Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Strategic foresight analyst: future security environment, defence policy, strategic planning, warfare development | Climate-energy-defence interactions | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in complex adaptive systems, sustainability and governance
Pinned
The best kind of insurance is fully comprehensive insurance.
The best kind of security is fully comprehensive security.
There is no security without:
🔹 Human (individual)
🔹 National (civil, military, defence)
🔹 Collective (international)
🔹 Energy
🔹 Climate and
🔹 Food security.
The best kind of security is fully comprehensive security.
There is no security without:
🔹 Human (individual)
🔹 National (civil, military, defence)
🔹 Collective (international)
🔹 Energy
🔹 Climate and
🔹 Food security.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
A fundamental shift is taking place. While some European leaders may still be kowtowing to the Trump administration, the European public want more independence from Washington. https://bit.ly/4tBhYL4
What should a more European NATO look like? The US and Europe disagree
Europe’s push to reduce its reliance on the US is likely to be permanent. US policymakers should wake up to this new reality.
bit.ly
February 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM
A fundamental shift is taking place. While some European leaders may still be kowtowing to the Trump administration, the European public want more independence from Washington. https://bit.ly/4tBhYL4
Reposted by Andy Scollick
ALBERTA: “The province has secured a roughly $400-million agreement with De Havilland Aircraft of Canada to acquire five new Canadair 515 amphibious firefighting aircraft—planes that will be built in Alberta.” www.ctvnews.ca/calgary/arti... - @ctvnewscalgary.bsky.social
#ABFire #ABLeg #Wildfires
#ABFire #ABLeg #Wildfires
Alberta spending $400M for new water bombers amid growing wildfire risk, demand for aircraft
Alberta is moving to expand its aerial firefighting capacity with a major purchase of new water bombers.
www.ctvnews.ca
February 18, 2026 at 11:38 AM
ALBERTA: “The province has secured a roughly $400-million agreement with De Havilland Aircraft of Canada to acquire five new Canadair 515 amphibious firefighting aircraft—planes that will be built in Alberta.” www.ctvnews.ca/calgary/arti... - @ctvnewscalgary.bsky.social
#ABFire #ABLeg #Wildfires
#ABFire #ABLeg #Wildfires
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Right - the IEA should just kick them out and sort out their funding from elsewhere.
The US will just keep on bullying until the IEA becomes a drooling brain dead cheerleader for fossil fuels. It won't ever stop. Anything less than saying NO the first time is just compounding loss
The US will just keep on bullying until the IEA becomes a drooling brain dead cheerleader for fossil fuels. It won't ever stop. Anything less than saying NO the first time is just compounding loss
US 🇺🇸 Energy Secretary Chris Wright 𝘁̶𝗵̶𝗿̶𝗲̶𝗮̶𝘁̶𝗲̶𝗻̶𝘀̶ offers to leave International Energy Agency (IEA) if the work is "infused with climate stuff".
Let's take him by his word.
The IEA will be stronger without this U.S. administration.
Let's take him by his word.
The IEA will be stronger without this U.S. administration.
February 18, 2026 at 11:05 AM
Right - the IEA should just kick them out and sort out their funding from elsewhere.
The US will just keep on bullying until the IEA becomes a drooling brain dead cheerleader for fossil fuels. It won't ever stop. Anything less than saying NO the first time is just compounding loss
The US will just keep on bullying until the IEA becomes a drooling brain dead cheerleader for fossil fuels. It won't ever stop. Anything less than saying NO the first time is just compounding loss
Reposted by Andy Scollick
📌 In the second half of 2025, Russia deployed a network of relay transmitters in Belarus to guide drones targeting northern regions of Ukraine.
militarnyi.com/en/news/volo...
militarnyi.com/en/news/volo...
Volodymyr Zelensky: Russia Deploys Relay Transmitters in Belarus for Drone Strikes on Northern Ukraine
In the second half of 2025, Russia deployed a network of relay transmitters in Belarus to guide drones targeting northern regions of Ukraine.Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky announced this.Regio...
militarnyi.com
February 18, 2026 at 11:40 AM
📌 In the second half of 2025, Russia deployed a network of relay transmitters in Belarus to guide drones targeting northern regions of Ukraine.
militarnyi.com/en/news/volo...
militarnyi.com/en/news/volo...
