Wessel van Rensburg
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wildebees.bsky.social
Wessel van Rensburg
@wildebees.bsky.social
The digital policy strategist you didn’t know you needed—using terms like 'sovereign data assets' as casually as most would say 'hello'.

Also geopolitics, innovation, industrial policy.

Location: Den Haag 🇳🇱 From: 🇿🇦
Pinned
New essay ↓ with Andreas Dombret www.reaction.life/p/why-stable... #stablecoins
Stablecoins are Silicon Valley's Pandora's box. The Trump admin just signed the GENIUS Act, but the warnings should be louder.

Here's what everyone's missing about why stablecoins betray the essence of money itself 🧵
Why stablecoins are Silicon Valley's Pandora's box
Stablecoins betray the essence of money itself: credit.
www.reaction.life
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
This is, of course, hogwash. It’s about the exclusivity of certain names. US cheese can be sold, but not if you mislabel it.
January 18, 2026 at 6:49 AM
This thread best captures Europe’s strategic position, and how unwittingly, Trump has miscalculated?
Feels like something cracked today in the transatlantic alliance. Europeans have been swallowing their pride, bitting their tongues, and bending the knee. That strategy may have bought them time but it has now clearly failed. It also had a major cost - it has made the WH think Europe will cave. 1/
January 18, 2026 at 6:56 AM
It’s remarkable how powerful these systems have become. Many are going to have to update their priors.
Erdos problems, a set of famous difficult math challenges, are a clear example of AI models breaching a threshold. The idea that an AI could solve one, let alone many, would have been insane a year ago (o1 was brand new). Now we have multiple Erdos problems solved by GPT-5.2 in the last couple weeks
January 18, 2026 at 3:44 AM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
The US could certainly hit back and cause economic disruption in Europe but that will likely cause a rally around the leader/flag in Europe. That’s what happened when Russian gas was cut off/blew up In 2022/23. Europeans will be much more accepting of economic disruption. Americans less so. 5/
January 18, 2026 at 3:04 AM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
Trump tariffing countries over Greenland is a test. If Europe just swallows it and tries to move on, it increases the odds of the WH thinking it can seize Greenland without consequences. Europe therefore has to respond.

Euro publics have had enough and want their leaders to push back 2/
January 18, 2026 at 3:04 AM
This is primed to ratchet up as Trump responds. How will the markets react?
Looks like the EU-US trade deal is now dead, with all three major groups in the EU Parliament calling at least for suspension. The downward spiral has already begun.
January 18, 2026 at 3:02 AM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
Looks like the EU-US trade deal is now dead, with all three major groups in the EU Parliament calling at least for suspension. The downward spiral has already begun.
January 17, 2026 at 10:27 PM
I’ve been using Loveable and I’ve been blown away at what I could build in no time at all.
“It’s amazing, and it’s also scary,” said Andrew Duca, chief executive of Awaken Tax, a cryptocurrency tax platform. Duca has been coding since he was in middle school. “I spent my whole life developing this skill, and it’s literally one-shotted by Claude Code.” www.wsj.com/tech/ai/anth...
Claude Is Taking the AI World by Storm, and Even Non-Nerds Are Blown Away
Developers and hobbyists are comparing the viral moment to the launch of generative AI.
www.wsj.com
January 18, 2026 at 2:56 AM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
Sweden’s Prime Minister, in a new statement on Greenland:

“We will not let ourselves be blackmailed… Sweden is now having intensive discussions with other EU countries, Norway, and the United Kingdom for a coordinated response.”
January 17, 2026 at 7:55 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
The EU should be cutting ads featuring Danish and other families who lost loved ones fighting in America's stupid recent wars and airing them in every swing district.
January 17, 2026 at 7:44 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
I'm guessing now might be a good time to get some non-US cloud storage and email solutions. Any recommendations?
January 17, 2026 at 7:49 PM
Excellent 👍🏼
First casualty of Trump's new tariff threat - the US/EU trade deal

MEP's were already wavering on legislative approval given the Admin's Greenland threats

This has tipped them over the edge
January 17, 2026 at 7:51 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
Macron now refers to "intimidation or threat", explicitly comparing US behaviour in Greenland to Russia's approach to Ukraine. Sweden's PM says: "We will not allow ourselves to be blackmailed". Much, tougher language from Europeans than we have seen before, responding to the US escalation.
January 17, 2026 at 7:35 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
This looks like the start of a trade war: the potential for escalation is huge, and room for compromise on both sides is very limited.
Markets are likely to react violently on Monday.

