Justin L
banner
jlbaseball.bsky.social
Justin L
@jlbaseball.bsky.social
🎙️ Locked On Guardians: https://lockedonpodcasts.com/podcasts/locked-on-guardians/ | ✍️ about Guardians prospects @ nextyearincleveland.substack.com
Prospects Live & News-Herald | 70 grade potential, 40 grade power | Don't stick to sports | He/Him
So sad that one of my favorite local restaurants is closing. All Barroco locations west of Cleveland. Nobody does arepas better. I know nobody is going out as much these days. But gotta support local businesses when we do.
February 14, 2026 at 9:13 PM
And what do the bottom two divisions have in common?

So the median is $173M

I think it's a little ridiculous to have less than $100M payroll in this era. Really I think even $150M seems reasonable
MLB's combined 2026 payrolls by division:

NL West — $1.135 billion
NL East — $1.077 billion
AL East — $1.044 billion
AL West — $856 million
NL Central — $691 million
AL Central — $627 million

Average team is $181 million.

NL out-spending AL by $376 million.

(Data: FanGraphs)
February 14, 2026 at 2:52 PM
Not great
When economists warned that these stadiums would almost certainly be a fiscal drain on taxpayers, they were not only dismissed by local leaders, but ridiculed for not appreciating the novelty of the project.
February 14, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Needs more college baseball coverage on this app. So glad it's back
“creole bambino” is a hell of a nickname
February 14, 2026 at 2:40 AM
Reposted by Justin L
It’s D1 Opening Day: A quick thread of things to make your enjoyment of college baseball easier. (Or a beginners guide for following it)
February 13, 2026 at 1:40 PM
Happy (D1) college baseball opening day to all those who celebrate!
February 13, 2026 at 1:51 PM
February 12, 2026 at 8:43 PM
LeBron, Travis Kelce (and Taylor Swift)...it is just waiting for you...
Detroit Pistons All-Star and Arlington, Texas native Cade Cunningham has purchased a minority ownership stake of his hometown MLB team, the Texas Rangers, he told ESPN.
February 12, 2026 at 8:26 PM
Not a Castellanos homer.

But, his release is going to trigger some major world event, isnt it?
February 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM
Honestly, nobody.

We had a soccer player from my graduating class that played in the MLS with the LA Galaxy very briefly.

That's about it.
Who's the most famous alum of your high school?

I'll go first: David Draiman of Disturbed
guys i just found out i went to the same high school as howard lutnick. please respect my privacy at this time.
February 12, 2026 at 6:34 PM
Reposted by Justin L
Today's Locked On #Guardians

Thanks to @lancebroz.bsky.social for joining us to drop some great knowledge

⚾️Can the Guardians repeat September rotation magic?
⚾️What makes Khal Stephen and Parker Messick good prospects
⚾️Metrics, data and trends that matter

youtu.be/iHkyokhAE20
REVEALED: Why Cleveland Guardians Pitching Need the RIGHT MIX To Compete | Lance Brozdowski
YouTube video by Locked On Guardians
youtu.be
February 12, 2026 at 1:50 PM
Interest between Ben Lively and the #Guardians on a two year minor league deal to rehab this year from TJ has now turned into an official deal.
February 12, 2026 at 4:32 PM
The natural sounds of baseball are so therapeutic.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement taking some ground balls this morning in Dunedin. #BlueJays
February 12, 2026 at 4:11 PM
Reposted by Justin L
There is this enormous disconnect where fans wanted more action and big moves, and the Phillies wanted to clear room for prospects. That led to a lot of fans mad that Justin Crawford wasn't called up last year upset that they didn't re-sign Harrison Bader this offseason.
Andrew Painter and Justin Crawford are two of the most exciting prospects we’ve seen in years.

And the Phillies front office screwed up so bad this offseason that many fans don’t even care.

Incredible work.
February 12, 2026 at 3:44 PM
Today's Locked On #Guardians

Thanks to @lancebroz.bsky.social for joining us to drop some great knowledge

⚾️Can the Guardians repeat September rotation magic?
⚾️What makes Khal Stephen and Parker Messick good prospects
⚾️Metrics, data and trends that matter

youtu.be/iHkyokhAE20
REVEALED: Why Cleveland Guardians Pitching Need the RIGHT MIX To Compete | Lance Brozdowski
YouTube video by Locked On Guardians
youtu.be
February 12, 2026 at 1:50 PM
Reposted by Justin L
You know how when you have a toddler they’ll ask you a question but they’re not ready for the answer?

Well anyway there are some fans who simply should not be told anything about prospects. They shouldn’t know the top prospect’s name. They shouldn’t know the AAA team. They can’t handle it
February 11, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Reposted by Justin L
Last year, a lot of the games on Baseball Savant said "no Statcast," as a lot of the spring parks weren't available.

This year ... well, fun that you don't see that label baseballsavant.mlb.com/gamefeed?dat...
February 11, 2026 at 2:18 PM
Today's Locked On #Guardians
The college baseball season is getting underway. So we're getting ready with some draft talk!

⚾️How does this year's college class stack up?
⚾️College hitters and pitchers to watch for Cleveland
⚾️Impact of Tigers Verlander signing on division

youtu.be/i5nHX-OmG6Y
STOCK WATCH: Cleveland Guardians 2026 MLB Draft NAMES TO KNOW From College Hitters and Pitchers
YouTube video by Locked On Guardians
youtu.be
February 11, 2026 at 1:40 PM
Reposted by Justin L
The DOJ is now the Cleveland Browns of law
February 11, 2026 at 1:58 AM
On today's Locked On #Guardians

⚾️Despite back-to-back division titles & returning the same roster, the Guardians are not & should NOT be favorites
⚾️Why the projections systems/odds have them 3rd of even 4th
⚾️How they stack up vs the divison
⚾️Can they beat the odds?

youtu.be/X638aEucd_s
OUTLOOK: Why the Cleveland Guardians Road to ANOTHER Division Title is More CHALLENING Than Ever
YouTube video by Locked On Guardians
youtu.be
February 10, 2026 at 2:01 PM
That was a gritty ass win by the Cavs
February 10, 2026 at 4:38 AM
I know that's not why he makes big money, but does James Harden ever play defense?
February 10, 2026 at 2:28 AM
Because there is no QB equivalent in MLB.

If there was, Paul Skenes would have the Pirates in the NLCS vs the Dodgers.

And that's why in a "big city" like Buffalo can keep Josh Allen.

In another structure he'd be playing for the Cowboys or Giants by now.
Your annual MLB vs NFL parity report

Champs last 10 seasons:
MLB: 7 teams
NFL 6 teams

Teams in "finals" last 10 seasons:
MLB 13
NFL 9

Reminder: The NFL is the "any team can win" league
February 10, 2026 at 1:43 AM
😂
2027 - chipotle to close over 1000 stores in the US

Bookmark it.
February 10, 2026 at 1:41 AM
Reposted by Justin L
every person who:
1. reads eyeblack
2. shares the newsletter with intention
and, where possible
3. invests in eyeblack with a paid subscription

fuels the work (and keeps the reporting free!)

please consider partnering with a paid subscription 2/ www.readeyeblack.com/upgrade
February 9, 2026 at 8:42 PM