Christopher Peters
statwonk.bsky.social
Christopher Peters
@statwonk.bsky.social

Dad, Partner. Statistician-Econometrician-Engineer. AI Developer. Decision theory. Game theory. #autisticpride #9 at Zapier, first DS

Political science 19%
Engineering 18%

Yes, but treatment effect heterogeneity determines how well we can learn an average effect (so it seems worthy of thinking of and perhaps modeling).

What models are you using? Gemini is extremely good at advanced statistics (let alone simpler things).

So depraved that China supports the Russian genocide of Ukraine.

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Holy shit.

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Six American Heroes! Who agrees? 👋🏾

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I know there is lot going on but Witkoff got rolled by the Russians again. A bunch of R Senators said hold up today (including Graham) and Rubio just threw the clown car in reverse. Total shit show.
Two billion kids would REALLY appreciate it if we did more about this than just make a few non-binding promises every year & then instantly forget about them.
#COP30

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What is legacy (=I can buy it for less than $100 on eBay) GPU with good performance of integer operations ?
to keep functioning, a society must discourage baldfaced lying, especially by authorities

bsky.app/profile/anna...
This is nuts.

Yesterday in the Comey hearing, prosecutors *repeatedly* confirmed that the full grand jury never saw or voted on the two-count indictment.

Now they’re claiming the grand jury *did* vote on it.
Omg everything is so stupid.

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Oh good, they left Chiropractors as professionals but not Nurses, NPs, PA’s or physical therapists

That’s infuriating

Ah, it's cool you'll be able to answer so many more nuanced questions.

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Here's what worries the Fed (and me!): The unemployment rate is slowly drifting up. This is a clear sign of an unhealthy economy. And it's happening slowly enough that it hasn't attracted many headlines. But it really matters.
The President has put tariffs on the whole economy in an effort to revive manufacturing.

It's not working.

Grok is brilliant everybody! 😂

What AI bubble? Practically everyone depends on it.
I haven’t seen this get covered in English yet so let me translate.

Grok is saying that the crematories at Auschwitz’s were conceived as disinfectant chambers, not mass execution and that the law has made it taboo to acknowledge that this is what they were

X is a Nazi site. Get off the Nazi site.
La #LDH porte plainte contre la publication de #Grok, l’intelligence artificielle du réseau social X, pour contestation de crimes contre l’humanité.
La #LDH porte plainte contre la publication de #Grok, l’intelligence artificielle du réseau social X, pour contestation de crimes contre l’humanité.

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Nicolas Guillou, juge français de la CPI, sanctionné par les Etats-Unis : « Face aux attaques, les magistrats de la Cour tiendront »
Nicolas Guillou, juge français de la CPI, sanctionné par les Etats-Unis : « Face aux attaques, les magistrats de la Cour tiendront »
Six juges et trois procureurs de la Cour pénale internationale, dont le procureur général, Karim Khan, ont été placés sous sanctions par les Etats-Unis. Dans un entretien au « Monde », le magistrat français évoque le poids de ces mesures sur son travail et sa vie quotidienne.
www.lemonde.fr

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Paramount CEO David Ellison is set to attend tonight's East Room dinner with President Trump and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, per a source.

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For those rooting for 600%, we made it!

As of November 18, Santa Barbara has seen 622% of normal rainfall to date. This is the most November rain in Santa Barbara in over 127 years.

www.independent.com/2025/11/17/s...

Waller’s right.
Inflation (ex-tariffs) is near target; expectations anchored. Job creation has stalled, revisions show the weakness. Vacancies, quits, hiring—down. Most households are stressed. Staying restrictive now would hit workers least able to absorb it. A December cut is the responsible move.
Speech by Governor Waller on the economic outlook
Thank you to the Society for the honor of addressing your annual meeting. 1 In doing a little research on the SPE's history, I noted that one goal cited b
www.federalreserve.gov

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MEISELAS: “If the Epstein files had all this evidence that showed Trump was completely innocent guy, but that it actually incriminated all of these Democrats, Donald Trump would be the first person to say, "Let's release those Epstein files."

It’s really this simple.

Ah cool, I’d love to read it when it’s ready.

😂 I’m amazed how awesome it is at Bayesian stats. It codes all my Stan programs these days.

Amazing that GPT5 knows so much about stochastic volatility models. 😍

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Megyn Kelly and Batya Ungar-Sargon’s claim that “no actual crimes were committed by anyone” in the Epstein case isn’t just false, it erases documented victims and years of criminal findings.
A teenager in Florida with a homeless parent wanted money for braces and ended up having sex for money with powerful men, setting off a chain of events that would have a dramatic impact on her life and help upend the political career of Representative Matt Gaetz. nyti.ms/49PSkL9

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🚨 NEW: More Republicans are quietly telling Rep Thomas Massie they plan to vote to release the files, and he predicts this could snowball.

“Trump will protect you… if you vote to cover up for pedophiles… but… this vote is going to be on your record longer than Trump is going to be president.”

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ROUGH: 1st thing the judge considering disqualifying Trump pick Lindsay Halligan as top federal prosecutor in EDVA asked at hearing today was whether defense had been given copies of career prosecutors' memo explaining why the case shouldn't be prosecuted www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
Judge appears skeptical of Lindsey Halligan’s appointment as interim US attorney
A ruling against Halligan could threaten the cases she brought against James Comey and Letitia James.
www.politico.com