Kyle Marquardt
@kailmarkvart.bsky.social
Professor, @sampol.bsky.social; Project Manager, @vdeminstitute.bsky.social; Iowan; klmarquardt.com
Pinned
Kyle Marquardt
@kailmarkvart.bsky.social
· Aug 26
Excited to introduce a new working paper with @danpemstein.com, @chknutsen.bsky.social and other colleagues not on Bluesky! We use experimental and observational data to investigate the degree to which general biases affect expert perceptions of specific cases. 🧵 1/17 v-dem.net/media/public...
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
Good news—Dr. Abedini has been released!!! Thanks to everyone who shared and mobilized 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼
My colleague, Dr. Vahid Abedini, was illegally detained by ICE on Saturday. He is currently being held without a court date in sight, despite being in the country legally. Please spread the word! We must ensure his due process rights are upheld. www.oudaily.com/news/ou-prof...
OU College of International Studies professor reportedly arrested by ICE
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement reportedly arrested an OU professor at Will Rogers International Airport Saturday.
www.oudaily.com
November 25, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Good news—Dr. Abedini has been released!!! Thanks to everyone who shared and mobilized 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
My colleague, Dr. Vahid Abedini, was illegally detained by ICE on Saturday. He is currently being held without a court date in sight, despite being in the country legally. Please spread the word! We must ensure his due process rights are upheld. www.oudaily.com/news/ou-prof...
OU College of International Studies professor reportedly arrested by ICE
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement reportedly arrested an OU professor at Will Rogers International Airport Saturday.
www.oudaily.com
November 24, 2025 at 11:05 PM
My colleague, Dr. Vahid Abedini, was illegally detained by ICE on Saturday. He is currently being held without a court date in sight, despite being in the country legally. Please spread the word! We must ensure his due process rights are upheld. www.oudaily.com/news/ou-prof...
Vancouver Island, September 2025
November 24, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Vancouver Island, September 2025
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
Looking at this photo of the US-Ukraine Geneva meeting, I wondered who was in the delegation. ABC has the list:
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
No Russia or Ukraine experts (although US Ambassador to Ukraine Davis & SACEUR Grynkewich were there).
Who is the guy with the notebook? Andy Baker. 1/2
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
No Russia or Ukraine experts (although US Ambassador to Ukraine Davis & SACEUR Grynkewich were there).
Who is the guy with the notebook? Andy Baker. 1/2
November 24, 2025 at 6:36 PM
Looking at this photo of the US-Ukraine Geneva meeting, I wondered who was in the delegation. ABC has the list:
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
No Russia or Ukraine experts (although US Ambassador to Ukraine Davis & SACEUR Grynkewich were there).
Who is the guy with the notebook? Andy Baker. 1/2
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
No Russia or Ukraine experts (although US Ambassador to Ukraine Davis & SACEUR Grynkewich were there).
Who is the guy with the notebook? Andy Baker. 1/2
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
My @nytimes.com op-ed: The Boomers Are Protesting Trump. Where Is Gen Z? www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o... (gift link)
The key point: "The absence of young people from conventional protests is both a problem and a warning."
The key point: "The absence of young people from conventional protests is both a problem and a warning."
Opinion | The Boomers Are Protesting Trump. Where Is Gen Z?
www.nytimes.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:37 PM
My @nytimes.com op-ed: The Boomers Are Protesting Trump. Where Is Gen Z? www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o... (gift link)
The key point: "The absence of young people from conventional protests is both a problem and a warning."
The key point: "The absence of young people from conventional protests is both a problem and a warning."
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
Trump's "peace' plan for Ukraine is not only morally unacceptable but myopic and no basis for a lasting peace. goodauthority.org/news/ukraini...
Ukrainians don’t think much of Putin’s ‘peace’ plan.
Our surveys from earlier this summer show overwhelming opposition to a Russian land grab.
goodauthority.org
November 22, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Trump's "peace' plan for Ukraine is not only morally unacceptable but myopic and no basis for a lasting peace. goodauthority.org/news/ukraini...
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
A few experts going right now: "hear me out, Budapest Memorandum, keeping Ukraine out of NATO, telling it to accept loss of Crimea, and pretending the Minsk Accords meant to save Ukraine's sovereignty were all mistakes, but if we now combine all this idiocy into a 28-point plan, it might work!"
November 21, 2025 at 6:33 PM
A few experts going right now: "hear me out, Budapest Memorandum, keeping Ukraine out of NATO, telling it to accept loss of Crimea, and pretending the Minsk Accords meant to save Ukraine's sovereignty were all mistakes, but if we now combine all this idiocy into a 28-point plan, it might work!"
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
🎓New Research Projects on Democratic Resilience!
Today we congratulate the V-Dem researchers involved in two new research projects that will tackle the issue of democratic resilience, in different ways.
Read more : v-dem.net/news/new-res...
#Polisky #PoliticalScience #DemocraticResilience
🧵1(4)
Today we congratulate the V-Dem researchers involved in two new research projects that will tackle the issue of democratic resilience, in different ways.
Read more : v-dem.net/news/new-res...
