Cameron Patrick
@cameronpat.bsky.social
stats consultant and PhD student in Epidemiology & Biostatistics (multiple imputation, causal inference, clinical trials) @ University of Melbourne. always graph your data. also runs, bikes, hikes, etc. he/him #BiInSci 🏳️🌈
https://cameronpatrick.com/
https://cameronpatrick.com/
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
Imagine you lived in the 18th century.
Smallpox kills 1 in 3 cases. Yet you can’t culture pathogens, don’t know germ theory, and have no idea what a virus is. How would you invent a vaccine?
In a new episode of HARD DRUGS, we trace the history of vaccines!
Smallpox kills 1 in 3 cases. Yet you can’t culture pathogens, don’t know germ theory, and have no idea what a virus is. How would you invent a vaccine?
In a new episode of HARD DRUGS, we trace the history of vaccines!
The history of vaccines
open.spotify.com
November 26, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Imagine you lived in the 18th century.
Smallpox kills 1 in 3 cases. Yet you can’t culture pathogens, don’t know germ theory, and have no idea what a virus is. How would you invent a vaccine?
In a new episode of HARD DRUGS, we trace the history of vaccines!
Smallpox kills 1 in 3 cases. Yet you can’t culture pathogens, don’t know germ theory, and have no idea what a virus is. How would you invent a vaccine?
In a new episode of HARD DRUGS, we trace the history of vaccines!
"using your brain is cheating"
I got a really funny complaint from reviewer when I was showing that TTE models can outperform LR with repeated measurements. Their complaint was that my LR was unrealistically good because I used cubic splines and pre-specified clinically important variables. First time I LOL'd reading peer review.
November 27, 2025 at 8:42 AM
"using your brain is cheating"
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
Some authors make it more obvious than others www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
November 26, 2025 at 2:44 AM
Some authors make it more obvious than others www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
a medical question for the ages
November 26, 2025 at 12:38 PM
a medical question for the ages
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
new favourite New York Times term for a British thing just dropped
November 26, 2025 at 10:05 AM
new favourite New York Times term for a British thing just dropped
has been difficult to accept that I'm no longer on track to completing a PhD; I'll be leaving early with a Masters instead. but "PhD student" has become a major part of my identity over the last few years and abandoning that is a dent in my self-worth
November 26, 2025 at 10:50 AM
has been difficult to accept that I'm no longer on track to completing a PhD; I'll be leaving early with a Masters instead. but "PhD student" has become a major part of my identity over the last few years and abandoning that is a dent in my self-worth
UNLEASH THE MUNNEL
Melbourne Metro Tunnel opens this coming Sunday (30/11). So today I have updated the Melbourne Train & Tram Map on the Australian Rail Maps website:
-> railmaps.com.au/melbourne.htm
Sunbury and Pak/Cran lines run via MetroTunnel and also still via the City Loop until February.
-> railmaps.com.au/melbourne.htm
Sunbury and Pak/Cran lines run via MetroTunnel and also still via the City Loop until February.
November 26, 2025 at 10:31 AM
UNLEASH THE MUNNEL
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
This feels like a "face God and walk backwards into hell" kind of thing where you're convinced it's part of the foundational texts of the Catholic Church and not a comment on a thread about "Home Alone"
The damned in hell are not more powerful for the fact that the fires do not consume them; it is part and parcel of their torment.
November 26, 2025 at 4:40 AM
This feels like a "face God and walk backwards into hell" kind of thing where you're convinced it's part of the foundational texts of the Catholic Church and not a comment on a thread about "Home Alone"
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
I think it's become more neutral but this reads a bit like walking into an Australian outback pub and going "so, gents, you still all pooftahs in here or have some of you stopped mincing about".
You know what's going to happen, I have to assume you want what's going to happen, you can't complain.
You know what's going to happen, I have to assume you want what's going to happen, you can't complain.
Is this platform still massively against AI or has it moved more towards acceptance?
November 26, 2025 at 8:03 AM
I think it's become more neutral but this reads a bit like walking into an Australian outback pub and going "so, gents, you still all pooftahs in here or have some of you stopped mincing about".
You know what's going to happen, I have to assume you want what's going to happen, you can't complain.
You know what's going to happen, I have to assume you want what's going to happen, you can't complain.
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
Ancient NSW mythology tells us that at the passing of a Premier, their soul was escorted through the underworld and brought before the god Icac, who would weigh their corruption against a bottle of Penfolds
The greatest Australian honour is no medal or ribbon or postnominal set of letters, it is the privilege any one of us can have, to be called before the ICAC, and tell them lies
November 26, 2025 at 4:10 AM
Ancient NSW mythology tells us that at the passing of a Premier, their soul was escorted through the underworld and brought before the god Icac, who would weigh their corruption against a bottle of Penfolds
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
>looking for a new AI
>ask the lab if their AI is gloopy or freepy
>they don’t understand
>pull out illustrated diagram of Minds-In-General
>they laugh and say "it's a good AI sir"
>use the AI
>it’s freepy
>ask the lab if their AI is gloopy or freepy
>they don’t understand
>pull out illustrated diagram of Minds-In-General
>they laugh and say "it's a good AI sir"
>use the AI
>it’s freepy
November 26, 2025 at 6:38 AM
>looking for a new AI
>ask the lab if their AI is gloopy or freepy
>they don’t understand
>pull out illustrated diagram of Minds-In-General
>they laugh and say "it's a good AI sir"
>use the AI
>it’s freepy
>ask the lab if their AI is gloopy or freepy
>they don’t understand
>pull out illustrated diagram of Minds-In-General
>they laugh and say "it's a good AI sir"
>use the AI
>it’s freepy
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
the new State Library station entrance and concourse are now open, including the connection to Melbourne Central!
