Adrian Barnett
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aidybarnett.bsky.social
Adrian Barnett
@aidybarnett.bsky.social

Statistician working in meta-research. Deltiologist.

Adrian Gerard Barnett is a professor in the faculty of Health in the school of Public Health and Social Work, at Queensland University of Technology and was president of the Statistical Society of Australia from 2018 to 2020. .. more

Environmental science 27%
Public Health 23%

Cracked my car window 😒

At a repair cafe getting a music stand fixed and it is an absolute joy of positivity and community spirit.

It's been great to be part of something positive and new.

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

🎈 Time flies! Exactly one year ago today @rorinstitute.bsky.social and @aimosinc.bsky.social launched MetaROR, a platform to publish metaresearch through the publish-review-curate approach.

Over the course of the year, we published 28 articles reviewed by 59 different reviewers.

[1/3]
MetaROR Turns One - MetaROR
An exciting year of open, community-driven evaluation of metaresearch One [...]
metaror.org

Bloom!
International Research Integrity Conference: it's underway in Sydney. Opening Sunday workshop by James Heathers on Forensic Metascience. Full program available: researchintegrityconf.com Thank you sleuths!
International Research Integrity Conference | 16-18 November 2025, Sydney, Australia
researchintegrityconf.com

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

New paper: we validated the Clinical Frailty Scale for predicting 90-day mortality in frail older adults. We show that the scale's predictive utility is low, but argue that mortality risk shouldn't be what catalyses end-of-life care discussions anyway
doi.org/10.1136/bmjo...
#statsky #medsky #episky
Validation of the Clinical Frailty Scale for predicting 90-day mortality in hospitalised older adults screened as at risk of nearing the end of life in Queensland, Australia: a multisite observational...
Background The Clinical Frailty Scale is an ordinal scale from 1 (very fit) to 9 (terminally ill) commonly used to assess frailty in older patients. It is simple for clinicians to apply and can help i...
doi.org

The Qld police are catching fewer badly behaving motorists, but yet they still find time to fine cyclists for speeding on the bike path. I saw four officers doing this a few months ago. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Police enforcement on Qld roads drops almost 50pc in five years
Queensland Police concedes less time is being spent enforcing road safety than before the COVID pandemic, amid a rising number of traffic tragedies.
www.abc.net.au
Oops. Ooooooooooooops.

I do hope that nobody has been given or denied a job/promotion based on their SpringerNature citation counts in the past 15 years.

arxiv.org/pdf/2511.01675

h/t @nathlarigaldie.bsky.social
Have increased capacity for this December INSPECT-SR online training workshop following a successful 1st event today. Book here: www.trybooking.com/uk/FKHV
Introduction to INSPECT-SR Training Workshop December
An introductory 2-hour online workshop will introduce participants to the INSPECT-SR tool for assessing trustworthiness of randomised controlled...
www.trybooking.com

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

At the past two AIMOS conferences, we have had a free public lecture for the local community. #AIMOS2025 follows suit! Join us for Ivan Oransky's public lecture: events.humanitix.com/public-talk-... but do so soon, seats are limited!

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

Glad to share our full paper on why deployed clinical prediction models should not discard predicted risks in favour of thresholds with @rexwp.bsky.social and @aidybarnett.bsky.social now up on @jclinepi.bsky.social. A brief explainer (1/4):
#statsky #rstats
authors.elsevier.com/a/1m1D83BcJQ...
authors.elsevier.com

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

🎲 Working in a bingo hall as a boy, #AusHSI Prof @aidybarnett.bsky.social is well-versed in the game of chance. In @significancemag.bsky.social, learn about the #lottery for #researchfunding he now runs for the @britishacademy.bsky.social and how it works.

🔗 bit.ly/3J7689t | 🔓 bit.ly/47HTlDH

My dog loves sleeping in a pot plant

Not earlier, but a nice example of data sharing from George Otis Smith (a relative?) writing in Science in 1915 www.jstor.org/stable/1639881

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

With only about 10 spots left, #AIMOS2025 will almost surely sell out this year. Register now to make sure you don't miss out! aimos-inc.github.io/aimos.confer...
AIMOS2025 Conference
AIMOS conference 2025
aimos-inc.github.io

personally, that's my favourite give away

Some real fake news! Paper mills are creating fake authors who can then serve as fake reviewers. The illustration of the fake reviewer sitting at their desk is excellent. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
How to spot fake scientists and stop them from publishing papers
Journals are considering doing identity checks to expose fake authors — but there are downsides.
www.nature.com
👉Also Sorbonne bsky.app/profile/sorb... pulled out of 'THE' University Ranking 👇

Important step in times of massive, systematic gaming by Universities, being a main incentive for Hyperprolific Publishing, Citation Cartels, Paper Mills & Junk Science!

#researchintegrity, #Chemsky, #CompChemSky
Why Sorbonne pulled out of university ranking
France’s Sorbonne University plans to leave the Times Higher Education (THE) Rankings, adding its name to a growing number of universities rejecting lists that play one institution off against another...
sciencebusiness.net

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

Nature @nature.com · Oct 16
Is it fair for grant reviewers — who are often our colleagues — to judge the legitimacy of career breaks due to personal circumstances?

go.nature.com/48yaJvF
Parenting, illnesses and medical commitments: the private details grant reviewers shouldn’t need to know
Is it fair for grant reviewers — who are often our colleagues — to judge the legitimacy of career breaks due to personal circumstances?
go.nature.com

A good argument for preprinting everything here: www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Client Challenge
www.nature.com

I once worked in a bingo hall and saw the joy of people winning money at random. Now I randomise academics in the serious business of who wins research funding. With funding lotteries growing in popularity, I reflect on how to run them and the lessons from bingo. academic.oup.com/jrssig/artic...
How to run a lottery
Abstract. Adrian Barnett worked in a bingo hall as a boy, and now runs a lottery for research funding. Here he explains how it works and how it might be be
academic.oup.com

Access via your organisation

Genuinely once read "SSPS". Another reason to switch to R and you can't misspell that.

I think a lot about the general lack of statistical competence. Misspelling the great John Tukey's name as Turkey may seem harmless, but I can't think of how anyone whose is serious about statistics would do this.

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

Lotteries may be fair in theory, but new research shows people prefer expert committees to decide who gets scarce medical treatment.
Should we decide by lottery who gets a medical treatment first?
Lotteries may be fair in theory, but new research shows people prefer expert committees to decide who gets scarce medical treatment.
tcnv.link

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

2025. (not just cancer lit....) Low quality papers are flooding the cancer literature — can this AI tool help to catch them? A large language model scans abstracts and titles for signs that an article was produced by a 'paper-mill' company. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Low quality papers are flooding the cancer literature — can this AI tool help to catch them?
A large language model scans abstracts and titles for signs that an article was produced by a 'paper-mill' company.
www.nature.com

Reposted by Adrian Barnett

Free data resources in science are having the shit mined out of them to produce X,000's of bullshit papers.

What should we do?

(Warning: I sat on this draft for too long, and publishers are already doing some of it. That's what I get for engaging with the news.)

open.substack.com/pub/jamescla...
How To Stop The Next 10,000 Bullshit Papers
Some remarkably un-radical proposals
open.substack.com

It's a needlepoint.