Geoffrey Harris
@geoffreyharris.bsky.social
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
"We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%." #Brexit
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 10, 2025 at 5:42 PM
"We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%." #Brexit
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
Read that from Musk closely:
"Civilisations" with seperate and distinct characters are locked in a Darwinian fight for survival, and hearts must be sufficiently hardened to do what is necessary in order to prevail.
Can you name a historical precedent for this worldview?
"Civilisations" with seperate and distinct characters are locked in a Darwinian fight for survival, and hearts must be sufficiently hardened to do what is necessary in order to prevail.
Can you name a historical precedent for this worldview?
I helped make a film, out this week, called “Rovina’s Choice,” about the deaths this man without conscience or accountability has caused — already 600,000, ⅔ of them children.
November 7, 2025 at 8:04 PM
Read that from Musk closely:
"Civilisations" with seperate and distinct characters are locked in a Darwinian fight for survival, and hearts must be sufficiently hardened to do what is necessary in order to prevail.
Can you name a historical precedent for this worldview?
"Civilisations" with seperate and distinct characters are locked in a Darwinian fight for survival, and hearts must be sufficiently hardened to do what is necessary in order to prevail.
Can you name a historical precedent for this worldview?
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
I reckon the most interesting subset of discourse here is when presumed [good] factors are actually either actually bad, or there to downplay or dismiss the bad even if the amount of good is way smaller than the bad.
A short thread to explain: on "training for electrification" + "demand response"
A short thread to explain: on "training for electrification" + "demand response"
I would love it if public discourse on data centers could be just a skosh more sophisticated than "data centers good vs. data centers bad."
November 7, 2025 at 12:19 PM
I reckon the most interesting subset of discourse here is when presumed [good] factors are actually either actually bad, or there to downplay or dismiss the bad even if the amount of good is way smaller than the bad.
A short thread to explain: on "training for electrification" + "demand response"
A short thread to explain: on "training for electrification" + "demand response"
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
1. This is a thread on freedom, and how easy it is to lose.
Over the past 2,000 years in Europe, there have been few periods and places of freedom. For much of the time we lived under highly oppressive tyrannies of various kinds, whether small or grand, local or imperial, secular or religious.🧵
Over the past 2,000 years in Europe, there have been few periods and places of freedom. For much of the time we lived under highly oppressive tyrannies of various kinds, whether small or grand, local or imperial, secular or religious.🧵
November 7, 2025 at 6:35 AM
1. This is a thread on freedom, and how easy it is to lose.
Over the past 2,000 years in Europe, there have been few periods and places of freedom. For much of the time we lived under highly oppressive tyrannies of various kinds, whether small or grand, local or imperial, secular or religious.🧵
Over the past 2,000 years in Europe, there have been few periods and places of freedom. For much of the time we lived under highly oppressive tyrannies of various kinds, whether small or grand, local or imperial, secular or religious.🧵
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
The US government's decision to stop supporting a telescope facility that would have given us unprecedented insight into the early universe is calamitous, says Chanda Prescod-Weinstein
The end of US support for the CMB-S4 telescope is devastating
The US government's decision to stop supporting a telescope facility that would have given us unprecedented insight into the early universe is calamitous, says Chanda Prescod-Weinstein
www.newscientist.com
November 7, 2025 at 6:45 AM
The US government's decision to stop supporting a telescope facility that would have given us unprecedented insight into the early universe is calamitous, says Chanda Prescod-Weinstein
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
To follow up, most foreign govts (even and perhaps especially US allies) have an interest in weakening Trump. Netanyahu has demonstrated it can be done wrt Dem presidents. And Trump (as well as Vance and Musk) have demonstrated their willingness to do it to them.
Time to put the screws on.
Time to put the screws on.
November 5, 2025 at 12:26 PM
To follow up, most foreign govts (even and perhaps especially US allies) have an interest in weakening Trump. Netanyahu has demonstrated it can be done wrt Dem presidents. And Trump (as well as Vance and Musk) have demonstrated their willingness to do it to them.
Time to put the screws on.
Time to put the screws on.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
Trump just continually shooting our country in the face. This unwarranted (and likely illegal) destruction of Goddard is madness. It jeopardizes the next several decades of space exploration.
Reposting to correct an error: trump admin is quietly gutting 13 buildings and about 100 laboratories at Goddard campus that has been instrumental to Hubble and James Webb telescope missions. Staff say they’ve be locked and told to move equipment. Anything left behind will be thrown away.
