Frans Osinga
osinga.bsky.social
Frans Osinga
@osinga.bsky.social
Prof war studies Leiden Uni
Reposted by Frans Osinga
The Mirage 2000-5F jets recently supplied by France have proven extremely effective, claiming a 98% success rate intercepting drones and missiles, including at least 12 Russian Kh‑101 cruise missiles. Still, the pilots warn that the Mirage 2000-5F needs more long‑range weapons to stay effective.
November 26, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
GroenLinks-PvdA wil 2 miljard extra voor militaire ondersteuning Oekraïne
GroenLinks-PvdA wil 2 miljard extra voor militaire ondersteuning Oekraïne
Een nieuw steunpakket van 2 miljard euro is bedoeld om de militaire steun aan Oekraïne op peil te houden, meldt GroenLinks-PvdA, dat de motie donderdag indient.
www.nrc.nl
November 26, 2025 at 2:39 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
The EU will accelerate its plan to use frozen Russian state assets to underpin a €140 billion loan to Ukraine, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said today.
EU will speed up Ukraine’s €140B loan, vows von der Leyen
The financial scheme to aid Kyiv takes on new urgency as Russia and U.S. discuss conflict endgame.
www.politico.eu
November 26, 2025 at 9:53 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
'There is no peace process. This is not negotiations over peace: it is the transmission of surrender demands from Russia with the active facilitation of the United States.'

Read @keirgiles.bsky.social analysis on the Trump administration's proposed 28-point peace plan for Ukraine⤵️
Trump pressures Ukraine to accept peace deal: Early analysis from Chatham House experts
Chatham House analysts give their initial analysis after Zelenskyy was pressured by Trump to accept a White House plan to end the war with Russia.
www.chathamhouse.org
November 26, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
"I urge people not to rush to conclusions that the war in Ukraine will end soon." — Peskov said.
November 26, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
'Voormalig CIA-spion: "Maak je geen illusies over Poetins ambities, hij wil de Sovjet-Unie terug en niets zal hem tegenhouden"' www.volkskrant.nl/buitenland/v... (€)
Voormalig CIA-spion: ‘Maak je geen illusies over Poetins ambities, hij wil de Sovjet-Unie terug en niets zal hem tegenhouden’
Vladimir Poetin is een nietsontziende Sovjet en China wil de wereld overnemen, maar Susan Miller is optimistisch. ‘Dictaturen zijn van nature wantrouwig en dat breekt ze op’, zegt de oud-CIA-spion die...
www.volkskrant.nl
November 26, 2025 at 8:27 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
“It shows us that Trump and those around him really think the US is not part of Nato,” said @cerianbond.bsky.social, deputy director of the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social think-tank.
Europeans scramble to protect their own security after jolt of Ukraine plan
Elements of US peace proposal would give Russia sway over continent’s defence arrangements
buff.ly
November 25, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
Russia has gained less than 1 percent of Ukrainian territory this year.

But President Putin said Russia is ready to keep fighting if Kyiv refuses to discuss a draft peace plan that demands deep military cuts and the ceding of territory Russia hasn’t yet taken.
Russia’s tiny advances in 2025 sold Putin on inevitable victory in Ukraine
Grinding progress for Russia on the battlefield this year has resulted in thousands of casualties but enough progress for Putin to refuse any compromises in diplomacy.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 25, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
Not going to happen. Russia doesn't want peace. It wants Ukraine's unconditional surrender.
🇺🇦🇺🇸 Trump on Ukraine: I think we are getting very close to a deal. We will find out.
November 25, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
Schandalig dit: Franse rechter van het Internationaal Gerechtshof getroffen door Amerikaanse sancties. Hij heeft niet alleen toegang tot zijn Microsoft-account verloren, maar ook die tot Google, Amazon en Apple en kan zijn Amerikaanse creditcards niet gebruiken:
« Je suis le cobaye de la perte de souveraineté européenne ».

