Kris-Stella Trump
@kstrump.bsky.social
4.8K followers 2.3K following 130 posts
Political scientist at Johns Hopkins University: democracy, inequality, political psychology, public opinion, behavioral everything. No relation. American by way of Estonia, Sweden, and England.
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kstrump.bsky.social
I laughed. But also, completely seriously, can anyone point me to things written on Duverger vs. recent polls out of the UK?
robfordmancs.bsky.social
ARE YOU LISTENING MAURICE DUVERGER?? YOUR BOYS TOOK A HELL OF A BEATING

TONY DOWNS, CAN YOU HEAR ME? WHERE IS YOUR MEDIAN VOTER NOW???
electionmaps.uk
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 27% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 17% (+1)
LDM: 17% (+2)
GRN: 12% (+1)
SNP: 4% (+1)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 5-6 Oct.
Changes w/ 28-29 Sep.
Reposted by Kris-Stella Trump
davidattewell6.bsky.social
@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!

Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:

🧵⬇️
Reposted by Kris-Stella Trump
jenvictor.bsky.social
This one neat trick can help you teach US politics during an institutional collapse:

Tell the truth.

That's it. Just tell it like it is. Be radical.
kstrump.bsky.social
You know what's quaint? Walking into a classroom of 20-yr olds, who have known nothing but the Trump era in politics, and explaining to them that ten years ago we Elders had a Big Debate™ about whether Trump support was *really* about racial attitudes.
Reposted by Kris-Stella Trump
kstrump.bsky.social
Did the Bright Lines survey (yes absolutely a humblebrag) and the rate at which the questions and scenarios are getting darker with each subsequent survey could be its own research project.
kstrump.bsky.social
I offer up “Borgen” as a tv series that political scientists appreciate for getting politics right.
beijingpalmer.bsky.social
an interesting subtopic! which shows/movies are beloved by the profession for Getting It Right! Lawyers famously love MY COUSIN VINNIE, doctors I believe love SCRUBS, apparently Aussie barristers are surprisingly fond of RAKE's depiction of some aspects of the law.
swin24.bsky.social
Oh god I remember watching HOUSE with some doctors, it was a the usual mix of “you would get fired instantly and never practice medicine again no matter how good u are” and “that case actually isn’t hard to solve at all”
Reposted by Kris-Stella Trump
Reposted by Kris-Stella Trump
proptermalone.bsky.social
if we made immigration work how people think it works that would be the biggest liberalization of immigration in American history
eugenevinitsky.bsky.social
Thinking on this point and there really is maybe a golden opportunity in the near future to make immigration radically simpler. Clear out the queues, make green cards easier, etc. Public opinion is sort of pro immigration right now and it might only go up
alonlevy.bsky.social
3. However, this leads to centering punishing ICE rather than helping immigrants (through regularization of status, increasing visa quotas, etc.). There are viral posts here about the need to prosecute ICE members after Trump leaves office. There aren't any about giving immigrants green cards.
kstrump.bsky.social
I am preparing to teach the first class of "Introduction to Public Opinion" while also perusing the headlines this morning, and the sense of futility in what I am doing is hard to combat.
ernugent.bsky.social
I really want to believe that American public opinion still matters. It makes me feel better that most Americans don’t support these policies. But other non-democracies demonstrate that once institutions have been politically weaponized, public opinion matters significantly less.
kstrump.bsky.social
Probably my most enduring political belief: you shall not think that some other person or group is fundamentally different from you. This belief is the worst combination of easy to fall into and corrosive in every way.
nutedawn.bsky.social
Co-signed times a thousand. “Other people have no interiority” is, fundamentally, a deeply evil belief to hold which will lead you exclusively to terrible places
irhottakes.bsky.social
One of my most moral panic style opinions is the use of “NPC” as a slur is a symptom of a societal sociopathy epidemic.
kstrump.bsky.social
To mark the beginning of fall term:
amybrown.xyz
this iconic advertising copywriter named Kathy Hepinstall Parks died over the weekend and I wanted to share something from her website I thought Bluesky would like
Why should I write better when a machine can do it for me?
Because actually no one can do it for you, because your voice is unique among all the people on earth. Siri never petted a horse's neck. Alexa has never been ghosted by the captain of the football team. But you have lived, your heart is beating, you have suffered, and you have something important to say. It's a human's job, to use words, and whatever job you give to a machine, that part of your brain goes dark. Maybe it's worth it when it comes to remembering phone numbers and directions, but when that part of your brain that uses words goes dark, that's a vast area that's very close to your soul. Don't let some internet platform convince you that what you have to say and create isn't worthwhile. Words are the echo of your soul. Honing that echo matters.
kstrump.bsky.social
This is what I thought too... Liberal Currents already exists?
kstrump.bsky.social
I think this is right.

For an example of how to call things out in plain terms, here is how Rolling Stone put it recently:

"Trump and his administration’s justification for his D.C. operation [...] appears entirely pretextual."

It can be done.

www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol...
kstrump.bsky.social
In "A Gentleman in Moscow" there is a character who is supposedly ethnically Estonian, named Stanislav. I could suspend disbelief for everything up until that point, and after that nothing about the story quite landed.
kstrump.bsky.social
Genuine question: does anyone know of social science research that explores the potential route from "absence of universal health care" -> "culture of individual responsibility for staying healthy" + "vibrant alternative medicine culture" -> "pseudo-Darwinian rejection of modern medicine"?
polgreen.bsky.social
I am congenitally resistant to conspiracy thinking, but this really does feel like a eugenic plot. There is some dark, pseudo-Darwinian thinking on the right that equates illness with moral unfitness, and prefers that the weak die, indeed demands that they be culled. Truly a death cult.
atrupar.com
NIH Director Battacharya on mRNA technology: "We should not be using as a platform for mass vaccination"
kstrump.bsky.social
I did not anticipate that, by trying to support press that is not afraid to call out the government in plain terms, I would become a paid subscriber to Wired and Rolling Stone. But here we are.
rollingstone.com
NEW: L.A. and D.C. are only the beginning, as Trump's team has been drawing up plans to unleash federal forces in other Democratic strongholds.

Story: www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol...
Reposted by Kris-Stella Trump
filipecampante.bsky.social
In authoritarian crackdowns, it’s important to randomly ensnare some people whom one would think would be safe, so that everyone is at least a little bit afraid that something could happen to them. The regime scales up its power of intimidation over a much larger group than those directly affected.
kstrump.bsky.social
Took my family to DC and they were charging $6 for a latte there so you can’t convince me crime isn’t up.
ygrene.bsky.social
Took my family to DC and they were doing serious replies to joke posts so you can’t convince me that crime isn’t up
jcsalterego.bsky.social
Took my family to DC and they were calling posts on here "skeets" so you can’t convince me that crime isn’t up
kstrump.bsky.social
And also! I read enough sci-fi as a kid to enjoy the idea of artificial intelligence. Truly I like the idea of robots! But that intelligence needs to have direct inputs from the world around us, otherwise it cannot be anything like us. This is my hill.
kstrump.bsky.social
Anyway, I am a political science prof so this opinion is over-determined, but I want more people to take college-level courses on what human beings are actually like, before they set about changing the world.
kstrump.bsky.social
When you pause to look at how we use language, almost everything is derived from nature. Things a lot of people like are "hot" or "cool". Thoughts "linger". Ideas "burst into" our minds "out of nowhere". We verify math by counting the actual apples, not by predicting the most likely answer.