NASA may be quietly gutting an iconic campus with what it calls strategic closures, workers fear
(CNN) — Alarm is growing among federal workers at NASA’s iconic Goddard Space Flight Center’s main campus in Greenbelt, Maryland — the nerve center for groundbreaking missions like the Hubble
www.wkow.com
November 5, 2025 at 4:38 PM
Trump just continually shooting our country in the face. This unwarranted (and likely illegal) destruction of Goddard is madness. It jeopardizes the next several decades of space exploration.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
#UkrainianView
One more post, the similar topic. People on the occupied areas are forced to go to the frontlines.
Post for the adepts of "these people are russian-speaking and they wanted their oblast to be part of russia(c)".
Their home is occupied and they are used as cannon fodder.🔽
One more post, the similar topic. People on the occupied areas are forced to go to the frontlines.
Post for the adepts of "these people are russian-speaking and they wanted their oblast to be part of russia(c)".
Their home is occupied and they are used as cannon fodder.🔽
War crime btw
Russia has officially integrated occupied Ukrainian territories into its Southern Military District and plans to begin mobilizing 50,000 to 100,000 residents for the war effort, according to Ukraine’s National Resistance Center. Men aged 18–55, including conscripts, will be recruited by force.
November 2, 2025 at 10:41 PM
#UkrainianView
One more post, the similar topic. People on the occupied areas are forced to go to the frontlines.
Post for the adepts of "these people are russian-speaking and they wanted their oblast to be part of russia(c)".
Their home is occupied and they are used as cannon fodder.🔽
One more post, the similar topic. People on the occupied areas are forced to go to the frontlines.
Post for the adepts of "these people are russian-speaking and they wanted their oblast to be part of russia(c)".
Their home is occupied and they are used as cannon fodder.🔽
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
War crime btw
Russia has officially integrated occupied Ukrainian territories into its Southern Military District and plans to begin mobilizing 50,000 to 100,000 residents for the war effort, according to Ukraine’s National Resistance Center. Men aged 18–55, including conscripts, will be recruited by force.
November 2, 2025 at 9:41 PM
War crime btw
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
“And for what? A cankerous glut of racist memes and cardboard essays. Not only is the ratio of AI’s resource rapacity to its productive utility indefensibly and irremediably skewed, AI-made material is itself a waste product: flimsy, shoddy, disposable, a single-use plastic of the mind.”
Large Language Muddle | The Editors
The AI upheaval is unique in its ability to metabolize any number of dread-inducing transformations. The university is becoming more corporate, more politically oppressive, and all but hostile to the ...
www.nplusonemag.com
November 1, 2025 at 12:34 PM
“And for what? A cankerous glut of racist memes and cardboard essays. Not only is the ratio of AI’s resource rapacity to its productive utility indefensibly and irremediably skewed, AI-made material is itself a waste product: flimsy, shoddy, disposable, a single-use plastic of the mind.”
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
"... the impact of Brexit for the City of London is clear. 'Frankfurt, Madrid, Milan and Paris are all doing better than they were. It has been at London’s expense. There is no question about that.'” www.theguardian.com/business/202...
‘The money machine is misfiring’: City blames Brexit for UK’s £20bn productivity headache
Poor output since the leave vote has landed Rachel Reeves with a bigger-than-forecast budget spending gap
www.theguardian.com
October 31, 2025 at 5:52 PM
"... the impact of Brexit for the City of London is clear. 'Frankfurt, Madrid, Milan and Paris are all doing better than they were. It has been at London’s expense. There is no question about that.'” www.theguardian.com/business/202...
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
This is just an amazing result. Sorry BBC and everyone else but you can take your unstoppable fash populism narrative and stick it up your arse.
The centre-left D66 has made its largest ever gains and almost tripled its seats in parliament.
Netherlands centrist party wins big in election as far right loses support
The centre-left D66 has made its largest ever gains and almost tripled its seats in parliament.
bit.ly
October 30, 2025 at 7:04 AM
This is just an amazing result. Sorry BBC and everyone else but you can take your unstoppable fash populism narrative and stick it up your arse.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
Depending on CCS or other future-tech in your climate solutions framework is “like clinging to a balloon as it rises higher. The hope seems real but the distance from the ground only widens and you can only hold on for so long.”
The Black Thread, Ep 3: Challenging the Narratives
Podcast Episode · Drilled · S14 Bonus · 50m
podcasts.apple.com
October 29, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Depending on CCS or other future-tech in your climate solutions framework is “like clinging to a balloon as it rises higher. The hope seems real but the distance from the ground only widens and you can only hold on for so long.”
