Laurent Guy
@laurentguy.bsky.social
Data scientist, market analyst, foreign policy realist, avid history consumer.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
I hate agreeing with Piers Morgan. 👇
January 20, 2026 at 7:41 PM
I hate agreeing with Piers Morgan. 👇
Trump‘s attitude towards Western Europe echoes Stalin‘s towards the Church: “How many divisions do they have?“
January 20, 2026 at 1:40 PM
Trump‘s attitude towards Western Europe echoes Stalin‘s towards the Church: “How many divisions do they have?“
Reposted by Laurent Guy
It’s come to this: “Catholic members of the US armed forces could in good conscience consider disobeying orders to attack Greenland if such orders were issued, according to Archbishop Timothy Broglio, the bishop responsible for the pastoral care of US military personnel.”
Military archbishop: Troops could refuse orders on Greenland
Speaking to Britain's Sunday program on BBC, Archbishop Timothy Broglio reiterated that conscience could permit refusal of an unjust military order.
aleteia.org
January 20, 2026 at 1:24 AM
It’s come to this: “Catholic members of the US armed forces could in good conscience consider disobeying orders to attack Greenland if such orders were issued, according to Archbishop Timothy Broglio, the bishop responsible for the pastoral care of US military personnel.”
Reposted by Laurent Guy
Ruth Ben-Ghiat: “I believe that Trump is in office in part to solve Vladimir Putin’s problems. And creating a crisis for NATO and dividing NATO, and having the U.S. go rogue in ways that are quite authoritarian — it benefits Putin.”
@ruthbenghiat.bsky.social
@ruthbenghiat.bsky.social
January 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM
Ruth Ben-Ghiat: “I believe that Trump is in office in part to solve Vladimir Putin’s problems. And creating a crisis for NATO and dividing NATO, and having the U.S. go rogue in ways that are quite authoritarian — it benefits Putin.”
@ruthbenghiat.bsky.social
@ruthbenghiat.bsky.social
Reposted by Laurent Guy
You have to admit these letters from Trump to foreign governments would actually seem less bizarre if they had been written in crayon
January 20, 2026 at 1:44 AM
You have to admit these letters from Trump to foreign governments would actually seem less bizarre if they had been written in crayon
Reposted by Laurent Guy
How big is Greenland?
Its so big it covers up 99% of the Epstein files.
Its so big it covers up 99% of the Epstein files.
January 20, 2026 at 1:32 AM
How big is Greenland?
Its so big it covers up 99% of the Epstein files.
Its so big it covers up 99% of the Epstein files.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
New — I wrote about ChongLy Scott Thao, the elderly Hmong American wrongly arrested and forced out of his home by ICE in his underwear during the punishing Minnesota winter, what witnesses saw, and DHS's racist claim that he fit the description of another Asian man they were looking for.
My story:
My story:
Behind the disturbing image of ICE snatching a half-naked, elderly Hmong American from his home
DHS has claimed without evidence that they were looking for someone else when they took ChongLy Scott Thao.
www.thehandbasket.co
January 20, 2026 at 12:29 AM
New — I wrote about ChongLy Scott Thao, the elderly Hmong American wrongly arrested and forced out of his home by ICE in his underwear during the punishing Minnesota winter, what witnesses saw, and DHS's racist claim that he fit the description of another Asian man they were looking for.
My story:
My story:
Reposted by Laurent Guy
It's cool that these guys just use pepper spray casually now, against people who are wholly within their rights, without a moment's hesitation. Several shots of them using it as they climb into their cars and drive away, not even a pretense of urgency or need. Just a parting "fuck you" to them.
This is what happened in our neighborhood yesterday. ICE snatched a human being off of our streets, roughed them up badly, and then pepper sprayed legal observers as they documented it all. This is a daily occurrence happening all throughout Minnesota right now.
January 19, 2026 at 4:44 PM
It's cool that these guys just use pepper spray casually now, against people who are wholly within their rights, without a moment's hesitation. Several shots of them using it as they climb into their cars and drive away, not even a pretense of urgency or need. Just a parting "fuck you" to them.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
Just as everyone predicted with the exception of Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, and Kevin Hassett. The last 3 knew they’ve been lying, not sure with Orange Caligula because he’s a moron and a liar so in his case it could be either one or both.
