 Energy
🔹 Climate and
🔹 Food security.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Ukraine is facing a "mafia-style" shakedown from the US.
Canada may be next. We need to be ready.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
Canada may be next. We need to be ready.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
Ukraine peace talks little more than a mafia-style shakedown by the US and Russia
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been powered by lies and backed up by the US. World affairs editor Sam Kiley meets some of Putin’s Russian-speaking victims in Pavlohrad, eastern Ukraine, as Volodymyr...
www.independent.co.uk
February 18, 2026 at 9:53 PM
Ukraine is facing a "mafia-style" shakedown from the US.
Canada may be next. We need to be ready.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
Canada may be next. We need to be ready.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
2026 basically
February 18, 2026 at 4:23 PM
2026 basically
Reposted by Andy Scollick
🇺🇸❗️On the eve of the Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska, the Russian Security Council developed instructions on how to "sell" Trump the "greatest deal." — The Economist
The document describes a "treasure trove of Arctic and northern resources"…
The document describes a "treasure trove of Arctic and northern resources"…
February 18, 2026 at 9:41 PM
🇺🇸❗️On the eve of the Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska, the Russian Security Council developed instructions on how to "sell" Trump the "greatest deal." — The Economist
The document describes a "treasure trove of Arctic and northern resources"…
The document describes a "treasure trove of Arctic and northern resources"…
Reposted by Andy Scollick
"Commercial interests, rather than military or political concerns, are driving the United States' talks with Russia," writes Charles Hecker, an associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, in this op-ed.
Are dollars replacing diplomacy in US-Russia talks?
Anyone hoping for a geopolitically robust and sustainable resolution to Russia's war on Ukraine should quickly re-examine their optimism or at least check their assumptions.
Commercial interests, rat...
kyivindependent.com
February 18, 2026 at 9:45 PM
"Commercial interests, rather than military or political concerns, are driving the United States' talks with Russia," writes Charles Hecker, an associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, in this op-ed.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Testing underwater swarms: €3.7m project explores drone teamwork in hostile environments, aiming to transform naval intelligence and security operations.
EU’s underwater drone swarms complete trials, shaping future naval missions
EU's underwater drone swarms complete trials, shaping future naval missions
www.brusselstimes.com
February 18, 2026 at 9:46 PM
Testing underwater swarms: €3.7m project explores drone teamwork in hostile environments, aiming to transform naval intelligence and security operations.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
THREAD: My article in @lemonde.fr today is behind a pay wall. But I would like to share a few of the key points. I've been lecturing & writing on pieces of this for a few months. This is my most complete exposition, but I hope to turn it into a longer piece soon. 1/ www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/a...
'Today, 96% of the world's nuclear weapons are held by states with authoritarian leaders'
OP-ED. By allowing the New START treaty to expire, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin deliver the final blow to global regulation of the ultimate weapon. International security expert Joseph Cirincione w...
www.lemonde.fr
February 18, 2026 at 9:41 PM
THREAD: My article in @lemonde.fr today is behind a pay wall. But I would like to share a few of the key points. I've been lecturing & writing on pieces of this for a few months. This is my most complete exposition, but I hope to turn it into a longer piece soon. 1/ www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/a...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Trump's lies vs. the last four weeks of extreme weather reality:
February 18, 2026 at 8:12 PM
Trump's lies vs. the last four weeks of extreme weather reality:
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The U.S. pivot to Asia has failed, and “the constraints U.S. policymakers tried to place on China’s regional influence are giving way,” writes @zackcooper.bsky.social. “Military deterrence is all that remains of U.S. strategy in Asia.”
https://fam.ag/4rlIfeV
https://fam.ag/4rlIfeV
February 18, 2026 at 9:26 PM
The U.S. pivot to Asia has failed, and “the constraints U.S. policymakers tried to place on China’s regional influence are giving way,” writes @zackcooper.bsky.social. “Military deterrence is all that remains of U.S. strategy in Asia.”
https://fam.ag/4rlIfeV
https://fam.ag/4rlIfeV
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Some important analysis by @marcdaalder.bsky.social today on what the stakes really are in climate. I particularly appreciated the point that those who used to be vocal climate skeptics are now those preaching “adaptation” rather than mitigation. Thank you Marc. newsroom.co.nz/2026/02/18/c...
Climate change is here. NZ isn't ready
Analysis: A serious approach to climate adaptation requires reckoning with the grim reality the future holds: more storms, more floods, more heat.
newsroom.co.nz
February 18, 2026 at 6:06 PM
Some important analysis by @marcdaalder.bsky.social today on what the stakes really are in climate. I particularly appreciated the point that those who used to be vocal climate skeptics are now those preaching “adaptation” rather than mitigation. Thank you Marc. newsroom.co.nz/2026/02/18/c...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
😡"Dirty decision". Zelenskyy reacted to the return of the Russian flag to the Paralympics
"I don't want to say that it's because of money, because I don't know. But these are dirty decisions - absolutely disrespectful and un-European. I mean Europe from the point of view of values."
"I don't want to say that it's because of money, because I don't know. But these are dirty decisions - absolutely disrespectful and un-European. I mean Europe from the point of view of values."
February 18, 2026 at 8:31 PM
😡"Dirty decision". Zelenskyy reacted to the return of the Russian flag to the Paralympics
"I don't want to say that it's because of money, because I don't know. But these are dirty decisions - absolutely disrespectful and un-European. I mean Europe from the point of view of values."
"I don't want to say that it's because of money, because I don't know. But these are dirty decisions - absolutely disrespectful and un-European. I mean Europe from the point of view of values."
Reposted by Andy Scollick
WHITE HOUSE: "When you see it on Truth Social, you know it's directly from President Trump."
TRUMP 2 WEEKS AGO: "Somebody posted, a staffer posted ... somebody slipped. I didn't do it. This was done by somebody else."
TRUMP 2 WEEKS AGO: "Somebody posted, a staffer posted ... somebody slipped. I didn't do it. This was done by somebody else."
February 18, 2026 at 7:23 PM
WHITE HOUSE: "When you see it on Truth Social, you know it's directly from President Trump."
TRUMP 2 WEEKS AGO: "Somebody posted, a staffer posted ... somebody slipped. I didn't do it. This was done by somebody else."
TRUMP 2 WEEKS AGO: "Somebody posted, a staffer posted ... somebody slipped. I didn't do it. This was done by somebody else."
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Holy shit.
A lot of people have suggested this, but I don’t think Lieu would make the allegation unless he had seen some evidence.
A lot of people have suggested this, but I don’t think Lieu would make the allegation unless he had seen some evidence.
February 18, 2026 at 7:34 PM
Holy shit.
A lot of people have suggested this, but I don’t think Lieu would make the allegation unless he had seen some evidence.
A lot of people have suggested this, but I don’t think Lieu would make the allegation unless he had seen some evidence.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Collapse of Cuba explained
Cuba is grinding to a halt as the Trump administration has moved to cut off its supply of oil from Venezuela and Mexico. Matt Frei explores the nation’s US relationship and what could come next.
📩 Read the full newsletter:
Cuba is grinding to a halt as the Trump administration has moved to cut off its supply of oil from Venezuela and Mexico. Matt Frei explores the nation’s US relationship and what could come next.
📩 Read the full newsletter:
Cuba: How Trump’s oil embargo is bringing country to its knees
Cuba is grinding to a halt as the Trump administration has moved to cut off its supply of oil from Venezuela and Mexico. Matt Frei explores the nation’s US relationship and what could come next.
channel4news.substack.com
February 18, 2026 at 7:35 PM
Collapse of Cuba explained
Cuba is grinding to a halt as the Trump administration has moved to cut off its supply of oil from Venezuela and Mexico. Matt Frei explores the nation’s US relationship and what could come next.
📩 Read the full newsletter:
Cuba is grinding to a halt as the Trump administration has moved to cut off its supply of oil from Venezuela and Mexico. Matt Frei explores the nation’s US relationship and what could come next.
📩 Read the full newsletter:
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The US position, the premise of the White House's statements, is that Ukraine doesn't have agency, Ukrainians are wrong to do a version of "give me liberty or give me death," Ukraine's president doesn't speak for them, and America's goal is make them surrender.
Which is basically Russia's position.
Which is basically Russia's position.
Q: Zelenskyy said he doesn't think it's fair Trump is saying Ukraine has to make concessions & not Russia. What's Trump's response?
LEAVITT: I think the president would respond by saying he doesn't think it's fair thousands of Ukrainians are losing their lives, and Russians too, in this deadly war
LEAVITT: I think the president would respond by saying he doesn't think it's fair thousands of Ukrainians are losing their lives, and Russians too, in this deadly war
February 18, 2026 at 7:31 PM
The US position, the premise of the White House's statements, is that Ukraine doesn't have agency, Ukrainians are wrong to do a version of "give me liberty or give me death," Ukraine's president doesn't speak for them, and America's goal is make them surrender.