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
notes on gatesnotes, in a thread
"A new way to look at the problem" - er, no, he's been running this line for DECADES
On the headline: you can absolutely guarantee anyone presenting themselves as telling tough, hard truths is about to deliver some self-aggrandising nonsense
"A new way to look at the problem" - er, no, he's been running this line for DECADES
On the headline: you can absolutely guarantee anyone presenting themselves as telling tough, hard truths is about to deliver some self-aggrandising nonsense
October 29, 2025 at 7:34 PM
notes on gatesnotes, in a thread
"A new way to look at the problem" - er, no, he's been running this line for DECADES
On the headline: you can absolutely guarantee anyone presenting themselves as telling tough, hard truths is about to deliver some self-aggrandising nonsense
"A new way to look at the problem" - er, no, he's been running this line for DECADES
On the headline: you can absolutely guarantee anyone presenting themselves as telling tough, hard truths is about to deliver some self-aggrandising nonsense
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
Big loser of the night is the perpetual "Europe doomed" narrative. Great win for Center/center left parties, while far-right got dinged but remains part of the political landscape.
The notion of the far-right always rising and it being 1933 in Europe has just grown really stale.
The notion of the far-right always rising and it being 1933 in Europe has just grown really stale.
The significance of a D66 win in 🇳🇱 (if it transpires) will need some explaining outside the country. The Netherlands, like Denmark, has two liberal parties: one rooted in the classical liberal tradition, the other in the radical liberal one. D66 is the latter, ie the left-of-centre liberal party.
DUTCH EXIT POLL
Outstanding for Jetten’s D66, above all expectations
Wilders about in line with expectations
Timmermans: solid but disappointing; lost seats
CDA solid but on lower side of expectations
Outstanding for Jetten’s D66, above all expectations
Wilders about in line with expectations
Timmermans: solid but disappointing; lost seats
CDA solid but on lower side of expectations
October 29, 2025 at 10:45 PM
Big loser of the night is the perpetual "Europe doomed" narrative. Great win for Center/center left parties, while far-right got dinged but remains part of the political landscape.
The notion of the far-right always rising and it being 1933 in Europe has just grown really stale.
The notion of the far-right always rising and it being 1933 in Europe has just grown really stale.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
X is a cesspit led by an unhinged billionaire who is desperately trying to stir up civil war in Britain.
Nobody with any sense or decency should be there.
No organisations, government departments, or politicians should be there.
Everyone who is, is enabling this monster.
Nobody with any sense or decency should be there.
No organisations, government departments, or politicians should be there.
Everyone who is, is enabling this monster.
October 29, 2025 at 8:22 AM
X is a cesspit led by an unhinged billionaire who is desperately trying to stir up civil war in Britain.
Nobody with any sense or decency should be there.
No organisations, government departments, or politicians should be there.
Everyone who is, is enabling this monster.
Nobody with any sense or decency should be there.
No organisations, government departments, or politicians should be there.
Everyone who is, is enabling this monster.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
Everything is a distraction from this.
‘Change course now’: humanity has missed 1.5C climate target, says UN head
Exclusive: ‘Devastating consequences’ now inevitable but emissions cuts still vital, says António Guterres in sole interview before Cop30
www.theguardian.com
October 28, 2025 at 12:11 AM
Everything is a distraction from this.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
Muslim British Journalist Sami Hamdi has been abducted by ICE. He was already in the U.S. legally on a visa, but was abducted while attempting to fly from San Francisco to Florida on a domestic flight. Laura Loomer is taking credit for getting him abducted due to his criticism of Israel and the US.
October 26, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Muslim British Journalist Sami Hamdi has been abducted by ICE. He was already in the U.S. legally on a visa, but was abducted while attempting to fly from San Francisco to Florida on a domestic flight. Laura Loomer is taking credit for getting him abducted due to his criticism of Israel and the US.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
New 'state of climate action' report gives you a much better picture than daily headlines about contextless solar panel or EV sales
- Most things are going in the right direction
- Most things are badly off track to the pace of change required
systemschangelab.org/state-climat...
- Most things are going in the right direction
- Most things are badly off track to the pace of change required
systemschangelab.org/state-climat...
October 22, 2025 at 10:08 AM
New 'state of climate action' report gives you a much better picture than daily headlines about contextless solar panel or EV sales
- Most things are going in the right direction
- Most things are badly off track to the pace of change required
systemschangelab.org/state-climat...
- Most things are going in the right direction
- Most things are badly off track to the pace of change required
systemschangelab.org/state-climat...
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
My overriding reason for voting Remain, and why the people persuaded by Lexit need to be launched from a cannon into the sun, given how this country's politics has *always* trended conservative (and now worse).
