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Do you support or oppose abolishing the US Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency, also known as ICE?
Oppose 50% (-12)
Support 42% (+18)
(shift since December 2024)
civiqs.com/results/abol...
Oppose 50% (-12)
Support 42% (+18)
(shift since December 2024)
civiqs.com/results/abol...
December 21, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Do you support or oppose abolishing the US Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency, also known as ICE?
Oppose 50% (-12)
Support 42% (+18)
(shift since December 2024)
civiqs.com/results/abol...
Oppose 50% (-12)
Support 42% (+18)
(shift since December 2024)
civiqs.com/results/abol...
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matt & co’s theory of how public opinion on immigration would respond to new information was simply empirically wrong.
at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
December 18, 2025 at 3:56 PM
matt & co’s theory of how public opinion on immigration would respond to new information was simply empirically wrong.
at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
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Here's Trump judicial nominee Justin Olson today, admitting than in 2015, he gave a sermon in which he said that “marriage was not intended for all people,” including “our handicapped friends or our persons with physical disabilities that might prevent the robust marriage that we’re called to.”
December 17, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Here's Trump judicial nominee Justin Olson today, admitting than in 2015, he gave a sermon in which he said that “marriage was not intended for all people,” including “our handicapped friends or our persons with physical disabilities that might prevent the robust marriage that we’re called to.”
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this is an important piece in the Atlantic: www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
but the claim that there is no partisan divide in rates of antisemitism is wrong. Look at the fourth chart of this post: yalepolling.substack.com/p/we-polled-...
but the claim that there is no partisan divide in rates of antisemitism is wrong. Look at the fourth chart of this post: yalepolling.substack.com/p/we-polled-...
‘The More I’m Around Young People, the More Panicked I Am’
Anti-Jewish prejudice isn’t a partisan divide—it’s a generational one.
www.theatlantic.com
December 16, 2025 at 1:32 PM
this is an important piece in the Atlantic: www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
but the claim that there is no partisan divide in rates of antisemitism is wrong. Look at the fourth chart of this post: yalepolling.substack.com/p/we-polled-...
but the claim that there is no partisan divide in rates of antisemitism is wrong. Look at the fourth chart of this post: yalepolling.substack.com/p/we-polled-...
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FDA Approves New Drug That Reverses Effects Of Narcan
FDA Approves New Drug That Reverses Effects Of Narcan
SILVER SPRING, MD—Praising the drug’s ability to quickly and effectively increase fatalities amongst the nation’s opioid users, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved a new nasal spray Wednesd...
theonion.com
December 3, 2025 at 4:00 PM
FDA Approves New Drug That Reverses Effects Of Narcan
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One of these is a racist, far-right aspiration to ethnically cleanse the West by forcibly removing all non-white people -- a goal now endorsed by the U.S. government.
The other is a sometimes ham-fisted effort to acknowledge this country's shitty treatment of indigenous people.
Not similar!
The other is a sometimes ham-fisted effort to acknowledge this country's shitty treatment of indigenous people.
Not similar!
December 3, 2025 at 2:30 PM
One of these is a racist, far-right aspiration to ethnically cleanse the West by forcibly removing all non-white people -- a goal now endorsed by the U.S. government.
The other is a sometimes ham-fisted effort to acknowledge this country's shitty treatment of indigenous people.
Not similar!
The other is a sometimes ham-fisted effort to acknowledge this country's shitty treatment of indigenous people.
Not similar!
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The fact that this is a surprise to Bradley, presumably Fenton, and a whole bunch of large adult son SOF officers is a justifiable reason alone to fire everyone at SOCOM, just for being fucking stupid
WAPO: “.. Officials in Congress and the Pentagon said Monday they are increasingly concerned that the Trump administration intends to scapegoat the military officer who directed U.S. forces to kill two survivors of a targeted strike ..”
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
December 2, 2025 at 2:49 AM
The fact that this is a surprise to Bradley, presumably Fenton, and a whole bunch of large adult son SOF officers is a justifiable reason alone to fire everyone at SOCOM, just for being fucking stupid
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Fish & Keller on the Crime of Undocumented Presence
Eric S. Fish (University of California, Davis - School of Law) & Doug Keller have posted Fabricating the Crime of Undocumented Presence on SSRN. Here is the abstract: In 2025, the Trump Administration’s Office of Legal Counsel declared that it is…
Eric S. Fish (University of California, Davis - School of Law) & Doug Keller have posted Fabricating the Crime of Undocumented Presence on SSRN. Here is the abstract: In 2025, the Trump Administration’s Office of Legal Counsel declared that it is…
Fish & Keller on the Crime of Undocumented Presence
Eric S. Fish (University of California, Davis - School of Law) & Doug Keller have posted Fabricating the Crime of Undocumented Presence on SSRN. Here is the abstract: In 2025, the Trump Administration’s Office of Legal Counsel declared that it is a federal crime simply to be an undocumented immigrant. But Congress has enacted no such crime. Congress has made it a crime, codified at 8 U.S.C.
