Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Strategic foresight analyst: future security environment, defence policy, strategic planning, warfare development | Climate-energy-defence interactions | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in complex adaptive systems, sustainability and governance
Pinned
The best kind of insurance is fully comprehensive insurance.
The best kind of security is fully comprehensive security.
There is no security without:
🔹 Human (individual)
🔹 National (civil, military, defence)
🔹 Collective (international)
🔹 Energy
🔹 Climate and
🔹 Food security.
The best kind of security is fully comprehensive security.
There is no security without:
🔹 Human (individual)
🔹 National (civil, military, defence)
🔹 Collective (international)
🔹 Energy
🔹 Climate and
🔹 Food security.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
"Charlie don't surf!"
R.I.P. Robert Duvall 🙌
R.I.P. Robert Duvall 🙌
Apocalypse Now | The Smell Of Napalm In The Morning | Starring Robert Duvall
YouTube video by StudiocanalUK
www.youtube.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:54 PM
"Charlie don't surf!"
R.I.P. Robert Duvall 🙌
R.I.P. Robert Duvall 🙌
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Remember: Viktor Orban has built a corrupt, stagnant Hungary that is much poorer than it should be
www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
America’s Future Is Hungary
MAGA conservatives love Viktor Orbán. But he’s left his country corrupt, stagnant, and impoverished.
www.theatlantic.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:54 PM
Remember: Viktor Orban has built a corrupt, stagnant Hungary that is much poorer than it should be
www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Robert Duvall was a vigorous and subtle actor who always performed with passion and conviction
Robert Duvall was a vigorous and subtle actor who always performed with passion and conviction
From his steely self-effacing consigliere in The Godfather to his surf-crazed Wagner enthusiast in Apocalypse Now, just to see him on screen made me smile
www.theguardian.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:54 PM
Robert Duvall was a vigorous and subtle actor who always performed with passion and conviction
Good friend of mine, Myko One, took a Russian bullet in his shoulder when he sped into No Man's Land to rescue a cat near Shyrokyne in 2015. He saved the cat and had her taken home by volunteers to his wife and kids.
Myko was killed by Russian artillery while defending Kharkiv on 28 Feb 2022.
Myko was killed by Russian artillery while defending Kharkiv on 28 Feb 2022.
"What cat were you provided with in the Armed Forces of Ukraine?"
Ukrainian Defenders share photos with their cats on the front line
📷: hermano.dh_ /fanatic_oleg / sylenko_ju / dr_karpiuk /nemetz_82 /leonia_veremeyenko / markus_panda / shwainokaras /viktortrofymenko / stalnytskanata /edelweiss_ua/
Ukrainian Defenders share photos with their cats on the front line
📷: hermano.dh_ /fanatic_oleg / sylenko_ju / dr_karpiuk /nemetz_82 /leonia_veremeyenko / markus_panda / shwainokaras /viktortrofymenko / stalnytskanata /edelweiss_ua/
February 16, 2026 at 6:55 PM
Good friend of mine, Myko One, took a Russian bullet in his shoulder when he sped into No Man's Land to rescue a cat near Shyrokyne in 2015. He saved the cat and had her taken home by volunteers to his wife and kids.
Myko was killed by Russian artillery while defending Kharkiv on 28 Feb 2022.
Myko was killed by Russian artillery while defending Kharkiv on 28 Feb 2022.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Europe’s path to security without the US ft.trib.al/41a4o6j | opinion
Europe’s path to security without the US
The heads of Nato and EU Commission offer competing visions. Both have a point
ft.trib.al
February 16, 2026 at 6:42 PM
Europe’s path to security without the US ft.trib.al/41a4o6j | opinion
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Antarctica isn’t one big tipping point.
New research maps 18 separate ice basins, each with its own threshold. Some in West Antarctica may tip at just ~1–2C warming (i.e close to today’s levels).
Cross the line, and you commit to m’s of sea-level rise over centuries
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
New research maps 18 separate ice basins, each with its own threshold. Some in West Antarctica may tip at just ~1–2C warming (i.e close to today’s levels).
Cross the line, and you commit to m’s of sea-level rise over centuries
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming - Nature Climate Change
Climate change threatens the future of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Here the authors show that individual drainage basins have different thresholds and loss patterns, suggesting the need to consider the d...
www.nature.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:42 PM
Antarctica isn’t one big tipping point.
New research maps 18 separate ice basins, each with its own threshold. Some in West Antarctica may tip at just ~1–2C warming (i.e close to today’s levels).
Cross the line, and you commit to m’s of sea-level rise over centuries
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
New research maps 18 separate ice basins, each with its own threshold. Some in West Antarctica may tip at just ~1–2C warming (i.e close to today’s levels).
Cross the line, and you commit to m’s of sea-level rise over centuries
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Noem admits that the reason for placing armed and masked ICE agents at polling stations this November is to ensure only MAGA Repubs can vote.