January 20, 2026 at 1:16 AM
Just as everyone predicted with the exception of Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, and Kevin Hassett. The last 3 knew they’ve been lying, not sure with Orange Caligula because he’s a moron and a liar so in his case it could be either one or both.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
And rather than try to drive a wedge between sympathetic citizens and immigrants, they're systematically brutalizing citizens and publicly celebrating that brutality while smearing them as criminals. There's zero plan, they're just seeing how much pain they can inflict
Yes. My theory of the moment is Miller/Vance thought their view that immigrants threaten social solidarity would be widely shared. But ICE raids are driving native-born Americans to show solidarity with immigrants quite courageously. Now Miller is trying to disrupt that alliance with state violence.
Insightful point here: Even if you take Trump seriously - he does not like the optics - they rested on an assumption that communities would welcome ICE as heroes, rather than showing the type of solidarity that Trump inherently cannot understand.
January 19, 2026 at 8:25 PM
And rather than try to drive a wedge between sympathetic citizens and immigrants, they're systematically brutalizing citizens and publicly celebrating that brutality while smearing them as criminals. There's zero plan, they're just seeing how much pain they can inflict
Reposted by Laurent Guy
Thinking, Whatever's in the Epstein files is even worse than we all imagined, and plenty of us have revoltingly lewd imaginations.
This is I'll-start-a-war-to-make-you-forget-for-10-minutes horrific. It's gotta be.
This is I'll-start-a-war-to-make-you-forget-for-10-minutes horrific. It's gotta be.
thinking about how, in the Russian history elective I took in HS, every time a tsar was facing domestic weakness the teacher would turn to the assembled students and ask "so what is it time for?" and we would chant "stunning territorial annexation!" and she would respond "well, DUH, girls"
January 19, 2026 at 8:55 PM
Thinking, Whatever's in the Epstein files is even worse than we all imagined, and plenty of us have revoltingly lewd imaginations.
This is I'll-start-a-war-to-make-you-forget-for-10-minutes horrific. It's gotta be.
This is I'll-start-a-war-to-make-you-forget-for-10-minutes horrific. It's gotta be.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
And too afraid, too craven, too cowed, and too gelded.
January 19, 2026 at 8:13 PM
And too afraid, too craven, too cowed, and too gelded.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
"US Archbishop of the Military Services Timothy Broglio: US military personnel could disobey ‘immoral’ orders against Greenland"
www.thetablet.co.uk/news/broglio...
www.thetablet.co.uk/news/broglio...
January 19, 2026 at 5:14 PM
"US Archbishop of the Military Services Timothy Broglio: US military personnel could disobey ‘immoral’ orders against Greenland"
www.thetablet.co.uk/news/broglio...
www.thetablet.co.uk/news/broglio...
Reposted by Laurent Guy
This isn’t immigration policy. It’s a business model.
ICE keeps growing, not because it makes America safer, but because corporations are raking in billions off cages, bodies, and suffering. ICE’s existence is a massive revenue stream.
ICE keeps growing, not because it makes America safer, but because corporations are raking in billions off cages, bodies, and suffering. ICE’s existence is a massive revenue stream.
January 19, 2026 at 3:05 AM
This isn’t immigration policy. It’s a business model.
ICE keeps growing, not because it makes America safer, but because corporations are raking in billions off cages, bodies, and suffering. ICE’s existence is a massive revenue stream.
ICE keeps growing, not because it makes America safer, but because corporations are raking in billions off cages, bodies, and suffering. ICE’s existence is a massive revenue stream.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
when Trump wants to invade Greenland and blow up NATO cause he didn't get a Nobel Peace Prize we are deep into 25th A territory. He is stark raving mad.
January 19, 2026 at 4:47 PM
when Trump wants to invade Greenland and blow up NATO cause he didn't get a Nobel Peace Prize we are deep into 25th A territory. He is stark raving mad.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
Reposted by Laurent Guy
When USSR invaded Afghanistan we boycotted Olympics. Why is the rest of the world coming here for World Cup?
January 19, 2026 at 4:48 PM
When USSR invaded Afghanistan we boycotted Olympics. Why is the rest of the world coming here for World Cup?
Reposted by Laurent Guy
The US has reduced its presence in Greenland to a single base and less than 200 troops.
If Russia were an imminent threat, Washington could simply deploy more forces tomorrow under the existing defense treaty.
