Patriots Analytics
@patriotsanalytics.bsky.social
Facts and stats for fans of Pats
Since 1960 there have been 66 AFL Championships or AFC Championship Games
Of every QB to start those games, no QB has had fewer pass attempts than Jarrett Stidham who will start on Sunday:
It is the fewest since 2004 Ben Roethlisberger.
Inexperienced 😬
Of every QB to start those games, no QB has had fewer pass attempts than Jarrett Stidham who will start on Sunday:
It is the fewest since 2004 Ben Roethlisberger.
Inexperienced 😬
January 21, 2026 at 11:38 PM
Since 1960 there have been 66 AFL Championships or AFC Championship Games
Of every QB to start those games, no QB has had fewer pass attempts than Jarrett Stidham who will start on Sunday:
It is the fewest since 2004 Ben Roethlisberger.
Inexperienced 😬
Of every QB to start those games, no QB has had fewer pass attempts than Jarrett Stidham who will start on Sunday:
It is the fewest since 2004 Ben Roethlisberger.
Inexperienced 😬
Assuming no injuries next week, one of Drake Maye or Jarrett Stidham will start Super Bowl LX
This means 33% of Super Bowl starting QBs were drafted by the Patriots:
Brady: 10
Tarkenton*: 3
Plunkett: 2
Eason: 1
Bledsoe: 1
Gannon: 1
Garoppolo: 1
Maye/Stidham: 1
Relentless.
This means 33% of Super Bowl starting QBs were drafted by the Patriots:
Brady: 10
Tarkenton*: 3
Plunkett: 2
Eason: 1
Bledsoe: 1
Gannon: 1
Garoppolo: 1
Maye/Stidham: 1
Relentless.
January 18, 2026 at 11:48 PM
Assuming no injuries next week, one of Drake Maye or Jarrett Stidham will start Super Bowl LX
This means 33% of Super Bowl starting QBs were drafted by the Patriots:
Brady: 10
Tarkenton*: 3
Plunkett: 2
Eason: 1
Bledsoe: 1
Gannon: 1
Garoppolo: 1
Maye/Stidham: 1
Relentless.
This means 33% of Super Bowl starting QBs were drafted by the Patriots:
Brady: 10
Tarkenton*: 3
Plunkett: 2
Eason: 1
Bledsoe: 1
Gannon: 1
Garoppolo: 1
Maye/Stidham: 1
Relentless.
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
The Buffalo Bills just gave a masterclass in union tactics to save their season. When the chips were down, they packed down into a massive maul and rumbled into the end zone, proving that sometimes the best way to advance in the NFL is to play a little rugby.
January 11, 2026 at 9:12 PM
The Buffalo Bills just gave a masterclass in union tactics to save their season. When the chips were down, they packed down into a massive maul and rumbled into the end zone, proving that sometimes the best way to advance in the NFL is to play a little rugby.
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
Patriots Saturday
⭐️9a: NFL AP All-Pro teams revealed
🚶♂️🏈Day-before-game walkthru
🕓🛗4p: Deadline roster moves
NOTES: DTs Leonard Taylor III/Jeremiah Pharms among top p-squad options for elevations...60th Patriots playoff game (5th/NFL)...35 players in postseason 1st time.
⭐️9a: NFL AP All-Pro teams revealed
🚶♂️🏈Day-before-game walkthru
🕓🛗4p: Deadline roster moves
NOTES: DTs Leonard Taylor III/Jeremiah Pharms among top p-squad options for elevations...60th Patriots playoff game (5th/NFL)...35 players in postseason 1st time.
January 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM
Patriots Saturday
⭐️9a: NFL AP All-Pro teams revealed
🚶♂️🏈Day-before-game walkthru
🕓🛗4p: Deadline roster moves
NOTES: DTs Leonard Taylor III/Jeremiah Pharms among top p-squad options for elevations...60th Patriots playoff game (5th/NFL)...35 players in postseason 1st time.
⭐️9a: NFL AP All-Pro teams revealed
🚶♂️🏈Day-before-game walkthru
🕓🛗4p: Deadline roster moves
NOTES: DTs Leonard Taylor III/Jeremiah Pharms among top p-squad options for elevations...60th Patriots playoff game (5th/NFL)...35 players in postseason 1st time.
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
Each NFL team's regular season point differential in the Super Bowl era through the 2025 season.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
January 5, 2026 at 7:09 PM
Each NFL team's regular season point differential in the Super Bowl era through the 2025 season.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
Just to add another comparison, here are each candidate’s top five targets this year.
Drake Maye:
- Stefon Diggs
- Hunter Henry
- Mack Hollins
- Kayshon Boutte
- DeMario Douglas
Matthew Stafford:
- Puka Nacua
- Davante Adams
- Colby Parkinson
- Kyren Williams
- Tyler Higbee
Drake Maye:
- Stefon Diggs
- Hunter Henry
- Mack Hollins
- Kayshon Boutte
- DeMario Douglas
Matthew Stafford:
- Puka Nacua
- Davante Adams
- Colby Parkinson
- Kyren Williams
- Tyler Higbee
The final MVP race comparisons...
Presented without comment.
Presented without comment.
January 5, 2026 at 10:19 PM
Just to add another comparison, here are each candidate’s top five targets this year.
Drake Maye:
- Stefon Diggs
- Hunter Henry
- Mack Hollins
- Kayshon Boutte
- DeMario Douglas
Matthew Stafford:
- Puka Nacua
- Davante Adams
- Colby Parkinson
- Kyren Williams
- Tyler Higbee
Drake Maye:
- Stefon Diggs
- Hunter Henry
- Mack Hollins
- Kayshon Boutte
- DeMario Douglas
Matthew Stafford:
- Puka Nacua
- Davante Adams
- Colby Parkinson
- Kyren Williams
- Tyler Higbee
The final MVP race comparisons...
Presented without comment.
Presented without comment.
January 5, 2026 at 10:03 PM
The final MVP race comparisons...
Presented without comment.
Presented without comment.
MVPs with an easier schedule of pass defenses than Drake Maye:
1999 Kurt Warner: -8.7% Defensive Adjustment for Pass DVOA
2015 Cam Newton: -6.7%
1978 Terry Bradshaw: -6.6%
1990 Joe Montana: -5.3%
**2025 Drake Maye: -5.2%**
1994 Steve Young: -4.7%
Numbers from @ftnfantasy.com & @aaronschatz.com
1999 Kurt Warner: -8.7% Defensive Adjustment for Pass DVOA
2015 Cam Newton: -6.7%
1978 Terry Bradshaw: -6.6%
1990 Joe Montana: -5.3%
**2025 Drake Maye: -5.2%**
1994 Steve Young: -4.7%
Numbers from @ftnfantasy.com & @aaronschatz.com
January 5, 2026 at 9:44 PM
MVPs with an easier schedule of pass defenses than Drake Maye:
1999 Kurt Warner: -8.7% Defensive Adjustment for Pass DVOA
2015 Cam Newton: -6.7%
1978 Terry Bradshaw: -6.6%
1990 Joe Montana: -5.3%
**2025 Drake Maye: -5.2%**
1994 Steve Young: -4.7%
Numbers from @ftnfantasy.com & @aaronschatz.com
1999 Kurt Warner: -8.7% Defensive Adjustment for Pass DVOA
2015 Cam Newton: -6.7%
1978 Terry Bradshaw: -6.6%
1990 Joe Montana: -5.3%
**2025 Drake Maye: -5.2%**
1994 Steve Young: -4.7%
Numbers from @ftnfantasy.com & @aaronschatz.com
In the playoff the Patriots are 3-1 vs the Chargers
1-0 vs the LA Chargers.
Beat LA.
1-0 vs the LA Chargers.
Beat LA.
January 5, 2026 at 12:47 AM
In the playoff the Patriots are 3-1 vs the Chargers
1-0 vs the LA Chargers.
Beat LA.
1-0 vs the LA Chargers.
Beat LA.
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
Raiders 14, Chiefs 12 is a new record for most points scored in a game without a touchdown.
January 5, 2026 at 12:32 AM
Raiders 14, Chiefs 12 is a new record for most points scored in a game without a touchdown.
Well that's Maye done for the day, #2 seed wrapped up
MVP favorite Drake Maye has another stellar day, for over 200 EPA on the season, far outpacing the rest of the year, and one of the best 25 seasons on record (1994-2025)
Star.
MVP favorite Drake Maye has another stellar day, for over 200 EPA on the season, far outpacing the rest of the year, and one of the best 25 seasons on record (1994-2025)
Star.
