Chris Hanretty

@chanret.bsky.social

9.5K followers 1.3K following 3.2K posts

I teach politics at a university in the UK. I'm interested in electoral systems, public opinion, and the politics of non-majoritarian institutions like courts and regulators.

ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-9405

Videos

Political science 32%

Law 25%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 17h

Loving this reaction from gold medallist in the women's monobob, Elana Meyers Taylor (aged 41 and a half) #AccidentalPartridge

Quote reads: "You get a lot of people that like to write you off as soon as you reach 40, it's all downhill from there, is what you hear," she said. "I think Elana and I are both proof that that's not true.""

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

Well, modesty forbids, obviously

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

Thank you!

Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 1d

Problem about the loneliness epidemic is, it's everywhere except in representative survey data. Let's look at where the claim comes from. 1/

Jon Mellon @jonmellon.bsky.social · 1d

Case in point, @pengzell.bsky.social just sent me 5 papers proving that there’s not actually any evidence for a loneliness epidemic. My mind is highly changed

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Alexander Wuttke, Chris Hanretty , and 3 more Lisa W. Fazio, Alexander Wuttke, Chris Hanretty, Aaron Sojourner, Tom van der Meer, Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Jon Mellon @jonmellon.bsky.social · 1d

Case in point, @pengzell.bsky.social just sent me 5 papers proving that there’s not actually any evidence for a loneliness epidemic. My mind is highly changed

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Chris Bertram @crookedfootball.bsky.social · 1d

Although, as the famous story goes, limes aren't so effective against scurvy

Scott And Scurvy (Idle Words)

idlewords.com

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Elias Koch @eliaskoch.bsky.social · 1d

Such a fascinating paper by @chanret.bsky.social, Vesa Koskimaa & Patrick Leslie 👏
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Legislators talk less about the future as they age | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja

www.journals.uchicago.edu

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 1d

I Call This One, Young People These Days Got No Respect For The Law

Lamppost with two stickers attached: one sticker of Diana, Princess of Wales; below, a heart-shaped sticker with text, "English Common Law"

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 2d

Thanks, this is a very useful clarification!

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Cat Hicks @grimalkina.bsky.social · 2d

Key to efficient learning is realizing how we ACTUALLY learn, not just what FEELS like learning. I wrote a Claude Skill for some friends to help them think about this and they've liked it -- see Principles for some directions you could explore

github.com/DrCatHicks/l...

GitHub - DrCatHicks/learning-opportunities: A Claude Code skill for deliberate skill development during AI-assisted coding

A Claude Code skill for deliberate skill development during AI-assisted coding - DrCatHicks/learning-opportunities

github.com

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 3d

Reverse coffee hormesis!

Reposted by Will Jennings, Tim Bale, Chris Hanretty , and 1 more Will Jennings, Tim Bale, Chris Hanretty, Ben Worthy

Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 4d

Latest piece for the @thehousemag.bsky.social on the Don't Knows - who are more likely to be women.

www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

The Professor Will See You Now: dunno

There are two cartoons, seen when much younger, which I think of often.

www.politicshome.com

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Chris Hanretty, Scott Clifford , and 4 more Ben H. Ansell, Chris Hanretty, Scott Clifford, Markus Wagner, Philip Cowley, Christian Rauh, Roman Senninger

Benjamin Lauderdale @benlauderdale.bsky.social · 4d

Nick Vivyan, Chris Hanretty (@chanret.bsky.social) and I have a new book out: “Idiosyncratic Issue Opinion and Political Choice”. The core of the book is making the argument that citizens’ views about political issues neither reduce to an ideological orientation nor to a lack of substance. (1/10)

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Ben Stanley @benstanley.eu · 4d

Fairly comfortable in saying your book has made its Polish debut, @chanret.bsky.social

Reposted by Chris Hanretty, Robert C. Richards, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · 5d

The Median Voter Theorem is a Clarity Trap www.programmablemutter.com/p/the-median...

The Median Voter Theorem is a Clarity Trap

What the Democratic party needs; what it demands, is bold, persistent experimentation

www.programmablemutter.com

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 5d

There is evidence that female party leaders are more likely to come to power after their party has lost seats: doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library

Party leaders are the main actors controlling campaign strategies, policy agendas, and government formation in advanced parliamentary democracies. Little is known, however, about gender and party lea...

doi.org

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Kathleen Weldon @kathleenweldon.bsky.social · 6d

Whoa thehill.com/homenews/med...

thehill.com

Reposted by Brian A. Nosek, Dan Goldhaber, Brendan Nyhan , and 32 more Brian A. Nosek, Dan Goldhaber, Brendan Nyhan, James P. Collins, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Ruth Dassonneville, Alistair Munro, Jörg Peters, Brian Schaffner, Caroline Krafft, Philip N. Cohen, Alexander Wuttke, John Holbein, Justin H. Kirkland, Chris Hanretty, Scott Clifford, Valerie Mueller, Ingo Rohlfing, Michael Kevane, Flávio Azevedo, Max Nathan, Veli‐Matti Karhulahti, Philip Cowley, Julia Lynch, Juan Moreno‐Cruz, Madeleine Pownall, Patrick Präg, Marcus Credé, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte, Tom Louwerse, Aleksandra Urman, Samuel Coavoux, Jake Anders, Roman Senninger, Joan Dudney

Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 6d

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 6d

I think the stronger claim concerns peer reviewed publications, which @robertsaunders.bsky.social includes bsky.app/profile/robe...

Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 6d

TBH I don't think academia covered itself with glory after 2016. There was a lot of unevidenced, hyper-partisan writing that should never have got through peer-review, much of which was invective, not analysis. History was more culpable than PolSci & there's been some great Brexit writing. But...

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 6d

Without wishing (too much!) to get you into trouble: does such a claim require examples?

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 6d

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 8d

And physicists can always shit on the engineers for *their* approximations

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 8d

Cc @annemeng.bsky.social and @anthlittle.bsky.social , if not already considered

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 9d

I saw a post comparing it to concussion checks in other sports. It's not so much about "how people choose between options", but someone external saying, "no, that's not an option"

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 9d

I saw a post comparing it to concussion checks in other sports. It's not so much about "how people choose between options", but someone external saying, "no, that's not an option"

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 10d

I do wonder whether Lindsay Vonn should have had more people around her saying "you must not do this". I'm sure there must have been some (and probably multiple doctors).

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 10d

Sinner certainly, but I am only a very occasional watcher of winter sports...

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 10d

Never heard of an Italian "Ian" before...

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 10d

What proportion of Trentino Alto Adige's population is competing for Italy at this Olympics?

Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 11d

I'd love to see the same analysis for Confederation Bridge / Prince Edward Island

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 11d

Clever and interesting paper on (literally) bridging political cultures

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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