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François Heisbourg

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François Heisbourg is currently Senior Advisor for Europe at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and Special Advisor at… more

François Heisbourg
H-index: 12
Political science 72%
Economics 21%
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

kyivindependent.com
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk on Oct. 7 said those who built Nord Stream 2, not those accused of sabotaging it, "should be ashamed and remain silent," adding it is "not in Poland's interest" to hand over the suspect.
Ukraine war latest: 'Not in Poland's interest,' to hand over Ukrainian in Nord Stream probe, Tusk says
Key developments on Oct. 7: * 'Not in Poland's interest,' to hand over Ukrainian in Nord Stream 2 probe, Tusk says * Slovakia sends first nonlethal defense aid package to Ukraine since Fico took of...
kyivindependent.com
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by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1322

1. facilities hit in Nizhny-Novogorod and Dzherzhinsk areas

2. 64 Shahed leakers out of 152 plus 2 Iskander-M/KN-23
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by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
What was unlikely yesterday is now moving to centre stage: first Macron PM Edouard Philippe calls on Macron to resign and organise early presidential elections
afp.com
Agence France-Presse @afp.com · 23h
Le patron d'Horizons et ancien Premier ministre Édouard Philippe a demandé à Emmanuel Macron d'annoncer qu'"il organise une élection présidentielle anticipée", après l'adoption d'un budget pour 2026, pour "sortir d'une façon ordonnée et digne d'une crise politique qui nuit au pays".
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

afp.com
Le patron d'Horizons et ancien Premier ministre Édouard Philippe a demandé à Emmanuel Macron d'annoncer qu'"il organise une élection présidentielle anticipée", après l'adoption d'un budget pour 2026, pour "sortir d'une façon ordonnée et digne d'une crise politique qui nuit au pays".
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

wartranslated.bsky.social
Russian media report that drones attacked Nizhny Novgorod and Dzerzhinsk in Russia. Locals heard at least 15 explosions during the night. It was also loud in Nizhny Novgorod. Temporary restrictions on the arrival and departure of aircraft were introduced at the airport.
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

kyivindependent.com
⚡️'I want to find out what they're doing with them' — Trump mulls sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Oct. 6 that he has "sort of made a decision" on whether to supply Ukraine with Tomahawk long-range missiles.
'I want to find out what they're doing with them' — Trump mulls sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Oct. 6 that he has "sort of made a decision" on whether to supply Ukraine with Tomahawk long-range missiles.
kyivindependent.com
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

lefigaro.fr
Sébastien Lecornu a «accepté» de «mener d’ultimes discussions». →https://l.lefigaro.fr/Yj5
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by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
Le Maire dropping out of the reckoning for the Min Arm position may provide Lecornu with some leverage for trying to cobble together a Cabinet by Wednesday PM. But It's an outside chance...
afp.com
Agence France-Presse @afp.com · 1d
Bruno Le Maire, dont la nomination dimanche soir à la tête du ministère des Armées avait fait polémique, a annoncé sur X renoncer à participer au gouvernement démissionnaire du Premier ministre Sébastien Lecornu.
1 1 12

by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
Macron asks Lecornu to give it another stab by Wednesday PM
afp.com
Agence France-Presse @afp.com · 1d
Crise politique: Emmanuel Macron demande à Sébastien Lecornu de mener "d'ici mercredi soir d'ultimes négociations" sur une "plateforme d'action", annonce l'Elysée.
9

Reposted by: François Heisbourg

afp.com
Crise politique: Emmanuel Macron demande à Sébastien Lecornu de mener "d'ici mercredi soir d'ultimes négociations" sur une "plateforme d'action", annonce l'Elysée.
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

wartranslated.bsky.social
For the second day in a row, missiles have been attacking the "Luch" substation in Belgorod. The city was partially plunged into darkness yesterday, and more significant consequences are expected today.
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

afp.com
Bruno Le Maire, dont la nomination dimanche soir à la tête du ministère des Armées avait fait polémique, a annoncé sur X renoncer à participer au gouvernement démissionnaire du Premier ministre Sébastien Lecornu.
24 4 20

by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
14 hours
rikefranke.bsky.social
Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.bsky.social · 2d
Bruno Le Maire becomes defence minister in the new French government. For how long, no one knows.

www.lemonde.fr/politique/ar...
Le gouvernement Lecornu, à peine nommé et déjà menacé d’implosion
La nouvelle équipe, qui compte douze membres du gouvernement Bayrou sur dix-huit et consacre le retour de deux figures du macronisme, Bruno Le Maire et Roland Lescure, divise le socle commun et accent...
www.lemonde.fr
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

afp.com
🇫🇷 Le Parti socialiste a appelé Emmanuel Macron à nommer un Premier ministre "issu de la gauche et des Ecologistes" après la démission choc de Sébastien Lecornu lundi matin, a déclaré le secrétaire général du PS Pierre Jouvet ⤵️
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by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1321

One of those days...

