Scott St. George
@scottstgeorge.paleohydrology.com
Head of Weather & Climate Research at WTW, a global insurance advisory firm headquartered in London.
Alexander von Humboldt Fellow | Geological Survey of Canada alum | Formerly Associate Prof at University of Minnesota | Made in 🇨🇦 | Based in MSP
Alexander von Humboldt Fellow | Geological Survey of Canada alum | Formerly Associate Prof at University of Minnesota | Made in 🇨🇦 | Based in MSP
Reposted by Scott St. George
🚨The Moore Lab at UC Davis is hiring!🚨
Post-doc for a project with @adamsobel.bsky.social on the valuation of climate information for adaptation
Could be a good fit for an environmental economist or a climate scientist - flexible start date and location
Apply by Dec 1st: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07346
Post-doc for a project with @adamsobel.bsky.social on the valuation of climate information for adaptation
Could be a good fit for an environmental economist or a climate scientist - flexible start date and location
Apply by Dec 1st: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07346
Postdoctoral Scholar - Environmental Science & Policy
University of California, Davis is hiring. Apply now!
recruit.ucdavis.edu
November 3, 2025 at 6:16 PM
🚨The Moore Lab at UC Davis is hiring!🚨
Post-doc for a project with @adamsobel.bsky.social on the valuation of climate information for adaptation
Could be a good fit for an environmental economist or a climate scientist - flexible start date and location
Apply by Dec 1st: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07346
Post-doc for a project with @adamsobel.bsky.social on the valuation of climate information for adaptation
Could be a good fit for an environmental economist or a climate scientist - flexible start date and location
Apply by Dec 1st: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07346
Reposted by Scott St. George
1000% agreed. The idea that we have any reasonable confidence in (among other things) the hydrologic cycle response to stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) is deeply unserious.
Fortunately, last time I expressed my concerns, I was assured that nobody is actually advocating SAI! (lolsob)
Fortunately, last time I expressed my concerns, I was assured that nobody is actually advocating SAI! (lolsob)
My issue with SRM, leaving aside the equity and governance issues (which are IMO insurmountable), is that most (all?) of the research on SRM is based in models which struggle to agree on how even relatively recent volcanic events (our only albeit quite imperfect analog) affect surface climate. 1/2
November 24, 2025 at 3:19 PM
1000% agreed. The idea that we have any reasonable confidence in (among other things) the hydrologic cycle response to stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) is deeply unserious.
Fortunately, last time I expressed my concerns, I was assured that nobody is actually advocating SAI! (lolsob)
Fortunately, last time I expressed my concerns, I was assured that nobody is actually advocating SAI! (lolsob)
This is the most amazing (and bad!) warming trend I have ever seen for any mid or low latitude location. Holy moly.
Tehran is on the brink of a severe water crisis.
Multiple factors have left the city unprepared for the current drought, including population growth, mismanagement, and sanctions, but a rapidly warming climate is only adding to their problems.
abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Multiple factors have left the city unprepared for the current drought, including population growth, mismanagement, and sanctions, but a rapidly warming climate is only adding to their problems.
abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
November 24, 2025 at 12:48 AM
This is the most amazing (and bad!) warming trend I have ever seen for any mid or low latitude location. Holy moly.
This is a terribly misunderstood point, even in insurance circles.
Our estimates of the 1 in 100 flood are almost always extrapolations and depend heavily on our assumptions and a few (or zero) real events. In most cases, the 'actual' 1:100 flood could be ~20% lower or higher (at least).
Our estimates of the 1 in 100 flood are almost always extrapolations and depend heavily on our assumptions and a few (or zero) real events. In most cases, the 'actual' 1:100 flood could be ~20% lower or higher (at least).
The defense that this was just an adjustment based on better data is self-serving BS.
We do *not* know what the 100-yr flood level is - even if we had perfect DEMs.
Even if we had perfect historical data, non-stationarity means we don’t know what the level is *now*, let alone in the future.
We do *not* know what the 100-yr flood level is - even if we had perfect DEMs.
Even if we had perfect historical data, non-stationarity means we don’t know what the level is *now*, let alone in the future.
November 20, 2025 at 1:48 AM
This is a terribly misunderstood point, even in insurance circles.
Our estimates of the 1 in 100 flood are almost always extrapolations and depend heavily on our assumptions and a few (or zero) real events. In most cases, the 'actual' 1:100 flood could be ~20% lower or higher (at least).