I've timed it and I'm delighted to report that it's only 2 mins and 35 secs from street to platform 3/4 at Melbourne Central this way vs. 3 mins 28 secs normally via Melbourne Central
I've timed it and I'm delighted to report that it's only 2 mins and 35 secs from street to platform 3/4 at Melbourne Central this way vs. 3 mins 28 secs normally via Melbourne Central
November 25, 2025 at 8:03 AM
the new State Library station entrance and concourse are now open, including the connection to Melbourne Central!
I've timed it and I'm delighted to report that it's only 2 mins and 35 secs from street to platform 3/4 at Melbourne Central this way vs. 3 mins 28 secs normally via Melbourne Central
I've timed it and I'm delighted to report that it's only 2 mins and 35 secs from street to platform 3/4 at Melbourne Central this way vs. 3 mins 28 secs normally via Melbourne Central
the ASC2025 conference dinner sold out before I registered but looks like there is an "alternative social gathering", also known as Going To The Pub, which may be more fun anyway
November 26, 2025 at 5:52 AM
the ASC2025 conference dinner sold out before I registered but looks like there is an "alternative social gathering", also known as Going To The Pub, which may be more fun anyway
day four of man flu: still hacking up a lung and now my voice is croaky af. this shit better sort itself out before I head off to the conference on Friday!
November 26, 2025 at 5:26 AM
day four of man flu: still hacking up a lung and now my voice is croaky af. this shit better sort itself out before I head off to the conference on Friday!
my "don't ask me for advice on suicide or self-harm" t-shirt has many people asking questions which are already &c &c
Additionally, OpenAI argues its not liable because Raine, by using ChatGPT for self-harm, broke its terms of service
November 26, 2025 at 4:13 AM
my "don't ask me for advice on suicide or self-harm" t-shirt has many people asking questions which are already &c &c
welp, guess I still won't be building a gaming pc any time soon
arstechnica.com/gadgets/2025...
arstechnica.com/gadgets/2025...
GPU prices are coming to earth just as RAM costs shoot into the stratosphere
Some RAM kits are over three times as expensive as they were three months ago.
arstechnica.com
November 26, 2025 at 1:55 AM
welp, guess I still won't be building a gaming pc any time soon
arstechnica.com/gadgets/2025...
arstechnica.com/gadgets/2025...
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
I've seen so many threads here that were just rage wagons about ML tech unrelated to LLMs that was wholly uncontroversial 5 years ago just because people saw the AI moniker attached.
November 26, 2025 at 12:24 AM
I've seen so many threads here that were just rage wagons about ML tech unrelated to LLMs that was wholly uncontroversial 5 years ago just because people saw the AI moniker attached.
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
Our tech community needs SO much more repair, processing, and collective reflection. The people who worked to support government and science were so betrayed by other groups. The people in flashy big tech cos feeling like their values were betrayed. Just so much repair needed here
November 24, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Our tech community needs SO much more repair, processing, and collective reflection. The people who worked to support government and science were so betrayed by other groups. The people in flashy big tech cos feeling like their values were betrayed. Just so much repair needed here
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
I do not believe that the majority of the software people I have worked with all these years sit around thinking, "I want cancer research to be destroyed." We have mountains to climb no doubt, we are trapped in some bad cultures no doubt, but I do not believe this of you for one moment.
November 24, 2025 at 4:12 PM
I do not believe that the majority of the software people I have worked with all these years sit around thinking, "I want cancer research to be destroyed." We have mountains to climb no doubt, we are trapped in some bad cultures no doubt, but I do not believe this of you for one moment.
Reposted by Cameron Patrick
Look, LLM use in academia isn't just students. You need to be speaking clearly with your collaborators about your writing standards from the beginning. Make people say out loud that they don't write their own articles anymore.
November 25, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Look, LLM use in academia isn't just students. You need to be speaking clearly with your collaborators about your writing standards from the beginning. Make people say out loud that they don't write their own articles anymore.
i know this area from Dark Souls 2, the Smelter Demon is just on the other side of the pic
November 25, 2025 at 11:12 AM
i know this area from Dark Souls 2, the Smelter Demon is just on the other side of the pic
this is one of my favourite observations about sample size calculations. (afaik first articulated by Miettinen in 1985)
November 25, 2025 at 10:56 AM
this is one of my favourite observations about sample size calculations. (afaik first articulated by Miettinen in 1985)
my "I'm Not Enron" t-shirt has a lot of accountants asking me questions already answered by my t-shirt
it's happening dot gif
November 25, 2025 at 9:23 AM
my "I'm Not Enron" t-shirt has a lot of accountants asking me questions already answered by my t-shirt
a baptism is just a baptoid in the category of endorituals
if we ever achieve post-scarcity, i'm going to spend all my time modelling data for the love of the game
November 25, 2025 at 8:17 AM
a baptism is just a baptoid in the category of endorituals
that's the trouble with society today, most parents are simply not equipped to have the Collider Bias discussion with their children
Wonderful to get the feedback from school that our kid is talking to their friends about the existence of things that their parents aren't equipped to talk to their kids about, and somehow that's a problem for my family to solve.
November 25, 2025 at 7:56 AM
that's the trouble with society today, most parents are simply not equipped to have the Collider Bias discussion with their children