Author | Lightnews

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

National Journal @nationaljournal.com · 20d

In the latest LEADING INDICATORS, Natalie Jackson writes that, according to Pew, an increasing # of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents are uncomfortable with parts of Trump's agenda, including 4 in 10 who say he improperly encouraged probes of political opponents. Read on:

Four in 10 Republicans think Trump improperly encouraged investigations

GOP opinion is more nuanced than just lemmings following their leader.

njour.nl

2 2

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Oct 2

But she'll have $150m or so to go do whatever she wants next.

2

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

National Journal @nationaljournal.com · Sep 17

Politics is more divisive and personal for young people because our current political environment is all they’ve known.
Natalie Jackson with the latest Leading Indicators (unlocked):
www.nationaljournal.com/s/729603/cha...

Charlie Kirk’s suspected killer is 22 years old, and that’s not unusual

Young people are growing up in a toxic stew of violence and existential politics. They’re not OK.

www.nationaljournal.com

1

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · Sep 16

I'm presenting an AAPOR webinar on Thursday on best practices. portal.aapor.org/integratedEv....

This will draw on five years of AAPOR presentations, plus hot off the press findings from surveys we fielded at the end of August.

portal.aapor.org

1 2 1

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Philip Bump @pbump.com · Sep 10

It is incredibly simple to acknowledge that violence in any form is awful and erodes society.

35 490 3.1K

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · Sep 7

On midterm conventions, plus so many links @mattglassman312.bsky.social @normornstein.bsky.social @mirandayaver.bsky.social @smotus.bsky.social @dcinbox.bsky.social @dandrezner.bsky.social @johnsides.bsky.social @nataliej.bsky.social and more goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/midterm-co...

Midterm (Convention) Madness

Plus all the links.

goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com

1 9 9

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

National Journal @nationaljournal.com · Sep 3

The fact that the current HHS secretary is an anti-vaxxer isn’t the original sin; his ability to rise to prominence shows just how much the system was already broken by misinformation.
Natalie Jackson with the latest Leading Indicators (unlocked):
www.nationaljournal.com/s/729480/rfk...

RFK Jr.’s rise is a symptom of a long-term systemic illness

Mandates and mistrust supercharged the anti-vax movement.

www.nationaljournal.com

3 4

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Scott Clement @sfcpoll.bsky.social · Aug 20

We asked D.C. residents what they think about Trump's takeover of local police and deployment of troops/federal agents, along with crime, statehood, the mayor and related issues wapo.st/45EHfZQ

Most D.C. residents oppose Trump’s city police takeover, poll finds

Though crime continues to be a concern, most residents don’t think Trump’s actions will make D.C. safer, according to a Washington Post-Schar School poll.

wapo.st

1 6 14

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Dad Jokes @dadsaysjokes.com · Aug 6

Running into stationary objects can be painful, according to a recent pole.

5 16 93

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

American Association for Public Opinion Research @aapor.bsky.social · Aug 2

AAPOR Statement on the Removal of BLS Commissioner McEntarfer aapor.org/statements/a...

AAPOR Statement on the Removal of BLS Commissioner McEntarfer - AAPOR

On behalf of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), we write to express deep concern regarding the removal of the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Erika McE...

aapor.org

4 37 61

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 20

Also had ACA approval for years in addition to prez approval on topics. It was an interesting trend.

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 20

Pollster had a bunch of these.

1 5

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 15

This chart from
@pewresearch.org intrigued me.

For my @nationaljournal.com column this week, I mused on the disconnect between president and personal lives: Maybe the political news they hear doesn't seem relevant to their daily lives?

Read more here: www.nationaljournal.com/s/729049/ame...

1 1 3

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 16

Implication is that you need both professional and nonprofessional respondents in the right mix to get a good sample...
but who knows what that mix is?
And are there any nonprofessional respondents left in online panels by now?

2

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 16

I (+ coauthors) published research in 2014 showing how "professional" respondents had less political interest (i.e., they're there for the incentives) than those who only took one or two (i.e., probably in it because they're interested).

This would be a great dataset for replicating that finding.

Drew Engelhardt @amengel.bsky.social · Jul 15

Fun metadata piece in the 2024 ANES pilot survey that I only just came across. They include how many previous YouGov surveys respondents had taken before this Feb 2024 survey. One of the respondents had taken 1966!

1 4

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 15

And here's the full Pew piece: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

How Americans think a president impacts the country and their personal lives

Americans widely say that who the president is has a large impact on the country overall but a more limited impact on their own personal lives.

www.pewresearch.org

1

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 15

This chart from
@pewresearch.org intrigued me.

For my @nationaljournal.com column this week, I mused on the disconnect between president and personal lives: Maybe the political news they hear doesn't seem relevant to their daily lives?

Read more here: www.nationaljournal.com/s/729049/ame...

1 1 3

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 9

I would like a conversion rate for what running 5.5 miles in an absolute hot soupy swamp translates to in normal miles. It has to be around 8 based on effort expended. #marathontraining

3

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 9

There's no evidence so far that staffing shortages had anything to do with the Texas flood tragedy.

I explain what did matter - what it's like in Kerr Co (I have family there) & why we never seem to muster the political will to better prepare for disasters.

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728978/eve...

Everyone is worried about natural disasters. Most don’t think one will happen to them.

Catastrophic flooding in Texas triggers debate about warnings, but will anything change?

www.nationaljournal.com

4 7

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 9

There's no evidence so far that staffing shortages had anything to do with the Texas flood tragedy.

I explain what did matter - what it's like in Kerr Co (I have family there) & why we never seem to muster the political will to better prepare for disasters.

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728978/eve...

Everyone is worried about natural disasters. Most don’t think one will happen to them.

Catastrophic flooding in Texas triggers debate about warnings, but will anything change?

www.nationaljournal.com

4 7

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 1

I wrote my @nationaljournal.com column this week on the disappearing Republican middle, with thanks to Sen. Murkowski for providing case-in-point this afternoon.

No one wants to be a dead armadillo in Congress. Trump has made it even worse.

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728927/you...

'You’re roadkill in the middle'

Murkowski aptly describes the problem facing moderate Republicans.

www.nationaljournal.com

2 7

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jul 1

I wrote my @nationaljournal.com column this week on the disappearing Republican middle, with thanks to Sen. Murkowski for providing case-in-point this afternoon.

No one wants to be a dead armadillo in Congress. Trump has made it even worse.

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728927/you...

'You’re roadkill in the middle'

Murkowski aptly describes the problem facing moderate Republicans.

www.nationaljournal.com

2 7

Reposted by Natalie Jackson

Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · Jun 24

Opinion on Iran strikes is more about Trump than 'forever wars'
(‪@nataliej.bsky.social‬)
www.nationaljournal.com/s/728859/opi...

Opinion on Iran strikes is more about Trump than 'forever wars'

The old specter of Iraq still looms large, but public opinion has fundamentally changed in 22 years.

www.nationaljournal.com

2 1

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jun 24

that's actually in this piece.

1 4

Natalie Jackson @nataliej.bsky.social · Jun 24

Public opinion for strikes in Iran will never look like it did before the Iraq war. We don't live in that world anymore. Whose idea it is and how we ask is what matters.

There is an interesting age divide among Republicans, though.

@nationaljournal.com

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728859/opi...

1 2 13