Scott St. George
@scottstgeorge.paleohydrology.com
Head of Weather & Climate Research at WTW, a global insurance advisory firm headquartered in London.
Alexander von Humboldt Fellow | Geological Survey of Canada alum | Formerly Associate Prof at University of Minnesota | Made in 🇨🇦 | Based in MSP
Alexander von Humboldt Fellow | Geological Survey of Canada alum | Formerly Associate Prof at University of Minnesota | Made in 🇨🇦 | Based in MSP
Reposted by Scott St. George
Is damaging hail getting worse? An ESSL-led study published in Nature Geoscience finds that very large hail is modelled to occur most frequently in South America, the United States, and South Africa, but Europe shows the strongest increase in very large hail frequency. doi.org/10.1038/s415...
January 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM
Is damaging hail getting worse? An ESSL-led study published in Nature Geoscience finds that very large hail is modelled to occur most frequently in South America, the United States, and South Africa, but Europe shows the strongest increase in very large hail frequency. doi.org/10.1038/s415...
Reposted by Scott St. George
School has been cancelled tomorrow and Friday across the city of Minneapolis, because our federal government has made it unsafe for children here.
January 8, 2026 at 3:07 AM
School has been cancelled tomorrow and Friday across the city of Minneapolis, because our federal government has made it unsafe for children here.
Reposted by Scott St. George
"Increasingly, disaster strikes within an urban envelope, drawing on homes and landscaping for fuel rather than trees and wild brush. These are not forest fires encroaching on human settlement but rather human settlements burning like only forests used to."
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/05/o...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/05/o...
Opinion | Which City Burns Next?
www.nytimes.com
January 5, 2026 at 3:37 PM
"Increasingly, disaster strikes within an urban envelope, drawing on homes and landscaping for fuel rather than trees and wild brush. These are not forest fires encroaching on human settlement but rather human settlements burning like only forests used to."
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/05/o...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/05/o...
Unbelievable. The National Weather Service issued a wind warning supported by a hazard map showing places that **do not exist***.
Wait a minute...why is NWS throwing out genAI generated slop on their socials?
This is a horrible look and doesn't help keep people safe or aware of the forecast.
This is a horrible look and doesn't help keep people safe or aware of the forecast.
January 5, 2026 at 3:59 PM
Unbelievable. The National Weather Service issued a wind warning supported by a hazard map showing places that **do not exist***.
Reposted by Scott St. George
I am really curious why no one in the Winnipeg media has chosen to ask some really basic questions re: the firing of Todd Mondor at U of W.
It's pretty clear to me this is going to blow up in the relatively near future, not sure why no one wants to get ahead of the curve.
It's pretty clear to me this is going to blow up in the relatively near future, not sure why no one wants to get ahead of the curve.
January 1, 2026 at 10:24 PM
I am really curious why no one in the Winnipeg media has chosen to ask some really basic questions re: the firing of Todd Mondor at U of W.
It's pretty clear to me this is going to blow up in the relatively near future, not sure why no one wants to get ahead of the curve.
It's pretty clear to me this is going to blow up in the relatively near future, not sure why no one wants to get ahead of the curve.
I subscribed to Molly's newsletter because (a) I like her perspective on baseball and the world and large and (b) she was the only (only!) US-based sportswriter to say anything nice or positive about the Blue Jays (such a fun team!)
If you like ⚾️ , you should grab this deal right now.
If you like ⚾️ , you should grab this deal right now.
Hello. I've never done a *sale* for my newsletter to the general public because I am bad at business. Anyway, I'm now offering 25% off an annual subscription to The Long Game so you can see what our community of kind-hearted baseball sickos is all about: <3 mollyknight.substack.com/p/flash-sale...
Flash Sale: Only $37.50 for an annual sub!
Never done an offer like this to the general public before.
mollyknight.substack.com
December 30, 2025 at 7:11 PM
I subscribed to Molly's newsletter because (a) I like her perspective on baseball and the world and large and (b) she was the only (only!) US-based sportswriter to say anything nice or positive about the Blue Jays (such a fun team!)
If you like ⚾️ , you should grab this deal right now.
If you like ⚾️ , you should grab this deal right now.
Reposted by Scott St. George
This is one of the most beautiful things I have witnessed, the craft here is impeccable.
August 13, 2025 at 6:06 AM
This is one of the most beautiful things I have witnessed, the craft here is impeccable.
Reposted by Scott St. George
FULL SHARE for everybody on Rickey’s birthday
December 25, 2025 at 4:11 PM
FULL SHARE for everybody on Rickey’s birthday
Reposted by Scott St. George
Boom-bust mining towns like Leaf Rapids, Man. are fading into oblivion. Some remaining residents are left fighting for the basic necessities of life, others have fled for survival.
This week's #longread explores what was once the crown jewel of the north, and its steep decline over 50 years.
This week's #longread explores what was once the crown jewel of the north, and its steep decline over 50 years.
Manitoba's summer wildfire threat was the latest nail in the coffin for once-prosperous Leaf Rapids
LEAF RAPIDS — Travelling north of the 56th parallel along Provincial Road 391, the boreal forest occasionally thins to showcase where lake meets sky. Ravens patrol the air, pausing to swoop down to in...
www.winnipegfreepress.com
December 4, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Boom-bust mining towns like Leaf Rapids, Man. are fading into oblivion. Some remaining residents are left fighting for the basic necessities of life, others have fled for survival.
This week's #longread explores what was once the crown jewel of the north, and its steep decline over 50 years.
This week's #longread explores what was once the crown jewel of the north, and its steep decline over 50 years.
Reposted by Scott St. George
Come work with me! My department is hiring a Canada Research Chair (Tier 2) in Environment and Security!
Posting here (and let me know if you have any questions about applying):
uottawa.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/uOttaw...
Posting here (and let me know if you have any questions about applying):
uottawa.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/uOttaw...
Tier 2 Canada Research Chair in Environment and Security
Posting Reason: New Position Job Family: Academic Leadership and Faculty Union affiliation: APUO Faculty/Department: School of Political Studies_FT Campus: Social Sciences Building Date Posted (YYYY/M...
uottawa.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com
December 5, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Come work with me! My department is hiring a Canada Research Chair (Tier 2) in Environment and Security!
Posting here (and let me know if you have any questions about applying):
uottawa.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/uOttaw...
Posting here (and let me know if you have any questions about applying):
uottawa.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/uOttaw...
I may be retired from dendro, but I'm still an easy mark for any tree-ring inspired pottery.
November 29, 2025 at 10:00 PM
I may be retired from dendro, but I'm still an easy mark for any tree-ring inspired pottery.
Reposted by Scott St. George
Hitler was bad.
An essay that, you know, I didn’t think I’d need to write.
An essay that, you know, I didn’t think I’d need to write.
Perry: The pro-Hitler problem with the American right
"We need to get back to the basics: Hitler was bad. The people who suggest otherwise are also bad," David M. Perry writes.
www.startribune.com
November 29, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Hitler was bad.
An essay that, you know, I didn’t think I’d need to write.
An essay that, you know, I didn’t think I’d need to write.
Reposted by Scott St. George
🚨The Moore Lab at UC Davis is hiring!🚨
Post-doc for a project with @adamsobel.bsky.social on the valuation of climate information for adaptation
Could be a good fit for an environmental economist or a climate scientist - flexible start date and location
Apply by Dec 1st: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07346
Post-doc for a project with @adamsobel.bsky.social on the valuation of climate information for adaptation
Could be a good fit for an environmental economist or a climate scientist - flexible start date and location
Apply by Dec 1st: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07346
Postdoctoral Scholar - Environmental Science & Policy
University of California, Davis is hiring. Apply now!
recruit.ucdavis.edu
November 3, 2025 at 6:16 PM
🚨The Moore Lab at UC Davis is hiring!🚨
Post-doc for a project with @adamsobel.bsky.social on the valuation of climate information for adaptation
Could be a good fit for an environmental economist or a climate scientist - flexible start date and location
Apply by Dec 1st: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07346
Post-doc for a project with @adamsobel.bsky.social on the valuation of climate information for adaptation
Could be a good fit for an environmental economist or a climate scientist - flexible start date and location
Apply by Dec 1st: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07346
Reposted by Scott St. George
1000% agreed. The idea that we have any reasonable confidence in (among other things) the hydrologic cycle response to stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) is deeply unserious.