The Great Fianna Fáil/Fine Gael Housing Crisis deepens.
House price inflation remained strong at 7% in 2025
House price inflation remained strong at 7% in 2025
Headline rate was down from 8.7 per cent in 2024 but still well ahead of average wage growth
www.irishtimes.com
February 18, 2026 at 12:39 PM
The Great Fianna Fáil/Fine Gael Housing Crisis deepens.
A government that cannot create jobs - in green tech, renewable energy, defence and other pressing needs of the age - is a government that is simply shite.
Ministers may slow youth minimum wage rise amid UK unemployment fears
Ministers may slow youth minimum wage rise amid UK unemployment fears
Government considering delay to equalising national minimum wage after jump in youth unemployment
*
UK politics live – latest updates
Ministers are considering a slower rise in the minimum wage for younger workers, amid fears over rising youth unemployment.
Labour had promised in its manifesto to equalise national minimum wage rates by the time of the next election, saying it was unfair younger workers were paid less. Government sources said equalisation remained the aim but the rise could come more slowly. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
February 18, 2026 at 12:37 PM
A government that cannot create jobs - in green tech, renewable energy, defence and other pressing needs of the age - is a government that is simply shite.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Nicaraguan banana workers poisoned by pesticides lose appeal in France
Nicaraguan banana workers poisoned by pesticides lose appeal in France
The Paris Court of Appeal has rejected a compensation claim against three US multinationals by Nicaraguan plantation workers left sick or sterile after working with the toxic pesticide Nemagon.
rfi.my
February 18, 2026 at 11:44 AM
Nicaraguan banana workers poisoned by pesticides lose appeal in France
Reposted by Andy Scollick
France EDF say "growing solar and wind generation was increasing equipment wear and maintenance costs at its #nuclear reactors, which are forced to reduce output when power demand is insufficient. "
And jeopardizing of nuclear safety ...
financialpost.com/pmn/business...
And jeopardizing of nuclear safety ...
financialpost.com/pmn/business...
EDF Warns Solar, Wind Surge Straining Nuclear Fleet Costs
Electricite de France SA said growing solar and wind generation was increasing equipment wear and maintenance costs at its nuclear reactors, which are forced to red…
financialpost.com
February 18, 2026 at 11:50 AM
France EDF say "growing solar and wind generation was increasing equipment wear and maintenance costs at its #nuclear reactors, which are forced to reduce output when power demand is insufficient. "
And jeopardizing of nuclear safety ...
financialpost.com/pmn/business...
And jeopardizing of nuclear safety ...
financialpost.com/pmn/business...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Somewhere in an alternate universe, Britain is the most important country in Europe.
My latest on what position Britain could be in had we not voted to leave the EU in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social.
In short: we'd be very powerful indeed.
www.thenewworld.co.uk/luke-mcgee-t...
My latest on what position Britain could be in had we not voted to leave the EU in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social.
In short: we'd be very powerful indeed.
www.thenewworld.co.uk/luke-mcgee-t...
The unBrexited Britain that could have led Europe
London could have been the EU’s capital, leading the continent’s defence against Putin and Trumpworld, instead of a spectator to decisions it once helped to shape
www.thenewworld.co.uk
February 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM
Somewhere in an alternate universe, Britain is the most important country in Europe.
My latest on what position Britain could be in had we not voted to leave the EU in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social.
In short: we'd be very powerful indeed.
www.thenewworld.co.uk/luke-mcgee-t...
My latest on what position Britain could be in had we not voted to leave the EU in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social.
