David Mallinson
@dcmallinson.bsky.social
50 followers 97 following 12 posts
Assistant Professor, Rush University Dept. of Family and Preventive Medicine. Population health scientist and health services researcher in maternal/child health. Other interests: DnD, Mad Men, music. https://davidmallinson.github.io/
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dcmallinson.bsky.social
Hasan isn’t the “Joe Rogan of the left” b/c Joe Rogan isn’t expressly a political commentator. Stavros Halkias might be closer to that, although I think this endeavor is fruitless and misses the point of JRE’s appeal.
dcmallinson.bsky.social
Within 10 years, this paper will be standard in graduate courses on causal inference.
ang-yu.bsky.social
My paper on causal decomposition of group disparities is out in the Annals of Applied Statistics! If you are looking to explain group differences, this is likely the methodological framework for you! doi.org/10.1214/24-A...
Nonparametric causal decomposition of group disparities
We introduce a new nonparametric causal decomposition approach that identifies the mechanisms by which a treatment variable contributes to a group-based outcome disparity. Our approach distinguishes three mechanisms: group differences in: (1) treatment prevalence, (2) average treatment effects, and (3) selection into treatment based on individual-level treatment effects. Our approach reformulates classic Kitagawa–Blinder–Oaxaca decompositions in causal and nonparametric terms, complements causal mediation analysis by explaining group disparities instead of group effects, and isolates conceptually distinct mechanisms conflated in recent random equalization decompositions. In contrast to all prior approaches, our framework uniquely identifies differential selection into treatment as a novel disparity-generating mechanism. Our approach can be used for both the retrospective causal explanation of disparities and the prospective planning of interventions to change disparities. We present both an unconditional and a conditional decomposition, where the latter quantifies the contributions of the treatment within levels of certain covariates. We develop nonparametric estimators that are n-consistent, asymptotically normal, semiparametrically efficient, and multiply robust. We apply our approach to analyze the mechanisms by which college graduation causally contributes to intergenerational income persistence (the disparity in adult income between the children of high- vs. low-income parents). Empirically, we demonstrate a previously undiscovered role played by the new selection component in intergenerational income persistence.
projecteuclid.org
Reposted by David Mallinson
napaaqtuk.bsky.social
I just checked pubmed....there are over 1200 papers about vaccines and autism. There is no link. This is a waste of tax payer money.
wentrogue.bsky.social
I got your waste, fraud, and abuse right here

CDC plans to study autism, vaccines
Move comes despite strong evidence finding no link between them.
By LENA H. SUN and LAUREN WEBER • The Washington Post
Reposted by David Mallinson
Reposted by David Mallinson
jama.com
JAMA @jama.com · Feb 20
In a new Editorial, JAMA editors, JAMA Network Editors in Chief, and JAMA editorial leadership address the recent executive orders that have impacted the scientific process and reaffirm their commitment to scientific and editorial integrity.

ja.ma/4b5LsIt
Image shows the JAMA brand logo with the quote, "The silencing of this scientific discourse directly threatens the professional oaths that many have taken." Below the quote, the text shows: "JAMA editors, JAMA Network Editors in Chief, and JAMA editorial leadership."
Reposted by David Mallinson
scott-delaney.bsky.social
NIH indirects case update:

Hearing ongoing now, and I'll try to live tweet some notable exchanges.

Prior to more detailed arguments, Judge Kelley starts off with a few point questions to both sides:

(I'm paraphrasing here)
dcmallinson.bsky.social
“Causal Inference and the People’s Health” goes over the “causal revolution” in epidemiology. Just started it yesterday. Informative so far. global.oup.com/academic/pro...
global.oup.com
Reposted by David Mallinson
naomithyden.bsky.social
Are you interested in analyzing small samples from marginalized communities and aren't sure how?

My new commentary in AJE's collection on Methods in Social Epidemiology lays out rec's for researchers, public health practitioners, and data owners.

DM your email address if you need access.
Insufficient sample size or insufficient attention to marginalized populations? A practical guide to moving observational research forward
Naomi Harada Thyden; Insufficient sample size or insufficient attention to marginalized populations? A practical guide to moving observational research for
doi.org
Reposted by David Mallinson
mariaglymour.bsky.social
I'm frustrated with the messaging that indiscriminate firings at NIH and proposed decimation of research via changes to indirect rates are about increasing efficiency. Here are some thoughts on how to actually increase returns to NIH investments. shorturl.at/KnWU9

#EpiSky #ScienceSky
Maria Glymour on LinkedIn: Building on 90 Years of Progress: Approaches to Increase Efficiency of…
#NIH #HealthResearch #Efficiency #Government
www.linkedin.com
Reposted by David Mallinson
carlbergstrom.com
Penn State has halted submission and *acceptance* of NIH grants pending the resolution of the overhead rate cut.