Fortunately, last time I expressed my concerns, I was assured that nobody is actually advocating SAI! (lolsob)
Fortunately, last time I expressed my concerns, I was assured that nobody is actually advocating SAI! (lolsob)
My issue with SRM, leaving aside the equity and governance issues (which are IMO insurmountable), is that most (all?) of the research on SRM is based in models which struggle to agree on how even relatively recent volcanic events (our only albeit quite imperfect analog) affect surface climate. 1/2
November 24, 2025 at 3:19 PM
1000% agreed. The idea that we have any reasonable confidence in (among other things) the hydrologic cycle response to stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) is deeply unserious.
Fortunately, last time I expressed my concerns, I was assured that nobody is actually advocating SAI! (lolsob)
Fortunately, last time I expressed my concerns, I was assured that nobody is actually advocating SAI! (lolsob)
This is the most amazing (and bad!) warming trend I have ever seen for any mid or low latitude location. Holy moly.
Tehran is on the brink of a severe water crisis.
Multiple factors have left the city unprepared for the current drought, including population growth, mismanagement, and sanctions, but a rapidly warming climate is only adding to their problems.
abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Multiple factors have left the city unprepared for the current drought, including population growth, mismanagement, and sanctions, but a rapidly warming climate is only adding to their problems.
abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
November 24, 2025 at 12:48 AM
This is the most amazing (and bad!) warming trend I have ever seen for any mid or low latitude location. Holy moly.
This is a terribly misunderstood point, even in insurance circles.
Our estimates of the 1 in 100 flood are almost always extrapolations and depend heavily on our assumptions and a few (or zero) real events. In most cases, the 'actual' 1:100 flood could be ~20% lower or higher (at least).
Our estimates of the 1 in 100 flood are almost always extrapolations and depend heavily on our assumptions and a few (or zero) real events. In most cases, the 'actual' 1:100 flood could be ~20% lower or higher (at least).
The defense that this was just an adjustment based on better data is self-serving BS.
We do *not* know what the 100-yr flood level is - even if we had perfect DEMs.
Even if we had perfect historical data, non-stationarity means we don’t know what the level is *now*, let alone in the future.
We do *not* know what the 100-yr flood level is - even if we had perfect DEMs.
Even if we had perfect historical data, non-stationarity means we don’t know what the level is *now*, let alone in the future.
November 20, 2025 at 1:48 AM
This is a terribly misunderstood point, even in insurance circles.
Our estimates of the 1 in 100 flood are almost always extrapolations and depend heavily on our assumptions and a few (or zero) real events. In most cases, the 'actual' 1:100 flood could be ~20% lower or higher (at least).
Our estimates of the 1 in 100 flood are almost always extrapolations and depend heavily on our assumptions and a few (or zero) real events. In most cases, the 'actual' 1:100 flood could be ~20% lower or higher (at least).
Reposted by Scott St. George
This is heart-wrenching.
A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…
A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…
November 19, 2025 at 10:27 PM
This is heart-wrenching.
A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…
A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…
Reposted by Scott St. George
Large earthquakes off the east coast 🇨🇦? Yes.
Nov. 18, 1929: a M7.2 #earthquake struck south of #Newfoundland. Strong shaking + damage on Cape Breton Island. Felt as far away as Montreal, Ottawa + #NewYorkCity.
It also triggered a large #tsunami.
www.earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/historic-his...
⚒️🧪
Nov. 18, 1929: a M7.2 #earthquake struck south of #Newfoundland. Strong shaking + damage on Cape Breton Island. Felt as far away as Montreal, Ottawa + #NewYorkCity.