They don't need to patrol every voting place. Blocking voters from a relatively small number of heavily democratic precincts can flip election outcomes.
They don't need to patrol every voting place. Blocking voters from a relatively small number of heavily democratic precincts can flip election outcomes.
February 16, 2026 at 6:44 PM
Noem admits that the reason for placing armed and masked ICE agents at polling stations this November is to ensure only MAGA Repubs can vote.
They don't need to patrol every voting place. Blocking voters from a relatively small number of heavily democratic precincts can flip election outcomes.
They don't need to patrol every voting place. Blocking voters from a relatively small number of heavily democratic precincts can flip election outcomes.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Yes we do need to 'go faster', and funnily enough Sir Keir, as Prime Minister you are the one person who can make it happen.
So maybe.... make it happen?
So maybe.... make it happen?
Keir Starmer says Britain needs to ‘go faster’ on defence spending
Prime minister is said to be examining how to bring forward plans to spend 3 per cent of UK GDP on military
www.ft.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM
Yes we do need to 'go faster', and funnily enough Sir Keir, as Prime Minister you are the one person who can make it happen.
So maybe.... make it happen?
So maybe.... make it happen?
RIP Lieutenant Colonel William "Bill" Kilgore, aka Robert Duvall
February 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM
RIP Lieutenant Colonel William "Bill" Kilgore, aka Robert Duvall
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Aligning with the Single Market isn't enough - fully joining both the Single Market and Customs Union would reduce duplication, cut costs, and help UK businesses trade more easily and confidently across Europe. The longer we delay taking action, the longer businesses are going to suffer.
February 16, 2026 at 6:32 PM
Aligning with the Single Market isn't enough - fully joining both the Single Market and Customs Union would reduce duplication, cut costs, and help UK businesses trade more easily and confidently across Europe. The longer we delay taking action, the longer businesses are going to suffer.
Would like to see 'defence spending' upgraded, properly funded and reframed as 'spending on comprehensive security'.
You cannot have human (individual) security without national (civil, military, defence), collective (international), energy, food and climate security.
It's all one system.
You cannot have human (individual) security without national (civil, military, defence), collective (international), energy, food and climate security.
It's all one system.
Germany calls on France to increase defence spending
Foreign minister puts pressure on Emmanuel Macron amid doubts over US’s commitment to European defence
www.theguardian.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:38 PM
Would like to see 'defence spending' upgraded, properly funded and reframed as 'spending on comprehensive security'.
You cannot have human (individual) security without national (civil, military, defence), collective (international), energy, food and climate security.
It's all one system.
You cannot have human (individual) security without national (civil, military, defence), collective (international), energy, food and climate security.
It's all one system.
Death comes sweepin' through the hallway, Like a lady's dress
What’s the best song lyric in history?
February 16, 2026 at 6:32 PM
Death comes sweepin' through the hallway, Like a lady's dress
If you don't drop dead from heat stroke, you'll burn to death in a wildfire. If you don't burn to death, you'll die of thirst from drought. If you don't die of thirst, you'll starve to death from crop failure. If you don't starve to death, you'll drown in a flood.
Take your pick.
Take your pick.
Weather tracker: New Zealand hit by storms and widespread floods
Low pressure system funnels rain over already saturated areas, compounding risk of further flooding
www.theguardian.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:28 PM
If you don't drop dead from heat stroke, you'll burn to death in a wildfire. If you don't burn to death, you'll die of thirst from drought. If you don't die of thirst, you'll starve to death from crop failure. If you don't starve to death, you'll drown in a flood.
Take your pick.
Take your pick.
“Our research and modelling shows that, in the worst case, the increase in temperature will be 4.5 degrees by 2100, not 1.5 or 2 degrees … We’ll have a collapse of agriculture, drought will lead to the mass transfer of populations and we won’t be able to secure food,” said Prof Fadi Comair.
Cyprus appeals to residents to cut water use by two minutes a day amid drought
Island’s reservoirs hit record lows even before tourist season starts as Cypriots are warned ‘every drop counts’
www.theguardian.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:24 PM
“Our research and modelling shows that, in the worst case, the increase in temperature will be 4.5 degrees by 2100, not 1.5 or 2 degrees … We’ll have a collapse of agriculture, drought will lead to the mass transfer of populations and we won’t be able to secure food,” said Prof Fadi Comair.
You know I'm born to lose, and gambling's for fools
What’s the best song lyric in history?
February 16, 2026 at 6:18 PM
You know I'm born to lose, and gambling's for fools
Reposted by Andy Scollick
lol "you could get whatever the dust is down there..."
stirring words from the commander in chief
stirring words from the commander in chief
Q: You said the Iranian nuclear sites have been 'totally obliterated.' What's left to go after?