1. According to Reuters, Cuban army 🇨🇺 is now a cobelligerent of 🇷🇺 in 🇺🇦

2. Belgorod blacked out

3. Feodosya (Crimea) oil terminal (250 kt capacity) burns

4. 33 Shahed leakers out of 116

5. 🇫🇷: Lecornu forms government Sunday PM, resigns Monday AM
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by François Heisbourg — Reposted by: Kori Schake

fheisbourg.bsky.social
Reuters re Cuba: Another co-belligerent alongside Russia
kyivindependent.com
The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 2d
⚡️Up to 5,000 Cubans fighting alongside Russian forces in Ukraine, Reuters reports.

An estimated 1,000 to 5,000 Cuban fighters are actively participating in Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Reuters reported Oct. 5, citing an internal U.S. State Department cable obtained by the outlet.
Up to 5,000 Cubans fighting alongside Russian forces in Ukraine, Reuters reports
An estimated 1,000 to 5,000 Cuban fighters are actively participating in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Reuters reported Oct. 5, citing an internal U.S. State Department cable obtained by the outlet.
kyivindependent.com
1 9 39

by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
Bats in the belfry: swarming
nvondarza.bsky.social
Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 1d
If politics are going crazy in several European countries one after the other, I think it is time to go past blaming the failures of individual political actors (and there are quite a few, both in the UK and France) to looking at the systemic pressures our political systems are failing to deal with.
helenebismarck.bsky.social
Helene von Bismarck @helenebismarck.bsky.social · 1d
If you are overly focused on the admittedly increasingly batsh*t character of British politics, don‘t neglect the batsh*t character of French politics.
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by Nicolai von Ondarza — Reposted by: François Heisbourg, Edgar Morgenroth

nvondarza.bsky.social
If politics are going crazy in several European countries one after the other, I think it is time to go past blaming the failures of individual political actors (and there are quite a few, both in the UK and France) to looking at the systemic pressures our political systems are failing to deal with.
helenebismarck.bsky.social
Helene von Bismarck @helenebismarck.bsky.social · 1d
If you are overly focused on the admittedly increasingly batsh*t character of British politics, don‘t neglect the batsh*t character of French politics.
emmavj.bsky.social
Emma Jacobs @emmavj.bsky.social · 1d
Ah, the famous French work-life balance

on.ft.com/4mTFYVb French prime minister resigns less than a month after appointment
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by François Heisbourg — Reposted by: Nicolai von Ondarza

fheisbourg.bsky.social
That was quick- indeed a speed record for the French Republic: Lecornu has resigned 13 hours after his government was formed. Next move is now Macron's. 3 options: a 6th PM of his term (maybe from the left; in all cases expect ultrabrief lifetime); snap elections (possible); prez resigns (unlikely)
fheisbourg.bsky.social
François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 2d
Looks like Lecornu's government may be stillborn. And Macron may find it impossible to name a 6th prime minister in less than three years
france24.com
FRANCE 24 @france24.com · 2d
Gouvernement de Sébastien Lecornu, en direct : à peine nommé, déjà fragilisé
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by François Heisbourg — Reposted by: Nicolai von Ondarza

fheisbourg.bsky.social
Looks like Lecornu's government may be stillborn. And Macron may find it impossible to name a 6th prime minister in less than three years
france24.com
FRANCE 24 @france24.com · 2d
Gouvernement de Sébastien Lecornu, en direct : à peine nommé, déjà fragilisé
Gouvernement de Sébastien Lecornu, en direct : à peine nommé, déjà fragilisé
Le Premier ministre français, Sébastien Lecornu, a dévoilé dimanche soir une première salve d'une quinzaine de ministres. Critiqué de toutes parts et fragilisé de l'intérieur par la fronde des Républicains de Bruno Retailleau, ce nouveau gouvernement paraît déjà proche de l'implosion. Suivez notre direct. 
f24.my
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by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
Blocking China
bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social
Unofficial BBCNews (World) Bot @bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social · 2d
Australia signs key defence deal with Papua New Guinea
Australia signs key defence deal with Papua New Guinea
Up to 10,000 Papua New Guineas will be allowed to serve with the Australian military under the pact.
www.bbc.com
1 1 13

Reposted by: François Heisbourg

bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social
Australia signs key defence deal with Papua New Guinea
Australia signs key defence deal with Papua New Guinea
Up to 10,000 Papua New Guineas will be allowed to serve with the Australian military under the pact.
www.bbc.com
1 2 4

Reposted by: François Heisbourg

reuters.com
Drone sighting temporarily disrupt flights at Norway's Oslo airport, NTB reports reut.rs/4oab38u
Drone sighting temporarily disrupt flights at Norway's Oslo airport, NTB reports
Norway's Oslo airport temporarily paused landings early on Monday after a report of a drone sighting near the airport, news agency NTB reported.
reut.rs
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

france24.com
Gouvernement de Sébastien Lecornu, en direct : à peine nommé, déjà fragilisé
Gouvernement de Sébastien Lecornu, en direct : à peine nommé, déjà fragilisé
Le Premier ministre français, Sébastien Lecornu, a dévoilé dimanche soir une première salve d'une quinzaine de ministres. Critiqué de toutes parts et fragilisé de l'intérieur par la fronde des Républicains de Bruno Retailleau, ce nouveau gouvernement paraît déjà proche de l'implosion. Suivez notre direct. 
f24.my
1 1 3

Reposted by: François Heisbourg

rikefranke.bsky.social
Bruno Le Maire becomes defence minister in the new French government. For how long, no one knows.

www.lemonde.fr/politique/ar...
Le gouvernement Lecornu, à peine nommé et déjà menacé d’implosion
La nouvelle équipe, qui compte douze membres du gouvernement Bayrou sur dix-huit et consacre le retour de deux figures du macronisme, Bruno Le Maire et Roland Lescure, divise le socle commun et accent...
www.lemonde.fr
6 6 80

Reposted by: François Heisbourg

kyivindependent.com
⚡️Up to 5,000 Cubans fighting alongside Russian forces in Ukraine, Reuters reports.

An estimated 1,000 to 5,000 Cuban fighters are actively participating in Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Reuters reported Oct. 5, citing an internal U.S. State Department cable obtained by the outlet.
Up to 5,000 Cubans fighting alongside Russian forces in Ukraine, Reuters reports
An estimated 1,000 to 5,000 Cuban fighters are actively participating in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Reuters reported Oct. 5, citing an internal U.S. State Department cable obtained by the outlet.
kyivindependent.com
31 130 260

Reposted by: François Heisbourg

france24.com
🔴 URGENT - Retailleau, Darmanin reconduits, Le Maire aux Armées... les principaux membres du gouvernement Lecornu dévoilés
En direct : Sébastien Lecornu en passe de nommer son gouvernement
Après une journée de tractations intenses, Sébastien Lecornu s’apprête à dévoiler dimanche soir une première salve d'une quinzaine de ministres. Les Républicains, après hésitation, ont confirmé leur…
f24.my
7 7 5

by Sergey Radchenko — Reposted by: François Heisbourg

radchenko.bsky.social
Holy smoke. This is something else: www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o.... If you read anything today, read this. Just ordered the book.
‘I’m leaving,’ Trump said. ‘There’s no reason to be here any more’: inside the meeting that brought Nato to the brink
Former secretary general Jens Stoltenberg recalls the rollercoaster ride of dealing with Donald Trump – and how close the US president brought the alliance to the point of collapse
www.theguardian.com
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Reposted by: François Heisbourg

noelreports.com
Lithuanian border guards intercepted 11 balloons carrying contraband cigarettes from Belarus. The operation disrupted Vilnius airport for nearly 30 hours. Around 18,000 packs of cigarettes were seized during this unusual “tobacco air drop.”
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by François Heisbourg

fheisbourg.bsky.social
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1320

1. Babiš list heads 🇨🇿 elections with 35%. B. says 🇺🇦 unready for EU

2. Big bombing night eg in Lviv & Ivano-Frankivsk areas

3. "Grad" Kalibr launching corvette hit in lake Onega

4. Another refinery burns: Kstovo (Nizhny-Novgorod)

5. Balloons spotted: Vilnius airport closes
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