January 5, 2026 at 12:05 AM
Well that's Maye done for the day, #2 seed wrapped up
MVP favorite Drake Maye has another stellar day, for over 200 EPA on the season, far outpacing the rest of the year, and one of the best 25 seasons on record (1994-2025)
Star.
MVP favorite Drake Maye has another stellar day, for over 200 EPA on the season, far outpacing the rest of the year, and one of the best 25 seasons on record (1994-2025)
Star.
Good morning Patriots fans!
After going 4-13 last year, a win gives us the 2 seed, and potentially the 1
Our 4th down aggression has gone from bottom in the league with Mayo to top with Vrabel
Campbell/Milton are back
So for the 11th week a happy "Drake Maye tops the NFL in EPA" to all, lets go!
After going 4-13 last year, a win gives us the 2 seed, and potentially the 1
Our 4th down aggression has gone from bottom in the league with Mayo to top with Vrabel
Campbell/Milton are back
So for the 11th week a happy "Drake Maye tops the NFL in EPA" to all, lets go!
January 4, 2026 at 11:52 AM
Good morning Patriots fans!
After going 4-13 last year, a win gives us the 2 seed, and potentially the 1
Our 4th down aggression has gone from bottom in the league with Mayo to top with Vrabel
Campbell/Milton are back
So for the 11th week a happy "Drake Maye tops the NFL in EPA" to all, lets go!
After going 4-13 last year, a win gives us the 2 seed, and potentially the 1
Our 4th down aggression has gone from bottom in the league with Mayo to top with Vrabel
Campbell/Milton are back
So for the 11th week a happy "Drake Maye tops the NFL in EPA" to all, lets go!
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
It was expected but good news nonetheless:
The Patriots activated LT Will Campbell and DT Milton Williams to the 53-man roster. Both are expected to play tomorrow.
The Patriots activated LT Will Campbell and DT Milton Williams to the 53-man roster. Both are expected to play tomorrow.
January 3, 2026 at 9:12 PM
It was expected but good news nonetheless:
The Patriots activated LT Will Campbell and DT Milton Williams to the 53-man roster. Both are expected to play tomorrow.
The Patriots activated LT Will Campbell and DT Milton Williams to the 53-man roster. Both are expected to play tomorrow.
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
The Patriots are sixth in offensive DVOA. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-17-...
January 2, 2026 at 3:55 PM
The Patriots are sixth in offensive DVOA. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-17-...
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
Correct. Maye leads the league in comp% while having the highest aDOT.
On plays with a pass or sack, no rushing, Maye leads the league in EPA per play.
On sacks, Maye has the seventh-best EPA/play and loses the fewest yards per play.
Any issues with Maye aren't from playing scared.
On plays with a pass or sack, no rushing, Maye leads the league in EPA per play.
On sacks, Maye has the seventh-best EPA/play and loses the fewest yards per play.
Any issues with Maye aren't from playing scared.
I struggle to believe they're watching the games... Maye had this exact issue last year when there wasn't statistics to protect, he just is still learning how to navigate the pocket well and what to do to stay on time.
Meanwhile he is *the* most aggressive and accurate downfield passer:
Meanwhile he is *the* most aggressive and accurate downfield passer:
December 30, 2025 at 11:19 PM
Correct. Maye leads the league in comp% while having the highest aDOT.
On plays with a pass or sack, no rushing, Maye leads the league in EPA per play.
On sacks, Maye has the seventh-best EPA/play and loses the fewest yards per play.
Any issues with Maye aren't from playing scared.
On plays with a pass or sack, no rushing, Maye leads the league in EPA per play.
On sacks, Maye has the seventh-best EPA/play and loses the fewest yards per play.
Any issues with Maye aren't from playing scared.
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
I asked @realfrankbrank.bsky.social to put together for me a list of this year's top QBs by Win Probability Added. So unlike DVOA or EPA, this is more context and defense dependent.
Jordan Love and Dak Prescott are on top!
J.Love 566%
D.Prescott 545%
D.Maye 451%
M.Stafford 404%
Jordan Love and Dak Prescott are on top!
J.Love 566%
D.Prescott 545%
D.Maye 451%
M.Stafford 404%
December 30, 2025 at 9:16 PM
I asked @realfrankbrank.bsky.social to put together for me a list of this year's top QBs by Win Probability Added. So unlike DVOA or EPA, this is more context and defense dependent.