TRUMP: You could get whatever the dust is down there. If we do it, that's really the least of we mission. But we'd probably grab whatever is left.
TRUMP: You could get whatever the dust is down there. If we do it, that's really the least of we mission. But we'd probably grab whatever is left.
February 16, 2026 at 5:31 PM
lol "you could get whatever the dust is down there..."
stirring words from the commander in chief
stirring words from the commander in chief
Porky can't be long for this world.
February 16, 2026 at 6:06 PM
Porky can't be long for this world.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Hungary holds elections in 2 months. And the US Secretary of State is in Hungary campaigning for Viktor Orban. And as you can see, Russian state media loves it.
February 16, 2026 at 11:25 AM
Hungary holds elections in 2 months. And the US Secretary of State is in Hungary campaigning for Viktor Orban. And as you can see, Russian state media loves it.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
WH President’s Day Post on X
February 16, 2026 at 5:41 PM
WH President’s Day Post on X
Reposted by Andy Scollick
At the Munich Security Conference, Hungary’s opposition leader introduced a prospective foreign minister named Anita Orbán and stressed the surname is “only a coincidence.”
Poland’s PM Donald Tusk replied: “My name is Donald.”
Poland’s PM Donald Tusk replied: “My name is Donald.”
February 16, 2026 at 5:41 PM
At the Munich Security Conference, Hungary’s opposition leader introduced a prospective foreign minister named Anita Orbán and stressed the surname is “only a coincidence.”
Poland’s PM Donald Tusk replied: “My name is Donald.”
Poland’s PM Donald Tusk replied: “My name is Donald.”
Did someone say "Irish Air Corps maritime patrol"? Thought not.
Candidates for weaponry aboard the Saudi aircraft could be the MBDA Marte-ER anti-ship missile and MU-90 lightweight torpedo made by Leonardo-owned WASS.
Saudi Arabia buys C-27 cargo planes fitted for armed maritime patrols
Candidates for weaponry aboard the Saudi aircraft could be the MBDA Marte-ER anti-ship missile and MU-90 lightweight torpedo made by Leonardo-owned WASS.
www.defensenews.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:01 PM
Did someone say "Irish Air Corps maritime patrol"? Thought not.
But Mousie, thou art no thy-lane,
In proving foresight may be vain:
The best laid schemes o’ Mice an’ Men
Gang aft agley,
An’ lea’e us nought but grief an’ pain,
For promis’d joy!
— Robert Burns, To a Mouse, 1785
In proving foresight may be vain:
The best laid schemes o’ Mice an’ Men
Gang aft agley,
An’ lea’e us nought but grief an’ pain,
For promis’d joy!
— Robert Burns, To a Mouse, 1785
Sen. Graham in Tel Aviv:
U.S. and Israel are close to ‘eliminating’ the Islamic regime, which he calls the region’s top state sponsor of terror.
Iran’s collapse would trigger the downfall of Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis, creating a major regional effect and boosting normalization prospects.
U.S. and Israel are close to ‘eliminating’ the Islamic regime, which he calls the region’s top state sponsor of terror.
Iran’s collapse would trigger the downfall of Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis, creating a major regional effect and boosting normalization prospects.
February 16, 2026 at 5:59 PM
But Mousie, thou art no thy-lane,
In proving foresight may be vain:
The best laid schemes o’ Mice an’ Men
Gang aft agley,
An’ lea’e us nought but grief an’ pain,
For promis’d joy!
— Robert Burns, To a Mouse, 1785
In proving foresight may be vain:
The best laid schemes o’ Mice an’ Men
Gang aft agley,
An’ lea’e us nought but grief an’ pain,
For promis’d joy!
— Robert Burns, To a Mouse, 1785
The AfD are the enemy. They should be treated as such.
AfD Alice Weidel: "We have to stop feeding this war with absolutely anti-Russian rhetoric, with financial resources and arms deliveries. We cannot continue to feed such a 'regime', but we have to force a 'regime' like the Ukrainian one to the negotiating table, as US President Donald Trump did."
February 16, 2026 at 5:53 PM
The AfD are the enemy. They should be treated as such.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Western economies have become dependent on data and energy flow along the seafloor; Russia and China are weaponizing that dependency.
Read more from Bruce D. Jones of @brookings.edu's Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology. ⬇️
Read more from Bruce D. Jones of @brookings.edu's Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology. ⬇️
Seabed zero: Baltic sabotage and the global risks to undersea infrastructure
Western economies have become dependent on data and energy flow along the seafloor; Russia and China are weaponizing that dependency.
thebulletin.org
February 16, 2026 at 5:48 PM
Western economies have become dependent on data and energy flow along the seafloor; Russia and China are weaponizing that dependency.
Read more from Bruce D. Jones of @brookings.edu's Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology. ⬇️
Read more from Bruce D. Jones of @brookings.edu's Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology. ⬇️