Isabelle Guinaudeau
@iguinaudeau.bsky.social
2.6K followers 1.1K following 88 posts
Political scientist, CNRS researcher at Sciences Po, CEE - currently at IPZ University of Zurich: researching comparative politics, party competition and how elections shape policy
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Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
zeynsom.bsky.social
Still confused about EPSA vs. EPSS? Which conference should you go to? Here is a link to clarify things: epssnet.org/uncategorize... TL;DR: "EPSA" community will be in Belfast. Same community, new organisation, bigger mission; slightly new name; and a very different foundation @epssnet.bsky.social
a man with glasses says look can 't you see it 's obvious netflix
ALT: a man with glasses says look can 't you see it 's obvious netflix
media.tenor.com
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Our paper on issue competition now with page numbers 😊 Grossman & Guinaudeau (2025), "Tunnels of Attention: Reconsidering Issue Competition", Comparative Political Studies, vol. 58, no. 2, pp. 2559-2593.
egrossman.bsky.social
Some papers are a long time in the making. This one, written with the excellent @iguinaudeau.bsky.social, took long and I am incredibly grad to see it published. 1/8 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
williamlallen.bsky.social
As we enter September, you may see posts with news of jobs, promotions, grants, fellowships, and the like. That’s great! We should celebrate with colleagues, especially in an industry where rejection is the modal outcome. 1/n
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
ronjasczepanski.bsky.social
Ever asked yourself how to detect and extract social groups from texts with computational social science? @haukelicht.bsky.social and me have a solution for you out at @bjpols.bsky.social. You can also find the pre-trained models on huggingface!
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Detecting Group Mentions in Political Rhetoric A Supervised Learning Approach - cup.org/45WZppQ

- @haukelicht.bsky.social & @ronjasczepanski.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS Abstract discussing a social science research method that uses text analysis for understanding group language patterns and political leanings, mentioning the use of British articles and generating new empirical insights.
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
sciencespo.bsky.social
Vous cherchez à explorer les attitudes électorales sous la Vᵉ République ?
Grâce à ReQuest, retrouvez les enquêtes par sondage en sciences humaines et sociales pertinentes pour vos sujets de recherche.
Un outil précieux du @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social pour comparer les données➡️ request.sciencespo.fr
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
valentimvicente.bsky.social
The Portuguese far right party CH has been growing spectacularly, shattering views of the country as immune to this phenomenon.

This has prompted a discussion about where their votes come from.

Some thoughts on this, prompted by newly released survey data:
Plot with the evolution of vote share for CH: 
1.3% to 7.28 % to 18.06% to 22.08%
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
stefanmueller.bsky.social
Received a complimentary copy of “Foundations of European Politics” after commenting on new chapters. Such a good textbook: clear theory, empirical evidence, and free interactive data exercises.

@catherinedevries.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @sopro.bsky.social @jbslapin.bsky.social
Book “Foundations of European Politics” Vote shares of populist parties across Europe Frequency of majority, minority, and caretaker governments in Europe Table of contents
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
rdassonneville.bsky.social
‼️ There are a few more days left to apply for the PhD positions in my group at KU Leuven. Make sure to send in applications by July 4! 👇
rdassonneville.bsky.social
I'm recruiting 2 PhD researchers to work with me on a project studying how social groups influence vote choices!

Info on the position and how to apply 👉 www.kuleuven.be/personeel/jo...

Please share with interested students who would like to move to beautiful Leuven!
2 PhD positions in Electoral behavior
2 PhD positions to research how social group memberships become connected to vote choices
www.kuleuven.be
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
cornelius-erfort.bsky.social
I took a closer look at the program #EPSA2024 and found some interesting trends – there seem to be more US based scholars than last year 🇺🇸

@epsanet.bsky.social

A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Very happy to be at the EPSA conference in Madrid and to ne about to meet so many colleagues on the programme - including the Paris folks I had missed while in Germany 😊
sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
#EPSA2025 starts tomorrow!

A dozen of our scholars have papers on political lotteries, challenges to democracy, autocratic legacies, the fate of mainstream parties, group-targeting in politics and media, climate politics, culture wars / backfire...

