Tony Yates
@t0nyyates.bsky.social
32K followers 1.6K following 21K posts
Economist. Ex Prof / central banker. Macro, politics, money, central banks, finance, Brexit, covid, AI, climbing, MUFC, list guy, Blueskyism.
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t0nyyates.bsky.social
OK I've just seen it advertised that LLMs can be used to create coherent new artificial languages. But apart from helping write new fantasy novels or film scripts, what use is this? [I'm not @ing those involved in the posts because it's impolite and maybe I'm not seeing something I should].
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Why? Are you referring to the fact that now they have an independent source of defence because it's home grown? Or some technological breakthrough?
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Unless, that is, people understand the threat Farage poses, in which case the doom loop is broken. If they understood that now, of course, he would not be polling so well in the first place.
t0nyyates.bsky.social
UK is a highly uncertain prospect because Farage is polling so well, and his program is potentially so disruptive and damaging, and might even threaten our normal democratic politics. This is going to take its toll now, making it even more likely that Farage wins in 2029.
Reposted by Tony Yates
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Only one saucy reply - what a wholesome lot they are!
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Also we need a killjoys doomsayers starter pack
bearlypolitics.co.uk
With the world being… gestures wildly at everything… one of the most important things we can still do is laugh - sometimes hysterically, sometimes just to stay sane.

So, with that in mind, I present to you:

People Who Make Me Laugh.

Let me know in the comments who rlse should be added.

🐻
Reposted by Tony Yates
bearlypolitics.co.uk
With the world being… gestures wildly at everything… one of the most important things we can still do is laugh - sometimes hysterically, sometimes just to stay sane.

So, with that in mind, I present to you:

People Who Make Me Laugh.

Let me know in the comments who rlse should be added.

🐻
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Should we do another letter Ken?
t0nyyates.bsky.social
That would be a huge change in the story. Previous story was they can 'make Brexit work'... no case for joining Single Market... This is very close to saying that Brexit can't work and that there is a case for joining the SM/CU.
t0nyyates.bsky.social
MIT reject the Trump compact restricting universities, a short time after Nobel laureates Dufflo and Banerjee announce they are leaving MIT for Zurich, presumably because of the overall threat to research funding and the US crisis in general.
Reposted by Tony Yates
josephpolitano.bsky.social
“we are reneging on previous deals you’ve made with us until you make another deal with us” wow l can’t think of any reason this strategy ain’t working
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Is that a coincidence I was presuming it was
Reposted by Tony Yates
interfluidity.com
kind of fun that frog is now both a fascist-adjacent and antifascist-adjacent icon.

slippery little guy, that one!
Reposted by Tony Yates
robmanuelyeah.bsky.social
Some people say, ok AI is 80% right and 20% hallucinations, and if you know that then you can work with it.

Out of curiosity I asked AI to summarise the last b3ta newsletter & every single bit of this, other than the title, isn't true. Not just a distortion, but absolutely untrue. Pure fantasy.
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Another reminder why it the value of giving concessions in pursuit of a deal is lower than you think. Time and again he feels the need to walk away, out of petulance or boredom.
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
Nasdaq down 2%.
financialtimes.com
Breaking news: Donald Trump warned that he was considering a 'massive increase' in tariffs on China and suggested he could cancel his planned summit with Xi Jinping as he lashed out at Beijing’s trade policy. on.ft.com/4nDpBNQ
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Seems like it has the potential to catch on. Also Trump's lot hate being ridiculed.
epicciuto.bsky.social
Blown away by how good an idea the costumes are. More shareable and fun than pics of a regular protest, and it’s immediately clear that the protestors are non-violent.
caitlinmoriah.bsky.social
there are SO many more inflatable costumes tonight. clearly we have settled on a motif
t0nyyates.bsky.social
I had a go at watching the originals but too many people on here post spoilers. Got v annoying. Probably better off for it I guess.
Reposted by Tony Yates
epicciuto.bsky.social
Blown away by how good an idea the costumes are. More shareable and fun than pics of a regular protest, and it’s immediately clear that the protestors are non-violent.
caitlinmoriah.bsky.social
there are SO many more inflatable costumes tonight. clearly we have settled on a motif
Wide shot of many people in inflatable costumes
Reposted by Tony Yates
joxley.jmoxley.co.uk
The perpetual puzzle of this lot is the Emperor's New Clothes thing that stops everyone in the audience going "Yeah, but that's mental isn't it?"
washingtonpost.com
Exclusive: Tech billionaire Peter Thiel warned that Swedish activist Greta Thunberg and critics of AI are “legionnaires of the Antichrist” in private lectures that connected government oversight of Silicon Valley to an apocalyptic future.
Inside billionaire Peter Thiel’s private lectures: Warnings of ‘the Antichrist’ and U.S. destruction
In leaked recordings of private lectures by tech billionaire Peter Thiel he argued that “the Antichrist” is likely to take the form of a critic of technology.
wapo.st
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Weird how in every context Trump sets aside the option of encouraging - through negotiation or incentives - the other party to do what you want [and not fire missiles on the homeland in this case].
maxboot.bsky.social
Trump claims Golden Dome will cost $175B, be built in 3 years and protect the US with a “success rate … very close to 100%.” CSIS found that Trump’s vision would actually cost $3.6 trillion over 20 years and still fall “short of creating a nearly impenetrable shield.” wapo.st/4pMJuDL
Opinion | Kathryn Bigelow’s ‘A House of Dynamite’ sounds the nuclear alarm
If a nuclear missile were headed toward the U.S. right now, how would the White House respond?
wapo.st
t0nyyates.bsky.social
I bet she also does phone calls on top of this
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Everything he says worth paying heed to has been said before less glibly, and everything that hasn’t isn’t worth reading… except to participate in the JG discourse.
t0nyyates.bsky.social
This is a bit harsh on Yes Minister tbh