eric gonzalez juenke
@egojunk.bsky.social
Personal account. I study and teach racial and ethnic politics for work. Re-posting election twitter stuff. https://goodauthority.org/people/eric-gonzalez-juenke/
Pinned
eric gonzalez juenke
@egojunk.bsky.social
· Feb 27
Starting to wonder what the real upper limit on this baby is.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Currently in FirstView: In “Survey Quality and Acquiescence Bias: A Cautionary Tale,” Andrés Cruz, Adam Bouyamourn, and @joeornstein.bsky.social discuss the dangers of drawing inferences from low-quality survey datasets. They replicate an experiment on acquiescence and misinformation.
February 11, 2026 at 3:40 PM
Currently in FirstView: In “Survey Quality and Acquiescence Bias: A Cautionary Tale,” Andrés Cruz, Adam Bouyamourn, and @joeornstein.bsky.social discuss the dangers of drawing inferences from low-quality survey datasets. They replicate an experiment on acquiescence and misinformation.
Asked and answered. www.npr.org/2026/02/07/n...
Trump promised a crypto revolution. So why is bitcoin crashing?
Trump got elected promising to usher in a crypto revolution. More than a year later, bitcoin's price has come tumbling down. What happened?
www.npr.org
February 11, 2026 at 4:15 PM
Asked and answered. www.npr.org/2026/02/07/n...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
My menchies show a lotta distrust about the official jobs numbers right now.
Lemme be clear: I don't believe there's *any* political meddling in these numbers.
While the President has tried to mess with the BLS, he failed. I explain in a lot more detail, here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kncV...
Lemme be clear: I don't believe there's *any* political meddling in these numbers.
While the President has tried to mess with the BLS, he failed. I explain in a lot more detail, here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kncV...
The BLS, Jobs Data, And Trust: Justin Wolfers On What Really Happened
Is it possible for democracy to win a quiet battle—and nobody notices?
This clip tells a three-act story about the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the agency that produces the jobs report and…
www.youtube.com
February 11, 2026 at 3:05 PM
My menchies show a lotta distrust about the official jobs numbers right now.
Lemme be clear: I don't believe there's *any* political meddling in these numbers.
While the President has tried to mess with the BLS, he failed. I explain in a lot more detail, here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kncV...
Lemme be clear: I don't believe there's *any* political meddling in these numbers.
While the President has tried to mess with the BLS, he failed. I explain in a lot more detail, here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kncV...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Guessing payrolls using White House kremlinology continues to have a ~0% hit rate.
He would say this whether he looked at the numbers or not. I would not draw any particular conclusions.
February 11, 2026 at 1:40 PM
Guessing payrolls using White House kremlinology continues to have a ~0% hit rate.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
TODAY is the day #polisky - get those APSA-wide award submissions in. Truly a showcase of how much interesting, innovative work is going on in all areas of the discipline.
The deadline to submit 2026 APSA Award nominations is quickly approaching! #APSAAwards and prizes honor the work of scholars who make outstanding contributions to political science research, teaching, and service. Submit by Wednesday, February 11th! 🏅🏆
Recognizing the Merit of our Peers: 2026 APSA Awards Nominations Open | Deadline: February 11, 2026 -
One of the many important roles of the American Political Science Association (APSA) is recognizing excellence in the political science profession. APSA makes awards for the best dissertations,…
buff.ly
February 11, 2026 at 2:04 PM
TODAY is the day #polisky - get those APSA-wide award submissions in. Truly a showcase of how much interesting, innovative work is going on in all areas of the discipline.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Primary electorates, especially in times like these, are very difficult to predict accurately. The hand wringing over the lack of broadcast tv buys is kind of hysterical. It’s going to be fascinating to see how this one plays out.
And yet. And yet, we cant seem to get polls show a consistent Talarico lead. This is going to be such an interesting 3 weeks. Someone is going to be wrong. www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Jasmine Crockett Is Not Running a Traditional Campaign. It’s Making Allies Anxious.
The Democratic Senate candidate hasn’t named a campaign manager or run broadcast TV ads.
www.notus.org
February 11, 2026 at 1:05 PM
Primary electorates, especially in times like these, are very difficult to predict accurately. The hand wringing over the lack of broadcast tv buys is kind of hysterical. It’s going to be fascinating to see how this one plays out.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
End of an era. Big time series loss.
News: Gallup will stop measuring presidential approval ratings after 89 years. Read the firm's reasons for making the change and what topics the Gallup will continue conducting in today's Early Brief
s2.washingtonpost.com/camp-rw/?tra...
s2.washingtonpost.com/camp-rw/?tra...
Republicans dig in on defending ICE
The Washington Post’s essential guide to power and influence in D.C. As negotiations on ICE reforms continue, the GOP is backing DHS.
s2.washingtonpost.com
February 11, 2026 at 11:58 AM
End of an era. Big time series loss.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Texas Senate news
- Sen. Heinrich endorses Talarico, first Senate D endorser: “He’s running a really smart campaign"
- D senator: “There are a lot of us who are rooting for" Talarico
- Sen. Van Hollen criticizes “circular firing squad aspect" of campaign
www.semafor.com/article/02/1...
- Sen. Heinrich endorses Talarico, first Senate D endorser: “He’s running a really smart campaign"
- D senator: “There are a lot of us who are rooting for" Talarico
- Sen. Van Hollen criticizes “circular firing squad aspect" of campaign
www.semafor.com/article/02/1...
Democrats agonize over their Texas Senate primary
Sen. Martin Heinrich, D-N.M., told Semafor he’s backing James Talarico over Jasmine Crockett. But it’s not clear how many others will choose a side.
www.semafor.com
February 10, 2026 at 8:42 PM
Texas Senate news
- Sen. Heinrich endorses Talarico, first Senate D endorser: “He’s running a really smart campaign"
- D senator: “There are a lot of us who are rooting for" Talarico
- Sen. Van Hollen criticizes “circular firing squad aspect" of campaign
www.semafor.com/article/02/1...
- Sen. Heinrich endorses Talarico, first Senate D endorser: “He’s running a really smart campaign"
- D senator: “There are a lot of us who are rooting for" Talarico
- Sen. Van Hollen criticizes “circular firing squad aspect" of campaign
www.semafor.com/article/02/1...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
An important book. Solid review.
How Vietnam Inflamed the Civil Rights Movement www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/b...
How Vietnam Inflamed the Civil Rights Movement www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/b...
How Vietnam Inflamed the Civil Rights Movement
www.nytimes.com
February 10, 2026 at 9:45 PM
An important book. Solid review.
How Vietnam Inflamed the Civil Rights Movement www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/b...
How Vietnam Inflamed the Civil Rights Movement www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/b...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
so the jobs report flopsweat coming from the WH is at minimum because the annual baseline adjustment is going be brutal.
I would additionally guess that one or both are true:
1) January report very very bad
2) neg baseline adjustment bigger than net job growth for 2025 (almost certain)
I would additionally guess that one or both are true:
1) January report very very bad
2) neg baseline adjustment bigger than net job growth for 2025 (almost certain)
February 10, 2026 at 9:18 PM
so the jobs report flopsweat coming from the WH is at minimum because the annual baseline adjustment is going be brutal.
I would additionally guess that one or both are true:
1) January report very very bad
2) neg baseline adjustment bigger than net job growth for 2025 (almost certain)
I would additionally guess that one or both are true:
1) January report very very bad
2) neg baseline adjustment bigger than net job growth for 2025 (almost certain)
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
🚨 JOB ALERT 🚨
We're hiring a Teaching Assistant Professor in Comparative Politics!
Come join a great department: unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/312...
I'm on the committee, so send any questions my way.
#polisky #academicjobs
We're hiring a Teaching Assistant Professor in Comparative Politics!
Come join a great department: unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/312...