#TradeWar #USAEurope
These are not "normal" trade tariffs.
For the first time, US economic pressure on Europe is explicitly tied to brutal political demands: surrender territory or face economic punishment.
This is a historic test for Europe.

www.cnbc.com/2026/01/17/t...
Trump: NATO members to face tariffs increasing to 25% until a Greenland purchase deal is struck
Trump recently hinted that he may pursue a tariff strategy on Greenland similar to the one he used to force foreign countries to change their drug prices.
www.cnbc.com
January 17, 2026 at 7:21 PM
The Brits, the most exposed to the US, still can’t quite face the implications.
Here is the response by UK Prime Minister Starmer - categorical pushback against, but also no signal of coordinating the response with the other Europeans but rather 'pursuing this directly with the US administration'
January 17, 2026 at 7:39 PM
Ah. Big shift.
Manfred Weber, the leader of the EPP, says the approval of the EU-US trade deal should be "put on hold" in response to Trump's 10% tariff threat.

Until today, the EPP, the largest group in the European Parliament, wanted to move forward with ratification despite the Greenland tensions.
January 17, 2026 at 7:35 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
It’s interesting how the risk awareness that dependence on US systems - be it in digital services, defence, or payment methods - has been internalised fairly quickly in Europe.

National Bank of Sweden chief says Sweden is too dependent on MasterCard and Visa and needs non-American alternatives
Riksbankschef Erik Thedéen: Sverige för beroende av amerikanska kreditkortsföretag - Ekot
Riksbankschef Erik Thedéen anser att Sveriges betalsystem är för beroende av amerikanska kreditkortsföretag som Mastercard och Visa.I nuläget tycker Erik ...
www.sverigesradio.se
December 27, 2025 at 4:01 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
What Europe could do is threaten to boycott the World Cup. It won't. But that might actually work. Trump wants his big show.
January 17, 2026 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
António Costa says he’s already in touch with capitals to coordinate a response to Trump’s 10% tariff threat.

“What we can say is that the European Union will always be very firm in the defence of international law, wherever it is. Starting in the territory of member states.”
January 17, 2026 at 7:13 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
The right reaction to Trump by the EP INTA chair @bernd-lange.bsky.social: 1) the US is in breach of the Turnberry deal: the EU cannot implement it now /1
January 17, 2026 at 7:10 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
TLDR: I think the lesson for Europe is that placating to Trump - with the Turnberry trade deal - does not work, now that tariffs are deployed over Greenland.

Europe should have retaliated alongside China after Liberation Day, but it has real economic cards it can play even if it has to go alone.
Woah Nellie, Trump rekindles the trade war with Europe over Greenland.

The President announces 10% tariffs on France, Germany, the Netherlands, the UK (yes), Denmark and the rest of Scandinavia.

The tariffs will rise to 25% on June 1st unless Greenland is sold to the US.

1/
January 17, 2026 at 5:35 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
Europe has - in technical terms - an absolute sod load of potential economic leverage over the United States.
It has turned the other cheek due to security concerns.
The US seems intent on demonstrating that it will not guarantee European security.
So Europe may start using that leverage.
January 17, 2026 at 7:02 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
First statement from Macron:

“Tariff threats are unacceptable and have no place in this context. Should they materialise, Europeans will respond in a united and coordinated manner. We will ensure that European sovereignty is upheld. In this spirit, I will speak with our European partners.”
January 17, 2026 at 7:06 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
In the last few days, several groups in the European Parliament had threatened to delay the approval of the EU-US trade over in response to Trump’s threats to annex Greenland.

Now it’s even more unlikely the vote will happen under these new circumstances.
January 17, 2026 at 5:57 PM
Reposted by Wessel van Rensburg
Trump is a true Kantian. There has never been a public figure who believed so much in the persuasive power of duties.
January 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM