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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Sep 4

Great to see our short note in print

Scottish Economic Society @scoteconsociety.bsky.social · Sep 4

Early view content alert from @scot-j-pol-econ.bsky.social

#EconSky

We use Natural Language Processing methods to analyze the part of the debates in the Bundestag, the German parliament, about the German military (Bundeswehr). Estimated local projections show that an...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Aug 7

Wow: "an unprecedented second vote by the Monetary Policy Committee after it initially failed to reach a majority verdict" #BankofEngland

www.ft.com/content/236c...

UK interest rates: Bank of England cuts rates to 4% in tight vote

Monetary Policy Committee forced into unprecedented second vote after initially failing to reach majority

www.ft.com

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Jul 29

Sometime I envy the natural scientists. No economist needed for a research cruise to the arctic.

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft @dfg.de · Jul 29

#CallforProposals The DFG Infrastructure Priority Programme "Research Vessels" opens its 2nd call: Proposals can be submitted for an individual funding period of up to 3 years starting in January 2027 or later. More background information, formal requirements and process:
www.dfg.de/de/aktuelles...

Picture of "Maria S. Median" (Vessel) and the information: Germany has established a world-leading fleet of research vessels that operates in all parts of the ocean and can host a large range of scientific equipment to tackle most challenges that are faced in ocean sciences. The vessels support highly specialised missions and increasingly interdisciplinary research teams.

Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Jul 27

Faszinierend: Daten von 630000 Gemälden seit 1400. Mehr dazu in NBER WP 33976.

Alexander Wulfers @alexanderwulfers.com · Jul 27

Wie war die Stimmung während der ersten Globalisierung, nach der Erfindung des Radios oder während Europas letztem großen Klimawandel? Ökonomen (u.a. @heblich.bsky.social) haben sich dafür etwas Cleveres einfallen lassen: Emotionen in >600.000 Gemälden, ausgewertet mit KI.

Wirtschaftsgeschichte: Was die Kunst über Krisen verrät

Je schlechter die Wirtschaft, desto mehr Angst und Trauer sind auf Gemälden zu sehen. Wer genau hinschaut kann den Bildern noch mehr Geschichten entlocken.

www.faz.net

Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Jul 22

Er liefert dem MAGA Lager die Munition. Unverantwortlich.

www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/m...

Mohamed El-Erian: Top-Ökonom fordert Rücktritt von US-Notenbankchef

US-Präsident Trump möchte Fed-Chef Jerome Powell absetzen, doch die Wall Street unterstützt den Chefbanker bislang. Mit Mohamed El-Erian verlangt nun ein bekannter Ökonom Powells Rückzug. Er hat wohl ...

www.spiegel.de

Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Jul 16

A normal day in the Oval Office
(polymarket.com/event/will-t...)

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Jun 19

Could you check the website link, please?

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Reposted by Peter Tillmann

Adam Kinzinger @adamkinzinger.substack.com · Jun 14

Literally the Russian flag in the post. Two of them

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Jun 8

Zum 150sten.

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Jun 1

New paper: do members of the Bundestag change their fiscal stance after an ECB decisions? I use NLP tools in an event study: a tightening causes a less expansionary stance in the two weeks after the ECB decision. The effect disappears at the ZLB.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Jun 1

Stanley Fischer was incredibly influential

www.ft.com/content/0990...

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · May 30

This is how you destroy a safe haven: "Section 899 of the bill ... would allow the US to impose additional taxes on companies and investors from countries that it deems to have punitive tax policies."
www.ft.com/content/b400...

Foreign tax provision in Trump budget bill spooks Wall Street

Legislation would erode the appeal of US financial assets, warn banks and investors

www.ft.com

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Apr 28

Noch dazu war Weimer früher selber in der FAZ Redaktion.

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Reposted by Peter Tillmann

Skanda Amarnath @skandaamarnath.bsky.social · Apr 18

Absolutely ridiculous and irresponsible from El Erian.

If you want to protect the integrity and independence of the Fed, you do not create gratuitous paths to power grabs that directly undermine independence

Stephen @stephent.bsky.social · Apr 18

“The easiest thing is for Powell to resign. If you really want to protect the integrity of the Fed and its independence, chair Powell would resign” - el-erian

🥴

www.foxbusiness.com/video/637161...

El-Erian: Kevin Warsh would be a great Fed chair | Fox Business Video

Allianz chief economic advisor Mohamed El-Erian unpacks the stock market's response to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on 'The Claman Countdown.'

www.foxbusiness.com

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Apr 17

-25bp #ECB

Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Apr 16

Its 1970 again

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Apr 16

Sentiment falling off a cliff:

Joel Suss @joelsuss.ft.com · Apr 15

Lots of striking 'falling off a cliff' figures out of the US these days. Here's another -- corporate sentiment around trade has plummeted, making Trump's first trade war negligible by comparison on.ft.com/3Y0SdpH

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Peter Tillmann @peterhtillmann.bsky.social · Apr 14

Wenn es um den Größen geht, die Matthäus-Passion nicht vergessen

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Reposted by Peter Tillmann

European Space Agency @esa.int · Apr 14

🦑💫This NASA/ESA Hubble image features the spiral galaxy Messier 77, also known as the Squid Galaxy.

It would take more than a century between the discovery of the galaxy and the realisation that the ‘spiral nebulae’ scattered across the sky were not part of our own galaxy!

#HubbleSpaceTelescope 🔭