Which is basically Russia's position.
Which is basically Russia's position.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
What does the latest research tell us about Earth’s changing climate?
The '10 New Insights in Climate Science 2025' report highlights 10 findings — including accelerating ocean warming, record-breaking global heat, biodiversity loss and reduced carbon uptake on land: www.esa.int/Applications...
The '10 New Insights in Climate Science 2025' report highlights 10 findings — including accelerating ocean warming, record-breaking global heat, biodiversity loss and reduced carbon uptake on land: www.esa.int/Applications...
February 18, 2026 at 1:55 PM
What does the latest research tell us about Earth’s changing climate?
The '10 New Insights in Climate Science 2025' report highlights 10 findings — including accelerating ocean warming, record-breaking global heat, biodiversity loss and reduced carbon uptake on land: www.esa.int/Applications...
The '10 New Insights in Climate Science 2025' report highlights 10 findings — including accelerating ocean warming, record-breaking global heat, biodiversity loss and reduced carbon uptake on land: www.esa.int/Applications...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
⚡ Slovakia and Hungary halted diesel exports to Ukraine after pipeline disruptions.
Robert Fico ordered the stop following Druzhba transit cuts, while Slovakia released 250,000 tons of state oil reserves to steady supplies.
🔗 united24media.com/latest-news/...
Robert Fico ordered the stop following Druzhba transit cuts, while Slovakia released 250,000 tons of state oil reserves to steady supplies.
🔗 united24media.com/latest-news/...
February 18, 2026 at 4:48 PM
⚡ Slovakia and Hungary halted diesel exports to Ukraine after pipeline disruptions.
Robert Fico ordered the stop following Druzhba transit cuts, while Slovakia released 250,000 tons of state oil reserves to steady supplies.
🔗 united24media.com/latest-news/...
Robert Fico ordered the stop following Druzhba transit cuts, while Slovakia released 250,000 tons of state oil reserves to steady supplies.
🔗 united24media.com/latest-news/...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
A coalition of environmental and health groups filed suit against the Trump administration's repeal of a key scientific finding that underpinned federal climate regulations
Environmental groups sue Trump administration
A coalition of environmental and health groups filed suit against the Trump administration's repeal of a key scientific finding that underpinned federal climate regulations.
www.rte.ie
February 18, 2026 at 4:59 PM
A coalition of environmental and health groups filed suit against the Trump administration's repeal of a key scientific finding that underpinned federal climate regulations
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Ted Lieu: “Donald Trump is in the Epstein files thousands and thousands of times. In those files, there are highly disturbing allegations of Donald Trump raping children … of Donald Trump threatening to kill children. So I encourage the press to go look at these allegations.”
February 18, 2026 at 4:35 PM
Ted Lieu: “Donald Trump is in the Epstein files thousands and thousands of times. In those files, there are highly disturbing allegations of Donald Trump raping children … of Donald Trump threatening to kill children. So I encourage the press to go look at these allegations.”
Reposted by Andy Scollick
This GOOD BOY ran onto the course during the Women’s Cross-Country Skiing Team Sprint event, crossing the finish line and being automatically recorded by OMEGA’s photofinish camera 😆
February 18, 2026 at 11:46 AM
This GOOD BOY ran onto the course during the Women’s Cross-Country Skiing Team Sprint event, crossing the finish line and being automatically recorded by OMEGA’s photofinish camera 😆
Reposted by Andy Scollick
"There is a fundamental contradiction between the focus on increasing American influence in the critical minerals market and viewing Africa as peripheral to America’s strategic interests."
A Conundrum: Strategic Minerals and a Peripheral Africa - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The Trump administration’s National Security Strategy (NSS), publicly issued in early December 2025, focused primarily on the survival of the United States as
buff.ly
February 18, 2026 at 4:43 PM
"There is a fundamental contradiction between the focus on increasing American influence in the critical minerals market and viewing Africa as peripheral to America’s strategic interests."
