hollyquick.bsky.social
@hollyquick.bsky.social
Reposted
agree

seems like most like a midterm 26 environment of any special

bsky.app/profile/tbon...
Updating - total reported turnout in the TN7 special is now 168k, or 93% of the total votes cast in the November, 2022 midterm general election, a race the GOP won by 22 pts. The GOP has some serious issues right now.
December 3, 2025 at 3:41 AM
Reposted
The election day blood red rural surge was insane. Aftyn actually swung those areas and turnout was down like 10%, but she needed another 10% turnout drop which would have been mostly all R voters.

Andy Ogles is still fucked at least.

Big problem for her is Davidson is Black, not Hispanic/Asian...
December 3, 2025 at 3:38 AM
Reposted
turnout tends to be very low in Tennessee, in 2024 this district saw 100k fewer votes than the Virginia and Florida districts

but turnout was juiced despite a much smaller voter pool
December 3, 2025 at 3:41 AM
Reposted
I pushed the campaign to do more in rural areas, which would have been smart knowing that the race would be nationalized. But they didn't know so I think they avoided it to not stir up R voters. I think in the midterms Aftyn could win if she ran again.
December 3, 2025 at 3:26 AM
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9/9
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December 3, 2025 at 5:14 AM
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2/2
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December 3, 2025 at 5:33 AM
December 3, 2025 at 8:19 AM