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Reposted by Ken Rice

Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d

I discussed the issues a couple of years ago @realclimate.org www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
and the latest barrage of op-eds adds nothing to their argument.

RealClimate: Watching the detections

RealClimate: The detection and attribution of climate change are based on fundamentally different statistical frameworks and shouldn't be conflated.

www.realclimate.org

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 1d

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Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d

This is a good corrective to the BS narrative flowing through the Pielke/AEI/NYP/EID/DOE nexus. Their argument is designed so that we can never ever attribute extreme events to emissions - even singular events that would have *never* [for some suitable finite approximation] have happened before.

Chelsea Harvey @chelseaeharvey.bsky.social · 1d

Today from @lesleyclark.bsky.social and @saraschonhardt.bsky.social + contribs from me:

www.eenews.net/articles/cli...

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 1d

😂

Doug McNeall @dougmcneall.bsky.social · 1d

Pretty good sign that the work is both impactful and effectively communicated.

Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 1d

www.eenews.net/articles/cli...

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 1d

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Philipp Markolin, PhD @philippmarkolin.bsky.social · 1d

Pielke… Ridley… lab leak fanatics and climate deniers that attack ordinary scientists are often the same players.

Imagine the media would, instead of framing the science or scientists as the problem, rather wake up to the same old anti-science actors, tactics and agendas.

Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 1d

www.eenews.net/articles/cli...

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 1d

www.eenews.net/articles/cli...

Climate critics try to discredit IPCC author for linking disasters to global warming

Roger Pielke Jr. and oil industry supporters are attacking climate scientist Friederike Otto, whose work has been used in lawsuits against polluters.

www.eenews.net

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Reposted by Ken Rice

Bob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 3d

Koonin spending an entire WSJ column criticizing @nationalacademies.org’s report for not being a review of his DOE climate contrarian report when (1) to my knowledge, the Academies have never reviewed a gov’t report without being asked (though such an independent review, or comparable, is necessary…

Opinion | Another Tale of Climate Change Bias

The government should stop funding the National Academies’ climate studies until they shed the political conformity.

www.wsj.com

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 7d

andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2025/10/04/e...

Emergence vs Detection & Attribution

Since effective communication often involves repeating things, I thought I would repeat what others have pointed out already. The underlying issue is that there is a narrative in the climate skepto…

andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com

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Reposted by Ken Rice

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 8d

My latest on The Climate Brink:

Is this the most embarrassing error in the DOE Climate Working Group Report?

The DOE CWG authors confuse detection and attribution with emergence.

Is this the most embarrassing error in the DOE Climate Working Group Report?

mistaking detection for emergence

www.theclimatebrink.com

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Reposted by Ken Rice

Zeke Hausfather @hausfath.bsky.social · 12d

Last week the German Meteorological Society warned that "the 3-degree limit could be exceeded as early as 2050".

While not possible to fully rule out, the assessed warming scenarios we published in the IPCC AR6 report find this to be extremely unlikely.

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Reposted by Ken Rice

Euclid UK @eucliduk.bsky.social · 14d

Its Doors Open Days at @uni-of-edinburgh.bsky.social!

All weekend, find Euclideans at the Royal Observatory Edinburgh and learn more about how the #Euclid mission will transform our understanding of the Dark Universe. 🌀🔭🌌 #ROEopen

A small crowd of people, including members of the public and University of Edinburgh scientists, chatting and standing around the Euclid pop up exhibition. This includes a large display of Euclid’s first mosaic, containing lots of stars and galaxies, in the background against the wall. On the right side of the room is a small model of the Euclid spacecraft, as well as tabletop activities.

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Reposted by Ken Rice

George Beckett @markgbeckett.bsky.social · 13d

All set for @lsstuk.bsky.social at #DoorsOpenDay #ROEOpen #lsst

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 13d

RealClimate: “But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!” www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

RealClimate: “But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!”

RealClimate: Almost two decades ago, some scientists predicted that Arctic summer sea ice would 'soon' disappear. These predictions were mentioned by Al Gore and got a lot of press. However, they did ...

www.realclimate.org

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 13d

RealClimate: Time and Tide Gauges wait for no Voortman www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

RealClimate: Time and Tide Gauges wait for no Voortman

RealClimate: Here we go again. An obscure, methodologically poor, paper published with little to no review makes a convenient point and gets elevated into supposedly 'blockbusting' science by the merc...

www.realclimate.org

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 17d

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Peter Stott @stottpeter.bsky.social · 17d

The people I work with are not stupid people and our climate predictions of 30 years ago of global warming have proved to be accurate. Just saying. www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cp...

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 20d

www.theguardian.com/news/ng-inte...

The US right claimed free speech was sacred – until the Charlie Kirk killing

Rightwingers had long complained of a censorious leftwing ‘cancel culture’ but seem happy to now reframe that as ‘consequence culture’

www.theguardian.com

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 20d

I'm not quite sure what you're suggesting then. I don't think anyone argues that energy balance estimates aren't useful. It's mostly a suggestion that Nic Lewis has tended to be over-confident about his analyses and that - as many have suggested - these estimates have tended to be biased low.

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 21d

But it's not just uniform vs Jeffreys. There are other priors and there are other ways to estimate ECS. As Andrew points out, if your method suggest a good chance of the ECS being < 2K, then there's probably an issue with the method, or it's at least worth considering this.

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 21d

Credit to @atomskssanakan.bsky.social for providing the data.

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Reposted by Ken Rice

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 22d

New from me on The Climate Brink: The Cartoon Villain's Guide to Killing Climate Action
www.theclimatebrink....

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Reposted by Ken Rice

Willard @climateball.net · 24d

@kenrice.bsky.social traces the trend of the limits of justified disingenuousness

andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2025/08/30/c...

chart showing how Nic Lewis tends to increase bit by bit the median climate sensitivity

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 25d

The evidence is public. Martz thinks that "most of the warming could be natural" 🤦. (This isn't a surprise, of course).

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Reposted by Ken Rice

ESO @eso.org · 26d

1/ A rising telescope under a rising Sun and Moon! 🔭☀️🌕

This montage is a kaleidoscope of moments from the construction of our Extremely Large Telescope.

Creating this #ELT collage took Boris Häußler, an ESO astronomer in Chile, years of meticulous planning.

The image shows seven hexagonal images put together like a flower. All the images show the Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) in front of an orange sun or moon rise. All the hexagons are dated and show the ELT assembly at the specific date.

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 26d

I used to think that climate change was a somewhat unique example of a topic that was challenging to discuss publicly. The last few years have made me realise that it's not just climate change; we seem incapable of having nuanced discussions about any complex/contentious topic.

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 27d

andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2025/09/13/k...

Koonin providing clarity on climate?

It seems that the US Department of Energy has now disbanded the Climate Working Group that drafted the report that I discussed in this post. However, about a week ago, Steven Koonin – one of …

andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · Sep 8

Caught a bus today to pick up my car and wanted to go to the last stop. When we got to the second last, the bus driver checked if I wanted to get off. When we got to the last stop, I asked why and was told it's because most people who go to the last stop have fallen asleep and missed their stop :-)

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