Joshua Deutschmann
@joshdeutschmann.bsky.social
Economist UChicago @devinnovationlab.bsky.social. Opinions mine, etc.
| Virginia Tech fan
| Website: jwdeutschmann.com
| Virginia Tech fan
| Website: jwdeutschmann.com
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
In today's job market post, @matteo-ruzzante.bsky.social uses DiD to show how price controls on GM cotton in India spurred adoption by farmers, but reduced subsequent location-specific seed development. Despite innovation reduction, farmers were still better off. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
Priced for Development? How Price Controls Spread Technology but Stall Innovation: Guest post by Matteo Ruzzante
blogs.worldbank.org
November 11, 2025 at 2:46 PM
In today's job market post, @matteo-ruzzante.bsky.social uses DiD to show how price controls on GM cotton in India spurred adoption by farmers, but reduced subsequent location-specific seed development. Despite innovation reduction, farmers were still better off. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
What is happening at Goddard is absolutely devastating. We are losing history. We are losing an incredible amount of human talent, skill, and knowledge. Rebuilding it will be impossible same for same. Industry can not absorb the people or the equipment. This is undoing space science in the US.
Goddard spacecraft engineer: "I think it just kind of speaks to the atmosphere of the agency and the nation, where people are like, 'Well, laws don't matter for the people at the top anymore.'"
NASA is sinking its flagship science center during the government shutdown — and may be breaking the law in the process, critics say
"There is just a general acknowledgement that a lot of what is happening is illegal…"
www.space.com
November 6, 2025 at 3:43 PM
What is happening at Goddard is absolutely devastating. We are losing history. We are losing an incredible amount of human talent, skill, and knowledge. Rebuilding it will be impossible same for same. Industry can not absorb the people or the equipment. This is undoing space science in the US.
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
Hiring Alert ⏰
We are looking for postdocs in development econ!
This is an exciting opportunity to collaborate closely with Nobel Laureate and DIL Faculty Director Michael Kremer. The position is expected be one year in duration.
Apply by 12/1: www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
We are looking for postdocs in development econ!
This is an exciting opportunity to collaborate closely with Nobel Laureate and DIL Faculty Director Michael Kremer. The position is expected be one year in duration.
Apply by 12/1: www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
American Economic Association: JOE Listings - August 1, 2025 - January 31, 2026
www.aeaweb.org
October 30, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Hiring Alert ⏰
We are looking for postdocs in development econ!
This is an exciting opportunity to collaborate closely with Nobel Laureate and DIL Faculty Director Michael Kremer. The position is expected be one year in duration.
Apply by 12/1: www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
We are looking for postdocs in development econ!
This is an exciting opportunity to collaborate closely with Nobel Laureate and DIL Faculty Director Michael Kremer. The position is expected be one year in duration.
Apply by 12/1: www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
One area where AI has a lot of potential is in weather forecasting and climate modelling.
Fairly accurate weather forecasting, in particular, is something that many of us now take for granted.
From my latest Substack: www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/artificial...
Fairly accurate weather forecasting, in particular, is something that many of us now take for granted.
From my latest Substack: www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/artificial...
Artificial intelligence could dramatically improve weather forecasting
An AI-based model outperformed every other in forecasting the Indian monsoon this year. This helped millions of farmers.
www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com
October 28, 2025 at 10:34 AM
One area where AI has a lot of potential is in weather forecasting and climate modelling.
Fairly accurate weather forecasting, in particular, is something that many of us now take for granted.
From my latest Substack: www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/artificial...
Fairly accurate weather forecasting, in particular, is something that many of us now take for granted.
From my latest Substack: www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/artificial...
We are recruiting postdocs at DIL this year. Please apply!
www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
#EconJobMarket #EconSky
www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
#EconJobMarket #EconSky
American Economic Association: JOE Listings - August 1, 2025 - January 31, 2026
www.aeaweb.org
October 25, 2025 at 7:43 PM
We are recruiting postdocs at DIL this year. Please apply!
www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
#EconJobMarket #EconSky
www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
#EconJobMarket #EconSky
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
Illinois Gov. Pritzker ahead of Trump National Guard deployment:
"To Chicagoans... Look out for your communities and your neighbours. Know your rights. Film things that you see happening... Authoritarians thrive on your silence. Be loud for America."
"To Chicagoans... Look out for your communities and your neighbours. Know your rights. Film things that you see happening... Authoritarians thrive on your silence. Be loud for America."
September 2, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Illinois Gov. Pritzker ahead of Trump National Guard deployment:
"To Chicagoans... Look out for your communities and your neighbours. Know your rights. Film things that you see happening... Authoritarians thrive on your silence. Be loud for America."
"To Chicagoans... Look out for your communities and your neighbours. Know your rights. Film things that you see happening... Authoritarians thrive on your silence. Be loud for America."
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
Just received this statement from Lisa Cook:
"President Trump purported to fire me 'for cause' when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022."
"President Trump purported to fire me 'for cause' when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022."
President Trump said he is firing Lisa Cook, a Federal Reserve governor, "effective immediately." It's his most direct assault yet on Fed independence -- and a step that it is far from clear he can legally take.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/25/u... #EconSky
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/25/u... #EconSky
Trump Says He Is Removing Lisa Cook From Federal Reserve Board
www.nytimes.com
August 26, 2025 at 3:02 AM
Just received this statement from Lisa Cook:
"President Trump purported to fire me 'for cause' when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022."
"President Trump purported to fire me 'for cause' when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022."
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
The full 12 minutes of @govpritzker.illinois.gov speech today, which was superb.
(Via Nicole Wallace / @msnbc.com segment.)
www.msnbc.com/deadline-whi...
(Via Nicole Wallace / @msnbc.com segment.)
www.msnbc.com/deadline-whi...
'We are watching and taking names': Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker responds to Trump's threats to Chicago
Illinois Governor JB Pritzker holds press conference in response to recent threats made by President Donald Trump to send the national guard to Chicago, in a similar manner that he has done so in Los ...
www.msnbc.com
August 25, 2025 at 10:08 PM
The full 12 minutes of @govpritzker.illinois.gov speech today, which was superb.
(Via Nicole Wallace / @msnbc.com segment.)
www.msnbc.com/deadline-whi...
(Via Nicole Wallace / @msnbc.com segment.)
www.msnbc.com/deadline-whi...
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
There are a lot of USAID post-mortems out there. I read 18 of them and wrote about what they get wrong.
In short, the problem is that the development sector’s reckoning with the destruction of USAID has been largely unmoored from what actually happened
timhirschelburns.substack.com/p/everyone-i...
In short, the problem is that the development sector’s reckoning with the destruction of USAID has been largely unmoored from what actually happened
timhirschelburns.substack.com/p/everyone-i...
Everyone is misunderstanding what happened to USAID
I read 18 pieces reckoning with the end of USAID. Here's what they get wrong.
timhirschelburns.substack.com
August 21, 2025 at 10:10 PM
There are a lot of USAID post-mortems out there. I read 18 of them and wrote about what they get wrong.
In short, the problem is that the development sector’s reckoning with the destruction of USAID has been largely unmoored from what actually happened
timhirschelburns.substack.com/p/everyone-i...
In short, the problem is that the development sector’s reckoning with the destruction of USAID has been largely unmoored from what actually happened
timhirschelburns.substack.com/p/everyone-i...
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
What Danielle said.
According to the Yale Budget Lab, the average effective tariff rate in this economy right now is 18.2%
Let me put that another way.
President Trump has raised taxes on American businesses and consumers by -- on average -- 18.2%
According to the Yale Budget Lab, the average effective tariff rate in this economy right now is 18.2%
Let me put that another way.
President Trump has raised taxes on American businesses and consumers by -- on average -- 18.2%
A thing I really need people to keep in mind: 15% tariffs are high, historically speaking. 10% tariffs are high.
The average effective tariff rate before this term was just over 2%. Anything double-digits is high!
The average effective tariff rate before this term was just over 2%. Anything double-digits is high!
August 21, 2025 at 6:15 PM
What Danielle said.
According to the Yale Budget Lab, the average effective tariff rate in this economy right now is 18.2%
Let me put that another way.
President Trump has raised taxes on American businesses and consumers by -- on average -- 18.2%
According to the Yale Budget Lab, the average effective tariff rate in this economy right now is 18.2%
Let me put that another way.
President Trump has raised taxes on American businesses and consumers by -- on average -- 18.2%
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
On the left: Nate Cavanagh, a 28-year-old DOGE staffer and college dropout.
On the right: Mohammad Halimi, a 53-year-old exiled Afghan scholar.
This is the story of how DOGE targeted Halimi on social media.
Then the Taliban took his family. 🧵
On the right: Mohammad Halimi, a 53-year-old exiled Afghan scholar.
This is the story of how DOGE targeted Halimi on social media.
Then the Taliban took his family. 🧵
August 22, 2025 at 11:41 AM
On the left: Nate Cavanagh, a 28-year-old DOGE staffer and college dropout.
On the right: Mohammad Halimi, a 53-year-old exiled Afghan scholar.
This is the story of how DOGE targeted Halimi on social media.
Then the Taliban took his family. 🧵
On the right: Mohammad Halimi, a 53-year-old exiled Afghan scholar.
This is the story of how DOGE targeted Halimi on social media.
Then the Taliban took his family. 🧵
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
NEW—Earlier this evening agents from ICE/other fed agencies were outside Rhode Island Ave metro in DC asking people exiting the station for their IDs, per someone who experienced it. When the person presented their Real ID license, an agent said that wasn't sufficient. Luckily they had secondary ID.
August 21, 2025 at 2:00 AM
NEW—Earlier this evening agents from ICE/other fed agencies were outside Rhode Island Ave metro in DC asking people exiting the station for their IDs, per someone who experienced it. When the person presented their Real ID license, an agent said that wasn't sufficient. Luckily they had secondary ID.
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
USAID funded roughly half the world’s supply of ready-to-use therapeutic food. The dismantling of the agency has disrupted the global supply chain that provides the packets, leaving thousands of malnourished children at risk of dying.
A $45 Treatment Can Save a Starving Child. US Aid Cuts Have Frozen the Supply
www.nytimes.com
August 17, 2025 at 9:53 PM
USAID funded roughly half the world’s supply of ready-to-use therapeutic food. The dismantling of the agency has disrupted the global supply chain that provides the packets, leaving thousands of malnourished children at risk of dying.
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
New working paper from me & some colleagues on East Africa's maize markets from c. 1900 to today, based on a major data collection effort to fill in the long-run history of food prices in one of the world's poorest regions: www.aehnetwork.org/working-pape...
The Political Economy of Maize in East Africa, 1900-2020: How cheap food turned expensive – African Economic History Network
www.aehnetwork.org
August 1, 2025 at 10:29 AM
New working paper from me & some colleagues on East Africa's maize markets from c. 1900 to today, based on a major data collection effort to fill in the long-run history of food prices in one of the world's poorest regions: www.aehnetwork.org/working-pape...
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
Kim’s mother:
“I immigrated here to the States - I thought I understood it was a country of equal rights where the Constitution applies equally.”
“I immigrated here to the States - I thought I understood it was a country of equal rights where the Constitution applies equally.”
July 29, 2025 at 11:12 AM
Kim’s mother:
“I immigrated here to the States - I thought I understood it was a country of equal rights where the Constitution applies equally.”
“I immigrated here to the States - I thought I understood it was a country of equal rights where the Constitution applies equally.”
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
My practical tips for designing, implementing, and analyzing powerful experiments. In today's blog I summarize a new paper I've written for a special issue on power calculations. A key message is that it does not make sense to talk of “the” power of an experiment. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
My practical tips for designing and analyzing powerful experiments
blogs.worldbank.org
July 28, 2025 at 3:02 PM
My practical tips for designing, implementing, and analyzing powerful experiments. In today's blog I summarize a new paper I've written for a special issue on power calculations. A key message is that it does not make sense to talk of “the” power of an experiment. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
@rglenner.bsky.social advocates for radically simplifying how we do aid (and how we communicate it).
www.youtube.com/live/uvyFva0... (starts at 10m30s) #ABCDE2025
www.youtube.com/live/uvyFva0... (starts at 10m30s) #ABCDE2025
July 22, 2025 at 3:42 PM
@rglenner.bsky.social advocates for radically simplifying how we do aid (and how we communicate it).
www.youtube.com/live/uvyFva0... (starts at 10m30s) #ABCDE2025
www.youtube.com/live/uvyFva0... (starts at 10m30s) #ABCDE2025
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
The Supreme Court's disdain for Congress, the statutory design of agencies, and the public services they provide to millions truly astounds.
Destroying a 50-year-old Cabinet-level department may be the biggest violation of the Take Care Clause in U.S. history—and six justices simply ... don't care.
Destroying a 50-year-old Cabinet-level department may be the biggest violation of the Take Care Clause in U.S. history—and six justices simply ... don't care.