legaltheoryblog.com
November 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Fish & Keller on the Crime of Undocumented Presence
Eric S. Fish (University of California, Davis - School of Law) & Doug Keller have posted Fabricating the Crime of Undocumented Presence on SSRN. Here is the abstract: In 2025, the Trump Administration’s Office of Legal Counsel declared that it is…
Eric S. Fish (University of California, Davis - School of Law) & Doug Keller have posted Fabricating the Crime of Undocumented Presence on SSRN. Here is the abstract: In 2025, the Trump Administration’s Office of Legal Counsel declared that it is…
Reposted
Every single congressional Democrat needs to be out there, right now, insisting that Pete Hegseth resign right now and announcing that he will be held accountable for committing war crimes.
If you do not demand accountability here and now, they will only become more emboldened.
If you do not demand accountability here and now, they will only become more emboldened.
Exclusive: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth gave an order to “kill everybody” in the first strike on suspected drug boats in the Caribbean. After two men survived, the mission commander ordered a second strike to comply with Hegseth’s instructions, according to two sources.
Hegseth order on first Caribbean boat strike, officials say: Kill them all
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued a verbal order to kill all crew members in the Sept. 2 strike on a suspected drug boat. Navy SEALs fired a second missile.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 28, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Every single congressional Democrat needs to be out there, right now, insisting that Pete Hegseth resign right now and announcing that he will be held accountable for committing war crimes.
If you do not demand accountability here and now, they will only become more emboldened.
If you do not demand accountability here and now, they will only become more emboldened.
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Criminal liability attaches for following an order "which a man of ordinary sense and understanding would, under the circumstances, know to be unlawful, or if the order in question is actually known to the accused to be unlawful." U.S. v. Calley (1974)
So the order for the US military to launch these deadly Caribbean boat strikes was straightforwardly illegal under US and international law, immoral under long established standards, and on top of that, terrible strategy.
Not maybe. Not got to check with a lawyer. Unambiguous. Blatant. Deliberate.
Not maybe. Not got to check with a lawyer. Unambiguous. Blatant. Deliberate.
Hegseth order on first Caribbean boat strike, officials say: Kill them all
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued a verbal order to kill all crew members in the Sept. 2 strike on a suspected drug boat. Navy SEALs fired a second missile.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 28, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Criminal liability attaches for following an order "which a man of ordinary sense and understanding would, under the circumstances, know to be unlawful, or if the order in question is actually known to the accused to be unlawful." U.S. v. Calley (1974)
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This is murder. www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
November 28, 2025 at 6:16 PM
This is murder. www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
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"a single person of this demographic may have committed a crime, therefore we must punish the entire demographic" is a policy response you may recognize from fascist governments dedicated to ethnic cleansing elsewhere.
November 27, 2025 at 5:52 AM
"a single person of this demographic may have committed a crime, therefore we must punish the entire demographic" is a policy response you may recognize from fascist governments dedicated to ethnic cleansing elsewhere.
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"Money can't buy back all that time."
George Bell Served 24 Years in Prison for a Crime He Didn’t Commit. Now He’s Learning to Live Again.
After a quarter century behind bars, he was exonerated for the 1996 crime and received the largest payout ever from New York City. But money can’t buy back all that time.
www.esquire.com
November 23, 2025 at 7:41 PM
"Money can't buy back all that time."
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Well, how about that? Seems just a little inconsistent with the position (and sworn testimony) DOJ presented to Judge Xinis.
SCOOP: Costa Rica says it will still accept Kilmar Abrego García, contradicting Trump’s DOJ
wapo.st/485rAFz
wapo.st/485rAFz
Costa Rica says it would accept Kilmar Abrego García, contradicting U.S.
The statement from a Costa Rican official conflicts with what the Trump administration told a federal judge about its attempts to deport the undocumented immigrant
wapo.st
November 22, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Well, how about that? Seems just a little inconsistent with the position (and sworn testimony) DOJ presented to Judge Xinis.
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The takeaway here is that there are times when Antonin Scalia valued diversity in elite institutions (when it helped him get a prestigious job he really wanted), and times when he did not (when a Black person got to go to Harvard) ballsandstrikes.substack.com/p/antonin-sc...
