@eldomtom2.bsky.social
Reposted
Coates is the worst of the worst. Zero interest in the lives of voters but totally consumed by the tittle tattle of the Westminster bubble.
To these people, “Politics is broken”, “Britain is now ungovernable” and “We’re now trying and failing to enforce the Thatcherite consensus with a veneer of public consent” are all the same thing. And it can’t really be explained, unless it’s Russian Facebook or whatever.
December 29, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Coates is the worst of the worst. Zero interest in the lives of voters but totally consumed by the tittle tattle of the Westminster bubble.
Reposted
Prediction markets simulate “science” with a few numbers and curves.
Any serious scientist would hesitate.
In a system that keeps attacking expertise, forecasts turn into pure gambling.
Maybe that’s exactly the appeal.
www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...
Any serious scientist would hesitate.
In a system that keeps attacking expertise, forecasts turn into pure gambling.
Maybe that’s exactly the appeal.
www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...
America Is Slow-Walking Into a Polymarket Disaster
Why is the media obsessed with prediction markets?
www.theatlantic.com
January 17, 2026 at 3:11 PM
Prediction markets simulate “science” with a few numbers and curves.
Any serious scientist would hesitate.
In a system that keeps attacking expertise, forecasts turn into pure gambling.
Maybe that’s exactly the appeal.
www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...
Any serious scientist would hesitate.
In a system that keeps attacking expertise, forecasts turn into pure gambling.
Maybe that’s exactly the appeal.
www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...
Reposted
Curtis Yarvin doing a great swan dive into AI psychosis
archive.today/2026.01.14-0...
dead dove, consider with care before eating
archive.today/2026.01.14-0...
dead dove, consider with care before eating
archive.today
January 14, 2026 at 1:49 PM
Curtis Yarvin doing a great swan dive into AI psychosis
archive.today/2026.01.14-0...
dead dove, consider with care before eating
archive.today/2026.01.14-0...
dead dove, consider with care before eating
Reposted
The effective conclusion of the ET is that trans people have to use third spaces. I think based on very poor legal analysis and uncritical adoption of "gender critical" talking points. But as I say, not binding, and all the relevant issues hopefully to be decided shortly by the High Court.
January 16, 2026 at 1:38 PM
The effective conclusion of the ET is that trans people have to use third spaces. I think based on very poor legal analysis and uncritical adoption of "gender critical" talking points. But as I say, not binding, and all the relevant issues hopefully to be decided shortly by the High Court.
i am sick to fucking death of this whitewashing of why women write and read MLM fiction
January 16, 2026 at 5:28 PM
i am sick to fucking death of this whitewashing of why women write and read MLM fiction
Reposted
Thought I’d do a mega hread on NPR, partly because I’ve seen some London based commentary that doesn’t really get the bigger picture quite right imho
January 15, 2026 at 7:34 AM
Thought I’d do a mega hread on NPR, partly because I’ve seen some London based commentary that doesn’t really get the bigger picture quite right imho
Reposted
The tide seems to be finally turning on global coal, as both China and India are now adding enough clean energy to reduce their coal generation: www.carbonbrief.org/...
January 13, 2026 at 7:07 PM
The tide seems to be finally turning on global coal, as both China and India are now adding enough clean energy to reduce their coal generation: www.carbonbrief.org/...
my favourite thing about wiktionary is how for any random word there's half a chance all the quotes will be from british railway magazines
January 13, 2026 at 8:10 PM
my favourite thing about wiktionary is how for any random word there's half a chance all the quotes will be from british railway magazines
Reposted
Who would make the best PM?
Starmer 36% vs Farage 29%
Starmer 28% vs Badenoch 28%
Starmer 21% vs Polanski 19%
Badenoch 31% vs Farage 21%
Badenoch 28% vs Davey 25%
Badenoch 28% vs Polanski 22%
Davey 33% vs Farage 27%
Davey 23% vs Starmer 19%
Davey 20% vs Polanski 15%
Polanski 28% vs Farage 27%
Starmer 36% vs Farage 29%
Starmer 28% vs Badenoch 28%
Starmer 21% vs Polanski 19%
Badenoch 31% vs Farage 21%
Badenoch 28% vs Davey 25%
Badenoch 28% vs Polanski 22%
Davey 33% vs Farage 27%
Davey 23% vs Starmer 19%
Davey 20% vs Polanski 15%
Polanski 28% vs Farage 27%
January 12, 2026 at 11:10 AM
Who would make the best PM?
Starmer 36% vs Farage 29%
Starmer 28% vs Badenoch 28%
Starmer 21% vs Polanski 19%
Badenoch 31% vs Farage 21%
Badenoch 28% vs Davey 25%
Badenoch 28% vs Polanski 22%
Davey 33% vs Farage 27%
Davey 23% vs Starmer 19%
Davey 20% vs Polanski 15%
Polanski 28% vs Farage 27%
Starmer 36% vs Farage 29%
Starmer 28% vs Badenoch 28%
Starmer 21% vs Polanski 19%
Badenoch 31% vs Farage 21%
Badenoch 28% vs Davey 25%
Badenoch 28% vs Polanski 22%
Davey 33% vs Farage 27%
Davey 23% vs Starmer 19%
Davey 20% vs Polanski 15%
Polanski 28% vs Farage 27%
another reason why james breckwoldt is an idiot: (the article doesn't mention him, but breckwoldt has promoted the idea of ai focus groups etc)
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/ai-is-comi...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/ai-is-comi...
AI can't replace polling
The use of AI models to mimic human respondents betrays the public, and provides inaccurate answers to key questions
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 6, 2026 at 6:03 PM
another reason why james breckwoldt is an idiot: (the article doesn't mention him, but breckwoldt has promoted the idea of ai focus groups etc)
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/ai-is-comi...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/ai-is-comi...
james breckwoldt is an idiotic populist who seems to think "just have normal people be politicians" will solve everything
January 6, 2026 at 6:01 PM
james breckwoldt is an idiotic populist who seems to think "just have normal people be politicians" will solve everything
Reposted
Noah Smith has also been friendly with race science promoter Jordan "Cremieux" Lasker for a good 2-3 years now, and was saying stuff like the below a year ago. It's not just that he thinks the left is more annoying than the right is dangerous, it's that he thinks the right has more of a point
December 15, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Noah Smith has also been friendly with race science promoter Jordan "Cremieux" Lasker for a good 2-3 years now, and was saying stuff like the below a year ago. It's not just that he thinks the left is more annoying than the right is dangerous, it's that he thinks the right has more of a point
Reposted
Noah Smith has once again done a self-own
December 22, 2025 at 1:50 AM
Noah Smith has once again done a self-own
Reposted
Lyman Stone is a clinically insane racist dork that needs to be booted from his cushy life in Quebec and back to Shitpants, Kentucky
January 2, 2026 at 2:14 PM
Lyman Stone is a clinically insane racist dork that needs to be booted from his cushy life in Quebec and back to Shitpants, Kentucky
Reposted
Lyman Stone is horny for naming & enforcing out-groups. I don't know how else to describe it
January 2, 2026 at 4:43 AM
Lyman Stone is horny for naming & enforcing out-groups. I don't know how else to describe it
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I was wondering why their is so much random racist discourse on Somalis on the TL rn but oh it’s election season for governor rn lol
January 2, 2026 at 4:39 AM
I was wondering why their is so much random racist discourse on Somalis on the TL rn but oh it’s election season for governor rn lol
Reposted
Twitter users talk about people who use Bluesky worse than the literal bigots and nazis swarming the platform
December 24, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Twitter users talk about people who use Bluesky worse than the literal bigots and nazis swarming the platform
Reposted
stealing a screenshot but this is kind of insane to me? i just can't agree with the bottom one when the top one is correct about "you get what you put in"
like yeah the site "lacks whimsy" because you haven't dragged your community over with you. when you leave, they do too. that's how this works.
like yeah the site "lacks whimsy" because you haven't dragged your community over with you. when you leave, they do too. that's how this works.
December 25, 2025 at 4:58 AM
stealing a screenshot but this is kind of insane to me? i just can't agree with the bottom one when the top one is correct about "you get what you put in"
like yeah the site "lacks whimsy" because you haven't dragged your community over with you. when you leave, they do too. that's how this works.
like yeah the site "lacks whimsy" because you haven't dragged your community over with you. when you leave, they do too. that's how this works.
Reposted
"I'm gonna stay on this sinking ship till it's completely dead"
My sibling in Christ, you staying there is the reason why it's not completely dead yet, just move on, branch out make a portfolio or a website for yourself
My sibling in Christ, you staying there is the reason why it's not completely dead yet, just move on, branch out make a portfolio or a website for yourself
December 25, 2025 at 10:39 AM
"I'm gonna stay on this sinking ship till it's completely dead"
My sibling in Christ, you staying there is the reason why it's not completely dead yet, just move on, branch out make a portfolio or a website for yourself
My sibling in Christ, you staying there is the reason why it's not completely dead yet, just move on, branch out make a portfolio or a website for yourself
Reposted
victims of "website that stabs you with a knife" on moving to another website:
"idk it's kinda knifeless there"
"idk it's kinda knifeless there"
December 25, 2025 at 9:38 AM
victims of "website that stabs you with a knife" on moving to another website:
"idk it's kinda knifeless there"
"idk it's kinda knifeless there"
mark wallace's evidence for keir starmer learning notorious hackfraud dominic cummings was right (he wasn't) is that...
the government is trying to reduce red tape, something it has been trying to do since it entered power
mark wallace is not a very smart man
the government is trying to reduce red tape, something it has been trying to do since it entered power
mark wallace is not a very smart man
December 24, 2025 at 1:59 PM
mark wallace's evidence for keir starmer learning notorious hackfraud dominic cummings was right (he wasn't) is that...
the government is trying to reduce red tape, something it has been trying to do since it entered power
mark wallace is not a very smart man
the government is trying to reduce red tape, something it has been trying to do since it entered power
mark wallace is not a very smart man
"We designed our recommendations to respect the hierarchy of mitigation"
"Anyway we should ignore the hierarchy with no justification provided"
"Anyway we should ignore the hierarchy with no justification provided"
December 21, 2025 at 5:48 PM
"We designed our recommendations to respect the hierarchy of mitigation"
"Anyway we should ignore the hierarchy with no justification provided"
"Anyway we should ignore the hierarchy with no justification provided"
Reposted
Immigration salience has less to do with aggregate Immigration numbers than
- visibility of boats & asylum > visas
- general vibes about integration
- elite cues from media & political discourse in shaping public perceptions
This is more true when immigration is falling then when it is rising
- visibility of boats & asylum > visas
- general vibes about integration
- elite cues from media & political discourse in shaping public perceptions
This is more true when immigration is falling then when it is rising
December 21, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Immigration salience has less to do with aggregate Immigration numbers than
- visibility of boats & asylum > visas
- general vibes about integration
- elite cues from media & political discourse in shaping public perceptions
This is more true when immigration is falling then when it is rising
- visibility of boats & asylum > visas
- general vibes about integration
- elite cues from media & political discourse in shaping public perceptions
This is more true when immigration is falling then when it is rising
Reposted
This Yglesias piece in the NYT is horrifically bad. Almost every "fact" it cites is provably false. At best it is cocktail party banter from a pundit who knows nothing of energy. At worst, it was cut/paste from oil industry talking points. So, a rebuttal: www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/o...
Opinion | Obama Supported It. The Left in Canada and Norway Does. Why Don’t Democrats?
www.nytimes.com
December 20, 2025 at 2:57 PM
This Yglesias piece in the NYT is horrifically bad. Almost every "fact" it cites is provably false. At best it is cocktail party banter from a pundit who knows nothing of energy. At worst, it was cut/paste from oil industry talking points. So, a rebuttal: www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/o...
Reposted
i uh. do not think this is how the swing Hispanic voter thinks
December 20, 2025 at 11:55 PM
i uh. do not think this is how the swing Hispanic voter thinks