Michael Fletcher
@mefletcher54.bsky.social
7.5K followers 2.7K following 3.7K posts
Retired Intelligence Analyst. Cold War era US Army Vet. Fairly familiar with System Dynamics and History. Personal eccentricities: Scadian KSCA, USCF NM&LM. Details and periodic commentary at http://mefletcher.blogspot.com/
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Reposted by Michael Fletcher
emptywheel.bsky.social
Stephen Miller is murdering Venezuelans and Colombians in cold blood bc he believes it helps his propaganda campaign to paint Latinos as dangerous.

www.theatlantic.com/national-sec...
Stephen Miller views the air strikes as an opportunity to paint immigrants as a dangerous menace, according to one of the White House officials.
Reposted by Michael Fletcher
thetnholler.bsky.social
*ding ding* We’re seeing rampant lawlessness from the Trump admin @billybinion.bsky.social
Reposted by Michael Fletcher
mefletcher54.bsky.social
I tend to agree with most of this. Blue state governors, including Pritzker, need to do more than just talk.
Yes, communicating with the voters is necessary, even critical, but it won't be sufficient.
americanmanifesto.news
Trump’s whisper about the Insurrection Act is louder than most of us notice. This article says Democratic governors must declare emergencies or let a fascist narrative run unchecked. Time’s ticking. https://americanmanifesto.news/democratic-governors-must-declare-states-of-emergency-now
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Oops! Not Venezuelan? (See my cautionary commentary on the Base Rate Problem.)

This was either a mistake or Trump broadening his summary executions of suspects in international waters to other Latin American nations.

THESE ATTACKS ARE TOTALLY OFF THE RAILS.

abcnews.go.com/amp/Internat...
Colombian president says US military struck Colombian boat, killed his citizens
The last boat struck by the U.S. military in the Caribbean Sea was Colombian with Colombian citizens inside, Colombian President Gustavo Petro said on Wednesday.
abcnews.go.com
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Ignore The Dude at your peril! 😎
wutangforchildren.bsky.social
The Dude has spoken:

"ICE? Let's get ICE off our streets and into our beverages. This aggression will not stand. Let's just abide together"
Reposted by Michael Fletcher
agnessmack.bsky.social
David Pope in Canberra Times
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Liam Nissan for the win! 😎

(I came to SM for the erudite discourse. I stayed for the trenchant cutting humor.)
mefletcher54.bsky.social
The headline we all needed.

"Giant Plastic Frog causes the manly men of ICE to huddle in fear."
mefletcher54.bsky.social
I remember the good old days when after being asked to stay to work overtime on some (often dramatically overstated) crisis du jour but told, "We can't pay you. We have no overtime money," we had to remind management that asking federal workers to work without pay was, you know, not legal. 😎
mefletcher54.bsky.social
The problem is that under-reporting likely outcomes, at times after predicating the assessment with overly generous and ultimately unjustifiable assumptions, does not change the eventual, likely dire, outcome.
It only allows policy makers to keep doing the downplay the threat two-step. /3
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Note: If there is a theme regarding science in general and Climate Science specially, it is that scientists are usually cautious in their statements. In the case of Climate Science the desire to not sound alarmist has undoubtedly softened wording for decades. /2
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Uhmmm. Haven't we seen this movie? /1
Woman holding sign that says, "At the start of every Disaster Movie there's a scientist being ignored."
mefletcher54.bsky.social
The Senate Republicans are still playing the Rubber Stamp Legislature in service of a dictatorship which is summarily executing people suspects who present no immediate threat.

apnews.com/article/trum... 
Senate Republicans vote down legislation to check Trump's use of war powers against cartels
Senate Republicans vote down legislation to check Trump's use of war powers against cartels
Senate Republicans have voted down legislation that would have put a check on President Donald Trump’s ability to use deadly military force against drug cartels.
apnews.com
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Dystopian comedy is an underappreciated genre.
tmksyracuse.bsky.social
Weber State administrators told student they couldn't present their research on the state's anti-DEI law at an on-campus conference on censorship(!) unless they removed all mentions of DEI from their slides

www.insidehighered.com/news/faculty...
Weber State Censors, Then Cancels, Censorship Conference
University officials said that several planned presentations violated a Utah state law banning diversity, equity and inclusion at public universities.
www.insidehighered.com
mefletcher54.bsky.social
There is no credible evidence of an afterlife, or heaven. These claims just haven't met the burden of proof.

Sorry.

Now, if we lose our tether to empirical reality and accept the heroic assumptions about heaven, there is a mountain of credible evidence that suggests that Trump is not going there.😎
mattflammable.bsky.social
I know everything is a firehose, but I think this deserves more attention.

The dude has certainly been contemplating the afterlife a lot lately.
mefletcher54.bsky.social
If you are wondering why I post skeets as early as 4am.....
mollyjongfast.bsky.social
I can’t not believe how hard it is to sleep when you’re watching your country, be dismantled by the dumbest people.
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Note: Having played chess for decades I can confidently conclude that no player above the level of a fish willingly cedes the initiative to their opponent. /2
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Work faster. Act now with the forces already available.

If the ever cautious Europe waits until they are fully rearmed they will likely have waited too long. It would continue their long tradition of ceding the initiative to a ruthless opponent. /1
vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu
Make no mistake.

The recent incursions in our skies are part of a pattern of growing threats.

It’s time to call it by its name.
This is hybrid warfare.

Europe must get the capacity to respond and protect our skies.

Work has begun.

link.europa.eu/4Fxrqr
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Such actions could drive home the reality of dictatorship to even the densest MAGA Zombie who has had their brain eaten away by decades of propaganda, and the supposedly freedom-loving flag-waving Gunaholics. /9
mefletcher54.bsky.social
military. His ego very likely got in the way. He wants to bring the military to heel just for the personal satisfaction. Strategically, he only needed to keep them neutral.
As I wrote about recently, Americans traditionally aren't keen on having a military force occupying their cities and towns. /8
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Strategically, Trump's attempt to co-opt the military is still a bit of question mark. He doesn't really need them to do what he plans. He already has his pliant DOJ, the Department of Homeland Repression, and their ICE Gestapo.
He actually may be overplaying his hand with his plans for the /7
mefletcher54.bsky.social
simply declare Trump God Emperor and be done with all the pretend to be a Republic pretense.

Again, as I've said, it's not possible to predict exactly how all this will go, but one thing is almost certain. It won't involve rainbows, unicorns and pony for everyone. /6
mefletcher54.bsky.social
Trump is still putting on the steel gauntlet of dictatorship one finger at time, likely not wanting to risk suddenly awakening the slumbering populace to the reality of dictatorship. This incident indicates that is likely because his team doesn't think they consolidated power sufficiently to /5
mefletcher54.bsky.social
It's pretty clear from his actions that Trump wants to go the modified military dictatorship route with the Department of Homeland Repression and the Department of Injustice and its FBI acting as his Committee for State Security. /4