Ian Plummer
@iplumm.bsky.social
200 followers 350 following 120 posts
PhD student at SUNY Albany, reconstructing Red Sea paleoclimate with corals! Either in the lab, coding, or playing pokemon. LGI 🏝️ LGM 🍎 Troy, NY He/Him https://plummquat.github.io/IanPlummer/
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iplumm.bsky.social
Climate stripes for air temperatures on Long Island and water temperatures across Long Island Sound
Reposted by Ian Plummer
climatecentral.org
Just since 1970, 📍Albany, NY has warmed by 4.3°F.

There is a clear way of knowing that this is human-caused climate change.

@slapointewx.bsky.social walks you through the data 🔽
#ClimateMatters

youtu.be/EofLTRuKU8o?...
CBS6 Earth Day Weather Report
YouTube video by CBS6 Albany
youtu.be
Reposted by Ian Plummer
alexlamers.bsky.social
Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has unveiled the experimental Urban Rain Rate Dashboard. It uses high-res model guidance to highlight where chances of intense rain rates are highest in major cities. It’s linked in “Forecast Tools” tab on the WPC home page. Direct link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/urrd/
A snapshot of the Urban Rain Rate Dashboard landing page from Friday morning, September 26, 2025, showing a map of the United States and color filled circles over major U.S. cities indicating the chance of intense rainfall in the next couple days. Data may not be current by the time you see this.
iplumm.bsky.social
Update on this, there is always a way to make your irrelevant tangent relevant again
iplumm.bsky.social
I’ve had the incredible opportunity to teach 2 weeks of an undergraduate oceanography class, which has so far been incredible.

However, today I learned how easy it is to get way off track. After introducing katabatic winds and sea ice I somehow ended up telling the story of Orpheus and Eurydice…
Reposted by Ian Plummer
jschnaubelt.bsky.social
Our paper is out today in @aguadvances.bsky.social 🥳! My coauthors and I use a simulation spanning the Last Interglacial (~130,000 - ~115,000 years ago) to show how changes in Earth's orbit impact atmospheric river behavior and the ensuing impacts on the Greenland ice sheet. 🧪🥼⚒️❄️

🧵
Atmospheric River Impacts on the Greenland Ice Sheet Through the Last Interglacial
Atmospheric rivers are dynamically coupled to orbit through latitudinal shifts in wind belts and seasonal shifts in moisture availability High latitude moisture controls the frequency, intensity,...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Reposted by Ian Plummer
climateofgavin.bsky.social
Online chatter suggests that the DOE Climate Change (Denying) Working Group has been disbanded and the report will be withdrawn. 😂

Seems that violating FACA and the Information Quality Acts have consequences.

Not seen any official announcement though.
Reposted by Ian Plummer
andrewdessler.com
Our comment on the DOE CWG report is done. It tips the scales at 439 pages, approx. 3x longer than the DOE report.
This is related to Brandolini's law: The amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than that needed to produce it.

Example: refuting one sentence.
DOE CWG STATEMENT (second paragraph of section 2.1.1, page 3): “Piao et al. (2020) noted
that greening was even observable in the Arctic.”
COMMENT: This statement implies that the Arctic greening signal was caused by elevated CO2
,
however that is not the scientific consensus. Piao et al. (2020) attribute the greening trend in the
Arctic predominantly to growing season length driven by warmer temperatures (see also Y.
Zhang et al., 2022). Piao et al. (2020) also note that this positive impact of increasing
temperatures appears to have weakened over the past four decades, “suggesting a possible
saturation of future greening in response to warmer temperature” (see also comment on
greenness trends related to Section 2.1.1, first sentence of Page 4). It is also important to put
Arctic greening more broadly into the context of the carbon cycle and other impacts. While
above-ground plants may have displayed more leaf area over the past decades, rising
temperatures also thaw permafrost and drive accelerated decomposition in highly carbon rich
soils (Turetsky et al., 2020), a process which is expected to accelerate as climate continues to
warm (Miner et al., 2022). Thus even with Arctic greening, high latitude terrestrial systems may
become net carbon sources to the atmosphere, causing an amplifying feedback (Braghiere et
al., 2023). Other risks to the Arctic linked to higher CO2

levels and rising temperatures are not
mentioned in this report (Virkkala et al., 2025). The Arctic is warming at a rate of 2 to 3 times the
global average, leading to thawing of permanently frozen soils (permafrost), with downstream
impacts including loss of structural support for buildings and subsidence, threatening
communities, roads, runways, and other assets across Alaska (Manos et al., 2025; University of
Alaska Fairbanks Institute of Northern Engineering US Army Corps of Engineers Alaska District
& Laboratory, 2019).
Reposted by Ian Plummer
zacklabe.com
Monitoring climate variables through 2024 - what long-term trends and variability do you see? 📈📉

#SOTC2024 #StateOfClimate Page S8: doi.org/10.1175/2025...
Screenshot of many climate variables and their observational time series from the State of the Climate 2024 Report
iplumm.bsky.social
Just finished up a fantastic 4 days of meeting with collaborators at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute.
iplumm.bsky.social
New York had its 4th warmest July on record, with drier than average conditions, except in a few downstate areas.
Reposted by Ian Plummer
pauleric70.bsky.social
Mike Hudema

Water temperatures around Australia's Great Barrier Reef were the warmest they've been in over 400 years this year, according to new research.

Scientists say the reef is facing "catastrophic damage."

No time to waste. ActOnClimate
Reposted by Ian Plummer
extremetemps.bsky.social
37 stations broke their August highest temperature in history today in Japan,25 of which are all time records.

Let's expect more records of high maximums and high minimums in the next 2 days.
The national record of Highest minimum will be also at stake. (mins >30C coming).
Reposted by Ian Plummer
wed-explorer.bsky.social
A transatlantic atmospheric river of smoke

Massive smoke plume from #wildfires in western Canada is crossing the Atlantic, heading toward the UK, France & Germany. Carried by strong upper winds, it may tint skies & affect air layers over Europe.

🛰 @cira-csu.bsky.social @noaa.gov
✂️Via @zoom.earth
Reposted by Ian Plummer
davidho.bsky.social
“In his second administration, President Donald Trump is not just approaching climate science with skepticism. Instead, his administration is moving to destroy the methods by which his or any future administration can respond to climate change.“
Analysis: The US government has declared war on the very idea of climate change | CNN Politics
Americans are used to whiplash in their climate policy. The US has been in and out and in and out again of the key Paris climate agreement over the past four presidencies.
www.cnn.com
Reposted by Ian Plummer
fikgm.bsky.social
The tide gauge at Hanasaki (NE tip of Hokkaido, Japan) right now.
www1.kaiho.mlit.go.jp/TIDE/gauge/g...
Reposted by Ian Plummer
hausfath.bsky.social
The EPA cited my paper in their argument against the endangerment finding today. However, their point is completely backwards: my paper actually supports the EPA's 2009 range of 1.8C to 4C warming by 2100. www.nature.com/artic...
Reposted by Ian Plummer
thomasronge.bsky.social
"Projected geographic distributions of WNV [...] show an expansion of suitable climate for the disease, driven by warmer temperatures & lower annual precipitation"
BCS is already in the high-risk area. In the future most of the US might be at higher risk too.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1...
Probability of presence of West Nile virus (WNV) in vectors projected across North America, for the year 2050 and 2080 under
the A1B climate scenario.
Reposted by Ian Plummer
rarohde.bsky.social
In most of the world day-to-day weather variations are still much larger than long-term global warming.

As a result, both daily record highs and daily record lows remain common.

However as the world warms, new daily record highs consistently far outnumber new daily record lows.

🧪