Andy Scollick
banner
andyscollick.bsky.social
Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Strategic foresight analyst: future security environment, defence policy, strategic planning, warfare development | Climate-energy-defence interactions | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in complex adaptive systems, sustainability and governance
Pinned
The best kind of insurance is fully comprehensive insurance.

The best kind of security is fully comprehensive security.

There is no security without:

🔹 Human (individual)
🔹 National (civil, military, defence)
🔹 Collective (international)
🔹 Energy
🔹 Climate and
🔹 Food security.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Yes we do need to 'go faster', and funnily enough Sir Keir, as Prime Minister you are the one person who can make it happen.

So maybe.... make it happen?
Keir Starmer says Britain needs to ‘go faster’ on defence spending
Prime minister is said to be examining how to bring forward plans to spend 3 per cent of UK GDP on military
www.ft.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM
RIP Lieutenant Colonel William "Bill" Kilgore, aka Robert Duvall
February 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Aligning with the Single Market isn't enough - fully joining both the Single Market and Customs Union would reduce duplication, cut costs, and help UK businesses trade more easily and confidently across Europe. The longer we delay taking action, the longer businesses are going to suffer.
February 16, 2026 at 6:32 PM
Would like to see 'defence spending' upgraded, properly funded and reframed as 'spending on comprehensive security'.

You cannot have human (individual) security without national (civil, military, defence), collective (international), energy, food and climate security.

It's all one system.
Germany calls on France to increase defence spending
Foreign minister puts pressure on Emmanuel Macron amid doubts over US’s commitment to European defence
www.theguardian.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:38 PM
Death comes sweepin' through the hallway, Like a lady's dress
What’s the best song lyric in history?
February 16, 2026 at 6:32 PM
If you don't drop dead from heat stroke, you'll burn to death in a wildfire. If you don't burn to death, you'll die of thirst from drought. If you don't die of thirst, you'll starve to death from crop failure. If you don't starve to death, you'll drown in a flood.

Take your pick.
Weather tracker: New Zealand hit by storms and widespread floods
Low pressure system funnels rain over already saturated areas, compounding risk of further flooding
www.theguardian.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:28 PM
“Our research and modelling shows that, in the worst case, the increase in temperature will be 4.5 degrees by 2100, not 1.5 or 2 degrees … We’ll have a collapse of agriculture, drought will lead to the mass transfer of populations and we won’t be able to secure food,” said Prof Fadi Comair.
Cyprus appeals to residents to cut water use by two minutes a day amid drought
Island’s reservoirs hit record lows even before tourist season starts as Cypriots are warned ‘every drop counts’
www.theguardian.com
February 16, 2026 at 6:24 PM
You know I'm born to lose, and gambling's for fools
What’s the best song lyric in history?
February 16, 2026 at 6:18 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
lol "you could get whatever the dust is down there..."

stirring words from the commander in chief
Q: You said the Iranian nuclear sites have been 'totally obliterated.' What's left to go after?

TRUMP: You could get whatever the dust is down there. If we do it, that's really the least of we mission. But we'd probably grab whatever is left.
February 16, 2026 at 5:31 PM
Porky can't be long for this world.
February 16, 2026 at 6:06 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Hungary holds elections in 2 months. And the US Secretary of State is in Hungary campaigning for Viktor Orban. And as you can see, Russian state media loves it.
February 16, 2026 at 11:25 AM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
WH President’s Day Post on X
February 16, 2026 at 5:41 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
At the Munich Security Conference, Hungary’s opposition leader introduced a prospective foreign minister named Anita Orbán and stressed the surname is “only a coincidence.”

Poland’s PM Donald Tusk replied: “My name is Donald.”
February 16, 2026 at 5:41 PM
Did someone say "Irish Air Corps maritime patrol"? Thought not.
February 16, 2026 at 6:01 PM
But Mousie, thou art no thy-lane,
In proving foresight may be vain:
The best laid schemes o’ Mice an’ Men
Gang aft agley,
An’ lea’e us nought but grief an’ pain,
For promis’d joy!

— Robert Burns, To a Mouse, 1785
Sen. Graham in Tel Aviv:

U.S. and Israel are close to ‘eliminating’ the Islamic regime, which he calls the region’s top state sponsor of terror.

Iran’s collapse would trigger the downfall of Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis, creating a major regional effect and boosting normalization prospects.
February 16, 2026 at 5:59 PM
The AfD are the enemy. They should be treated as such.
AfD Alice Weidel: "We have to stop feeding this war with absolutely anti-Russian rhetoric, with financial resources and arms deliveries. We cannot continue to feed such a 'regime', but we have to force a 'regime' like the Ukrainian one to the negotiating table, as US President Donald Trump did."
February 16, 2026 at 5:53 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Western economies have become dependent on data and energy flow along the seafloor; Russia and China are weaponizing that dependency.

Read more from Bruce D. Jones of @brookings.edu's Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology. ⬇️
Seabed zero: Baltic sabotage and the global risks to undersea infrastructure
Western economies have become dependent on data and energy flow along the seafloor; Russia and China are weaponizing that dependency.
thebulletin.org
February 16, 2026 at 5:48 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
@zackpolanski.bsky.social: “This is more confirmation that Reform and Goodwin are not just part of an extremist anti-British project,” Polanski said, “but are also enriching themselves on foreign far-right money.”
February 16, 2026 at 5:47 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Trump calls Gavin Newsom’s clean energy deal with the U.K. ‘inappropriate’
Trump calls Gavin Newsom’s clean energy deal with the U.K. ‘inappropriate’
Trump says the ‘U.K.’s got enough trouble without getting involved with Newscum’
dlvr.it
February 16, 2026 at 4:05 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Two months before an election in Hungary in which Viktor Orban faces a stiff challenge, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio travels to Budapest and tells Orban that Trump is “deeply committed to your success”. This is the definition of election meddling

www.reuters.com/world/europe...
In Hungary, Rubio says Trump is committed to PM Orban's success
President Donald Trump is committed to the success of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban because his leadership and rapport with Trump are crucial to U.S. interests, U.S. Secretary of State Marco R...
www.reuters.com
February 16, 2026 at 4:06 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
An El Niño is brewing.
And with it the next, pivotal, chapter of the climate fight. @billmckibben.bsky.social
open.substack.com/pub/billmcki...
An El Niño is brewing
And with it the next, pivotal, chapter of the climate fight.
open.substack.com
February 16, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
❗️❗️Reuters: China's Russian crude imports surge to record high

Russian crude shipments in February are expected to reach 2.07 million barrels per day, up from 1.7 million in January.

Kpler estimates that India's Russian crude imports will fall further in February to 1.159 million barrels per day.
February 16, 2026 at 4:12 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Politico: The EU and a 12-nation Indo-Pacific bloc are opening talks to explore forming one of the largest global economic alliances, multiple people with knowledge of the talks told POLITICO. Canada's Mark Carney is spearheading the discussions.
February 16, 2026 at 4:13 PM
Reposted by Andy Scollick
And the third one on #Putin in Düsseldorf. As if the parade officials wanted to compensate for the absence in both Cologne and Mainz.
February 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM