grapesmoker
@grapesmoker.bsky.social
trauma ride on energized obliques
[narrator voice] he was not a yimby abundance guy
He's a YIMBY abundance guy
December 22, 2025 at 5:15 PM
[narrator voice] he was not a yimby abundance guy
data is important but we should not concede the validity of a fake and useless metric like "WAR for politicians." there is no such thing as a replacement candidate, there are only specific candidates in specific districts running under particular circumstances
data is important, measurement of public opinion is important, but politics also isn't a machine. there are a vast number of qualitative factors at work. and people themselves are unpredictable.
December 21, 2025 at 2:07 PM
data is important but we should not concede the validity of a fake and useless metric like "WAR for politicians." there is no such thing as a replacement candidate, there are only specific candidates in specific districts running under particular circumstances
haha what the fuck why would you ever publish this
From the right-wing Manhattan Institute's focus group of Gen Z conservatives -- just jaw-dropping stuff. We have a very sick society. www.city-journal.org/article/manh...
December 19, 2025 at 9:50 PM
haha what the fuck why would you ever publish this
in the immortal words of a couple of communist propagandists:
статистика знает всё!
статистика знает всё!
I don’t understand the “oh, you have a LINE on a GRAPH, you think that MEANS anything?!” people who also self-id as some kind of socialist/communist. how exactly are you going to run the command economy, dude? macroeconomic policy made on vibes?
I don't think this a particularly accurate description.
December 19, 2025 at 9:25 PM
in the immortal words of a couple of communist propagandists:
статистика знает всё!
статистика знает всё!
we're gonna find out she's done some crimes aren't we
Rep. Elise Stefanik, the leading GOP candidate for NY governor, just announced that she is DROPPING OUT of the governor's race and will NOT RUN FOR RE-ELECTION to Congress.
It's a remarkable fall from grace for Stefanik. x.com/EliseStefani...
It's a remarkable fall from grace for Stefanik. x.com/EliseStefani...
December 19, 2025 at 9:17 PM
we're gonna find out she's done some crimes aren't we
why is the volcker shock, an event from over 45 years ago which no one under 60 would even remember the reference point here?
I think this strengthens the case for Stancilism.
Immediate post pandemic economy was *weird* in a way that made it hard to compare it to similar years.
But we've got low unemployment and low inflation now. Very hard to make the case that now is worse than the Volcker shock.
Immediate post pandemic economy was *weird* in a way that made it hard to compare it to similar years.
But we've got low unemployment and low inflation now. Very hard to make the case that now is worse than the Volcker shock.
UMich consumer sentiment (current conditions) at 50.4 is a new all-time low -- going back to data from the 1970s.
December 19, 2025 at 8:59 PM
why is the volcker shock, an event from over 45 years ago which no one under 60 would even remember the reference point here?
well yeah, as the picture makes clear the most powerful politics influencers are seagulls, who cannot type
December 17, 2025 at 4:50 PM
well yeah, as the picture makes clear the most powerful politics influencers are seagulls, who cannot type
frankly i understand him. i too would rather be podcasting and getting paid for it than having a real job
important lesson about the white collar workforce here: the only guy who actually tried to do his job
gave up after less than a year
gave up after less than a year
The New York Times is reporting that Dan Bongino is preparing to exit the FBI within the next few weeks and has already been clearing out his office.
He's expected to go right back into podcasting upon his departure.
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/15/u...
He's expected to go right back into podcasting upon his departure.
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/15/u...
December 17, 2025 at 3:44 PM
frankly i understand him. i too would rather be podcasting and getting paid for it than having a real job
i have some thoughts on then what but writing them out would violate the terms of service
My main thought about this has to do not with governance in the sense of quotidian administration of policy—I fully agree with @donmoyn.bsky.social here—but rather structural reform in the distribution & exercise of power. There's no way to get a Trumpified GOP to agree to needed reforms. Then what?
Small-d democrats have little or nothing to learn about how to govern from the audacious lawlessness of the Trump regime, so argues @donmoyn.bsky.social.
Demolition isn't building, & action isn't achievement. The goals of the movements are fundamentally at odds, so the methods don't translate.
Demolition isn't building, & action isn't achievement. The goals of the movements are fundamentally at odds, so the methods don't translate.
December 17, 2025 at 3:22 PM
i have some thoughts on then what but writing them out would violate the terms of service
no media person's views about anything matter
I don't think you reach a mass electorate on X, but there are lots of media people on there whose views matters.
December 15, 2025 at 4:32 PM
no media person's views about anything matter
not "couldn't figure out" but "didn't want to"
"For four years, a tranche of cellphone data provided to the FBI by T-Mobile US sat on a digital shelf because investigators couldn’t figure out how to read it, people familiar with the matter said."
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
How a Tech-Savvy Officer Finally Cracked the Jan. 6 Pipe-Bombs Case
Investigators used powerful tools to obtain mountains of data, but couldn’t decipher some of it until recently.
www.wsj.com
December 15, 2025 at 3:19 PM
not "couldn't figure out" but "didn't want to"
republican policymaking is explicitly designed to result in mass death, because the conservative movement is a literal death cult
December 14, 2025 at 10:23 PM
republican policymaking is explicitly designed to result in mass death, because the conservative movement is a literal death cult
all right wing grievance ultimately reduces to "it should be illegal to not be friends with me"
I assume this batshit article found its way onto Nate's radar. www.piratewires.com/p/heather-co...
December 14, 2025 at 5:35 PM
all right wing grievance ultimately reduces to "it should be illegal to not be friends with me"
they're not liberals and have no actual liberal values and in fact they are by and large narcissistic liars whose only concern is themselves. they are vapid pools of corrosive cynicism that destroy everything they come in contact with
the thing that makes me angriest about arguments from Yglesias and Bazelon is the bland, placid insistence that it is not just imperative to vote for politicians with no principles, but that if you as a private citizen have principles then you may as well be turning on the gas chambers yourself.
December 12, 2025 at 10:13 PM
they're not liberals and have no actual liberal values and in fact they are by and large narcissistic liars whose only concern is themselves. they are vapid pools of corrosive cynicism that destroy everything they come in contact with
the main problem with elite so-called liberals is that they often don't actually hold any liberal principles or beliefs
I continue to think that Matty coming out against birthright citizenship a few months ago should have been taken as a major warning sign that the group chats have already decided to surrender on this.
December 7, 2025 at 1:45 AM
the main problem with elite so-called liberals is that they often don't actually hold any liberal principles or beliefs
tragic, this man went to both yale and mit and still can't read
If the US Coast Guard stops a ship in international waters and seizes their cocaine, is that a war crime? The ship has not done anything illegal. Should we prosecute the Coast Guard Captain for piracy?
December 4, 2025 at 10:07 PM
tragic, this man went to both yale and mit and still can't read
I'm saying they support it
the Democratic Party has comprehensively failed to oppose either war with Venezuela or these boat strikes beyond a handful of statements and media hits about how one of them violates the rules of war.
I'm not saying they *support* it. but they are not even attempting to lead the opposition to it.
I'm not saying they *support* it. but they are not even attempting to lead the opposition to it.
December 4, 2025 at 9:57 PM
I'm saying they support it
y tho
The co-founder of Kalshi says: " The long-term vision is to financialize everything and create a tradable asset out of any difference in opinion."
December 3, 2025 at 10:48 PM
y tho
bunch of shit that isn't my problem
How life changed in a rural town in Virginia that lost its sole health clinic after the passage of Trump’s megabill. The residents voted overwhelmingly for Trump in 2024, and now they’re suffering for it.
How life changed in a rural town that lost its clinic after Trump’s megabill, even if the politics haven’t | CNN Politics
As the final hues of autumn linger in the Blue Ridge Mountains, the 200-person community of Churchville, Virginia, is grappling with the loss of its only health clinic.
www.cnn.com
December 1, 2025 at 1:22 AM
bunch of shit that isn't my problem
help my fantasy game has fantasy in it
Even by the standards of anti-woke journalism this is lazy dreck. The first piece of "evidence" that older gamers are mad about wokeness is a random Reddit comment — that isn't a complaint about wokeness.
www.telegraph.co.uk/tv/2025/11/2...
www.telegraph.co.uk/tv/2025/11/2...
November 30, 2025 at 3:27 PM
help my fantasy game has fantasy in it
"this technology will make me a lot of money" say people who get paid to implement the technology
It's not this platform. It's all of society that hates AI
November 26, 2025 at 8:18 PM
"this technology will make me a lot of money" say people who get paid to implement the technology
new york times pro disease
Breaking News: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said he personally instructed the CDC to abandon its position that vaccines do not cause autism. The move underscores his determination to challenge scientific orthodoxy — in this case, that vaccines save lives — and bend the health department to his will.
RFK Jr. Says He Instructed CDC to Change Vaccines and Autism Language on Website
In an interview, Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. cited gaps in vaccine safety research. His critics say he is ignoring a larger point: Vaccines save lives.
nyti.ms
November 22, 2025 at 2:58 PM
new york times pro disease
fortunately economics is merely a special subfield of physics so you can just take statistical mechanics and to a first approximation (the only approximation that matters) you will learn basically the same material
if simply associating with depraved pedophiles is enough to get a professor fired how is anyone ever going to learn economics
#BREAKING: Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein.
Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.
Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.
November 20, 2025 at 4:48 AM
fortunately economics is merely a special subfield of physics so you can just take statistical mechanics and to a first approximation (the only approximation that matters) you will learn basically the same material
i can't believe wall stencil is still posting about how the housing affordability crisis is actually fake two days later
November 20, 2025 at 4:43 AM
i can't believe wall stencil is still posting about how the housing affordability crisis is actually fake two days later