Death by parliamentary sovereignty, yayyy, so very democratic, so much will of people.
Death by parliamentary sovereignty, yayyy, so very democratic, so much will of people.
We are living through one of the costs of Brexit; lack of institutional restraint leaves your laws prey to lunatic far right populism, in the form of both Reform and Tory policies on mass deportation of legal residents.
October 22, 2025 at 8:11 AM
My overriding reason for voting Remain, and why the people persuaded by Lexit need to be launched from a cannon into the sun, given how this country's politics has *always* trended conservative (and now worse).
Death by parliamentary sovereignty, yayyy, so very democratic, so much will of people.
Death by parliamentary sovereignty, yayyy, so very democratic, so much will of people.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
You may have heard about UK ministers' plan to double to 10 years the time needed to reached settled status in the UK. But did you realise that it threatened access to pensions for the 180,000 people who came from Hong Kong on the UK government's visa scheme? My dispatch: www.ft.com/content/8b91...
UK Hongkongers rue the rockiness of their ‘lifeboat’ after threatened visa changes
People who fled Chinese territory are angry after London looks at doubling length of time required to gain citizenship
www.ft.com
October 22, 2025 at 6:21 AM
You may have heard about UK ministers' plan to double to 10 years the time needed to reached settled status in the UK. But did you realise that it threatened access to pensions for the 180,000 people who came from Hong Kong on the UK government's visa scheme? My dispatch: www.ft.com/content/8b91...
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
On Zack Polanski’s Bold Politics podcast. Has Brexit damage gone away? No - we’re bleeding money & opportunities every day because we are structurally in a bad place now.
October 21, 2025 at 9:50 AM
On Zack Polanski’s Bold Politics podcast. Has Brexit damage gone away? No - we’re bleeding money & opportunities every day because we are structurally in a bad place now.
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
"...acrimonious meeting appeared to reflect the capricious nature of Trump’s position on the war..." capricious full stop.
Trump's AI poo jet post a day later should confirm to even the most forgiving Realist™️ that there is no strategy. Just a US President whose brain is mush
Trump's AI poo jet post a day later should confirm to even the most forgiving Realist™️ that there is no strategy. Just a US President whose brain is mush
NEW:Trump urged Zelenskyy to accept Russia’s terms for ending its war in a volatile White House meeting on Friday, warning that Putin had said he would “destroy” Ukraine if it did not agree.
The meeting between Trump and Zelenskyy descended many times into a “shouting match” on.ft.com/3WMSQSu
The meeting between Trump and Zelenskyy descended many times into a “shouting match” on.ft.com/3WMSQSu
Trump urged Zelenskyy to accept Putin’s terms or be ‘destroyed’ by Russia
US president tossed aside maps of Ukraine frontline in volatile White House meeting
on.ft.com
October 19, 2025 at 6:31 PM
"...acrimonious meeting appeared to reflect the capricious nature of Trump’s position on the war..." capricious full stop.
Trump's AI poo jet post a day later should confirm to even the most forgiving Realist™️ that there is no strategy. Just a US President whose brain is mush
Trump's AI poo jet post a day later should confirm to even the most forgiving Realist™️ that there is no strategy. Just a US President whose brain is mush
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
Well this is a proper head scratcher.
But yeah, fiddling around with tax and getting rid of consumer protections should sort it.
Wonder what those ‘former chancellors and prime ministers’ had to say about this shitshow. Any mention of Brexit at all??
(Times and Private Eye)
But yeah, fiddling around with tax and getting rid of consumer protections should sort it.
Wonder what those ‘former chancellors and prime ministers’ had to say about this shitshow. Any mention of Brexit at all??
(Times and Private Eye)
October 18, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Well this is a proper head scratcher.
But yeah, fiddling around with tax and getting rid of consumer protections should sort it.
Wonder what those ‘former chancellors and prime ministers’ had to say about this shitshow. Any mention of Brexit at all??
(Times and Private Eye)
But yeah, fiddling around with tax and getting rid of consumer protections should sort it.
Wonder what those ‘former chancellors and prime ministers’ had to say about this shitshow. Any mention of Brexit at all??
(Times and Private Eye)
Reposted by Geoffrey Harris
maybe raise this with the party refusing to make the electoral system less stupid first
There are less than 200 constituencies across the entire UK in which the right cannot win. The only way to beat them is to vote tactically. In most parts of England, if you do not vote for your sitting Labour MP you will be making it easier for Reform to take power. That's just a simple fact.
October 17, 2025 at 12:34 PM
maybe raise this with the party refusing to make the electoral system less stupid first