Jonathan S Doucette
@jdoucette.bsky.social
1.1K followers 330 following 98 posts
Associate Professor, Department of Politics, Aalborg University. My research examines religion, historical regimes, state formation, and democratization. Personal website: https://t.co/M1J5XAy13P
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Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
vcharnysh.bsky.social
Looking for rising stars in Historical Political Economy? 🌍📚
Check out this year’s job market candidates: www.broadstreet.blog/p/hpe-candid...
HPE candidates on the job market
Job market season is here.
www.broadstreet.blog
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
jdoucette.bsky.social
Sometimes individual leaders can leave an imprint that persists long after their tenure. In a new paper with Jørgen Møller, we show how Pope Gregory VII used his network to spread urban political autonomy across Europe www.nowpublishers.com/article/Deta...
jdoucette.bsky.social
We use Gregory's letters to capture his influence network. Next, we demonstrate that letter-receiving towns introduced self-government earlier and to a larger extent than towns outside of Gregory's network
jdoucette.bsky.social
We argue that Gregory, as part of his papal revolution, built alliances with pious townsmen across Italy, Germany, France and the Low Countries to push his reform program. To impose reforms on unreformed lord-bishops, townsmen had to take political power and institute self-government.
jdoucette.bsky.social
Sometimes individual leaders can leave an imprint that persists long after their tenure. In a new paper with Jørgen Møller, we show how Pope Gregory VII used his network to spread urban political autonomy across Europe www.nowpublishers.com/article/Deta...
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
annagbusse.bsky.social
A must read, especially for anyone who thinks that making little concessions and keeping your head down will work:
Democracy rarely dies in a single moment. It is chipped away via abdication: rationalizations and compromises as those with power and influence tell themselves that yielding just a little ground will keep them safe or that finding common ground with a disrupter is more practical than standing against him. This is the enduring lesson of Weimar: extremism never triumphs on its own. It succeeds because others enable it—because of their ambition, because of their fear, or because they misjudge the dangers of small concessions. In the end, however, those who empower an autocrat often surrender not only their democracy but also the very influence they once hoped to preserve
jdoucette.bsky.social
The same is true for most cross-national studies www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
jdoucette.bsky.social
If you need to escape from current politics for a while, my co-author, Jørgen Møller, discusses our book "The Catholic Church and European State Formation, 1000-1500" on the New Books podcast: newbooksnetwork.com/the-catholic...
Jørgen Møller and Jonathan Stavnskær Doucette, "The Catholic Church and European State Formation, AD 1000-1500" (Oxford UP, 2022) - New Books Network
newbooksnetwork.com
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
joenoonan.se
There have been a number of recent articles on statistical power in quantitative political science. This is something that I think deserves more attention and discussion. A short thread of the articles I have read. 🧵
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
lotemhalevy.bsky.social
🚨🚨 Accepted yesterday! 🚨🚨

@lenkabustikova.bsky.social and I introduce the concept of "Confessional Illiberalism" and distinguish it from two other forms of illiberalism, reactionary and prejudicial illiberalism.

We also compare the concept to other '-isms' to tidy the backsliding literature.
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
hotgpod.bsky.social
The family became afflicted with the disease of dynasties: inheritance by babies and buffoon, or both
That would normally be the death nail for a noble House, but not this time. The Estates of Württemberg stepped in to protect the state, deposed buffoons and ruledon behalf of the babies. (2/3)
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
danpemstein.com
A few years ago, @danweitzel.net, John Gerring, @skaaning.bsky.social and I were curious how well one could predict subjective democracy measures using easy(ish) to code observables. Turns out, *quite* well, even out of sample. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Measuring electoral democracy with observables

Most cross-national indices of democracy rely centrally on coder judgments, which are susceptible to bias and error, and require expensive and time consuming coding by experts. We present an approach to measurement based on observables that aim to preserve the nuanced quality of subjectively coded democracy indices. Our observable-to-subjective score mapping is free of idiosyncratic coder errors arising from misinformation, slack, or biases. It is less susceptible to systematic bias that may arise from coders’ inferences about a country’s regime, for example, from the ideology of the ruler. The data collection procedure and mode of analysis are fully transparent and replicable, and the procedure is based on random forests and is cheap to produce, easy to update, and offers coverage for all polities with sovereign or semisovereign status, surpassing the sample of any existing index. We show that this expansive coverage makes a big difference to our understanding of some causal questions.
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
carlmc.bsky.social
🚨 Very excited that our paper on *Rulers on the Road* has been cond. accepted at the AJPS @ajpseditor.bsky.social. We analyze emperors' strategies of itinerant rule in the Holy Roman Empire 919-1519. Fun working with @claranw.bsky.social, @andrejkokkonen.bsky.social & Jørgen Møller shorturl.at/Spm7z
Itineraries of 25 Emperors of the Holy Roman Empire, 919 to 1519 Itinerant rule, rule exercised through traveling, was a common, yet insufficiently researched pre-modern form of governance. Studying the determinants of ruler itineraries in the Holy Roman Empire AD 919-1519, we argue that rulers focused on monitoring `marginal' elites. Powerful rulers could count on family members and thus targeted unrelated local elites. Weak emperors had to monitor their less loyal relatives and left unrelated nobles unvisited. We reconstruct emperors' itineraries from 72'665 dated and geolocated documents and measure territorial control by their relatives. Exploiting the weakening of imperial power through the Great Interregnum (1250-1273), we find that strong, pre-1250 emperors frequented areas controlled by their relatives relatively less. In contrast, family control increased visits post-1273. Causal identification rests on the discontinuous reduction of emperors' power through the Great Interregnum and differences in family relations between subsequent emperors. The results show strategic itinerant rule as an important but understudied form of governance.
jdoucette.bsky.social
That might be more of a feature of city-states (in a relative stateless environment) than democracy per say. Warfare was also frequent in medieval communes (see, e.g., Epstein 2000 "The rise and fall of Italien city-states")
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
skytteprize.bsky.social
Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆

He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
jdoucette.bsky.social
Dont know that current events aren't similarly negative with regards to democracy
jdoucette.bsky.social
Based on similar "laws", no democratic breakdown can happen after 60 years of competitive elections or at the level of economic development attained by the US..
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
fghjorth.bsky.social
How do challenger parties—those without prior governing experience—gain access to executive power? In our paper out now in @thejop.bsky.social, @mvinaes.bsky.social, @jacobnyrup.bsky.social, and I explore whether simply holding legislative office helps them join government. Brief 🧵👇
1/10
Reposted by Jonathan S Doucette
filipecampante.bsky.social
Here's @adamprz.bsky.social, telling it like it is... I could not agree more.