Natalie Jackson
nataliej.bsky.social
Natalie Jackson
@nataliej.bsky.social
12K followers 240 following 90 posts
Opinions are my own. Pollster, columnist for National Journal, polsci PhD. Rural TX native, WTAMU & OU alum.
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Reposted by Natalie Jackson
In the latest LEADING INDICATORS, Natalie Jackson writes that, according to Pew, an increasing # of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents are uncomfortable with parts of Trump's agenda, including 4 in 10 who say he improperly encouraged probes of political opponents. Read on:
Four in 10 Republicans think Trump improperly encouraged investigations
GOP opinion is more nuanced than just lemmings following their leader.
njour.nl
But she'll have $150m or so to go do whatever she wants next.
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
Politics is more divisive and personal for young people because our current political environment is all they’ve known.
Natalie Jackson with the latest Leading Indicators (unlocked):
www.nationaljournal.com/s/729603/cha...
Charlie Kirk’s suspected killer is 22 years old, and that’s not unusual
Young people are growing up in a toxic stew of violence and existential politics. They’re not OK.
www.nationaljournal.com
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
I'm presenting an AAPOR webinar on Thursday on best practices. portal.aapor.org/integratedEv....

This will draw on five years of AAPOR presentations, plus hot off the press findings from surveys we fielded at the end of August.
portal.aapor.org
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
It is incredibly simple to acknowledge that violence in any form is awful and erodes society.
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
The fact that the current HHS secretary is an anti-vaxxer isn’t the original sin; his ability to rise to prominence shows just how much the system was already broken by misinformation.
Natalie Jackson with the latest Leading Indicators (unlocked):
www.nationaljournal.com/s/729480/rfk...
RFK Jr.’s rise is a symptom of a long-term systemic illness
Mandates and mistrust supercharged the anti-vax movement.
www.nationaljournal.com
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
Running into stationary objects can be painful, according to a recent pole.
Also had ACA approval for years in addition to prez approval on topics. It was an interesting trend.
Pollster had a bunch of these.
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
This chart from
@pewresearch.org intrigued me.

For my @nationaljournal.com column this week, I mused on the disconnect between president and personal lives: Maybe the political news they hear doesn't seem relevant to their daily lives?

Read more here: www.nationaljournal.com/s/729049/ame...
Implication is that you need both professional and nonprofessional respondents in the right mix to get a good sample...
but who knows what that mix is?
And are there any nonprofessional respondents left in online panels by now?
I (+ coauthors) published research in 2014 showing how "professional" respondents had less political interest (i.e., they're there for the incentives) than those who only took one or two (i.e., probably in it because they're interested).

This would be a great dataset for replicating that finding.
Fun metadata piece in the 2024 ANES pilot survey that I only just came across. They include how many previous YouGov surveys respondents had taken before this Feb 2024 survey. One of the respondents had taken 1966!
This chart from
@pewresearch.org intrigued me.

For my @nationaljournal.com column this week, I mused on the disconnect between president and personal lives: Maybe the political news they hear doesn't seem relevant to their daily lives?

Read more here: www.nationaljournal.com/s/729049/ame...
I would like a conversion rate for what running 5.5 miles in an absolute hot soupy swamp translates to in normal miles. It has to be around 8 based on effort expended. #marathontraining
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
There's no evidence so far that staffing shortages had anything to do with the Texas flood tragedy.

I explain what did matter - what it's like in Kerr Co (I have family there) & why we never seem to muster the political will to better prepare for disasters.

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728978/eve...
Everyone is worried about natural disasters. Most don’t think one will happen to them.
Catastrophic flooding in Texas triggers debate about warnings, but will anything change?
www.nationaljournal.com
There's no evidence so far that staffing shortages had anything to do with the Texas flood tragedy.

I explain what did matter - what it's like in Kerr Co (I have family there) & why we never seem to muster the political will to better prepare for disasters.

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728978/eve...
Everyone is worried about natural disasters. Most don’t think one will happen to them.
Catastrophic flooding in Texas triggers debate about warnings, but will anything change?
www.nationaljournal.com
Reposted by Natalie Jackson
I wrote my @nationaljournal.com column this week on the disappearing Republican middle, with thanks to Sen. Murkowski for providing case-in-point this afternoon.

No one wants to be a dead armadillo in Congress. Trump has made it even worse.

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728927/you...
'You’re roadkill in the middle'
Murkowski aptly describes the problem facing moderate Republicans.
www.nationaljournal.com
I wrote my @nationaljournal.com column this week on the disappearing Republican middle, with thanks to Sen. Murkowski for providing case-in-point this afternoon.

No one wants to be a dead armadillo in Congress. Trump has made it even worse.

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728927/you...
'You’re roadkill in the middle'
Murkowski aptly describes the problem facing moderate Republicans.
www.nationaljournal.com
that's actually in this piece.
Public opinion for strikes in Iran will never look like it did before the Iraq war. We don't live in that world anymore. Whose idea it is and how we ask is what matters.

There is an interesting age divide among Republicans, though.

@nationaljournal.com

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728859/opi...