Justin Sandefur
@justsand.bsky.social
4.6K followers 310 following 97 posts
Development economist, worrying about economic growth these days. https://www.openphilanthropy.org/about/team/justin-sandefur/
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Reposted by Justin Sandefur
justsand.bsky.social
America's offer to Africa:

Trade not aid! But also, no more trade preferences.
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
frontiercharlie.bsky.social
Botswana credit rating downgraded from BBB+ to BBB, still one notch above the lowest investment grade rating of BBB-.

Botswana started with a A rating in 2001 from S&P, cut to A- after the global financial crisis and to BBB+ during COVID

The external shock hitting Botswana now is very specific
justsand.bsky.social
Meanwhile, X is blocked but b-sky works. Make of that what you will.
justsand.bsky.social
Tourists sun by the pool overlooking the high court next door, where Tanzania’s opposition leader — previously shot 16 times — is being tried for treason.

A metaphor perhaps for the international community’s response to Tanzania’s democratic backsliding.
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
proenzacoles.bsky.social
“For all intents and purposes, Nkrumah paralleled Mahatma Gandhi and Martin Luther King Jr. in his reach and influence. That little is known about him outside of Africa and African diasporic communities is a reflection of the continued marginalization of the continent in the Western imagination.”
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
maiamindel.bsky.social
Emergency 1:30 am blog post: Trump tried to fire a Federal Reserve governor. It’s really bad, not just for the United States, but for everyone else. To start Tuesday off on a positive, cheerful note!

open.substack.com/pub/someunpl...
Today Is Our Dependence Day
There's not going to be an independent Fed you stupid slut
open.substack.com
justsand.bsky.social
My experience is if you send Mauricio a half-baked idea, he might just code it up for you and send back a TeX file. Dunno if it’ll work with him as an editor, but worth trying at least…
marome1.bsky.social
Some professional news: I'll be starting as a co-editor at the Journal of Development Economics. I'll do my best to be constructive, fair, and fast. Looking forward to reading what you are all up to... as I hope you are looking forward to my future referee requests #EconSky
justsand.bsky.social
Thank you. (This is the kind of buttering up I was promised when moving to philanthropy. :)
justsand.bsky.social
Lesotho was one of the biggest successes of AGOA -- which meant 'liberation day' hit particularly hard.

Little early to see this in the trade data, but doesn't look great.

NYT reporting factories shuttered. People going from $7/day factory jobs to $1/day hawking on the street.
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
cepr.org
@charlesjkenny.bsky.social & @justsand.bsky.social ‬focus on the impact that US foreign aid budget cuts & freezes will have on the field of public #health and find that approx 1/2 million lives will be lost each year mainly from a lack of HIV drugs & vaccinations.
cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky
World map of the lives saved by US foreign aid per year.
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
charlesjkenny.bsky.social
Blog by @justsand.bsky.social and me: A Million Lives at Risk?

White House proposing a two-thirds cut to global health and humanitarian funding. Using estimates of costs per life saved for US global health and humanitarian assistance suggests the cuts could lead to one million deaths.
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
mclem.org
They're terminating OPT.

Today the nominee to head USCIS stated directly: he will end Optional Practical Training, the single largest channel for high-skill immigrants to work in the US.

6 weeks ago I warned about this & summarized the research on impacts of this drastic action—> @piie.com
Skilled immigration on the chopping block? Effects of eliminating "Optional Practical Training" in the US
The White House has taken numerous steps to sharply reduce the number of immigrant workers, with or without legal status, in the US economy. These policies, so far, typically target immigrants with le...
www.piie.com
justsand.bsky.social
Thanks, Michael — far too kind
justsand.bsky.social
Thank you, in particular, to my brilliant CGD colleagues, who created such a supportive and intellectually vibrant place to work. CGD's mission of influencing rich-world policy to the benefit of the global poor remains unqiue and vital.

Proud to have been a small part of it.
justsand.bsky.social
Some personal/professional news...

After 14 (!) years, this was my last week at @cgdev.org

Posted a longer thread on the other site, and will share more later on what's next. For now, just want to say thank you.
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
mclem.org
This is accurate. As @charlesjkenny.bsky.social of @cgdev.org has noted, the data we have support the conclusion that the reckless and illegal obliteration of USAID will cause deaths worldwide, particularly of children.

—> www.marketplace.org/story/2025/0...
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
BILL GATES: “The picture of the world’s richest man killing the world’s poorest children is not a pretty one.”

@financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/bdd9...
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
sameyler.bsky.social
TIL Argentina gets **one-third** of all IMF loans
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
mclem.org
The illegal obliteration of USAID, an independent agency established and funded by Congress, will cause hundreds of thousands of deaths per year.

That is a conservative reading of expert analysis by @charlesjkenny.bsky.social & @justsand.bsky.social of @cgdev.org —> www.cgdev.org/blog/how-man...
cwebbonline.com
Are all government accounts on X just troll accounts now?

This is from the official House Foreign Affairs Committee—the same committee responsible for foreign aid, global HIV/AIDS policy, security assistance, and national security. This is how they choose to represent themselves.
Reposted by Justin Sandefur
joshtpm.bsky.social
Was speaking with a USAID person yesterday explaining how at any other time countless phone lines wld be buzzing, working groups stood up, go-teams and aid being dispatched to after the Myanmar quake. Now ... nothing.