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Tony Addison

@tonysangle.bsky.social

1.8K followers 2.5K following 220 posts

Non-Resident Research Fellow & former Chief Economist UNU-WIDER Helsinki. 🇺🇳🇫🇮Former Professor of Economics, University of Copenhagen.🇩🇰Also Manchester & Warwick universities 🇬🇧 https://www.wider.unu.edu/expert/tony-addison-0 .. more

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Economics 44%

Political science 23%

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Iikka Korhonen @iikkakorhonen.bsky.social · Aug 6

Russia National Welfare Fund end-July
Liquid funds $48.3 bn, slightly down from the month before, or 1.8% of GDP.

Russia has spent more than $100 bn from the liquid part of the NWF in the past three years

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Reposted by Adam S. Posen, Tony Addison

Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · Aug 4

The 'reciprocal' tariffs are more a ploy to strengthen US negotiating hand than estimates of unfair trade practices the US faces. Even if reduced to 15%, imposing tariffs on America’s poorest trading partners would do little to reduce the US trade deficit but would harm their economic development.

"Reciprocal" tariffs: What are they really for?

This Policy Brief evaluates the evolving reasons for and application of the Trump administration’s “reciprocal” tariffs and finds them wanting.

www.piie.com

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Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Aug 4

👇https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/720458

How Much Should We Trust the Dictator’s GDP Growth Estimates? | Journal of Political Economy: Vol 130, No 10

I study the overstatement of economic growth in autocracies by comparing self-reported GDP figures to night-time light recorded by satellites from outer space. I show that the night-time-light elastic...

www.journals.uchicago.edu

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Tony Addison, Philip Nel , and 4 more Brendan Nyhan, Tony Addison, Philip Nel, Trevon D. Logan, Aaron Sojourner, Bessma Momani, Antonio Fatás

Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · Aug 3

President Trump didn't like the jobs numbers, so he fired the person responsible for producing them.
It's a move that has been tried before, by leaders of countries from Argentina to Greece to the Soviet Union. It rarely ends well.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/03/b... #EconSky

Trump Fired America’s Economic Data Collector. History Shows the Perils.

www.nytimes.com

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Reposted by Albert Weale, Tony Addison, Robert Wolfe , and 1 more Albert Weale, Tony Addison, Robert Wolfe, Antonio Fatás

Alan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · Jul 28

My Trade Secrets today. The supposed tariff deals governments have made with Trump, including the EU’s rather humiliating climbdown, will if anything only embolden him to demand more. Isn’t that a cheering prospect?

on.ft.com/4mjwB1u

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Peter Thal Larsen @petertl.bsky.social · Apr 16

Whoever came up with this plan appears to have slept through the first three months of the Trump administration.
www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

Exclusive | U.S. Plans to Use Tariff Negotiations to Isolate China

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent wants trading partners to limit China’s involvement in their economies in exchange for concessions on reciprocal tariffs.

www.wsj.com

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Reposted by Tony Addison, Rachel M. Gisselquist

Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Apr 14

Rare earths & other critical minerals are discussed in our new @unu-wider.bsky.social open access book. Download via www.wider.unu.edu/publication/...

UNU-WIDER : Book : Resources Matter

Almost everything that is essential to modern society—transport and power systems, buildings, machinery, and medical devices—depends upon metals, minerals, and stone as well as oil and natural gas whi...

www.wider.unu.edu

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Reposted by Tony Addison

RUSI @rusi.bsky.social · Apr 30

🚨🧵New RUSI report, 'Strengthening the UK's Response to Illicit Finance' by Josie Stewart is out!

Strengthening the UK's Response to Illicit Finance

This Policy Brief presents an assessment of the current UK system to counter illicit finance, the identification of key missing elements, and an analysis of implications and root causes of the UK's ap...

www.rusi.org

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Alan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · May 15

My Trade Secrets today, INCREDIBLY not mainly about tariffs.

The Vatican wants a big round of poor-country debt relief during the 2025 Jubilee year, as in the previous Jubilee in 2000. But indebted EMs have fortuitously benefited from Trump's bizarre policies & weak dollar.

First 300 clicks free.

The papal call for debt relief that might not be needed

[FREE TO READ] Low- and middle-income countries are performing surprisingly well despite Trump’s tariff wars

on.ft.com

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jun 11

🇺🇳Excellent @unu-wider.bsky.social
conference here in Helsinki 🇫🇮: 'Safeguarding tomorrow – innovative approaches to growth and equity'
You can watch many sessions online👍
www.wider.unu.edu/event/safegu...

UNU-WIDER : Safeguarding tomorrow – innovative approaches to growth and equity

This flagship event coincides with the 40th anniversary of UNU-WIDER and convenes leading thinkers and policymakers from across the globe to address some of the most press

www.wider.unu.edu

Reposted by Bård Harstad

Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jul 15

I’ll modestly suggest my own book ‘Resources Matter: ending poverty while protecting nature’ (OUP). The PDF is free to download (open access) 👇 global.oup.com/academic/pro...

global.oup.com

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Reposted by Tony Addison, Robert Wolfe

Alan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · Jul 10

My Trade Secrets today.

If there’s one good thing about Trump’s tariff shambles it’s that governments that might have contemplated a protectionist campaign themselves - even the UK with its habitual embarrassing cringe towards US politics & policy - will see it and go “nah”.

First 300 clicks free.

Trump’s tariff shambles is a helpful warning to the world

[FREE TO READ] No sensible government would think of emulating his trade policies as they have his other plans

on.ft.com

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Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jul 8

“… the weighted average tariff for goods coming from Asia would rise to 27%— up from 4.8% in January — if all of the announced rates go into effect on Aug. 1 …”
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/07...