In short: we'd be very powerful indeed.
www.thenewworld.co.uk/luke-mcgee-t...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The worst thing about this is that these houses are being built - and then sold to unsuspecting buyers - in full knowledge of the risks
A risky development near me in Norfolk was recently given planning permission...on the proviso that there are no bedrooms on the ground floor 🤯
A risky development near me in Norfolk was recently given planning permission...on the proviso that there are no bedrooms on the ground floor 🤯
One in nine new homes in England built in areas of flood risk, study shows
Figures from Aviva also show number of homes being built in risky areas is on the rise
www.theguardian.com
February 18, 2026 at 11:52 AM
The worst thing about this is that these houses are being built - and then sold to unsuspecting buyers - in full knowledge of the risks
A risky development near me in Norfolk was recently given planning permission...on the proviso that there are no bedrooms on the ground floor 🤯
A risky development near me in Norfolk was recently given planning permission...on the proviso that there are no bedrooms on the ground floor 🤯
Reposted by Andy Scollick
“Forever chemicals” are declining in North Atlantic pilot whales. A 1986–2023 study found legacy PFAS levels fell by more than 60% after 2011, following phase-outs.
But at least one replacement chemical is still rising, suggesting single-compound regulation may only achieve limited results.
But at least one replacement chemical is still rising, suggesting single-compound regulation may only achieve limited results.
PFAS ‘forever chemicals’ are falling in North Atlantic whales after phaseout
Levels of some of the most persistent industrial chemicals in the North Atlantic appear to be falling, at least in one unlikely place. Long-finned pilot whales (Globicephala melas) now carry markedly…
news.mongabay.com
February 18, 2026 at 11:53 AM
“Forever chemicals” are declining in North Atlantic pilot whales. A 1986–2023 study found legacy PFAS levels fell by more than 60% after 2011, following phase-outs.
But at least one replacement chemical is still rising, suggesting single-compound regulation may only achieve limited results.
But at least one replacement chemical is still rising, suggesting single-compound regulation may only achieve limited results.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The exercise comes days after IRGC drills in the strategic Strait of Hormuz
Iran and Russia to hold joint navy drills in Gulf of Oman amid US tension | The National
www.thenationalnews.com
February 18, 2026 at 11:54 AM
The exercise comes days after IRGC drills in the strategic Strait of Hormuz
When ecosystems collapse, interdependent social systems will follow.
Patagonia’s wildfires killed 23+ people and burned trees over 3,000 years old.
Scientists say the fire conditions are now a 1-in-5 year event in today’s climate. Rainfall down 20–25%. Models project worse.
Ancient ecosystems erased in a single season.
This is collapse.
Scientists say the fire conditions are now a 1-in-5 year event in today’s climate. Rainfall down 20–25%. Models project worse.
Ancient ecosystems erased in a single season.
This is collapse.
February 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM
When ecosystems collapse, interdependent social systems will follow.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Nearly half of Americans think they'll see catastrophic impacts of climate change in their lifetimes
...so naturally we’re dismantling climate science infrastructure, stepping back from global coordination like the IPCC, while chanting “drill, baby, drill".
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
...so naturally we’re dismantling climate science infrastructure, stepping back from global coordination like the IPCC, while chanting “drill, baby, drill".
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
Nearly half of Americans think they'll see catastrophic impacts of climate change in their lifetimes | YouGov
Majorities say the U.S. should do more to address climate change, should increase or keep current environmental regulations, and should use more solar and wind energy
today.yougov.com
February 18, 2026 at 11:43 AM
Nearly half of Americans think they'll see catastrophic impacts of climate change in their lifetimes
...so naturally we’re dismantling climate science infrastructure, stepping back from global coordination like the IPCC, while chanting “drill, baby, drill".
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
...so naturally we’re dismantling climate science infrastructure, stepping back from global coordination like the IPCC, while chanting “drill, baby, drill".
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
Mountains are both a playground and a dynamic geophysical environment. When the two are increasingly mixed it inevitably results in tragedies. That's part of the intrinsic risk, part of the allure of mountains.
Third British skier dies as another avalanche hits French Alps
Third British skier dies as another avalanche hits French Alps
Death of Briton along with Polish citizen near La Grave comes four days after fatal avalanche at Val d’Isère
A third British man has been killed in an avalanche in the French Alps.