#Polisky #PoliticalScience #DemocraticResilience
🧵1(4)
November 21, 2025 at 3:34 PM
🎓New Research Projects on Democratic Resilience!
Today we congratulate the V-Dem researchers involved in two new research projects that will tackle the issue of democratic resilience, in different ways.
Read more : v-dem.net/news/new-res...
#Polisky #PoliticalScience #DemocraticResilience
🧵1(4)
Today we congratulate the V-Dem researchers involved in two new research projects that will tackle the issue of democratic resilience, in different ways.
Read more : v-dem.net/news/new-res...
#Polisky #PoliticalScience #DemocraticResilience
🧵1(4)
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
Yes. But also, Orbán was in power for 14 years until finally a successful challenger emerged and Orbán's popularity drastically declined. So the interesting question to ask is: Why now? And why was Magyar so much more successful in his anti-corruption messaging than others before him?
Hungary’s Orban seemed undefeatable a year ago.
Then Peter Magyar broke through with a powerful anti-corruption platform, rapidly consolidated the fractured opposition, and now leads Fidesz comfortably.
Anti-corruption defeats authoritarianism worldwide. It will work here, too.
Then Peter Magyar broke through with a powerful anti-corruption platform, rapidly consolidated the fractured opposition, and now leads Fidesz comfortably.
Anti-corruption defeats authoritarianism worldwide. It will work here, too.
November 20, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Yes. But also, Orbán was in power for 14 years until finally a successful challenger emerged and Orbán's popularity drastically declined. So the interesting question to ask is: Why now? And why was Magyar so much more successful in his anti-corruption messaging than others before him?
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
New article out today in @iojournal.bsky.social that tackles a pressing question: As the US retreats from democracy promotion, will autocracies abandon liberal norms and return to overt repression? Our @danieladonno.bsky.social Jon Pevehouse and @cjschneider.bsky.social answer: not so fast.🧵1/
November 20, 2025 at 3:20 PM
New article out today in @iojournal.bsky.social that tackles a pressing question: As the US retreats from democracy promotion, will autocracies abandon liberal norms and return to overt repression? Our @danieladonno.bsky.social Jon Pevehouse and @cjschneider.bsky.social answer: not so fast.🧵1/
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
Student journalists getting the job done!
#BREAKING: Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein.
Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.
Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.
Summers Will Not Finish Semester of Teaching as Harvard Investigates Epstein Ties | News | The Harvard Crimson
Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey E. Epstein.
www.thecrimson.com
November 20, 2025 at 3:12 AM
Student journalists getting the job done!
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
If AI pushes the field away from low-quality samples, that’s a win for science (2/2)
November 20, 2025 at 1:31 PM
If AI pushes the field away from low-quality samples, that’s a win for science (2/2)
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
Did you know that you can generate your own personal dataset by downloading individual variables through Demscore?
Here are the top 5 downloaded variables in the last 30 days:
@qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social @repdem-org.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social @viewsforecasting.org
🧵1(3)
Here are the top 5 downloaded variables in the last 30 days:
@qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social @repdem-org.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social @viewsforecasting.org
🧵1(3)
November 20, 2025 at 12:20 PM
Did you know that you can generate your own personal dataset by downloading individual variables through Demscore?
Here are the top 5 downloaded variables in the last 30 days:
@qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social @repdem-org.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social @viewsforecasting.org
🧵1(3)
Here are the top 5 downloaded variables in the last 30 days:
@qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social @repdem-org.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social @viewsforecasting.org
🧵1(3)
Turkey, 26.10-06.11.25
November 9, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Turkey, 26.10-06.11.25
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
while turning a blind eye to his assault on Turkish democracy— has only emboldened his crackdown on opponents at home. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/06/o...
Opinion | The Indispensable Erdogan
www.nytimes.com
November 6, 2025 at 5:29 PM
while turning a blind eye to his assault on Turkish democracy— has only emboldened his crackdown on opponents at home. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/06/o...
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
New article out on the relationship between different dimensions of state capacity and modes of democratic breakdown.
How do different forms of state capacity protect democracy? D Andersen, @chknutsen.bsky.social & @skaaning.bsky.social argue coercive & administrative capacity affect stability in distinct ways depending on threat: buff.ly/2yUrCqu
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com
October 23, 2025 at 8:53 AM
New article out on the relationship between different dimensions of state capacity and modes of democratic breakdown.
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
My response to the NYT’s “moderate to win” argument: The data shows the strategy is tapped out. Being seen as moderate by voters doesn’t boost votes, replacing every progressive with moderates would net 0 seats, and the graveyard of defeated D incumbents if full of moderates, not progressives.
The New York Times Argues “Moving to the Center Is the Way to Win.” But the Data Shows the Strategy Is Tapped Out.
Democrats already run moderates in nearly every swing district. It's not enough. A data-driven response to the case for centrism as a core electoral strategy.
data4democracy.substack.com
October 20, 2025 at 10:17 PM
My response to the NYT’s “moderate to win” argument: The data shows the strategy is tapped out. Being seen as moderate by voters doesn’t boost votes, replacing every progressive with moderates would net 0 seats, and the graveyard of defeated D incumbents if full of moderates, not progressives.