I'm on the committee, so send any questions my way.
#polisky #academicjobs
February 10, 2026 at 5:54 PM
🚨 JOB ALERT 🚨
We're hiring a Teaching Assistant Professor in Comparative Politics!
Come join a great department: unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/312...
I'm on the committee, so send any questions my way.
#polisky #academicjobs
We're hiring a Teaching Assistant Professor in Comparative Politics!
Come join a great department: unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/312...
I'm on the committee, so send any questions my way.
#polisky #academicjobs
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
About 10 years ago, I set out to better understand the drivers of radicalization and deradicalization into white supremacy. Work from our endeavors is starting to come out, and I am no longer concerned about sharing it.
I want to share the findings from one of these studies, published last March. 🧵
I want to share the findings from one of these studies, published last March. 🧵
February 10, 2026 at 7:39 PM
About 10 years ago, I set out to better understand the drivers of radicalization and deradicalization into white supremacy. Work from our endeavors is starting to come out, and I am no longer concerned about sharing it.
I want to share the findings from one of these studies, published last March. 🧵
I want to share the findings from one of these studies, published last March. 🧵
One of the things Vegan producers have nailed (besides breakfast sausages), is oddly the meat stick. Probably because meat sticks are mostly heavily flavored goop anyway. These taste like middle school. www.theherbivorousbutcher.com/products/a-l...
A la Carte Beef Stick Bundle
High-protein vegan Beef Sticks with 23g of plant-based protein per stick. A flavorful, grab-and-go snack perfect for quick energy anytime.
www.theherbivorousbutcher.com
February 10, 2026 at 9:23 PM
One of the things Vegan producers have nailed (besides breakfast sausages), is oddly the meat stick. Probably because meat sticks are mostly heavily flavored goop anyway. These taste like middle school. www.theherbivorousbutcher.com/products/a-l...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
new pre-print just dropped!
the nationalization of politics at the local level -- specifically within school districts -- affects turnover of school board members and superintendents.
osf.io/preprints/so...
the nationalization of politics at the local level -- specifically within school districts -- affects turnover of school board members and superintendents.
osf.io/preprints/so...
February 10, 2026 at 8:21 PM
new pre-print just dropped!
the nationalization of politics at the local level -- specifically within school districts -- affects turnover of school board members and superintendents.
osf.io/preprints/so...
the nationalization of politics at the local level -- specifically within school districts -- affects turnover of school board members and superintendents.
osf.io/preprints/so...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
By age 2, toddlers understand ingroup loyalty
They realize that people have social identities and expert their social identity to take precedence in intergroup contexts even when it conflicts with their personal preferences
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
They realize that people have social identities and expert their social identity to take precedence in intergroup contexts even when it conflicts with their personal preferences
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
February 10, 2026 at 8:11 PM
By age 2, toddlers understand ingroup loyalty
They realize that people have social identities and expert their social identity to take precedence in intergroup contexts even when it conflicts with their personal preferences
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
They realize that people have social identities and expert their social identity to take precedence in intergroup contexts even when it conflicts with their personal preferences
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Probably an inflated number anyway (ahem, "suspected") but this is precisely the result guaranteed by Stephen Miller's quotas. Finding gang members / terrorists is hard, and there aren't many.
But grabbing green card holders & asylum seekers at court hearings & schools is super easy.
But grabbing green card holders & asylum seekers at court hearings & schools is super easy.
A stunning detail the ICE chief shared in this hearing that was supposed to be a brag, except it isn't: ICE has arrested 379,000 people between Jan. 2025-Jan. 2026 -- but only 8,700 were suspected gang members or known suspected terrorists.
That's 2%! www.huffpost.com/entry/latest...
That's 2%! www.huffpost.com/entry/latest...
Congresswoman Uses Simple Math To Show How Broken ICE Is
www.huffpost.com
February 10, 2026 at 8:13 PM
Probably an inflated number anyway (ahem, "suspected") but this is precisely the result guaranteed by Stephen Miller's quotas. Finding gang members / terrorists is hard, and there aren't many.
But grabbing green card holders & asylum seekers at court hearings & schools is super easy.
But grabbing green card holders & asylum seekers at court hearings & schools is super easy.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Check out our new paper on the demographic foundations of trust in science in @poqjournal.bsky.social
The tldr is that w/ all of the radical shifts in trust in the US over the last 50+ years, the demographic predictors of trust in science have been rock steady(!)
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
The tldr is that w/ all of the radical shifts in trust in the US over the last 50+ years, the demographic predictors of trust in science have been rock steady(!)
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
February 10, 2026 at 7:20 PM
Check out our new paper on the demographic foundations of trust in science in @poqjournal.bsky.social
The tldr is that w/ all of the radical shifts in trust in the US over the last 50+ years, the demographic predictors of trust in science have been rock steady(!)
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
The tldr is that w/ all of the radical shifts in trust in the US over the last 50+ years, the demographic predictors of trust in science have been rock steady(!)
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Mass deportation destroys the economy, as the new jobs report will show.
February 10, 2026 at 4:44 PM
Mass deportation destroys the economy, as the new jobs report will show.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Every academic in their 40s goes through this career/life stage where they decide that the journals are broken and stupid. It's mostly because they are bored of working on R+Rs given that the marginal benefit for their own career of another publication is close to zero.
"Academic publishing as it currently exists is dead."
This is probably overstated, but if you're an early-career academic, it's worth taking seriously that tenured Stanford professors who've been working with AI more than most are saying things like this out loud now.
This is probably overstated, but if you're an early-career academic, it's worth taking seriously that tenured Stanford professors who've been working with AI more than most are saying things like this out loud now.
February 10, 2026 at 4:15 PM
Every academic in their 40s goes through this career/life stage where they decide that the journals are broken and stupid. It's mostly because they are bored of working on R+Rs given that the marginal benefit for their own career of another publication is close to zero.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
"Academic publishing as it currently exists is dead."
This is probably overstated, but if you're an early-career academic, it's worth taking seriously that tenured Stanford professors who've been working with AI more than most are saying things like this out loud now.
This is probably overstated, but if you're an early-career academic, it's worth taking seriously that tenured Stanford professors who've been working with AI more than most are saying things like this out loud now.
February 10, 2026 at 4:32 AM
"Academic publishing as it currently exists is dead."
This is probably overstated, but if you're an early-career academic, it's worth taking seriously that tenured Stanford professors who've been working with AI more than most are saying things like this out loud now.
This is probably overstated, but if you're an early-career academic, it's worth taking seriously that tenured Stanford professors who've been working with AI more than most are saying things like this out loud now.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Sorry: Using the 25th amendment to remove Trump (or any president who doesn't want to be removed) just won't work; it's not designed for it, and will just end in chaos. Impeachment/removal remains the way to dump a president. All about the 25th goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/no-dont-in...
No, Not the 25th Amendment.
It wouldn't work. The Constitutional remedy that works is impeachment and removal.
goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com
February 10, 2026 at 4:37 PM
Sorry: Using the 25th amendment to remove Trump (or any president who doesn't want to be removed) just won't work; it's not designed for it, and will just end in chaos. Impeachment/removal remains the way to dump a president. All about the 25th goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/no-dont-in...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Good insights from @brownphdgirl.bsky.social & @cmslaughter.bsky.social. 👇 goodauthority.org/news/what-cl...
What Clarence Thomas's ideological journey tells us about Black political thought
February 2026 marks the Centennial celebration of Black History Month, which was originally called Negro History Week in 1926. Black […]
goodauthority.org
February 10, 2026 at 4:05 PM
Good insights from @brownphdgirl.bsky.social & @cmslaughter.bsky.social. 👇 goodauthority.org/news/what-cl...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
DCCC adds 5 more seats to target
February 10, 2026 at 3:15 PM
DCCC adds 5 more seats to target