Daniel Donner
@donnermaps.bsky.social
3.8K followers 790 following 390 posts
Contributor @the-downballot.com. Focusing on data, maps, and demographics. Find our data (and the CD hexmap template!) at https://the-db.co/data
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donnermaps.bsky.social
Several blocks in downtown Chicago are not part of *any* congressional district map (new or old). How on earth is this possible? The answer involves billions of dollars, brothels, Abraham Lincoln, and a bit of geomorphology. 1/

New IL map: t.co/QzQX9spFUO
Satellite view of downtown Chicago with congressional district map overlay, showing several block are not included in any district.
donnermaps.bsky.social
Last night it said 100+ bought in the past month. Tonight, 200+. The legion grows.
screenshot of amazon page that says Inflatable Frog Costume for Adults - Blow up Halloween Costume. 200 plus bought in past month
Reposted by Daniel Donner
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
NVIDIA and OpenAi:

Concerns that their “increasingly complex and interconnected web of business transactions is artificially propping up the trillion-dollar AI boom.“

@bloomberg.com $NVDA 👀
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Reposted by Daniel Donner
clapifyoulikeme.favrd.social
Aw yeah that’s what charts were designed for
Lateralized Sleep Positions in Domestic Cats bar graph. 192 cats curve left. 109 curve right.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
the-downballot.com
There's been a lot of confusion about which states could redraw their House maps before the midterms, so we've put together a definitive guide to every state that could actually do so—16 in all.

We explain the likelihood of new maps, probable targeted districts, and any obstacles to passage.
Here's every state that could draw a new congressional map by 2026
Most states can't pass new maps quickly—but those that can favor Republicans
www.the-downballot.com
Reposted by Daniel Donner
thomasjwood.bsky.social
The last time I posted the income relationship to presidential vote among White respondents to the @electionstudies.bsky.social ANES, people asked for additional estimates among all voters.

Updated estimates here:
Reposted by Daniel Donner
benansell.bsky.social
On the morning of Keir Starmer's conference speech here's a new post on an odd psychopathology in British politics - our main parties don't like the people who vote for them - the dreaded Professional Managerial Class. And so they are acting out like a divorced dad seeking cooler voters. 1/n
British Politics' Midlife Crisis
Why British Parties Can't Make Peace with Their Actual Voters
benansell.substack.com
Reposted by Daniel Donner
amandalitman.bsky.social
40% of state leg races went uncontested in 2024.

@runforsomething.net is aggressively recruiting for 2026 - we can't leave a single place up for grabs.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
bradheath.bsky.social
EXCLUSIVE: The number of people charged with breaking federal drug laws dropped to the lowest level in decades this year after the Trump administration ordered enforcement agencies to focus on deporting immigrants, a @reuters.com review of court dockets found.

www.reuters.com/legal/govern...
Chart showing the decline in the number of people charged with federal drug offenses.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
datagraver.com
Executive orders signed, days since start Presidential term, USA, post-WWII.
Graph with count of signed executive orders per presidential term as function of days in office, for presidents since Eisenhower.
Lowest line is GW Bush 2 ending at 118.
Highest so far is Carter with 320.
But the current term for Trump (only 249 days so far) jumps out because of the steep upward curve to now already 207.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
donnermaps.bsky.social
You're right not to dismiss partisan polling but... McLaughlin has a record.

finance.yahoo.com/news/eric-ca...
donnermaps.bsky.social
wut? how is this even possible?
Reposted by Daniel Donner
davidnir.com
Breaking news consumer's handbook
Reposted by Daniel Donner
robinwigglesworth.ft.com
Sentiment analysis on four decades worth of FT newspaper articles. 🥳 Rreally cool stuff from @joelsuss.ft.com. on.ft.com/4n2TVBq
Reposted by Daniel Donner
bencasselman.bsky.social
The U.S. economy probably added half as many jobs in the 12 months ending in March as previously reported, according to the preliminary benchmark revision data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday. #NumbersDay
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/09/b...
Reposted by Daniel Donner
harryzeko.bsky.social
⛰️ In a new study in @science.org, we project that 39% of the global glacier mass is committed to be lost irrespective of future warming.

However, a lot can still be saved - see title:
“Glacier preservation doubled by limiting warming to 1.5°C versus 2.7°C”

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

[1/n]
Reposted by Daniel Donner
the-downballot.com
HUGE FLIP: Democrat Catelin Drey wins deep-red state Senate seat in Iowa, breaking the GOP's supermajority.

Drey won by 11 points in a district Donald Trump carried by 11 points last year. It's another massive overperformance. The Iowa GOP should be very worried for the midterms.

Our full writeup:
Iowa Democrats win massive upset to break GOP supermajority
Catelin Drey's victory may portend more good news for Democrats next year
www.the-downballot.com