The man had been skiing with a group of four others when the avalanche struck near the resort town of La Grave on Tuesday morning, local media reported. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
February 18, 2026 at 12:26 PM
Mountains are both a playground and a dynamic geophysical environment. When the two are increasingly mixed it inevitably results in tragedies. That's part of the intrinsic risk, part of the allure of mountains.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Poland’s ruling coalition has been plunged into turmoil after Climate Minister Paulina Hennig-Kloska announced that herself and more than a dozen lawmakers are breaking away to form a new parliamentary caucus.
February 18, 2026 at 12:03 PM
Poland’s ruling coalition has been plunged into turmoil after Climate Minister Paulina Hennig-Kloska announced that herself and more than a dozen lawmakers are breaking away to form a new parliamentary caucus.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Zelensky warned that any agreement requiring Kyiv’s armed forces to unilaterally withdraw from the region and hand it over to Russia would fail in a referendum.
www.kyivpost.com/post/70282
www.kyivpost.com/post/70282
Zelensky Says Ukrainians Would Reject Deal Handing Donbas to Russia
The Ukrainian president warned that any agreement requiring Kyiv’s armed forces to unilaterally withdraw from the region and hand it over to Russia would fail in a referendum.
www.kyivpost.com
February 18, 2026 at 12:04 PM
Zelensky warned that any agreement requiring Kyiv’s armed forces to unilaterally withdraw from the region and hand it over to Russia would fail in a referendum.
www.kyivpost.com/post/70282
www.kyivpost.com/post/70282
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Sweden's foreign minister: US is acting in a way that contradicts Europe's values www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/swed...
Sweden's Foreign Minister on US: Acting in a way that contradicts Europe's values - Radio Sweden
Sweden's Foreign Minister Maria Malmer Stenergard criticises the US in the government's foreign policy declaration, which she delivered to the parliament ...
www.sverigesradio.se
February 18, 2026 at 12:05 PM
Sweden's foreign minister: US is acting in a way that contradicts Europe's values www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/swed...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Eastern border regions are not only national borders. They are European borders.
Today we propose a strategy to support EU regions facing growing pressure from Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Backing these regions is backing Europe’s security, stability, and future.
More info: link.europa.eu/Dn3Qvc
Today we propose a strategy to support EU regions facing growing pressure from Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Backing these regions is backing Europe’s security, stability, and future.
More info: link.europa.eu/Dn3Qvc
February 18, 2026 at 12:08 PM
Eastern border regions are not only national borders. They are European borders.
Today we propose a strategy to support EU regions facing growing pressure from Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Backing these regions is backing Europe’s security, stability, and future.
More info: link.europa.eu/Dn3Qvc
Today we propose a strategy to support EU regions facing growing pressure from Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Backing these regions is backing Europe’s security, stability, and future.
More info: link.europa.eu/Dn3Qvc
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Status quo gonna be the death of us. Just sayin ...
At the annual UNFCCC climate talks, success is partly measured by how well everyone can ignore the fact that the world is burning outside ...
At the annual UNFCCC climate talks, success is partly measured by how well everyone can ignore the fact that the world is burning outside ...
Built to Fail: Rules at UN Climate Talks Favor the Status Quo, Not Progress - Inside Climate News
Experts say stifling bureaucratic procedures that are disconnected from the climate crisis have consistently stalled COP negotiations.
insideclimatenews.org
February 18, 2026 at 12:11 PM
Status quo gonna be the death of us. Just sayin ...
At the annual UNFCCC climate talks, success is partly measured by how well everyone can ignore the fact that the world is burning outside ...