Trump Administration Live Updates: President Revives Trade War Threat

www.nytimes.com

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Peter Ungphakorn @coppetainpu.bsky.social · Jun 24

A new paper on “Emerging powers and the shifting patterns of influence on the WTO” is available as a pre-publication draft on ResearchGate. An appendix containing data used for part of the analysis is available on the blog.

With @bobwolfe.bsky.social

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2025/06/24/p...

New paper: Shifting patterns of influence in the World Trade Organization

The paper and accompanying data appendix focus largely on the clout of emerging economies in the WTO, the main arena where global power in trade can be assessed

tradebetablog.wordpress.com

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Linda Yueh @lindayueh.bsky.social · Jun 21

US tariffs in 2018-19 against China resulted in more employment and higher wages in the Mexican export sector, especially for lower-wage workers. The effects were concentrated in technology and skill-intensive manufacturing industries such as chemicals and automotives.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...

How the 2018/19 US tariffs against China boosted exports and employment in Mexico

In 2018 and 2019, the US administration hiked tariffs on imports from China. This column shows that imports from Mexico partly filled the gap, leading to an export and employment surge in Mexico. Using highly disaggregated firm-level data on Mexican exports, combined with detailed employer-employee data, the authors find that US tariffs against China resulted in more employment and higher wages in the Mexican export sector, especially for lower-wage workers such as female, unskilled, and younger employees. The effects were concentrated in technology and skill-intensive manufacturing industries such as chemicals and automotives.

cepr.org

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Antonio Fatas @antoniofatas.bsky.social · Jun 18

A very detailed analysis by @cepr.org researchers on the economic consequences of the second Trump administration.

Available for free at:

cepr.org/publications...

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Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jun 17

The business slot on Today is a prime example. Dominated by folk from the City discussing ‘the markets’ 🤷‍♀️

Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jun 17

“Social media main source of news in US…” www.bbc.com/news/article...

Social media now main source of news in US, research suggests

A report also finds right-leaning audiences on X have almost doubled in the UK since Elon Musk's takeover.

www.bbc.com

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Reposted by Tony Addison

National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · Jun 15

#WeekendReading 📃

In this paper from our latest NIER issue, @oxfordecondept.bsky.social‬'s @mcmahonecon.bsky.social‬ and @lovisareiche.bsky.social‬ examine gender differences in inflation expectations, attitudes and responses 👇
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jun 13

If you missed the conference, @unu-wider.bsky.social will be putting up vids of sessions. Meanwhile, the website has great material on all aspects of global development!

Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jun 11

UNU-WIDER : Safeguarding tomorrow – innovative approaches to growth and equity

This flagship event coincides with the 40th anniversary of UNU-WIDER and convenes leading thinkers and policymakers from across the globe to address some of the most press

www.wider.unu.edu

Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jun 11

Abhijit Banerjee ‘Social Protection for All’ @unu-wider.bsky.social
Annual Lecture

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Reposted by Tony Addison

UNU-WIDER @unu-wider.bsky.social · Jun 11

📺Happening Now!

Watch the WIDER Annual Lecture with Nobel Laureate Abhijit Banerjee:

go.unu.edu/8UQc1

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Reposted by Tony Addison

UNU-WIDER @unu-wider.bsky.social · Jun 10

3 highlights from our session on rethinking global financial architecture to finance social protection:

1️⃣ Domestic resource mobilization is essential
2️⃣ Developing countries need a voice in the global financial architecture
3️⃣ Jobs are the foundation of social protection

#WIDERDevConf2025

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Reposted by Tony Addison

UNU-WIDER @unu-wider.bsky.social · Jun 9

📘The UNU-WIDER book Poor Protection was the topic of Monday’s animated Fireside Chat

It explores how taxes & social benefits shape crisis response in developing countries

Stay tuned for its policy briefs + open access release later this year!
go.unu.edu/NGzOM
#WIDERDevConf202

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Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jun 9

Start of @unu-wider.bsky.social
conference "Safeguarding tomorrow - innovative approaches to growth and equity". Celebrating 40 years of impactful research 👍

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Tony Addison @tonysangle.bsky.social · Jun 9

🇺🇳🇫🇮... @unu-wider.bsky.social
conference 2025 in Helsinki "Safeguarding tomorrow - innovative approaches to growth and equity". Celebrating 40 years of policy research 👍

Reposted by Tony Addison, Marion Jansen

Peter Foster @pmdfoster.bsky.social · Jun 7

Spent the week truffling in the margins of the OECD conference on trade and the economy— here’s what i picked up was going behind the scenes.

on.ft.com/3ZlF7Uv Donald Trump’s go-it-alone trade doctrine shakes Paris summit

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Reposted by Tony Addison, Max Nathan

Hugo Lhuillier @hugolhuillier.com · Jun 6

🚨 New working paper 🚨

In large cities, wages are higher. But so are inequalities. In fact, low-wage workers earn lower real earnings there.

Why? What drives spatial wage disparities? Why some workers work at lower real wages in large cities?

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · Jun 5

"Are Businesses Absorbing the Tariffs or Passing Them On to Their Customers?" via @NewYorkFed libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2025/06/are-...
Spoiler: "most businesses passed on at least some of the higher tariffs to their customers,"

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Reposted by Tony Addison

Helen Dempster @helen-dempster.bsky.social · Jun 5

Excited to see our @cgdev.org research featured in this excellent @nytimes.com article about the devastating effect of the US' remittance tax on Africa, especially coming after extensive aid cuts.

www.nytimes.com/2025/06/03/w...

Trump Targets Key Lifeline for Africa: Money Sent Home by Immigrants

www.nytimes.com

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