BREAKING: The Supreme Court allows the Trump administration to move forward with the abolition of the Department of Education. It gives no explanation for its order. All three liberals dissent. www.documentcloud.org/documents/25...
From Sotomayor's dissent:
From Sotomayor's dissent:
July 14, 2025 at 8:09 PM
The Supreme Court's disdain for Congress, the statutory design of agencies, and the public services they provide to millions truly astounds.
Destroying a 50-year-old Cabinet-level department may be the biggest violation of the Take Care Clause in U.S. history—and six justices simply ... don't care.
Destroying a 50-year-old Cabinet-level department may be the biggest violation of the Take Care Clause in U.S. history—and six justices simply ... don't care.
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
Can a small pilot project still be effective when scaled up to reach millions? New evidence shows digital advisory can help farmers who experience weather shocks to obtain higher yields.
Read today's article to learn more:
Read today's article to learn more:
July 2, 2025 at 2:28 PM
Can a small pilot project still be effective when scaled up to reach millions? New evidence shows digital advisory can help farmers who experience weather shocks to obtain higher yields.
Read today's article to learn more:
Read today's article to learn more:
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
Developing a rapid diagnostic could save thousands of newborn lives and slow AMR.
Read the full series to learn more: www.cgdev.org/blog/case-pr...
@siddhharia.bsky.social @cgdev.org @rrolapp.bsky.social
Read the full series to learn more: www.cgdev.org/blog/case-pr...
@siddhharia.bsky.social @cgdev.org @rrolapp.bsky.social
The Case for Prioritizing Neonatal Sepsis Diagnostics
This blog post is the first in a series introducing a new working group convened by CGD and the Market Shaping Accelerator (MSA) on developing an advance market commitment (AMC) for a rapid diagnostic...
www.cgdev.org
June 25, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Developing a rapid diagnostic could save thousands of newborn lives and slow AMR.
Read the full series to learn more: www.cgdev.org/blog/case-pr...
@siddhharia.bsky.social @cgdev.org @rrolapp.bsky.social
Read the full series to learn more: www.cgdev.org/blog/case-pr...
@siddhharia.bsky.social @cgdev.org @rrolapp.bsky.social
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
This is not about the merits of Iran’s nuclear program. No president has the authority to bomb another country that does not pose an imminent threat to the US without the approval of Congress. This is an unambiguous impeachable offense.
June 22, 2025 at 12:26 AM
This is not about the merits of Iran’s nuclear program. No president has the authority to bomb another country that does not pose an imminent threat to the US without the approval of Congress. This is an unambiguous impeachable offense.
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
Every year South Asia’s brick kilns spew as much CO₂ as the entire U.S. car fleet. Kilns poison the air that 2 billion people breathe—and kill over 50,000 annually
A new study in Science shows how simple fixes can clean air, cut emissions & improve public health🧵⬇️
A new study in Science shows how simple fixes can clean air, cut emissions & improve public health🧵⬇️
Simple and inexpensive interventions aimed at making changes in how Bangladesh’s informal brink kilns operate could dramatically cut emissions and boost profits for producers, according to a new Science study.
Learn more in this week's issue: scim.ag/3GIqSm6
Learn more in this week's issue: scim.ag/3GIqSm6
May 9, 2025 at 1:19 AM
Every year South Asia’s brick kilns spew as much CO₂ as the entire U.S. car fleet. Kilns poison the air that 2 billion people breathe—and kill over 50,000 annually
A new study in Science shows how simple fixes can clean air, cut emissions & improve public health🧵⬇️
A new study in Science shows how simple fixes can clean air, cut emissions & improve public health🧵⬇️
Reposted by Joshua Deutschmann
WELKER: Your secretary of state says everyone who's here, citizens and non-citizens, deserve due process. Do you agree?
TRUMP: I don't know. I'm not a lawyer. I don't know.
WELKER: Don't you need to uphold the Constitution?
TRUMP: I don't know
TRUMP: I don't know. I'm not a lawyer. I don't know.
WELKER: Don't you need to uphold the Constitution?
TRUMP: I don't know
May 4, 2025 at 1:58 PM
WELKER: Your secretary of state says everyone who's here, citizens and non-citizens, deserve due process. Do you agree?
TRUMP: I don't know. I'm not a lawyer. I don't know.
WELKER: Don't you need to uphold the Constitution?
TRUMP: I don't know
TRUMP: I don't know. I'm not a lawyer. I don't know.
WELKER: Don't you need to uphold the Constitution?
TRUMP: I don't know