At the annual UNFCCC climate talks, success is partly measured by how well everyone can ignore the fact that the world is burning outside ...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Donald Trump’s economic development plan for Gaza highlights the president’s preference for real estate over rights. Europeans and Arab states need to help Palestinians chart their own future, writes @muhammadshehada.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social
⬇️ Read his commentary: https://bit.ly/3MP43AE
⬇️ Read his commentary: https://bit.ly/3MP43AE
Dispelling Trump’s dystopia: A European blueprint for Gaza’s renewal – European Council on Foreign Relations
Donald Trump’s economic development plan for Gaza highlights the president’s preference for real estate over rights. Europeans and Arab states need to help Pale
bit.ly
February 18, 2026 at 12:13 PM
Donald Trump’s economic development plan for Gaza highlights the president’s preference for real estate over rights. Europeans and Arab states need to help Palestinians chart their own future, writes @muhammadshehada.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social
⬇️ Read his commentary: https://bit.ly/3MP43AE
⬇️ Read his commentary: https://bit.ly/3MP43AE
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The "bizarre incident" with Lindsey Graham at the Munich Security Conference confronting and insulting Danish leaders has caused enough disquiet that Berlingske newspaper has done two unusual things with the story: translated it into English, and unpaywalled it.
www.berlingske.dk/internationa...
www.berlingske.dk/internationa...
Trump’s Man in Munich Completely Lashed Out at Mette Frederiksen: »Little Lady«
Trump’s close ally Lindsey Graham completely lost his temper in Munich. During a meeting with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, he yawned loudly and called her »little lady«, Berlingske has lea...
www.berlingske.dk
February 18, 2026 at 12:13 PM
The "bizarre incident" with Lindsey Graham at the Munich Security Conference confronting and insulting Danish leaders has caused enough disquiet that Berlingske newspaper has done two unusual things with the story: translated it into English, and unpaywalled it.
www.berlingske.dk/internationa...
www.berlingske.dk/internationa...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
So far, the Council has greenlit defence funding under the Security Action for Europe (SAFE) instrument for 16 EU member states.
SAFE will help member states increase their defence investments through common procurement.
Find out more about SAFE ➡️ link.europa.eu/XvCh8M
SAFE will help member states increase their defence investments through common procurement.
Find out more about SAFE ➡️ link.europa.eu/XvCh8M
February 18, 2026 at 10:29 AM
So far, the Council has greenlit defence funding under the Security Action for Europe (SAFE) instrument for 16 EU member states.
SAFE will help member states increase their defence investments through common procurement.
Find out more about SAFE ➡️ link.europa.eu/XvCh8M
SAFE will help member states increase their defence investments through common procurement.
Find out more about SAFE ➡️ link.europa.eu/XvCh8M
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Trump: It’s a hoax. We should move on.
Trump’s DOJ: There’s nothing to investigate.
The UN: The revelations suggest a global criminal enterprise…a number of the abuses meet the legal threshold of crimes against humanity.
www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/202...
Trump’s DOJ: There’s nothing to investigate.
The UN: The revelations suggest a global criminal enterprise…a number of the abuses meet the legal threshold of crimes against humanity.
www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/202...
UN panel says Epstein abuses may constitute ‘crimes against humanity’
Experts say newly released documents show the need for an independent investigation into Epstein's sex-trafficking ring.
www.aljazeera.com
February 18, 2026 at 4:14 AM
Trump: It’s a hoax. We should move on.
Trump’s DOJ: There’s nothing to investigate.
The UN: The revelations suggest a global criminal enterprise…a number of the abuses meet the legal threshold of crimes against humanity.
www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/202...
Trump’s DOJ: There’s nothing to investigate.
The UN: The revelations suggest a global criminal enterprise…a number of the abuses meet the legal threshold of crimes against humanity.
www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/202...
Reposted by Andy Scollick
NATO stronger than ever? I find this an extremely dubious claim - and yet it is one I have heard several times in Munich last weekend.
We discuss in the latest Collimateur episode lerubicon.org/collimateur-...
We discuss in the latest Collimateur episode lerubicon.org/collimateur-...
February 18, 2026 at 7:57 AM
NATO stronger than ever? I find this an extremely dubious claim - and yet it is one I have heard several times in Munich last weekend.
We discuss in the latest Collimateur episode lerubicon.org/collimateur-...
We discuss in the latest Collimateur episode lerubicon.org/collimateur-...