Il y a quelques jours, j’ai échangé avec Nicolas Guillou, le juge français à la Cour Pénale Internationale sanctionné par les États-Unis ↓

1/
November 25, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
The European Parliament has approved the EU’s first-ever defense industry development program, with €300 million out of €1.5 billion allocated specifically for Ukraine, DW reports. Ukraine will also be eligible to join joint EU defense projects under the new framework.
November 25, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
Russia’s tiny advances in 2025 sold Putin on inevitable victory in Ukraine wapo.st/4ijY5Dl
Russia’s tiny advances in 2025 sold Putin on inevitable victory in Ukraine
Grinding progress for Russia on the battlefield this year has resulted in thousands of casualties but enough progress for Putin to refuse any compromises in diplomacy.
wapo.st
November 25, 2025 at 3:52 PM
sterk
"Recently, I found myself asking: What would military theorist Carl von Clausewitz say about the quest for peace between Russia and Ukraine? Perhaps he might write a letter like the one below."

@markhertling.bsky.social channels the "On War" author on Ukraine: lnk.thebulwark.com/4pzTkrK
A Letter from Clausewitz to Secretary Rubio
Channeling the author of ‘On War’ on the U.S. pursuit of peace in Ukraine.
lnk.thebulwark.com
November 25, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
the thing of it is... russia's invasion of ukraine is already a decisive strategic defeat and has been for some time.

-did not achieve war aims
-minimal territorial gains, w/little economic significance
-major loss of russian life/materiel
-2 new nato members www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
Russia’s tiny advances in 2025 sold Putin on inevitable victory in Ukraine
Grinding progress for Russia on the battlefield this year has resulted in thousands of casualties but enough progress for Putin to refuse any compromises in diplomacy.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 25, 2025 at 9:31 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
Door het 'vredesplan' van de autocratische VS en Rusland staat Zelensky met zijn rug tegen de muur, schrijft oud-diplomaat Robert Serry. Of er een voor Oekraïne aanvaardbare oplossing komt hangt mede af van Europa.
Opinie | Wanneer beseffen we dat het ‘Westen’ niet meer bestaat?
Door het 'vredesplan' van de autocratische VS en Rusland staat Zelensky met zijn rug tegen de muur. Of er een voor Oekraïne aanvaardbare oplossing komt hangt mede af van Europa.
www.nrc.nl
November 25, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
Defensie investeert enkele miljarden in bestrijding van drones na incidenten #binnenland
Defensie investeert enkele miljarden in bestrijding van drones na incidenten
Defensie gaat tussen de 1,5 en 3 miljard euro investeren in de bestrijding van drones naar aanleiding van de recente incidenten in Nederland en andere NAVOlanden. Zo werden afgelopen weekend drones gesignaleerd boven vliegbasis Volkel en vliegveld Eindhoven.
www.nu.nl
November 25, 2025 at 11:15 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
Macron says that after a peace deal is signed, "assurance forces" will be deployed beyond the front line, including in Kyiv and Odesa. Nearly 20 countries, among them the UK, France, and Turkey are ready. These won’t be NATO forces but a multilateral coalition acting like NATO’s eastern flank.
November 25, 2025 at 9:58 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
🇺🇦‼️ Attack on Ukraine and Borders` Provocations. 22 missiles and 464 UAVs…

🇲🇩🇷🇴 Moldovan MoD said six Russian drones entered Moldova’s airspace during the attack. Romania’s MoD reported that it scrambled aviation during the night.

Read more 👀⤵️
theukrainianreview.info/attack-on-uk...
Attack on Ukraine and Borders` Provocations
On the night of October 25, Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine. The strikes focused primarily on Kyiv and Kyiv Region, where both missiles and drones w
theukrainianreview.info
November 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears."

- It was their final, most essential command.

~ George Orwell, 1984.
November 23, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
“Even if a more Ukraine-friendly deal gets past Mr Trump, it will almost certainly be blocked by Russia; and any deal acceptable to Russia is likely to be voted down by an increasingly sceptical Ukrainian parliament.”
Ukraine survives another crisis with Donald Trump
A deal in Geneva salvages relations with America. It might not last
economist.com
November 24, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
Defensie heeft "niet het beeld" dat de drones die dit weekend boven militaire vliegbasis Volkel vlogen, wapens bij zich hadden. wnl.tv/2025/11/23/b... #WNL
Brekelmans: drones boven vliegbasis Volkel niet bewapend
wnl.tv
November 23, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Reposted by Frans Osinga
🇺🇸🇺🇦 U.S. official said that Truml hasn't
been as involved in the specifics, - WP

"You tell him, T'm going to try to get a deal.' He will say, 'Great, go see what you can do.' And that's the level of detail he has."

"It's been absolute chaos all day. It's embarrassing."
November 24, 2025 at 9:06 AM