Our estimates of the 1 in 100 flood are almost always extrapolations and depend heavily on our assumptions and a few (or zero) real events. In most cases, the 'actual' 1:100 flood could be ~20% lower or higher (at least).
Reposted by Scott St. George
This is heart-wrenching.
A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…
A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…
November 19, 2025 at 10:27 PM
This is heart-wrenching.
A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…
A few things about the FEMA flood maps though…
Reposted by Scott St. George
Large earthquakes off the east coast 🇨🇦? Yes.
Nov. 18, 1929: a M7.2 #earthquake struck south of #Newfoundland. Strong shaking + damage on Cape Breton Island. Felt as far away as Montreal, Ottawa + #NewYorkCity.
It also triggered a large #tsunami.
www.earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/historic-his...
⚒️🧪
Nov. 18, 1929: a M7.2 #earthquake struck south of #Newfoundland. Strong shaking + damage on Cape Breton Island. Felt as far away as Montreal, Ottawa + #NewYorkCity.
It also triggered a large #tsunami.
www.earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/historic-his...
⚒️🧪
November 18, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Large earthquakes off the east coast 🇨🇦? Yes.
Nov. 18, 1929: a M7.2 #earthquake struck south of #Newfoundland. Strong shaking + damage on Cape Breton Island. Felt as far away as Montreal, Ottawa + #NewYorkCity.
It also triggered a large #tsunami.
www.earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/historic-his...
⚒️🧪
Nov. 18, 1929: a M7.2 #earthquake struck south of #Newfoundland. Strong shaking + damage on Cape Breton Island. Felt as far away as Montreal, Ottawa + #NewYorkCity.
It also triggered a large #tsunami.
www.earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/historic-his...
⚒️🧪
Reposted by Scott St. George
We’re looking for a news reporter interested in writing about weather science and weather history for a social platform. This is a really great team and you should join us careers.wbd.com/global/en/jo...
News Reporter, CNN Weather in Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America | Creative, Content & Editorial at CNN
Apply for News Reporter, CNN Weather job with CNN
careers.wbd.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:53 PM
We’re looking for a news reporter interested in writing about weather science and weather history for a social platform. This is a really great team and you should join us careers.wbd.com/global/en/jo...
me ,every time I am asked to comment about the industry that employs me:
November 13, 2025 at 3:03 PM
me ,every time I am asked to comment about the industry that employs me:
Inspired by all of tonight’s aurora photos, here’s my all-time favorite accounting of the Northern Lights.
The year: 1859
The observer: José Inés Ruiz
The place: Montería, Colombia. COLOMBIA. 🇨🇴8°45’ freaking north!!
The year: 1859
The observer: José Inés Ruiz
The place: Montería, Colombia. COLOMBIA. 🇨🇴8°45’ freaking north!!
November 12, 2025 at 2:31 AM
Inspired by all of tonight’s aurora photos, here’s my all-time favorite accounting of the Northern Lights.
The year: 1859
The observer: José Inés Ruiz
The place: Montería, Colombia. COLOMBIA. 🇨🇴8°45’ freaking north!!
The year: 1859
The observer: José Inés Ruiz
The place: Montería, Colombia. COLOMBIA. 🇨🇴8°45’ freaking north!!
Reposted by Scott St. George
Hi writers! I’m looking to assign a couple of features for Slate before the end of the year. If you have anything in mind that you think would be a fit please send me a pitch! Jenée.Desmond- [email protected] or dm me.
RTs are appreciated so this can reach more people. Thanks!
RTs are appreciated so this can reach more people. Thanks!
November 10, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Hi writers! I’m looking to assign a couple of features for Slate before the end of the year. If you have anything in mind that you think would be a fit please send me a pitch! Jenée.Desmond- [email protected] or dm me.
RTs are appreciated so this can reach more people. Thanks!
RTs are appreciated so this can reach more people. Thanks!
Reposted by Scott St. George
Fire risk: "Why would the federal government go into the business of subsidizing living in areas that insurers don’t want to insure and reinsurers don’t want to cover?", asks @scrawford.bsky.social
Nevada just let property insurers exclude wildfire coverage. Homeowners won’t realize until it’s too late that fire isn't covered. Expect shock, underinsurance, and scrambling for expensive new policies. Plus: pressure for a federal wildfire safety net. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
What happens if property insurers are allowed to exclude wildfires from coverage?
