Declan Gaffney
@greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
7.5K followers 530 following 5.5K posts
Research, analysis & grey-skies thinking on labour markets, social security, public finance & equality. Usual disclaimer. Cheap foreign labour 🇮🇪. Profile pic is Takashi Shimura with Toshiro Mifune in Stray Dog (Akira Kurosawa, 1949).
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greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
If all young people deferred having children until they could meet the entire cost of raising them, there'd be no workers to pay for pensions in thirty years time.
timbale.bsky.social
Dickensian vibes. Letter in today's @financialtimes.com
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
stephenkb.bsky.social
No, it's not. It's all a lie. The blunt truth is across the 1991, 2001, 2011 and 2021 Census *every* ethnic group in the UK has become *less* geographically segregated and *all* groups, majority and minorities, are more likely to interact with people not like them.
igmansfield.bsky.social
Outstanding piece by Stephen Daisley.

Ethnicity is no barrier to Britishness - it's culture and integration.

That means 'smaller cohorts and aggressive integration policies' - and tackling the institutions that 'have amplified grievance narratives and radical anti-Western ideologies'.
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
malwaretech.com
People keep endlessly falling for this idea that if they can just finally prove once and for all that Trump is a bad person, his voters will turn their back on him and it'll all be over. It's not even remotely close to reality and should have been clear as day the second he got elected back in 2016.
greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
It's not usually hard to identify the point in a Simenon novel where he's bored and just wants to get it over with. When the same character is called Nina in one chapter and Anna in the next you kinda know you're not in for an elegant resolution.
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
lewisgoodall.com
Am wondering if all of those suddenly deciding they’re against communities living “parallel lives” might reconsider their support of religious schools? Or indeed private ones?
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com
THE SECRET PROJECT I'VE BEEN WORKING ON FOR THE PAST FEW MONTHS IS FINALLY LIVE

CHECK IT OUT

outsidersartsclub.com
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
barristersecret.bsky.social
This is a lie.

There are many criticisms you might sensibly and truthfully make of the Sentencing Council and the Sentencing Guidelines. I’ve been making them for years.

But this is an outright lie. Pure fabrication. A fraud on the public.
greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
No. It's because they just didn't do the work, which is tricky and time-consuming. There's lots of other official data that doesn't fit with
government messaging.
greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
I really really don't want an election in France, presidential or legislative.
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
benansell.bsky.social
Oh, that kind of integration… ah well… nevertheless
domw.bsky.social
"We want people to be living in mixed communities, don't we?"

Robert Jenrick's home is in Eye, Herefordshire, where 165 out of 166 residents were white at the time of the last census.
bestforbritain.org
Wow. Robert Jenrick doubles down by branding a black journalist's questions "ridiculous" and saying that the problem is not his comments, but "journalists like you who pop up and try to knock me down", adding that "this is the reason why terrorist attacks happen". ~AA
greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
🧵This is not just an issue for specialists. Official data which is not fit for purpose is feeding a crisis narrative on benefit claims that is for the most part accepted uncritically by political elites and the media.
louisemurphy.bsky.social
It's increasingly perplexing that DWP aren't prioritising improving their stats to better reflect the move from legacy benefits to UC.

Until then, we'll keep getting misleading headlines like 'Long-term sickness claims rising by 5,000 a day' - you can't blame journalists when the stats are so bad!
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
samfr.bsky.social
I don't think there is any substantive difference between Reform and the Tories on asylum or justice anymore. We don't have a centre-right party.
greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
That accent aigu will haunt me till my dying day.
greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
Sorta comforting to see some Parisian traditions haven't died off yet. I mean just try to find a valse á musette or a packet of Gitanes maïs these days.
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
omaromalleykhan.bsky.social
A human rights position is universal, requiring us all to extend rights and protections to those we disagree with

Yes, you can deny some groups are owed human rights, but only by denying their humanity
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
okwonga.bsky.social
Everything I have learned about [insert name of far-right US media pundit], I have learned entirely against my will.
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
mathildelarrere.bsky.social
les supermarchés ferment dans peu de temps
courrez acheter du popcorn il n'y en aura bientôt plus
(ou des pavés, mais ça se trouve pas à Intermarché)
info BFM
Lecornu ne souhaite pas être renommé premier ministre par Emmanuel Macron
greyskiesthinking.bsky.social
Quite surprised that the @itmadublin.bsky.social site doesn't have a 'reject all' or 'essential only' option for cookies. Maybe it's just as well: I'd probably spend far too much time there if they did. But this way I don't use it at all.
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
se13ed.bsky.social
Policymaking - developing and agreeing policies, and then implementing them - is difficult, but plenty of people (increasingly) confuse it with "coming up with ideas for policies" which is, indeed, very easy. Same philosophy that says that announcing the thing is the same as doing the thing
t0nyyates.bsky.social
Someone who thinks 'policymaking is generally not very complicated' either does not know what they are talking about or has very strong ideological leanings that help disappear the trade-offs that worry the rest of us.
wrathofgodbot.bsky.social
Good thing he has a high quality team of thoughtful people with a firm grasp of the issues and how complex governing is
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
dlknowles.bsky.social
HE LITERALLY SURRENDERED TO THE TALIBAN. My god
ronfilipkowski.bsky.social
He could’ve fought, but he faked bone spurs. So someone else had to go in his place - most likely a working class kid whose daddy couldn’t afford to bribe a doctor. Now he’s talking shit about how it should’ve been fought.
Reposted by Declan Gaffney
franceculture.fr
Moins d’un mois après sa nomination, Sébastien Lecornu juge les conditions incompatibles avec ses fonctions de Premier ministre et démissionne. Analyse d’une crise politique inédite.
➡️ https://l.franceculture.fr/J04