Antonin Scalia Was a Diversity Hire
The late justice spent his career ridiculing the notion that elite institutions had any interest in diversity. He might not have made the Supreme Court without it.
ballsandstrikes.substack.com
November 21, 2025 at 5:02 PM
The takeaway here is that there are times when Antonin Scalia valued diversity in elite institutions (when it helped him get a prestigious job he really wanted), and times when he did not (when a Black person got to go to Harvard) ballsandstrikes.substack.com/p/antonin-sc...
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This has a great explanation from Simon Sandoval-Moshenberg about the government’s failure to provide evidence suggesting it has tried to deport Mr. Abrego to Costa Rica. Instead, as part of a vicious campaign of retribution, it has tried to deport him to four separate countries in Africa.
Kilmar Abrego Garcia entered the news in March 2025 after he was deported to El Salvador despite a court ruling that should have prevented it. His complicated legal fight since then has galvanized both sides of the debate over President Trump’s immigration policies. https://to.pbs.org/48pqiVI
WATCH: Kilmar Abrego Garcia's attorney gives update on legal battle over ICE efforts to deport him
Kilmar Abrego Garcia entered the news in March 2025 after he was deported to El Salvador despite a court ruling that should have prevented it. His complicated legal fight since then has galvanized bot...
www.pbs.org
November 21, 2025 at 2:39 AM
This has a great explanation from Simon Sandoval-Moshenberg about the government’s failure to provide evidence suggesting it has tried to deport Mr. Abrego to Costa Rica. Instead, as part of a vicious campaign of retribution, it has tried to deport him to four separate countries in Africa.
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Just posted a draft law review article written with @dkeller.bsky.social. It concerns the Trump Administration's efforts to turn being an undocumented immigrant into a permanent criminal status. Available here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Fabricating the Crime of Undocumented Presence
<p>In 2025, the Trump Administration’s Office of Legal Counsel declared that it is a federal crime simply to be an undocumented immigrant. But Congress has enac
papers.ssrn.com
November 18, 2025 at 8:06 AM
Just posted a draft law review article written with @dkeller.bsky.social. It concerns the Trump Administration's efforts to turn being an undocumented immigrant into a permanent criminal status. Available here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted
Probably fewer women in economics because they’re just not as smart, right, Larry?
The emails have Summers reporting to Epstein about his attempts to date a Harvard economics student & to hit on her during a seminar she was giving.
November 16, 2025 at 12:52 AM
Probably fewer women in economics because they’re just not as smart, right, Larry?
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It's not just that he's a pedophile, he was the least popular pedophile
November 13, 2025 at 3:15 PM
It's not just that he's a pedophile, he was the least popular pedophile
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One analytical model shows that, as of November 5th, the dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. has already caused the deaths of 600,000 people, two-thirds of them children. https://newyorkermag.visitlink.me/jUzNSc
The Shutdown of U.S.A.I.D. Has Already Killed Hundreds of Thousands
The short documentary “Rovina’s Choice” tells the story of what goes when aid goes.
newyorkermag.visitlink.me
November 6, 2025 at 9:00 PM
One analytical model shows that, as of November 5th, the dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. has already caused the deaths of 600,000 people, two-thirds of them children. https://newyorkermag.visitlink.me/jUzNSc
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@nytopinion.nytimes.com if you were trying to enter the “rage clickbait” media game, you succeeded. This is a shockingly offensive headline and an example of why I felt compelled to cancel my formerly-beloved NYT subscription. Really disappointing.
November 6, 2025 at 1:20 PM
@nytopinion.nytimes.com if you were trying to enter the “rage clickbait” media game, you succeeded. This is a shockingly offensive headline and an example of why I felt compelled to cancel my formerly-beloved NYT subscription. Really disappointing.
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AP: California’s Proposition 50 has passed 👏👏👏
Fight fire with fire!
Fight fire with fire!
November 5, 2025 at 4:04 AM
AP: California’s Proposition 50 has passed 👏👏👏
Fight fire with fire!
Fight fire with fire!
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In Memoriam:
Cheney Haunted By People He Didn't Manage To Kill In Iraq War
Cheney Haunted By People He Didn't Manage To Kill In Iraq War
November 4, 2025 at 5:14 PM
In Memoriam:
Cheney Haunted By People He Didn't Manage To Kill In Iraq War
Cheney Haunted By People He Didn't Manage To Kill In Iraq War
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May I present a former clerk to Justice Gorsuch.
October 26, 2025 at 9:52 PM
May I present a former clerk to Justice Gorsuch.