Jordan Love and Dak Prescott are on top!
J.Love 566%
D.Prescott 545%
D.Maye 451%
M.Stafford 404%
Jordan Love and Dak Prescott are on top!
J.Love 566%
D.Prescott 545%
D.Maye 451%
M.Stafford 404%
Week 17 MVP race update!
Drake Maye leads the majority of measures both traditional and advanced to evaluate QB play.
Advanced stats to come tomorrow, but it finishes as a -3.9 EPA day for Stafford…
Maye.
V.
P.
Drake Maye leads the majority of measures both traditional and advanced to evaluate QB play.
Advanced stats to come tomorrow, but it finishes as a -3.9 EPA day for Stafford…
Maye.
V.
P.
December 30, 2025 at 4:21 AM
Week 17 MVP race update!
Drake Maye leads the majority of measures both traditional and advanced to evaluate QB play.
Advanced stats to come tomorrow, but it finishes as a -3.9 EPA day for Stafford…
Maye.
V.
P.
Drake Maye leads the majority of measures both traditional and advanced to evaluate QB play.
Advanced stats to come tomorrow, but it finishes as a -3.9 EPA day for Stafford…
Maye.
V.
P.
Reposted by Patriots Analytics
NFL MVP Race 2025 *before* MNF:
Updates as we have them
Drake 🚨 Maye 🚨 MVP
Updates as we have them
Drake 🚨 Maye 🚨 MVP
December 30, 2025 at 3:40 AM
NFL MVP Race 2025 *before* MNF:
Updates as we have them
Drake 🚨 Maye 🚨 MVP
Updates as we have them
Drake 🚨 Maye 🚨 MVP
NFL MVP Race 2025 *before* MNF:
Updates as we have them
Drake 🚨 Maye 🚨 MVP
Updates as we have them
Drake 🚨 Maye 🚨 MVP
December 30, 2025 at 3:40 AM
NFL MVP Race 2025 *before* MNF:
Updates as we have them
Drake 🚨 Maye 🚨 MVP
Updates as we have them
Drake 🚨 Maye 🚨 MVP
In case anyone was wondering what the MVP leaders looked like in EPA 👀
Stafford has -8.9 EPA so far during MNF
Your 2025 MVP should be Drake Maye
Stafford has -8.9 EPA so far during MNF
Your 2025 MVP should be Drake Maye
December 30, 2025 at 2:47 AM
In case anyone was wondering what the MVP leaders looked like in EPA 👀
Stafford has -8.9 EPA so far during MNF
Your 2025 MVP should be Drake Maye
Stafford has -8.9 EPA so far during MNF
Your 2025 MVP should be Drake Maye
For the 10th week a happy "Drake Maye tops the NFL in EPA" to all Patriots fans...
Back in the playoffs, our QB is an MVP candidate, and our Coach is favorite for CotY!
Back in the playoffs, our QB is an MVP candidate, and our Coach is favorite for CotY!
December 23, 2025 at 11:21 PM
For the 10th week a happy "Drake Maye tops the NFL in EPA" to all Patriots fans...
Back in the playoffs, our QB is an MVP candidate, and our Coach is favorite for CotY!
Back in the playoffs, our QB is an MVP candidate, and our Coach is favorite for CotY!
The Patriots will retain sole control of the most consecutive Conference Championship Game appearances in NFL history
Unmatched.
Unmatched.
December 14, 2025 at 9:47 PM
The Patriots will retain sole control of the most consecutive Conference Championship Game appearances in NFL history
Unmatched.
Unmatched.
In a division decider game today Drake Maye has been feeling himself in the first half
M
V
P
M
V
P
December 14, 2025 at 7:25 PM
In a division decider game today Drake Maye has been feeling himself in the first half
M
V
P
M
V
P
For the 9th consecutive week a happy "Drake Maye tops the NFL in EPA" to all Patriots fans...
No more bye weeks so no mental adjustments required, Maye is still on top!
No more bye weeks so no mental adjustments required, Maye is still on top!
December 11, 2025 at 7:05 PM
For the 9th consecutive week a happy "Drake Maye tops the NFL in EPA" to all Patriots fans...
No more bye weeks so no mental adjustments required, Maye is still on top!
No more bye weeks so no mental adjustments required, Maye is still on top!
Bye weeks are statistically the worst week of the season:
December 7, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Bye weeks are statistically the worst week of the season: