Before The Claw
preclaw.bsky.social
Before The Claw
@preclaw.bsky.social
At various points in life, an economist, game theorist, investment researcher, and data scientist; sometimes multiple at the same time. Girldad. Would like to leave the world better for me having been here, still working out how.
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I just woke up from a nap and somehow while I was asleep, everyone on the bus has figured out we are not going to the right place
January 20, 2026 at 1:57 AM
Some incredible surrender cobras from Miami fans after that IU blocked punt/td. No judgement, I’d do the same.
January 20, 2026 at 3:15 AM
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“The collapse of the AI bubble is going to be ugly…AI is the asbestos in the walls of our technological society, stuffed there with wild abandon by a finance sector & tech monopolists run amok.“

Read this article by @pluralistic.net.web.brid.gy. Whether you agree with it all or not, it’s important.
AI companies will fail. We can salvage something from the wreckage | Cory Doctorow
AI is asbestos in the walls of our tech society, stuffed there by monopolists run amok. A serious fight against it must strike at its roots
www.theguardian.com
January 18, 2026 at 10:33 PM
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Here’s the middle guy giving us a tour of prison e-commerce technology. They translate it into Romanian. Looks like they get more “real food” options than American inmates? Bananas, pineapples, Président soft cheese…
January 20, 2026 at 2:43 AM
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I fucking did it
January 20, 2026 at 2:05 AM
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January 19, 2026 at 8:04 PM
@schumer.senate.gov could you respond to this valid criticism?
He will without any exaggeration destroy America, reduce this country to a lawless mafia state, start a civil war, start a world war, kill us all, or all at once.

And the biggest obstacle to preventing this remains not his objective strength but that OUR LEADERS WILL NOT ACKNOWLEDGE THE THREAT.
January 19, 2026 at 2:05 PM
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Can you measure the difficulty of gravel races? I built a continuous item-response model (in @pymc.io) based on the performance of the Pro Women (completed races, no DNFs) in 2025 Lifetime Grand Prix races. Leadville and Unbound were the hardest & Kate Courtney the best cyclist. #bikesky #statssky
January 18, 2026 at 7:35 PM
@schumer.senate.gov it’s time to step aside and make room for someone willing to lead. #ResignChuck
Everyone can see it from coast-to-coast in America and now apparently across the Atlantic: Chuck Schumer is a coward and unfit to lead the opposition party in America.

#ResignChuck
The incredibly lukewarm Democratic response on Greenland is being noticed in Europe, incidentally.

Chuck Schumer not finding a stronger word than “quixotic” for Trump’s plan to seize Greenland has been name checked to me more than once.
January 19, 2026 at 12:03 AM
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Everyone can see it from coast-to-coast in America and now apparently across the Atlantic: Chuck Schumer is a coward and unfit to lead the opposition party in America.

#ResignChuck
The incredibly lukewarm Democratic response on Greenland is being noticed in Europe, incidentally.

Chuck Schumer not finding a stronger word than “quixotic” for Trump’s plan to seize Greenland has been name checked to me more than once.
But Americans who want to save the alliance with Europe must have no illusions about how bad a condition this transatlantic partnership is in.
January 18, 2026 at 11:24 PM
@adam-lg.bsky.social one for your punk playlist?
January 15, 2026 at 9:49 PM
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He really is doing all of it.
January 15, 2026 at 4:36 AM
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Any Dem elected who goes that route should be primaried into the sun
January 14, 2026 at 12:11 AM
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Live Your Dreams*
January 11, 2026 at 4:58 AM
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January 11, 2026 at 10:35 PM
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Andrew Gelman on Emily Oster's latest NYT Op-ed “Kennedy Is Telling Americans How to Eat. It’s Not Crazy Advice.”

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/08/t...
January 11, 2026 at 12:08 AM
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Rep. @AOC: I understand that Vance believes shooting a young mother of three in the face three times is an acceptable America that he wants to live in, and I do not. That is a fundamental difference between Vance and I. I do not believe that the American people should be assassinated in the street.
January 9, 2026 at 7:49 PM
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The right wants to talk about fraud? Somali fraud? Okay, give me 60 seconds.
January 7, 2026 at 1:41 AM
@adam-lg.bsky.social has listening to RATM cancelled out your education?
The likelihood you've been right about the course of American politics over the last decade rises in direct proportion to how often you listen to Rage Against the Machine. Having studied political science hurts you a bit. Having worked as a political journalist hurts a lot.
Not the first time I've said it, but I do think we should sit with the fact that the folks likeliest to have predicted we'd elect a reality TV president who'd create a fascist police state where people would be put into unmarked vans for criticizing Israel have been widely ridiculed my entire life.
January 3, 2026 at 5:57 PM
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The likelihood you've been right about the course of American politics over the last decade rises in direct proportion to how often you listen to Rage Against the Machine. Having studied political science hurts you a bit. Having worked as a political journalist hurts a lot.
Not the first time I've said it, but I do think we should sit with the fact that the folks likeliest to have predicted we'd elect a reality TV president who'd create a fascist police state where people would be put into unmarked vans for criticizing Israel have been widely ridiculed my entire life.
April 11, 2025 at 11:43 PM
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some things i’m taking into the new year.
January 1, 2026 at 10:36 AM
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December 31, 2025 at 1:26 AM
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December 31, 2025 at 1:44 AM
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I can’t believe how stupid everything is
December 30, 2025 at 1:22 AM