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Palestine Action activists to face retrial over UK Elbit factory raid following backlash https://www.timesofisrael.com/palestine-action-activists-to-face-retrial-over-uk-elbit-factory-raid-following-backlash/
Palestine Action activists to face retrial over UK Elbit factory raid following backlash
The six defendants were acquitted this month of aggravated burglary in the raid, in which a police officer's spine was allegedly fractured in a filmed sledgehammer attack
www.timesofisrael.com
February 18, 2026 at 4:12 PM
Palestine Action activists to face retrial over UK Elbit factory raid following backlash https://www.timesofisrael.com/palestine-action-activists-to-face-retrial-over-uk-elbit-factory-raid-following-backlash/
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Suella Braverman says Reform would scrap the Equality Act 2010.
Law prevents discrimination on the basis of age, disability, gender, marital status, race, religion and sexual orientation.
Reform taking us back to Victorian era, removing hope.
Our predecessors fought hard for social rights.
Law prevents discrimination on the basis of age, disability, gender, marital status, race, religion and sexual orientation.
Reform taking us back to Victorian era, removing hope.
Our predecessors fought hard for social rights.
Reform accused of ‘pitching for votes of misogynists and homophobes’
Charities have warned that scrapping the Equality Act would be a ‘significant step backwards’ for discrimination protections in Britain
www.independent.co.uk
February 18, 2026 at 4:13 PM
Suella Braverman says Reform would scrap the Equality Act 2010.
Law prevents discrimination on the basis of age, disability, gender, marital status, race, religion and sexual orientation.
Reform taking us back to Victorian era, removing hope.
Our predecessors fought hard for social rights.
Law prevents discrimination on the basis of age, disability, gender, marital status, race, religion and sexual orientation.
Reform taking us back to Victorian era, removing hope.
Our predecessors fought hard for social rights.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Once again--Trump is weakening Ukrainian air defense to help Putin kill Ukrainian civilians and damage Ukrainian infrastructure.
How many times does this need to be said before people will get it.
How many times does this need to be said before people will get it.
Zelenskyy: US promised Europe licenses to produce Patriot missiles — then refused
Germany now has no air defense missiles left to give Ukraine. Zelenskyy says it didn't have to be this way: "There were promises of licenses, but America did not go along with it"
euromaidanpress.com/2026/02/18/w...
Germany now has no air defense missiles left to give Ukraine. Zelenskyy says it didn't have to be this way: "There were promises of licenses, but America did not go along with it"
euromaidanpress.com/2026/02/18/w...
Washington promised missile licenses, then walked back — now Europe is scrambling to arm itself, Zelenskyy says
Germany has run out of air defense missiles to give Ukraine. The US declined to license Patriot missile production in Europe when Ukraine proposed it years ago. Zelenskyy said
euromaidanpress.com
February 18, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Once again--Trump is weakening Ukrainian air defense to help Putin kill Ukrainian civilians and damage Ukrainian infrastructure.
How many times does this need to be said before people will get it.
How many times does this need to be said before people will get it.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
🆕 #MSC2026 convened leaders from around the world to solve the most pressing global security challenges. Watch as CSR’s experts offer insights and analysis into the effects of #climatechange, managing nuclear nonproliferation, and security in outer space.
📹 View the recordings:
📹 View the recordings:
CSR Takes Main Stage at the 2026 Munich Security Conference - The Council on Strategic Risks
CSR experts offered key observations and analysis as the world convened to solve our most pressing security challenges at the Munich Security Conference.
councilonstrategicrisks.org
February 18, 2026 at 4:14 PM
🆕 #MSC2026 convened leaders from around the world to solve the most pressing global security challenges. Watch as CSR’s experts offer insights and analysis into the effects of #climatechange, managing nuclear nonproliferation, and security in outer space.
📹 View the recordings:
📹 View the recordings:
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Hegseth endorses one of the most prominent Christian nationalists who has suggested women shouldn't be allowed to vote. Once upon a time this would be a controversy. Nowadays, it's just Tuesday.
Doug Wilson was the preacher today at the latest monthly Christian worship at the Pentagon. My report:
publicwitness.wordandway.org/p/doug-wilso...
publicwitness.wordandway.org/p/doug-wilso...
Doug Wilson Preaches at Pentagon, Compares Services to Day of Pentecost
Controversial Christian Nationalist preacher Doug Wilson stood at a podium inside the Pentagon on Tuesday as the guest preacher for the latest monthly Christian worship service held there for leaders ...
publicwitness.wordandway.org
February 18, 2026 at 2:25 AM
Hegseth endorses one of the most prominent Christian nationalists who has suggested women shouldn't be allowed to vote. Once upon a time this would be a controversy. Nowadays, it's just Tuesday.