Trump is just inventing a security crisis to justify an annexation
If Russia were an imminent threat, Washington could simply deploy more forces tomorrow under the existing defense treaty.
Trump is just inventing a security crisis to justify an annexation
January 19, 2026 at 9:14 AM
The US has reduced its presence in Greenland to a single base and less than 200 troops.
If Russia were an imminent threat, Washington could simply deploy more forces tomorrow under the existing defense treaty.
Trump is just inventing a security crisis to justify an annexation
If Russia were an imminent threat, Washington could simply deploy more forces tomorrow under the existing defense treaty.
Trump is just inventing a security crisis to justify an annexation
Reposted by Laurent Guy
Anne Applebaum: "Donald Trump now genuinely lives in a different reality, one in which neither grammar nor history nor the normal rules of human interaction now affect him. Also, he really is maniacally, unhealthily obsessive about the Nobel Prize." I fully subscribe to this analysis.
Trump’s Letter to Norway Should Be the Last Straw
Will Republicans in Congress ever step in?
www.theatlantic.com
January 19, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Anne Applebaum: "Donald Trump now genuinely lives in a different reality, one in which neither grammar nor history nor the normal rules of human interaction now affect him. Also, he really is maniacally, unhealthily obsessive about the Nobel Prize." I fully subscribe to this analysis.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
Folks, I hear the concern about Greenland, but that would be an unprovoked attack and without Congressional authorization, orders to do so could be illegal. Lots of ifs and maybes here, but Trump would likely wake the slumbering beast on Capitol Hill if this was his goal.
January 19, 2026 at 3:27 PM
Folks, I hear the concern about Greenland, but that would be an unprovoked attack and without Congressional authorization, orders to do so could be illegal. Lots of ifs and maybes here, but Trump would likely wake the slumbering beast on Capitol Hill if this was his goal.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
I went to Minneapolis last week. What I saw was horrifying and inspiring in equal measure. Gift link to my latest column: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/o...
Opinion | In Minneapolis, I Glimpsed a Civil War
www.nytimes.com
January 19, 2026 at 12:56 PM
I went to Minneapolis last week. What I saw was horrifying and inspiring in equal measure. Gift link to my latest column: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/o...
Reposted by Laurent Guy
The incredibly lukewarm Democratic response on Greenland is being noticed in Europe, incidentally.
Chuck Schumer not finding a stronger word than “quixotic” for Trump’s plan to seize Greenland has been name checked to me more than once.
Chuck Schumer not finding a stronger word than “quixotic” for Trump’s plan to seize Greenland has been name checked to me more than once.
But Americans who want to save the alliance with Europe must have no illusions about how bad a condition this transatlantic partnership is in.
January 18, 2026 at 10:05 PM
The incredibly lukewarm Democratic response on Greenland is being noticed in Europe, incidentally.
Chuck Schumer not finding a stronger word than “quixotic” for Trump’s plan to seize Greenland has been name checked to me more than once.
Chuck Schumer not finding a stronger word than “quixotic” for Trump’s plan to seize Greenland has been name checked to me more than once.
Reposted by Laurent Guy
One problem with the failure to call Trump's insane Greenland obsession insane is it prevents us from getting to the WHY. Is it all Russia manipulating his malignant narcissism?
Meanwhile, the Kremlin is encouraging Trump to take Greenland saying he’ll go down in world history if he seizes the Danish territory. tass.com/politics/207...
Kremlin agrees that Trump will go down in history if he annexes Greenland
According to Dmitry Peskov, by resolving the issue of Greenland's accession, the US leader will go down not only in US history, but in world history as well
tass.com
January 19, 2026 at 12:52 PM
One problem with the failure to call Trump's insane Greenland obsession insane is it prevents us from getting to the WHY. Is it all Russia manipulating his malignant narcissism?
Reposted by Laurent Guy
Deputy AG Todd Blanche: “No, we are not investigating.” 🤔
The message: ICE can murder citizens with impunity in Trump’s America
The message: ICE can murder citizens with impunity in Trump’s America
January 18, 2026 at 6:18 PM
Deputy AG Todd Blanche: “No, we are not investigating.” 🤔
The message: ICE can murder citizens with impunity in Trump’s America
The message: ICE can murder citizens with impunity in Trump’s America