Jeff Singer
@jeffsinger.bsky.social
Managing Editor at The Downballot. Email jeffsinger -at- the-downballot -dot- com
Pinned
Jeff Singer
@jeffsinger.bsky.social
· Apr 24
It's here! The Downballot is so stoked to share our calculations of the results of the 2024 presidential election for all 435 congressional districts!
Bookmark this must-have data set, generously sponsored by Grassroots Analytics, right here: the-db.co/presbycd
And much more in this 🧵 below!
Bookmark this must-have data set, generously sponsored by Grassroots Analytics, right here: the-db.co/presbycd
And much more in this 🧵 below!
The Downballot's calculations of presidential election results by congressional district, sponsored by Grassroots Analytics
Our one-of-a-kind collection spans from 2008 to the present
the-db.co
This took a ton of work, but as Robert Caro says, "It’s not about how long it takes to make. It’s about whether it will endure."
Reposted by Jeff Singer
Once again, we were way ahead of the curve! As Republicans panic about the #TN07 special that's now about 10 days away—and major Dem groups start spending—we flagged this race as one to watch in mid-August.
If you want to know about competitive special elections long before they happen, subscribe!
If you want to know about competitive special elections long before they happen, subscribe!
Morning Digest: Why Tennessee Democrats think they can pull a special election upset
One key reason: A GOP gerrymander that might've gotten a bit too greedy
www.the-downballot.com
November 21, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Once again, we were way ahead of the curve! As Republicans panic about the #TN07 special that's now about 10 days away—and major Dem groups start spending—we flagged this race as one to watch in mid-August.
If you want to know about competitive special elections long before they happen, subscribe!
If you want to know about competitive special elections long before they happen, subscribe!
Reposted by Jeff Singer
Rep. Eric Swalwell has joined the large field of Democrats running for governor of California.
East Bay Rep. Eric Swalwell Announces Run for California Governor | KQED
The East Bay congressman entered the 2026 campaign Thursday with an appearance on “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
www.kqed.org
November 21, 2025 at 5:04 AM
Rep. Eric Swalwell has joined the large field of Democrats running for governor of California.
Reposted by Jeff Singer
Whoa: A federal court just barred Texas from using its new congressional map, drawn by the GOP to target Dems.
"Substantial evidence shows that Texas racially gerrymandered the 2025 Map."
Court says the old map must be used in 2026. Appeals are certain. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
"Substantial evidence shows that Texas racially gerrymandered the 2025 Map."
Court says the old map must be used in 2026. Appeals are certain. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
November 18, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Whoa: A federal court just barred Texas from using its new congressional map, drawn by the GOP to target Dems.
"Substantial evidence shows that Texas racially gerrymandered the 2025 Map."
Court says the old map must be used in 2026. Appeals are certain. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
"Substantial evidence shows that Texas racially gerrymandered the 2025 Map."
Court says the old map must be used in 2026. Appeals are certain. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
Reposted by Jeff Singer
Read about this race before someone tells you that "nobody" is paying attention to it!
Georgia Democrats have a chance on Dec. 9 to flip a legislative seat that backed Donald Trump by 13 points—but that Democrats won by even more last month in two statewide races.
Morning Digest: Georgia Democrats could flip this red seat in a December special election
After two massive statewide wins last week, the wind is at their backs
www.the-downballot.com
November 14, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Read about this race before someone tells you that "nobody" is paying attention to it!
Louisiana politics: Very often bad, very rarely boring.
Former Louisiana House Speaker Clay Schexnayder indicted for theft of 'rare state artifact'
He was indicted after an ancient cypress board went missing from his office,
www.nola.com
November 12, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Louisiana politics: Very often bad, very rarely boring.
@votebeat.org is very lucky to have the one and only @baseballot.bsky.social
New job alert! Today I started as the new managing editor of @votebeat.org, a nonprofit news site that covers election administration and voting rights issues.
November 11, 2025 at 5:20 PM
@votebeat.org is very lucky to have the one and only @baseballot.bsky.social
Reposted by Jeff Singer
Democratic Rep. Al Green, 78, will face a much younger incumbent in next year's primary for Texas' new 18th District. He just won't learn who until next year.
Morning Digest: Al Green will run again, setting up clash with much younger opponent
The winner of a special election next year will immediately face off against the longtime congressman
www.the-downballot.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Democratic Rep. Al Green, 78, will face a much younger incumbent in next year's primary for Texas' new 18th District. He just won't learn who until next year.
Reposted by Jeff Singer
Most retrospectives of Pelosi’s career focus on her time as leader of the House. At The Downballot, we reach back much further to explain how she *got* to the House in the first place.
if you want to understand how Pelosi got her start in politics, read @jeffsinger.bsky.social’s deep dive.
if you want to understand how Pelosi got her start in politics, read @jeffsinger.bsky.social’s deep dive.
Nancy Pelosi is retiring after a groundbreaking electoral career that, as we detail in our new Morning Digest, almost didn't happen.
Morning Digest: Nancy Pelosi, first woman speaker, retires after historic career
The longtime congresswoman left an indelible mark on San Francisco—and America
www.the-downballot.com
November 7, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Most retrospectives of Pelosi’s career focus on her time as leader of the House. At The Downballot, we reach back much further to explain how she *got* to the House in the first place.
if you want to understand how Pelosi got her start in politics, read @jeffsinger.bsky.social’s deep dive.
if you want to understand how Pelosi got her start in politics, read @jeffsinger.bsky.social’s deep dive.
One of my favorite discoveries while writing this was the New York Times' nondescript headline following Pelosi's first general election win: "DEMOCRAT ELECTED IN SAN FRANCISCO." Her retirement generated far different headlines!
November 7, 2025 at 3:30 PM
One of my favorite discoveries while writing this was the New York Times' nondescript headline following Pelosi's first general election win: "DEMOCRAT ELECTED IN SAN FRANCISCO." Her retirement generated far different headlines!
Reposted by Jeff Singer
For the Netroots community, for everyone who knew @arjunjaikumar.bsky.social when he was a guy posting on DailyKos and SSP as "brownsox" who loved writing about elections, today is a joyous day as he's been elected to the Cambridge School Board with the strong backing of the local teachers' union.
November 6, 2025 at 5:57 PM
For the Netroots community, for everyone who knew @arjunjaikumar.bsky.social when he was a guy posting on DailyKos and SSP as "brownsox" who loved writing about elections, today is a joyous day as he's been elected to the Cambridge School Board with the strong backing of the local teachers' union.
The next time there's an article about how voter registration numbers are an omen for the next election remember: This piece ran two days before New Jersey Democrats pulled off a blowout win.
These 13 N.J. towns saw a surprise surge in Republican voter registrations
Republicans made huge gains in some traditionally Democratic strongholds in New Jersey in recent years. See the list.
www.nj.com
November 5, 2025 at 5:18 PM
The next time there's an article about how voter registration numbers are an omen for the next election remember: This piece ran two days before New Jersey Democrats pulled off a blowout win.
Reposted by Jeff Singer
It wasn't just the marquee races last night: Democrats racked up massive victories across the country and far down the ballot, pretty much everywhere.
We recap *dozens* of elections in today's newsletter—almost a clean sweep for the Dems. Get caught up here!
We recap *dozens* of elections in today's newsletter—almost a clean sweep for the Dems. Get caught up here!
Morning Digest: Voters deliver massive wins to Democrats in rejection of Trump and GOP
From coast to coast, Democrats ran up the score—and ran ahead of the polls
www.the-downballot.com
November 5, 2025 at 4:31 PM
It wasn't just the marquee races last night: Democrats racked up massive victories across the country and far down the ballot, pretty much everywhere.
We recap *dozens* of elections in today's newsletter—almost a clean sweep for the Dems. Get caught up here!
We recap *dozens* of elections in today's newsletter—almost a clean sweep for the Dems. Get caught up here!
Reposted by Jeff Singer
Tuned into @the-downballot.com's election night stream for most of the night open.substack.com/live-stream/...
LIVE NOW: Election night live coverage, with The Downballot & Strength In Numbers
David Nir on Substack
open.substack.com
November 5, 2025 at 12:23 AM
Tuned into @the-downballot.com's election night stream for most of the night open.substack.com/live-stream/...
Reposted by Jeff Singer
As data nerds know, MS is one of the worst states for calculating presidential election results by district ... but the indefatigable @jeffsinger.bsky.social & @donnermaps.bsky.social teamed up to get it done for Tuesday's big batch of redistricting-induced specials! docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
November 3, 2025 at 9:05 PM
As data nerds know, MS is one of the worst states for calculating presidential election results by district ... but the indefatigable @jeffsinger.bsky.social & @donnermaps.bsky.social teamed up to get it done for Tuesday's big batch of redistricting-induced specials! docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Our Babka prediction contest study guide is now live!
We obsessively track overlooked elections all year so that we can bring you special reports like this one—our guide to the top races of 2025.
We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more!
Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->
We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more!
Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->
The Downballot's 2025 election preview
We go way beyond Virginia and New Jersey to spotlight dozens of races nationwide
www.the-downballot.com
November 3, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Our Babka prediction contest study guide is now live!
There is no question I get more than when is the babka contest. The answer is ... now!
It's the most delicious time of the year: The Downballot's annual election prediction contest—aka the babka contest—is back!
Enter to prove your prognostication prowess *and* for the chance to win amazing prizes from our sponsor, Green's Babka!
Good luck, one and all!
Enter to prove your prognostication prowess *and* for the chance to win amazing prizes from our sponsor, Green's Babka!
Good luck, one and all!
Enter The Downballot's 2025 prediction contest, sponsored by GreensBabka.com!
To the victors go the spoils!
www.the-downballot.com
October 30, 2025 at 5:13 PM
There is no question I get more than when is the babka contest. The answer is ... now!
Proud of my favorite "Central Jersey Truther" @mattbooker.bsky.social
I am BEAMING right now, @mattbooker.bsky.social! www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
October 24, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Proud of my favorite "Central Jersey Truther" @mattbooker.bsky.social
Georgia Republican Tim Echols explains his decision to label Democrat Alicia Johnson, who is Black, as a "DEI specialist" by saying: "This is not a dog whistle. This is a whistle. I’m not being shy about it." Echols and Fitz Johnson are up next month for seats on state Public Service Commission.
Why the PSC election next month is an early test for Democratic momentum
Early voting numbers in Democratic strongholds are far outpacing those in GOP-friendly counties, and some Republicans worry about closing the gap by Election Day on Nov. 4.
www.ajc.com
October 24, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Georgia Republican Tim Echols explains his decision to label Democrat Alicia Johnson, who is Black, as a "DEI specialist" by saying: "This is not a dog whistle. This is a whistle. I’m not being shy about it." Echols and Fitz Johnson are up next month for seats on state Public Service Commission.
Yes, Eric Adams said Andrew Cuomo was "a snake and a liar." But he didn't say Cuomo was a BAD snake and a liar!
Eric Adams Will Endorse Andrew Cuomo for Mayor
www.nytimes.com
October 23, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Yes, Eric Adams said Andrew Cuomo was "a snake and a liar." But he didn't say Cuomo was a BAD snake and a liar!
Reposted by Jeff Singer
With John Sununu reemerging, so does this ... memorable musical video Democrats made in 2008 linking him to George W. Bush.
September 3, 2025 at 8:24 PM
With John Sununu reemerging, so does this ... memorable musical video Democrats made in 2008 linking him to George W. Bush.
Reposted by Jeff Singer
The Utah GOP has hit on a new way to repeal anti-gerrymandering rules that they hate: a so-called "indirect" initiative that would tee up a vote by the legislature.
But as @yeargain.bsky.social points out, the laws they're relying on smell pretty unconstitutional.
More in today's Morning Digest →
But as @yeargain.bsky.social points out, the laws they're relying on smell pretty unconstitutional.
More in today's Morning Digest →
Morning Digest, sponsored by FiftyPlusOne: Why the Utah GOP's new ploy to stop fair maps may be unconstitutional
Time is running out before a judge decides which districts to use in 2026
www.the-downballot.com
October 20, 2025 at 3:46 PM
The Utah GOP has hit on a new way to repeal anti-gerrymandering rules that they hate: a so-called "indirect" initiative that would tee up a vote by the legislature.
But as @yeargain.bsky.social points out, the laws they're relying on smell pretty unconstitutional.
More in today's Morning Digest →
But as @yeargain.bsky.social points out, the laws they're relying on smell pretty unconstitutional.
More in today's Morning Digest →
Very excited to see this!
October 9, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Very excited to see this!
Kevin McCarthy told Republicans this summer he wanted to raise $100 million to stop California redistricting. So far he's absolutely *nowhere* near that goal. punchbowl.news/archive/1082...
October 8, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Kevin McCarthy told Republicans this summer he wanted to raise $100 million to stop California redistricting. So far he's absolutely *nowhere* near that goal. punchbowl.news/archive/1082...
Reposted by Jeff Singer
@malcolmkenyatta.bsky.social The Downballot wrote about the PA Supreme Court twice last month!
Morning Digest: Democrats have a wide spending edge in the battle for Pennsylvania's Supreme Court
But the richest man in the state could tip the balance with a single check
www.the-downballot.com
October 7, 2025 at 3:19 PM
@malcolmkenyatta.bsky.social The Downballot wrote about the PA Supreme Court twice last month!