jben1990.bsky.social
@jben1990.bsky.social
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If we're lucky some Democrat is going to figure out how to convince swing voters that the GOP is really that bad. That Democrat will basically be FDR 2.0
a perennial issue is that people just refuse to believe that the republican party is as far gone as it is.
February 12, 2026 at 7:11 PM
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Okay, so apparently there has been some confusion. To clarify: Abu Hafs al-Hashimi al-Qurashi, caliph of the Islamic State, made meow noises voice acting a cat for a video game. This is one hundred percent a thing that happened and is no way satirical commentary. Put on cat ears and everything.
February 12, 2026 at 6:26 PM
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a place that wasn't a conservative media punching bag (like LA or Portland) had to make the first high profile stand in order to break through the walls of the information silos. MSP and Minnesota more broadly did it, and we all owe them a debt of gratitude for their courage and sacrifice.
We, Minnesota, woke up and woke others up to exactly what Trump's DHS is and who is responsible for it. The war won't end today, but we have to celebrate this. We will not let them turn the US into the Fourth Reich and now they, and we, know it.
February 12, 2026 at 7:26 PM
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Some people object to the mistreatment of human beings

Other people object because they think the wrong humans are being mistreated
February 12, 2026 at 8:06 PM
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Calla walsh and fergie chambers just go around the world saying "death to america," they don't actually care about palestinian or any other lives really
Parts of the Palestinian activist movement in the US have unfortunately been overtaken by campist politics that have utilized Palestine for broader ideological projects. This is the co-founder of Palestine Action US. (1)
February 12, 2026 at 7:58 PM
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It’s one of those online games of telephone where everything gets flattened and turned into a caricature of itself. “Some Nazis admired some aspects of Jim Crow” gets turned into “actually European antisemitism is due to the US”
I have no idea where “the nazis learned everything they knew about bigotry from Americans” came from but it is a particularly delusional form of American exceptionalism
February 12, 2026 at 5:57 PM
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This seems right to me. Swing voters don't give a shit, Dem partisans who don't consistently turn out don't give a shit.

On the other hand. the Dem staffers and campaign folks and donors? *they* care. Like, a lot. Which is real nice.
February 12, 2026 at 8:01 PM
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The glass half full flipside to this is that it also means Dems don’t have anything to gain by dumping us either. So there is that.
February 12, 2026 at 7:55 PM
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My honest take is that trans people are a low salience issue for most swing voters who are unlikely to specifically vote for the purposes of purging us but also wouldn’t view it as a dealbreaker if someone they thought will make gas cheaper promised to do so.
You say that like the current Lavender Scare has enough fuel in the tank to make it to 2030.
February 12, 2026 at 7:54 PM
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Oh great. It's not enough that he's destroying public health, now he's going to try to ruin drugs too.
RFK Jr: I'm not scared of a germ. I used to snort cocaine off of toilet seats.
February 12, 2026 at 8:04 PM
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If they win both '26 and '28 they should be able to fix more than 60% of the damage by 2030 since he is doing a lot of this by EO which is much easily reversible compared to actual legislative work.
February 12, 2026 at 7:49 PM
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This future is something I deeply deeply fear. And it really sucks that I think the odds are better than even for it. My optimistic prediction (actual realignment)is possible but I can't manage to convince myself it's all that likely.
February 12, 2026 at 7:57 PM
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My hope, probably won’t happen, is that the people elected in 2026 and 2028 will weaponize the federal government in the other direction and maybe both sides will declare a truce for a time.
February 12, 2026 at 7:34 PM
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I think the most likely outcome is that Dems win in 26 and 28, fix like sixty percent of Trump‘s damage by 2030, and promptly lose the 2030 midterms because the average voter has the memory of a goldfish.
New poll: In 2024, low-engagement voters went for Trump over Harris by 11 percentage points. But now they disapprove of the way he's handling the presidency by 13. They have moved 25 points against Trump — 2x as large as the shift for high-knowledge voters www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-lost...
Trump has lost the voters who weren’t paying attention in 2024
The least-engaged Americans have swung 25 points against him since 2024 — about twice the shift among everyone else. Trump has flattened the engagement gap.
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM
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it's all so incredibly stupid. voters are stupid. pundits are stupid. strategists are stupid. stupidity upon stupidity upon stupidity.
February 12, 2026 at 7:23 PM
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One of the defining problems of our era for this country
a perennial issue is that people just refuse to believe that the republican party is as far gone as it is.
February 12, 2026 at 7:08 PM
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Like, fuck Ronald Reagan and also we are going to miss Reagan appointed judges who sometimes rule against Trump when they’re replaced by Federalist Society freaks grown in a lab by Clone Hitler.
February 12, 2026 at 5:54 PM
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I think about how it was like 2012 when there was that survey about how voters refused to believe anything in the TXGOP party platform was real
Two things that are both true:

1.) American conservatism has always been far worse than voters are willing to believe.

2.) The groyperization of the GOP has been a world historical catastrophe which will echo for generations.
February 12, 2026 at 7:29 PM
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3.) The fact that a right-winger with a cute accent was pleasant to you on your trip to Texas does nothing to excuse the actions of the scum they elect.
February 12, 2026 at 7:25 PM
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Two things that are both true:

1.) American conservatism has always been far worse than voters are willing to believe.

2.) The groyperization of the GOP has been a world historical catastrophe which will echo for generations.
February 12, 2026 at 5:53 PM
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Ok but then they need to BE police. Return to the community-based model, patrol uniforms & sidearms only except detectives & SWAT, extensive training & education in unarmed deescalation & nonviolent confrontation, & total force restructuring toward investigations as the primary mission.
February 12, 2026 at 7:04 PM
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I always thought that "defund the police" was a bad slogan, but the police as a class need to be broken. This might involve spending more money on public safety than befor.
February 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM
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My I think very boring 2¢ is that Defund the Police is a terrible slogan & what’s needed is far-reaching reform to how policing operates in the US.

Such reforms will be vigorously resisted by stakeholders in the current system & it will likely take a decade or more of sustained effort to achieve
February 12, 2026 at 6:40 PM
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Fund the police (but only internal affairs and diversity consultants)
February 12, 2026 at 6:18 PM
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carrots and sticks, they need to know their jobs only work salary wise if they are professional with a code the outside paycheck signers are okay with
a man in a black shirt is saying `` a man got to have a code '' .
ALT: a man in a black shirt is saying `` a man got to have a code '' .
media.tenor.com
February 12, 2026 at 5:43 PM