Andy Scollick
banner
andyscollick.bsky.social
Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Strategic foresight analyst: future security environment, defence policy, strategic planning, warfare development | Climate-energy-defence interactions | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in complex adaptive systems, sustainability and governance
I don't subscribe to FP, so haven't read it. But anything Elbridge Colby says and does must be viewed against his background of persistently undermining European defence with his America First pivots towards Asia-Pacific and the 'Western Hemisphere'.

Better off seeking a trusted opinion from a 🐍
February 15, 2026 at 5:42 PM
Oh, how very magnanimous of him. Like we need Reptile Man's permission or something. 🙄
Secretary of state says Washington will 'not fight' European partners on their findings as UK considers new sanctions https://aje.news/p60jra
February 15, 2026 at 5:38 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Horrifying : Ben-Gvir parades through Ofer Prison, proudly showcasing and celebrating the suffering of Palestinians in Israeli prisons. (1/4)
February 15, 2026 at 4:11 PM
Twenty years ago in February 2006 the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide was about 382 ppm.
February 15, 2026 at 5:33 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The level of ignorance about the ethnic origins of "American culture" on display in Muskrat's tweet is a perfect compliment to its racism.
We must speak plainly about the agenda Elon Musk & other MAGA leaders are pushing. It’s white nationalism.

There’s no room for Black, Hispanic/Latino, Asian, Native, Jewish or all other Americans in Musk’s monocultural vision.

Multiculturalism is superior. We can’t allow Musk & others to end it.
February 15, 2026 at 5:26 PM
European open strategic autonomy is the future.
Offer to join Trump’s new era is met with growing sense of European steeliness
Talk of a stronger, independent Europe was the dominant mood in Munich amid bitter disagreement on Ukraine
www.theguardian.com
February 15, 2026 at 5:22 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Zelenskyy:

Europeans made a lot but didn't put sanctions on nuclear energy, on Rosatom, on people, on their relatives, their children which live in Europe, in the US, study in the universities of Europe, have real estate in the US.

Fuck away to Russia! Go home!
February 15, 2026 at 3:44 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
"Coming from a country that is number 2 in the Press Freedom Index, hearing criticism regarding press freedom from a country (United States) that is 58th on this list is..... interesting" @kajakallas.bsky.social
February 15, 2026 at 3:41 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Our climate may be on the brink of tipping into a “hothouse Earth” scenario. 🌏
Earth’s Climate May Go from Greenhouse to Hothouse - Eos
Uncertainty in climate models could mean Earth systems are perilously close to their tipping points, scientists warn.
eos.org
February 15, 2026 at 3:45 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
“Completely outrageous”: Poland’s FM Radosław Sikorski has criticized the U.S. for what he suggested was interference in Polish politics.
February 15, 2026 at 3:54 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The U.K.’s failure to finalize budgets for key defense programs is beginning to impact international partnerships, impinging on London's effort to project solidarity with European partners.
European allies ‘frustrated’ by UK defense paralysis 
The U.K. rearmament efforts are hobbled by the country’s fiscal difficulties, which is angering the arms industry.
www.politico.eu
February 15, 2026 at 3:59 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
2 sanctioned LNG carriers just 24 NN off Kerry.

Multiple russian and Norwegian trawlers outside the Irish EEZ (orange box)

Norway Coast Guard steaming south. Possibly heading towards it.

Spanish navy to the south of Cork

Stargazer departed Israel en route to russia, Irish sea
February 15, 2026 at 3:33 PM
Absolute bullshit and fossil fuel industry propaganda from Tony "Barking Mad" Blair's Institute for Global (No) Change. institute.global/insights/cli...
Reset the UK's energy strategy to focus on affordable power.
UK energy policy is on the wrong course. Government must move from clean-power targets to cheaper power.
institute.global
February 15, 2026 at 12:08 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
"A thinktank with close ties to Saudi Arabia and substantial funding from a Donald Trump ally needs to present a particularly robust analysis to earn the right to be listened to on the climate crisis. On that measure, Tony Blair’s latest report fails on almost every point."
@fionaharvey.bsky.social
Tony Blair’s oil lobbying is a misleading rehash of fossil fuel industry spin
Ex-PM’s thinktank urges more drilling and fewer renewables, ignoring evidence that clean energy is cheaper and better for bills
www.theguardian.com
February 15, 2026 at 11:29 AM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
A few more climate tidbits from #msc2026 - President Stubb of 🇫🇮- “We’re going to suffocate on fossil fuels before too long” - noting tho the transition will take time. He also said climate change is real & a threat, and those that use finance, regulation and innovation to address will win. (1/x)
February 15, 2026 at 11:30 AM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
EU foreign chief Kaja Kallas said Russia is receiving more at the negotiating table than it achieved on the battlefield. She stated Moscow barely moved beyond the 2014 front line at the cost of 1.2 million casualties and is now putting forward unrealistic demands in negotiations. #Ukraine
February 15, 2026 at 11:31 AM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
THE EUROPEAN UNION'S lead diplomat has told the Munich Security Conference that the trading bloc needs to consider its defence on a whole of Europe basis.
jrnl.ie/6957917t
EU diplomatic chief calls for member states to move towards a European mutual defence strategy
Kaja Kallas, the EU’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, was speaking on the last day of the Munich Security Conference.
jrnl.ie
February 15, 2026 at 11:34 AM
Rubio: "This is why President Trump demands seriousness and reciprocity from our friends here in Europe. The reason why, my friends, is because we care deeply."

Sounds like exactly the sort thing a domestic abuser would say to justify their abuse.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the Munich Security Conference - United States Department of State
SECRETARY RUBIO:  Thank you very much.  We gather here today as members of a historic alliance, an alliance that saved and changed the world.  When this conference began in 1963, it was in a nation – ...
www.state.gov
February 15, 2026 at 11:39 AM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The oil terminal in Russia's Krasnodar region is still burning. The fire covers 2,200 square meters.
February 15, 2026 at 11:33 AM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Richard Dawkins and Ian McEwan, amongst others, took part in this Epstein-organised pseudo intellectual think tank for eugenicists and neofascists.
February 15, 2026 at 11:26 AM
The message is uncompromising: Join Donald Trump's campaign to reshape the world for Washington's benefit, or get out of the way. (POLITICO)
America’s charm offensive in Munich masks harder line on Europe
The message itself is uncompromising: Join Donald Trump’s campaign to reshape the world for Washington’s benefit, or get out of the way.
www.politico.com
February 15, 2026 at 11:33 AM
Not in a million years. We're not fascists. #MSC2026
Rubio calls on Europe to join Trump’s new world order
Top U.S. diplomat backs new partnership with the continent as he reiterates MAGA talking points.
www.politico.eu
February 15, 2026 at 11:09 AM
Updates from the final day of the #MSC2026 security conference
‘Woke Europe not facing civilisational erasure,’ says EU’s Kallas after Rubio’s Munich speech – Europe live
EU’s foreign policy chief says many countries still ‘want to join our club’
www.theguardian.com
February 15, 2026 at 11:07 AM
Reptile Man continues his European 'charm offensive' 😆

www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
February 15, 2026 at 11:06 AM
Kaja Kallas should have been made Secretary General of NATO instead of Mark "The Spineless" Rutte. But, that was never going to happen given that NATO remains a "boys club".
'Europe not facing civilisational erasure,' says Kallas
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas has pushed back against Europe "bashing" by the United States, as she said Russia must be forced to make concessions in talks to end the Ukraine war.
www.rte.ie
February 15, 2026 at 11:03 AM