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
We are hiring PhDs and postdocs to work on the ERC project GETGOV, where I am the PI.
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (288628) | University of Oslo
Job title: Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (288628), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Monday, November 17, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no
October 20, 2025 at 3:27 PM
We are hiring PhDs and postdocs to work on the ERC project GETGOV, where I am the PI.
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Faroe Islands, late September 2025
October 14, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Faroe Islands, late September 2025
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
@penguinrandomhouse.bsky.social advertises the new book by Yascha Mounk as explaining “why the noble goals of identity politics are doomed to fail.”
In Russia, a slight twist: some passages had to be censored because LGBTQ+ is deemed “extremist”
en.zona.media/article/2025...
In Russia, a slight twist: some passages had to be censored because LGBTQ+ is deemed “extremist”
en.zona.media/article/2025...
Burned identity. How a book on identity politics was censored in Russia due to laws banning LGBTQ+ as “extremist”
The Russian publisher Individuum has removed all references to LGBTQ+ people from its translation of “The Identity Trap”, a new book by the political scientist Yascha Mounk. The mo...
en.zona.media
October 14, 2025 at 5:16 PM
@penguinrandomhouse.bsky.social advertises the new book by Yascha Mounk as explaining “why the noble goals of identity politics are doomed to fail.”
In Russia, a slight twist: some passages had to be censored because LGBTQ+ is deemed “extremist”
en.zona.media/article/2025...
In Russia, a slight twist: some passages had to be censored because LGBTQ+ is deemed “extremist”
en.zona.media/article/2025...
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
I'm thrilled to announce my first publication, as well as my first APSR and RCT paper. I am thankful to everyone who contributed to improving this project. 🙏🙏
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social -
Countering Misinformation Early: Evidence from a Classroom-Based Field Experiment in India - https://cup.org/4mZR3Em
- @priyadarshi-amar.bsky.social, @sumitra.bsky.social, @simonchauchard.bsky.social & FLORIAN SICHART
#FirstView
Countering Misinformation Early: Evidence from a Classroom-Based Field Experiment in India - https://cup.org/4mZR3Em
- @priyadarshi-amar.bsky.social, @sumitra.bsky.social, @simonchauchard.bsky.social & FLORIAN SICHART
#FirstView
October 10, 2025 at 4:23 AM
I'm thrilled to announce my first publication, as well as my first APSR and RCT paper. I am thankful to everyone who contributed to improving this project. 🙏🙏
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
New WP! We find: Overall male and female cabinet members have the same backgrounds, but women in high ranking positions, and women in contexts with few women in politics have backgrounds that align more with the archetypal politician. With @jacobnyrup.bsky.social
tinyurl.com/s4hy3htk
tinyurl.com/s4hy3htk
October 9, 2025 at 10:52 AM
New WP! We find: Overall male and female cabinet members have the same backgrounds, but women in high ranking positions, and women in contexts with few women in politics have backgrounds that align more with the archetypal politician. With @jacobnyrup.bsky.social
tinyurl.com/s4hy3htk
tinyurl.com/s4hy3htk
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
Check out my new piece on Moldovan 🇲🇩 elections with @grigopop.bsky.social
Despite Russian meddling, Moldova’s pro-Europe party wins a majority.
Russia’s social media campaign fell short.
Read: goodauthority.org/news/despite...
Russia’s social media campaign fell short.
Read: goodauthority.org/news/despite...
Despite Russian meddling, Moldova’s pro-Europe party wins a majority
Russia’s social media campaign fell short.
goodauthority.org
October 5, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Check out my new piece on Moldovan 🇲🇩 elections with @grigopop.bsky.social
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
I visited the apartment building ICE raided on Tuesday today. Story to come, but you can walk right in. Half of the apartments have no doors on them. Children's stuff abandoned in some flats. *Citizen* residents told me they were arrested and held for hours in zipties. This is America
October 4, 2025 at 8:49 PM
I visited the apartment building ICE raided on Tuesday today. Story to come, but you can walk right in. Half of the apartments have no doors on them. Children's stuff abandoned in some flats. *Citizen* residents told me they were arrested and held for hours in zipties. This is America
Reposted by Kyle Marquardt
Klart for Sampolkonferansen 2025 og geopolitisk spenning i en usikker tid. Organisert av våre dyktige masterstudenter 🙌
Konferansen fyller 40 år i år! Slik bygges akademiske tradisjoner og positivt omdømme 👏👏👏
Konferansen fyller 40 år i år! Slik bygges akademiske tradisjoner og positivt omdømme 👏👏👏
October 2, 2025 at 6:59 AM
Klart for Sampolkonferansen 2025 og geopolitisk spenning i en usikker tid. Organisert av våre dyktige masterstudenter 🙌
Konferansen fyller 40 år i år! Slik bygges akademiske tradisjoner og positivt omdømme 👏👏👏
Konferansen fyller 40 år i år! Slik bygges akademiske tradisjoner og positivt omdømme 👏👏👏