It also triggered a large #tsunami.
www.earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/historic-his...
⚒️🧪
November 18, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Large earthquakes off the east coast 🇨🇦? Yes.
Nov. 18, 1929: a M7.2 #earthquake struck south of #Newfoundland. Strong shaking + damage on Cape Breton Island. Felt as far away as Montreal, Ottawa + #NewYorkCity.
It also triggered a large #tsunami.
www.earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/historic-his...
⚒️🧪
Nov. 18, 1929: a M7.2 #earthquake struck south of #Newfoundland. Strong shaking + damage on Cape Breton Island. Felt as far away as Montreal, Ottawa + #NewYorkCity.
It also triggered a large #tsunami.
www.earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/historic-his...
⚒️🧪
Reposted by Scott St. George
We’re looking for a news reporter interested in writing about weather science and weather history for a social platform. This is a really great team and you should join us careers.wbd.com/global/en/jo...
News Reporter, CNN Weather in Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America | Creative, Content & Editorial at CNN
Apply for News Reporter, CNN Weather job with CNN
careers.wbd.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:53 PM
We’re looking for a news reporter interested in writing about weather science and weather history for a social platform. This is a really great team and you should join us careers.wbd.com/global/en/jo...
me ,every time I am asked to comment about the industry that employs me:
November 13, 2025 at 3:03 PM
me ,every time I am asked to comment about the industry that employs me:
Inspired by all of tonight’s aurora photos, here’s my all-time favorite accounting of the Northern Lights.
The year: 1859
The observer: José Inés Ruiz
The place: Montería, Colombia. COLOMBIA. 🇨🇴8°45’ freaking north!!
The year: 1859
The observer: José Inés Ruiz
The place: Montería, Colombia. COLOMBIA. 🇨🇴8°45’ freaking north!!
November 12, 2025 at 2:31 AM
Inspired by all of tonight’s aurora photos, here’s my all-time favorite accounting of the Northern Lights.
The year: 1859
The observer: José Inés Ruiz
The place: Montería, Colombia. COLOMBIA. 🇨🇴8°45’ freaking north!!
The year: 1859
The observer: José Inés Ruiz
The place: Montería, Colombia. COLOMBIA. 🇨🇴8°45’ freaking north!!
Reposted by Scott St. George
Hi writers! I’m looking to assign a couple of features for Slate before the end of the year. If you have anything in mind that you think would be a fit please send me a pitch! Jenée.Desmond- [email protected] or dm me.
RTs are appreciated so this can reach more people. Thanks!
RTs are appreciated so this can reach more people. Thanks!
November 10, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Hi writers! I’m looking to assign a couple of features for Slate before the end of the year. If you have anything in mind that you think would be a fit please send me a pitch! Jenée.Desmond- [email protected] or dm me.
RTs are appreciated so this can reach more people. Thanks!
RTs are appreciated so this can reach more people. Thanks!
Reposted by Scott St. George
Fire risk: "Why would the federal government go into the business of subsidizing living in areas that insurers don’t want to insure and reinsurers don’t want to cover?", asks @scrawford.bsky.social
Nevada just let property insurers exclude wildfire coverage. Homeowners won’t realize until it’s too late that fire isn't covered. Expect shock, underinsurance, and scrambling for expensive new policies. Plus: pressure for a federal wildfire safety net. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
What happens if property insurers are allowed to exclude wildfires from coverage?
“Are we just going to turn everybody loose and let the fires burn our houses down?” Nevada just did — and others may follow.
open.substack.com
October 31, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Fire risk: "Why would the federal government go into the business of subsidizing living in areas that insurers don’t want to insure and reinsurers don’t want to cover?", asks @scrawford.bsky.social
if some tech bro would conjure up an AI that answers angry phone calls from elderly parents with dementia, I would sign up for that in less than a heartbeat.
October 26, 2025 at 9:05 PM
if some tech bro would conjure up an AI that answers angry phone calls from elderly parents with dementia, I would sign up for that in less than a heartbeat.