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Erik Voeten

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Erik Voeten is a Dutch political scientist.

Source: Wikipedia
H-index: 36
Political science 59%
Law 12%
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by Adam Bonica — Reposted by: Erik Voeten, Anna O. Law, Marc Lynch , and 19 more

adambonica.bsky.social
The annoying spam texts destroying the Democratic brand:

$678M raised through those spam tactics

$282M to one consulting firm: Mothership Strategies.

$11M to actual campaigns (1.6%)

The party isn’t just treating donors like marks—it’s being fleeced itself yet continues to back Mothership.
The Mothership Vortex: An Investigation Into the Firm at the Heart of the Democratic Spam Machine
How a single consulting firm extracted $282 million from a network of spam PACs while delivering just $11 million to actual campaigns.
open.substack.com
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by Erik Voeten — Reposted by: Stefanie Walter

erikvoeten.bsky.social
New UN ideal point estimates available. These are for the first time based on years rather than UNGA sessions. For more, see here: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
dataverse.harvard.edu
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by Erik Voeten

Reposted by: Erik Voeten

kschultz.bsky.social
What if universities are having civil, nuanced discussions of events in Israel and Gaza, but they are happening in classrooms, office hours, and dorms, not out in the public view of lazy reporters and not in a way that fits the narrative people want to tell?
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Reposted by: Erik Voeten

dadakim.bsky.social
As we await the Dutch election results, you can get up to speed by reading @erikvoeten.bsky.social's pre-election report at @goodauth.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/anti-es...
Anti-establishment centrists may well win the Dutch elections
L-R: Dutch politicians Caroline van der Plas, Pieter Omtzigt, and Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius,(cc) Roel Wijnants via Flickr. Dutch politics seem chaotic to
goodauthority.org
2 6

Reposted by: Erik Voeten, Andreas Dür

himself.bsky.social
1. So - the International Criminal Court (ICC) warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant - www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11.... The one strong prediction I have - this is going to lead to US financial sanctions against ICC employees, and possibly the ICC as an institution. That is going to get ugly for the EU.
ICC Issues Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant: Israel-Hamas War Live Updates
The International Criminal Court rejected Israel’s challenges to its jurisdiction, and also issued a warrant for a top Hamas official. Its chief prosecutor had sought the arrests for war crimes in Gaz...
www.nytimes.com
3 51 96

Reposted by: Erik Voeten

fbermingham.bsky.social
More bad news for European industry

Thyssenkrupp has revealed plans to slash its steel workforce by 40 per cent, dealing the latest blow to German industry as it warned of oversupply in Europe and “a rise in cheap imports” from Asia.

www.ft.com/content/0b39...
Thyssenkrupp to slash 40% of steel jobs in latest blow to German industry
Division to shed 11,000 roles amid oversupply in Europe and rise in cheap China imports
www.ft.com
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Reposted by: Erik Voeten

jeanhong.bsky.social
Wrote a piece in with Hye Young You

goodauthority.org/news/south-k...

Our main points:

- massage from South Korean politicians and citizens was clear: no return to military rule.

- then, why democratic institutions that should have deterred President’s undemocratic move did not work?
How strong is South Korea's democracy?
The big lesson from the recent tests of democratic resilience in South Korea is that any democracy can be at risk.
goodauthority.org
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Reposted by: Erik Voeten

abenewman.bsky.social
This is really going to throw the UN ideal point estimator for a loop... @erikvoeten.bsky.social
washingtonpost.com
The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · Feb 24
Breaking news: U.S. sides with Russia to vote against a U.N. resolution condemning Moscow for the Ukraine war.

Washington’s dramatic shift on the conflict marks a major break with its European allies and coincides with the Trump administration’s bid to repair relations with the Kremlin.
U.S. votes against U.N. resolution condemning Russia for Ukraine war
Washington’s shift on the Ukraine war marks a major break with European allies and comes as the Trump administration aims to repair relations with Russia.
www.washingtonpost.com
3 11

by Simon Hix — Reposted by: Erik Voeten, Stefanie Walter, Tom van der Meer , and 3 more

simonhix.bsky.social
This is fantastic. Very excited by this development in European Political Science.

Please come and join us. Get involved. Sign up to the listserv. Etc
epssnet.bsky.social
EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · Jun 26
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵
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by Federica Genovese — Reposted by: Erik Voeten, Jean‐Frédéric Morin, Federica Genovese

fgenovese.bsky.social
🚨Global public action (climate!) is most effective when countries do it together yet we're in a period of IO backlash rooted in left-behind places

Does it mean all left-behind regions hate IOs the same?

@patrickbayer.bsky.social & I have a paper accepted @bjpols.bsky.social abt this🧵

osf.io/rtymv
Climate Policy Costs, Regional Politics and Backlashagainst International Cooperation by Patrick Bayer and Federica Genovese. This paper investigates the conditions under which subnational concerns shape public assessments of international climate governance. In line with existing literature, we maintain that costly policy adjustments fuel negative views of international cooperation in policy exposed regions. At the same time, we argue that the more resentful relations are with the national center of politics, the more sympathetic these regions areto international institutions and global governance. Based on geographically targeted survey data from theUnited Kingdom, we find that fossil fuel-intensive regions with strong, institutionalized regional politics have more positive assessments of international climate cooperation than structurally similar regions where regional political institutions are less pronounced. The findings show that regional politics characteristics are key for understanding climate policy beliefs among citizens that bear the brunt of adjustments to international climate agreements
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Thanks, Federica!

Reposted by: Erik Voeten

by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
The US does not have to exploit this advantage. It could exercise strategic restraint and think more long-term. There is little evidence of such thinking in the current Trump Administration. Thus, we see energy dominance as a structural factor that facilitates disruptive foreign policies
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
For example, the EU is not going to apply reciprocal tariffs to the main products it imports from the US (oil and gas), which puts it at a bargaining disadvantage.
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Oil and gas create different types of interdependencies than trade in other goods. Oil importers have a strong interest in global stability, as disturbances in price or access can have large economic and political consequences. Exporters have temptations to leverage their position for concessions.
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
At that time, the US still had an oil export ban. Now it has become the world's leading oil and gas exporter. Among the five leading US export categories are crude oil, gasoline, and LNG. The trade relationship with the EU is even more dominated by oil and gas.
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
We draw on an article we wrote for ISQ about a decade ago, which documents that (and why) oil exporters tend to be less cooperative in the international arena. academic.oup.com/isq/article-...
Shibboleth Authentication Request
doi-org.proxy.library.georgetown.edu
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by Erik Voeten — Reposted by: Michael L. Ross

erikvoeten.bsky.social
I have a new short piece in Foreign Affairs with @profmichaelross.bsky.social arguing that "the United States’ emergence as the world’s leading oil and gas producer is a critical and often neglected element of today’s global disorder." www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Petrostate America
The downsides of energy independence.
www.foreignaffairs.com
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by Erik Voeten

by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
I really hope the new editorial team of the Journal of Politics is able to improve the speed of the process, and I wish them well. I know very well how hard it is but it is essential for academic publishing to do better,

by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
In the meantime, a different paper on climate rulings and stock market valuations has been published that was written after mine but has now been out for over 6 months.
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Careerwise, this doesn't affect me. But it would for a more junior person. Moreover, this paper is topical, and I would have liked to affect current debates. It's really hard to write about current events when publication moves this slowly.
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
On process: The submission and R&R process was smooth, if a little slow. However, this piece was conditionally accepted on February 5, 2024. It took almost 1,5 years to appear on First View online. There were no issues with replication or anything else.
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
This suggests that investors do update their valuations of the most directly affected firms (e.g. the likely beneficiaries of subsidies or targets of phase outs) but not of firms whose exposure to policy change is less unambiguous.
1

by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
I find that plaintiff victories have modest but economically significant positive effects on renewable energy stocks and similarly sized negative effects on coal stocks but no significant effect on “green” firms or major oil and gas producers. Plaintiff losses have no significant effect on asset prices.
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
The idea is that investors may update their beliefs about the likelihood of climate policies that could affect the valuation of firms whose profits are sensitive to such policies.
1

by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
The paper examines the effect of domestic court rulings that (fail to) hold governments accountable for meeting their climate obligations by examining the impact of court rulings on stock market valuations of green and brown companies.
1

by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Global climate commitments are difficult to enforce. Some NGOs and individuals have gone to domestic courts to hold governments accountable for their promises. Does this work?
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by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
(Finally) out in the Journal of Politics: Do Domestic Climate Rulings Make Climate Commitments More Credible? Evidence from Stock Market Returns." A quick thread on paper and process www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
www.journals.uchicago.edu
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