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statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters
@statwonk.bsky.social
800 followers 1.1K following 420 posts

Dad, Partner. Statistician-Econometrician-Engineer. AI Developer. Decision theory. Game theory. #autisticpride #9 at Zapier, first DS

Videos
Political science 19%
Engineering 18%
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Will Jennings, Steve Peers , and 6 more

kjephd.bsky.social
Kevin Elliott @kjephd.bsky.social · Aug 25
The corruption of the US Supreme Court has arguably been the most serious single contributor to the US's transformation into autocracy
zackbeauchamp.bsky.social
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social · Aug 25
Reading an article titled "Why didn't Brazilian democracy die?" and a key part of the story is a Supreme Court that actually did its job
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Reposted by Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele, Joe R. Feagin , and 7 more

zackbeauchamp.bsky.social
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social · Aug 25
Reading an article titled "Why didn't Brazilian democracy die?" and a key part of the story is a Supreme Court that actually did its job
94 1.7K 6.6K

Reposted by Christopher Peters

whstancil.bsky.social
Will Stancil @whstancil.bsky.social · Aug 20
The American media's only weakness: transparent pretexts and obvious lies, which it can't refute without feeling partisan
8 48 440

statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 19
I’m sorry, you and disabled people generally deserve much better (and our whole global community!).
1

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson, Stephen D. Murphy, Christopher Peters , and 1 more

gsimpson.bsky.social
Gavin Simpson @gsimpson.bsky.social · Aug 18
🚀 gratia 0.11.0 is out!

Now has a paper in JOSS — please cite 📄 doi.org/10.21105/jos...

Experimental parallel processing ⚡

New assemble() for building plots 🎨

Better support for complex families + new diagnostics 🧪

Lots of bug fixes + polish ✨

👉 gavinsimpson.github.io/gratia/

#Rstats
An R package for working with generalized additive models
Graceful 'ggplot'-based graphics and utility functions for working with generalized additive models (GAMs) fitted using the 'mgcv' package.
gavinsimpson.github.io
3 64 190

Reposted by Christopher Peters, Matthew P. McAllister

apocalypticanow.bsky.social
ApocalypticaNow @apocalypticanow.bsky.social · Aug 18
It was just 4 years ago that this country cut the child poverty rate almost in half. Then we just....stopped www.census.gov/library/stor...
5 110 270

Reposted by Christopher Peters

shanewriter.bsky.social
Shane O'Mara @shanewriter.bsky.social · Aug 18
Not much: open.substack.com/pub/grimoire...
No, Conscientiousness Hasn't Collapsed Among Young People in Recent Years
How the Financial Times created a misleading meme and contributed to the firehose of nonsense on screen panic
open.substack.com
4 11

statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 18
Shameful violation of the Air Carrier Access Act. 🤬 I hate how they caused the problem and kept adding to it.
1 1

Reposted by Christopher Peters

alliewilkinson.bsky.social
Allie Wilkinson @alliewilkinson.bsky.social · Aug 16
Just had a frustrating, humiliating and dehumanizing experience with
@americanair.bsky.social
at
Reagan Airport
as a #disabled person. It started with insufficient staffing for wheelchair assistance.
3 9 17

Reposted by Christopher Peters

ayoub.bsky.social
elia ayoub 🌱 @ayoub.bsky.social · Aug 16
Julia Sebutinde, the vice-president of the International Court of Justice (ICJ), has said God "is counting on me to stand on the side of Israel" and the signs of the "end times" are "being shown in the Middle East".

She is a judge who supports the accused

www.middleeasteye.net/news/icj-vic...
ICJ vice-president: 'The Lord is counting on me to stand on the side of Israel'
Judge Julia Sebutinde says signs of the end times 'are being shown in the Middle East'
www.middleeasteye.net
2 22 73

Reposted by Christopher Peters

emptywheel.bsky.social
emptywheel @emptywheel.bsky.social · Aug 16
Steamrolled: Vladimir Putin Shares an Existential Secret with Trump and You Just Saw the Result

www.emptywheel.net/2025/08/16/s...
Steamrolled: Vladimir Putin Shares an Existential Secret with Trump and You Just Saw the Result - emptywheel
Trump doesn't want to talk about what demands Putin made of him in yesterday's meeting. He does want to cling to the lies about Russia getting him elected that he can only sustain if Russia is willing...
www.emptywheel.net
18 150 400

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Steven French, Juan Cole , and 4 more

karanslade.bsky.social
Kara N. Slade @karanslade.bsky.social · Aug 15
I didn’t know until now that in the original Rosie the Riveter painting, she is crushing a copy of Mein Kampf under her foot. Happy feast of the Blessed Virgin Mary, remembering all the women who crush the serpents of Satan under their heel.
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Reposted by Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele, Steve Peers , and 1 more

acyn.bsky.social
Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · Aug 14
Vladeck: There’s one video showing a DEA officer telling a D.C. resident he couldn’t drink alcohol on his porch—D.C. law says exactly the opposite. It also highlights how these officers aren’t even trained in the laws they’re purportedly enforcing.
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Reposted by Christopher Peters

minedogucu.com
Mine Doğucu @minedogucu.com · Aug 14
I recently learned that our statistics book (bayesrulesbook.com) cannot be listed on syllabi in Florida.
3 2 12

statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 14
No doubt, working more intelligently generates leverage that can out produce any amount of poor work. Really consistent compounding is the key.
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Reposted by Christopher Peters

statsepi.bsky.social
Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · Aug 14
1. An awful lot of progress in medicine is based on "it worked somewhere". Most of it probably.

2. No effects can be guaranteed to generalize into the future, but that doesn't seem to bother anyone

3. This from @epidbydesign.bsky.social et al is also worth a read pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30299451/
7 5 31

Reposted by Christopher Peters

fintwitter.bsky.social
FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · Aug 14
INDIA (JUL) WHOLESALE PRICES YOY ACTUAL: -0.58% VS -0.13% PREVIOUS;EST -0.48%
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statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 13
The leaders aren’t experts and have ulterior motives? Ding ding ding!
3

Reposted by Christopher Peters

firehorse249791.bsky.social
The Final Report @firehorse249791.bsky.social · Aug 12
70 years of data show extreme heat is already wiping out tropical bird populations phys.org/news/2025-08... #ClimateCrisis #Heatwave #Birds #Wildlife #Tropics
70 years of data show extreme heat is already wiping out tropical bird populations
Human-driven climate change threatens many species, including birds. Most studies on this topic focus on long-term climate trends, such as gradual rises in average temperatures or shifts in rainfall p...
phys.org
6 7

statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 13
> China Sanctions Two EU Banks, Hitting Back at Europe’s Moves

China’s government is upset they can’t support Russia’s genocide with impunity. 🧠

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
China Sanctions Two EU Banks, Hitting Back at Europe’s Measures
China sanctioned a pair of banks in the EU, fulfilling a promise to retaliate after the bloc targeted some Chinese lenders over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
www.bloomberg.com
1

Reposted by Carl T. Bergstrom, Steve Peers, Albert Weale , and 5 more

mkirschenbaum.bsky.social
Matthew Kirschenbaum @mkirschenbaum.bsky.social · Aug 12
Instead of regurgitating the bromide that LLMs are just "autocomplete on steroids" (even by people who know better), maybe we can actually engage in some public education. The problem with genAI is better expressed through a classic computer science concept, known as SYMBOL GROUNDING. 🧵
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statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 12
> JPMorgan raises price target on CoreWeave heading into earnings, says AI ramp is ‘intact’

www.cnbc.com/2025/08/11/j...
JPMorgan raises price target on CoreWeave heading into earnings, says AI ramp is ‘intact’
JPMorgan is staying bullish on CoreWeave in the lead-up to its quarterly results Tuesday after the bell.
www.cnbc.com
1

Reposted by Christopher Peters

samillingworth.com
Prof Sam Illingworth @samillingworth.com · Aug 10
🧊 Perito Moreno glacier’s stability may be ending

New data show rapid thinning since 2019, with modelling suggesting possible large-scale retreat once a subglacial ridge is passed.

🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s43...

#SciComm 🧪 #Glaciers
The state and fate of Glaciar Perito Moreno Patagonia - Communications Earth & Environment
Glacier Perito Moreno, in the southern Patagonian Icefields, is now experiencing accelerated thinning, flow acceleration, and unprecedented frontal retreat, indicating the potential for buoyancy-drive...
www.nature.com
6 14

statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 10
As long as Putin insists on land and no NATO, it doesn’t make sense for Zelensky to meet.

Reposted by Christopher Peters

collapseaphorisms.bsky.social
Ian@collapseaphorisms @collapseaphorisms.bsky.social · Aug 10
Oh look...

#collapse
2 10

Reposted by Norbert Schwarz, Richard McElreath, Mark J. Brandt , and 10 more

richarddmorey.bsky.social
Richard D. Morey @richarddmorey.bsky.social · Aug 8
Paper drop, for anyone interested in #metascience, #statistics, or #metaanalysis! @clintin.bsky.social and I show in a new paper in JASA that the P-curve, a popular forensic meta-analysis method, has deeply undesirable statistical properties. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/?
Cover page for the manuscript: Morey, R. D., & Davis-Stober, C. P. (2025). On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2025.2544397 Abstract for the paper: The P-curve (Simonsohn, Nelson, & Simmons, 2014; Simonsohn, Simmons, & Nelson, 2015) is a widely-used suite of meta-analytic tests advertised for detecting problems in sets of studies. They are based on nonparametric combinations of p values (e.g., Marden, 1985) across significant (p < .05) studies and are variously claimed to detect “evidential value”, “lack of evidential value”, and “left skew” in p values. We show that these tests do not have the properties ascribed to them. Moreover, they fail basic desiderata for tests, including admissibility and monotonicity. In light of these serious problems, we recommend against the use of the P-curve tests.
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Reposted by Christopher Peters, Michael J. Hicks

carlquintanilla.bsky.social
Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · Aug 8
* Ralph Lauren yesterday. $RL

* UnderArmour today. $UAA

Retailers aren’t escaping the tariff pain.
33 260 890

statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 8
> Nearly a million more deaths than births in Japan last year

If Japan doesn’t welcome at least 3.5x more permanent residents per year it’ll continue to shrink. Immigrants = growth and prosperity.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk

statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · Aug 7
> Trump Doubles Tariff on India 50%, Sparking Outrage in Delhi

Good, nobody should be allowed to fuel genocide.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Trump Doubles Tariff on India to 50%, Sparking Outrage in Delhi
US President Donald Trump doubled tariffs on Indian goods to 50% as a penalty for its purchases of Russian oil, escalating a fight with a key Asian partner and sparking outrage in New Delhi.
www.bloomberg.com
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