This lost time will never be recovered. The economic cost to Pennsylvania is enormous and the cost to humanity immeasurable.
djvanness.bsky.social
Text of email I received:
To HHD Research Community:

As you have no doubt heard, NIH issued NOT-OD-25-068 Friday evening (2/7/2025). This notice reduces the F&A rate that NIH is willing to pay to 15%, effective today (2/10/2025). The rate reduction applies to both new and existing NIH awards.

The University remains fully committed to research excellence across the enterprise, including biomedical research.  Penn State believes that this rate change could be inconsistent with the annual federal appropriations bill and is aware of, and engaged with some of the groups that are considering legal challenges against this.

 With this in mind, the University is taking the following temporary actions:

•	Pausing NIH proposal submissions. While our advice is that you should continue to work on preparing NIH proposals, for the next two days the University will not submit new proposals, including new subawards. When preparing NIH proposals for later submission, we will continue to use Penn State’s negotiated F&A rates until directed otherwise by OSVPR. (Non-standard proposals such as fellowship grants can continue to be submitted in accordance with previously existing guidance.)
•	Pausing Acceptance of New NIH Awards. If we receive new awards that reference the 15% F&A rate, those awards will be placed on hold until such time as this issue is resolved. The same is true of any new NIH flow-through awards we receive from other institutions that reference the 15% rate.  This pause is also expected to be in effect for at least the next two days.
Work on any NIH projects initiated prior to today should continue, and investigators should at this point take no actions that alter their scientific or resource-allocation strategies on these projects in the wake of this latest action.

We ask for your patience while the University assesses this situation – one that is very labile and could change anytime.   We expect modifications to the above guidance in the coming days as we learn more and we will do our best…
Reposted by David Mallinson
wrigleyfield.bsky.social
Here are some facts about "facilities and administrative" (F&A) costs, what we in the business call "indirects" and what Musk is calling "overhead" as he tries to convince Americans with being ok with cutting billions on dollars from medical and public health research at universities & hospitals

1/
Reposted by David Mallinson
joshuajfriedman.com
A very real thing that can definitely be done at a glance by skimming a spreadsheet in a computer system you're unfamiliar with
Wall Street Journal headline:

DOGE Aides Search Medicare Agency Payment Systems for Fraud.
Elon Musk's allies have been on site at Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services offices this week.
Reposted by David Mallinson
pamherd.bsky.social
Reminder that ipums.org has all the acs, census, CPS, NHIS, MEPS, and so much more. Bonus that it’s cleaned and harmonized in ways that make these data really easy to use in practice.
Reposted by David Mallinson
luckytran.com
“The US was considered a world leader in public health. With one repressive stroke that reputation risks being shattered & broken. If anything is forbidden now, it is that medical & science journals, whose duty is to stand for integrity and equity, should bow to political or ideological censorship.”
BMJ: Medical journal editors must resist CDC order and anti-gender ideology
Reposted by David Mallinson
boghuma.bsky.social
Without accounting for social determinants of health, diversity of populations,inequities to access etc. results generated by most clinical studies that inform a high standard of care will be uninterpretable and even harmful. We compromise scientific standards at great peril.
Reposted by David Mallinson
davidnhackney.bsky.social
The American College of OB/GYN’s website is now hosting the critical documents purged by the CDC

This is what every professional medical organization should be doing right now

#MedSky

www.acog.org/clinical/cli...
ACOG Endorsed
The following documents have ACOG’s endorsement and are listed in order of endorsed date.
www.acog.org
dcmallinson.bsky.social
If you’re concerned about reducing bias in estimates of causal treatment effects…😵‍💫
darbysaxbe.bsky.social
🚨BREAKING. From a program officer at the National Science Foundation, a list of keywords that can cause a grant to be pulled. I will be sharing screenshots of these keywords along with a decision tree. Please share widely. This is a crisis for academic freedom & science.
list of banned keywords
Reposted by David Mallinson
Reposted by David Mallinson