👉Details here: www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
EPSA 2025 - Madrid
26 - 28 June 
espanet.org
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
... and impossible to walk through the beautiful streets of Göttingen without having Barbara's song playing in my head. A chanson about reconciliation. www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwW5...
Barbara - Göttingen (Official Lyric Video)
YouTube video by BarbaraOfficielVEVO
www.youtube.com
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
I love discovering academic traditions like this one in Göttingen — a handcart parade for new PhDs 😅 It was a real pleasure to read and discuss Robin Rentrop’s excellent thesis on how the youths' descriptive representation shapes their substantive representation in parliament.
theresmatthiess.bsky.social
Very proud of Dr. @robrentrop.bsky.social who defended his doctoral thesis on the link between descriptive & substantial youth representation! 🎉👨🏻‍🎓🥳 As the tradition demands in Göttingen, we went to the Gänseliesel with a decorated handcart 😅 @iguinaudeau.bsky.social @ifdemgoettingen.bsky.social
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
aureliabardon.bsky.social
Alors que la trentaine d'autrices et auteurs qui y ont contribué sont en train de corriger les épreuves de leurs chapitres, @bboudou.bsky.social et moi venons de recevoir la couverture de ce traité sobrement intitulé "Théorie Politique" - à paraître, si tout va bien, en septembre 2025!
Book cover with title "Théorie politique"
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
vincentab.bsky.social
📚😅🎉

Yay!! I just submitted the complete manuscript of my upcoming book to the publisher!

Learn to easily and clearly interpret (almost) any stats model w/ R or Python. Simple ideas, consistent workflow, powerful tools, detailed case studies.

Read it for free @ marginaleffects.com

#RStats #PyData
Model to Meaning: How to interpret statistical models with marginaleffects for R and Python
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Merci encore de me les avoir fait découvrir !
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Les promesses électorales n'engagent-elles que ceux qui les écoutent ? La délégation @cnrs-idf-villejuif.bsky.social m'a invitée à présenter mes recherches dans une petite vidéo 😊 Featuring @egrossman.bsky.social et @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social, et c'est par ici 👇

www.youtube.com/watch?v=M84O...
Isabelle Guinaudeau, les élections au prisme des promesses politiques | Talents CNRS
YouTube video by CNRS
www.youtube.com
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Fantastisch ! Vielen Dank für die sehr nützliche Zusammensetzung und Analyse dieser Befunde.
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
juliusk.bsky.social
Ende letzter Woche gab es einige Einwände gegen diesen Post. Ich habe deshalb nochmals Befunde zu sozial- und wirtschaftspolitischen Einstellungen der AfD-Wählerschaft zusammengetragen. Ebenfalls habe ich zu diesem Thema Survey-Daten der GLES und des ALLBUS ausgewertet. Ein langer Thread.🧵
Reposted by Isabelle Guinaudeau
casmudde.bsky.social
I decided to start a #thread 🧵 of stories about legal residents and tourists being (illegally) arrested, detained and/or deported by the Trump regime. I'll only post stories from serious sources, as rumors and conspiracies are really not needed in this authoritarian moment.
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
📢 The French Political Science Association would like to map initiatives to disseminate political science findings to a broader audience (podcasts, blogs, policy briefs...) 👀 Which ones would you recommend (in english, french or german)?

(self-promotion very welcome, thanks!)
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Please get in touch if you are interested in reading the full paper and learning more about how coalitions constrain mandate representation!
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
We wil see in the coming weeks the compromises CDU and SPD will have to find on the other topics for which they have made antagonist promises (actually most policy areas, as the open expert survey shows). oes25.de/OES25prerele...
Parteienwettbewerb vor der Bundestagswahl im Spiegel des Open Expert Surveys
oes25.de
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
Merz’s hardline pledge on debt was likely made knowing it would be untenable (because of coalition constraints AND structural investment needs). He likely hoped to win votes on fiscal rigor and shift blame for making huge debts onto partners (which does not seem to work very well).
iguinaudeau.bsky.social
The need to relax Germany’s constitutional debt brake isn’t new. 🔴 SPD and 🟢 Greens have long made the case that the situation (in particular with regard to infrastructures and climate transition) would become intractable otherwise. Merz and the ⚫️ CDU knew this.