Topic
Business US EU

WTO raises 2025 trade growth

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The World Trade Organization raised its 2025 global trade growth forecast, saying AI-driven demand and U.S. tariff-driven import front‑loading buoyed growth but warned of a sharp slowdown in 2026.

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yilmazkuday.bsky.social
"Understanding Interstate Trade Patterns" is available at the Journal of International Economics: doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2...
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yilmazkuday.bsky.social
Global price puzzles? Learn how trade and wages shape long-term price differences: www.sciencedirect.com/scien... #GlobalEconomy #Pricing
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hhesterm.bsky.social
The domino effect of the us market closing and the goods once going there looking for other markets. Things will get worse.
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Reposted by: Simon Lester

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kirstenostermann.bsky.social
The proposed measure is fully WTO compliant. Upon receipt of a mandate from the Council, the EU will swiftly engage with affected EU trading partners under the Article XXVIII GATT procedure regarding this change to the EU's WTO tariffs, with a view to offering them country specific allocations.
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simonlester.com
I can imagine WTO complaints being filed by multiple countries against these tariffs. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
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Reposted by: Lars P. Feld

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Substack
Why Aren’t We Partying Like It’s 1999?

Fear, not hope, permeates today’s technology hype Economic reality has a habit of throwing you curveballs — events you didn’t anticipate when making your predictions. Specifically, most economists, myself included, expected tariffs to be the big economic story of 2025. After all, in just a few months Donald Trump has reversed 90 years of pro-trade U.S. policy, sending average tariffs to their

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yilmazkuday.bsky.social
Trade policy uncertainty causes significant long-run US stock price falls. doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025....
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peterdutoit.com
US drags down global renewable energy growth for forecast period 2025-2030

Not only have they added more GHG pollution to the atmosphere than any other nation on earth, they are now sabotaging renewable energy.

Hope the world leaves them behind!

Source: iea.blob.core.window...
Global renewable growth forecast revised down slightly

Renewable capacity additions forecast revisions for 2025-2030

United States showing a ~45% decline
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yilmazkuday.bsky.social
Trade deficits are driven by varying factors across nations, demanding customized policy solutions. www.sciencedirect.com/scien...