“Are we just going to turn everybody loose and let the fires burn our houses down?” Nevada just did — and others may follow.
open.substack.com
October 31, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Fire risk: "Why would the federal government go into the business of subsidizing living in areas that insurers don’t want to insure and reinsurers don’t want to cover?", asks @scrawford.bsky.social
if some tech bro would conjure up an AI that answers angry phone calls from elderly parents with dementia, I would sign up for that in less than a heartbeat.
October 26, 2025 at 9:05 PM
if some tech bro would conjure up an AI that answers angry phone calls from elderly parents with dementia, I would sign up for that in less than a heartbeat.
Reposted by Scott St. George
The AI industry wants us to believe AI superintelligence is the real threat from generative AI.
But that narrative was crafted to distract from the many ways genAI is being used to tear our societies apart, as we saw this week when a deepfake video rocked the Irish election. It must be reined in.
But that narrative was crafted to distract from the many ways genAI is being used to tear our societies apart, as we saw this week when a deepfake video rocked the Irish election. It must be reined in.
Generative AI is a societal disaster
Governments are deluding themselves into believing investment justifies allowing AI to upend society
disconnect.blog
October 24, 2025 at 10:12 AM
The AI industry wants us to believe AI superintelligence is the real threat from generative AI.
But that narrative was crafted to distract from the many ways genAI is being used to tear our societies apart, as we saw this week when a deepfake video rocked the Irish election. It must be reined in.
But that narrative was crafted to distract from the many ways genAI is being used to tear our societies apart, as we saw this week when a deepfake video rocked the Irish election. It must be reined in.
I know he doesn’t like wearing his rain jacket, but I tell him, he looks good in it.
October 14, 2025 at 1:25 PM
I know he doesn’t like wearing his rain jacket, but I tell him, he looks good in it.
Reposted by Scott St. George
David Simon, creator of ‘The Wire’, being interviewed by Ari Shapiro (NPR)
October 9, 2025 at 4:42 AM
David Simon, creator of ‘The Wire’, being interviewed by Ari Shapiro (NPR)
Reposted by Scott St. George
I am teaching a course on ancient trees and tree rings at the NY Botanical Garden on Sunday, October 26th and Sunday, November 2nd.
We will learn about past environments, the amazing lives of trees, and what old trees tend to look like.
Sign up at this link: www.enrole.com/nybg/jsp/ses...
We will learn about past environments, the amazing lives of trees, and what old trees tend to look like.
Sign up at this link: www.enrole.com/nybg/jsp/ses...
October 7, 2025 at 10:19 AM
I am teaching a course on ancient trees and tree rings at the NY Botanical Garden on Sunday, October 26th and Sunday, November 2nd.
We will learn about past environments, the amazing lives of trees, and what old trees tend to look like.
Sign up at this link: www.enrole.com/nybg/jsp/ses...
We will learn about past environments, the amazing lives of trees, and what old trees tend to look like.
Sign up at this link: www.enrole.com/nybg/jsp/ses...
Reposted by Scott St. George
Thoughtful essay
“we are in danger of forgetting the greatest untapped resource on any college campus — the professors. We are surrounded by human experts, yet we are being encouraged to take our questions to robots”
“we are in danger of forgetting the greatest untapped resource on any college campus — the professors. We are surrounded by human experts, yet we are being encouraged to take our questions to robots”
AI ate my homework: My experience with the University’s AI toolkit
I don’t understand AI enough to properly dislike it. And I’m curious as to why the University is pushing this tool so much if it inherently devalues learning. So I immersed myself in artificial intell...
www.michigandaily.com
October 6, 2025 at 6:36 PM
Thoughtful essay
“we are in danger of forgetting the greatest untapped resource on any college campus — the professors. We are surrounded by human experts, yet we are being encouraged to take our questions to robots”
“we are in danger of forgetting the greatest untapped resource on any college campus — the professors. We are surrounded by human experts, yet we are being encouraged to take our questions to robots”
I know fortunes can change quickly but maybe… juuuuuust maybe, you two should not have so quickly and completely dismissed the Blue Jays chances against the mighty Yankees? @joeposnanski.com @kentremendous.bsky.social
October 5, 2025 at 9:05 PM
I know fortunes can change quickly but maybe… juuuuuust maybe, you two should not have so quickly and completely dismissed the Blue Jays chances against the mighty Yankees? @joeposnanski.com @kentremendous.bsky.social
Reposted by Scott St. George
Betteridge's law at work "Do Climate Models Support Claims of Volcanic Global Catastrophes?" agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Do Climate Models Support Claims of Volcanic Global Catastrophes?
The cooling response to large historical eruptions varies widely across current models, yet is persistently stronger than tree rings imply
Inconsistent cooling hinders modeling of post-eruption p...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 18, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Betteridge's law at work "Do Climate Models Support Claims of Volcanic Global Catastrophes?" agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Reposted by Scott St. George
When the world's biggest insurer says climate change has pushed traditional home insurance to its limits, it's already too late to start preparing. And we are in no way ready for a post-insurance world.
Gift link to my column for @opinion.bloomberg.com
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Gift link to my column for @opinion.bloomberg.com
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Home Insurance as You Know It Is Doomed. You’re Not Ready.
The remedies for homeowners so far aren’t preparing them for a financially stable existence as the risk of disaster increases.
www.bloomberg.com
September 18, 2025 at 12:16 PM
When the world's biggest insurer says climate change has pushed traditional home insurance to its limits, it's already too late to start preparing. And we are in no way ready for a post-insurance world.
Gift link to my column for @opinion.bloomberg.com
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Gift link to my column for @opinion.bloomberg.com
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Reposted by Scott St. George
New paper out today in GRL: Drying of the Panama Canal in a Warming Climate (shorturl.at/TJ3aj)
Main finding: Low water levels in Gatun Lake (main reservoir for Panama Canal) become more frequent and severe in a warming climate, particularly under higher emissions pathways
Main finding: Low water levels in Gatun Lake (main reservoir for Panama Canal) become more frequent and severe in a warming climate, particularly under higher emissions pathways
September 17, 2025 at 2:03 PM
New paper out today in GRL: Drying of the Panama Canal in a Warming Climate (shorturl.at/TJ3aj)
Main finding: Low water levels in Gatun Lake (main reservoir for Panama Canal) become more frequent and severe in a warming climate, particularly under higher emissions pathways
Main finding: Low water levels in Gatun Lake (main reservoir for Panama Canal) become more frequent and severe in a warming climate, particularly under higher emissions pathways
Yet another Nat Cat job? Actually, we're searching for TWO experts, specialized in tropical cyclones or earthquakes. US or UK, remote work definitely an option. Great job for an ECR physical scientist looking to join the insurance/reinsurance industry! eedu.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...
Natural Catastrophe Analyst - Earthquake/Hurricane Specialist
An exciting opportunity to join an established research network team at Willis (a WTW business), helping clients understand and manage risk while shaping the Willis “view of risk.” Using your scientif...
eedu.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com
September 15, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Yet another Nat Cat job? Actually, we're searching for TWO experts, specialized in tropical cyclones or earthquakes. US or UK, remote work definitely an option. Great job for an ECR physical scientist looking to join the insurance/reinsurance industry! eedu.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...
Reposted by Scott St. George
This is a beautifully complex piece by Canadian journalist Katie Engelhart in the New York Times Magazine about children’s author Robert Munsch as he struggles with aging and illness. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2025/09/14/m...
The Beloved Children’s Author Whose Stories Are Slipping Away
www.nytimes.com
September 14, 2025 at 2:28 PM
This is a beautifully complex piece by Canadian journalist Katie Engelhart in the New York Times Magazine about children’s author Robert Munsch as he struggles with aging and illness. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2025/09/14/m...
Are you a cool person who cannot stop talking about natural catastrophes? Do you want to help the insurance industry understand the latest hurricane, wildfire, or hailstorm headed their way?
Then click the link for our new Head of Event Response job! careers.wtwco.com/jobs/head-of...
Then click the link for our new Head of Event Response job! careers.wtwco.com/jobs/head-of...
Head of Event Response - United States - Boston, Massachusetts, United States - Seattle, Washington, United States - Tempe, Arizona, United States - Los Angeles, California, United States - Chicago, I...
Description
The Role
Strategy and Leadership
Design and implement a best-in-class event response framework tailored to re/insurance client needs
Serve as the face of Willis / Willis Re’s catastrop...
careers.wtwco.com
September 10, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Are you a cool person who cannot stop talking about natural catastrophes? Do you want to help the insurance industry understand the latest hurricane, wildfire, or hailstorm headed their way?
Then click the link for our new Head of Event Response job! careers.wtwco.com/jobs/head-of...
Then click the link for our new Head of Event Response job! careers.wtwco.com/jobs/head-of...