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Kurtis M.

@stormorknot.bsky.social

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Kurtis M. @stormorknot.bsky.social · Nov 12

Hello world!
I’m a meteorologist who works in catastrophe modeling and lives in Boston. Hopefully I can find other people who want to chat about the weather or data science. R is my primary programming language.

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Kurtis M. @stormorknot.bsky.social · 1h

Also to mention, risking their safely likely without pay. Not all heroes wear capes.

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Tomer Burg @burgwx.bsky.social · 1h

With Melissa's short term motion important for where landfall & the worst of its destructive category 5 winds will occur, I added back plots comparing the latest visible satellite to recon center fixes & NHC and grand ensemble mean forecast tracks:

polarwx.com/tropical/?st...

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markjonesespn.bsky.social @markjonesespn.bsky.social · 3h

Hurricane Melissa a Category 5 closing on Jamaica. 🙏🏽🇯🇲

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Tim Ballisty @irisheagle.bsky.social · 2h

bsky.app/profile/did:...

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Jeremy DeHart @jeremydehartwx.bsky.social · 4h

From a crewmember on yesterday's Teal 74 mission into now-Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa. As clear of an eye as you will see in the Atlantic basin.

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Justin Gehrts @justingehrts.com · 3h

The waves pulsing outward from the center are mesmerizing.

cira-csu.bsky.social @cira-csu.bsky.social · 4h

The monster eye at the center of a still strengthening Hurricane Melissa.

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Sam Lillo @samlillo.bsky.social · 2h

Melissa is making the slow turn northward today, and is about to track over the warmest waters yet

Philippe Papin @pppapin.bsky.social · 1d

The WSW motion is important for two reasons.

1) That gives more time for #Melissa to remain over the very warm waters of the Central Caribbean. Yes the hurricane is moving very slowly, but it also has a deep reservoir of oceanic heat content to give it more time than a regular 1-3 kt moving storm.

Sea-Surface Temperature analysis over the Caribbean Sea. Hurricane Melissa is over 30-31C SSTs, which are about 1-2C above average for this time of the year.

Oceanic Heat Content for the Caribbean Sea. Melissa is over some of the highest OHC across the Atlantic Basin.

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Dr. Athena Masson @weathergoddess.bsky.social · 2h

Earlier from the #Hurricane Center. The Hurricane Hunters had to abort their mission into #Melissa due to severe turbulence in the eyewall. #wx

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Kurtis M. @stormorknot.bsky.social · 1h

#Melissa #HurricaneMelissa #wxSky

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World Meteorological Organization @wmo-global.bsky.social · 9h

🌀 #HurricaneMelissa has intensified to Cat. 5 strength in the Caribbean.

WMO and its partners are working together to support countries in the path of the storm.

Keep up to date:

🔗 hurricanes.gov
🔗 https://metservice.gov.jm/

Credit: @noaa.gov

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Kurtis M. @stormorknot.bsky.social · 10h

#climaterisk

Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 20h

For understanding climate change impacts to tropical cyclones in near-real time, explore our new attribution pages unique to each storm from @climatecentral.org: www.climatecentral.org/tropical-cyc...

"Climate change made the ocean temperatures along Melissa's path 500 to 700 times more likely."

Screenshot that says: "Climate Central analyzes real-time data to reveal the climate change story behind every named Atlantic storm. As storms form and strengthen, our data and visuals show how rising ocean temperatures — driven by climate change — fuel tropical cyclones and influence their intensity for Melissa, Lorenzo, Jerry, Imelda, and Humberto."

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Jonathan Erdman @wxjerdman.bsky.social · 10h

Here are the only 2 previous Cat 5 hurricanes that passed within 70 miles of Jamaica in NOAA's database.

Neither made landfall, there.

Regardless of Cat 4 or 5, Melissa will, unfortunately, make history.

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The Associated Press @apnews.com · 11h

Hurricane Melissa strengthens to Category 5 as it nears Jamaica.

Hurricane Melissa roars toward Jamaica as a Category 4 storm as island prepares for landfall

Hurricane Melissa is roaring toward Jamaica with destructive Category 4 winds and was expected to strengthen further before making landfall on the Caribbean nation with up to 30 inches of rain and a life-threatening storm surge.

bit.ly

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Kurtis M. @stormorknot.bsky.social · 11h

With #Melissa reaching category 5 it is the third category 5 hurricane in the 2025 season after Erin and Humberto. The only season to best that is the infamous 2005 season with four.

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National Hurricane Center Bot @nhcbot.bsky.social · 11h

Hurricane #Melissa Advisory 24: Melissa Now a Category 5 Hurricane. Destructive Winds and Storm Surge and Catastrophic Flooding Will Worsen On Jamaica Through the Day and Into Tonight. http://hurricanes.gov https://x.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1982732006178881562

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Kurtis M. @stormorknot.bsky.social · 11h

It’s official, category 5!
Threshold for category 5 is 157mph and #NHC puts it at 160mph in the 5am update. May anyone in #Melissa path be safe.

#category5 #jamaicawx #jamaica #majorhurricane #wxSky #weatherSky #hurricane #hurricaneseason #catrisk #wxrisk #HurricaneMelissa

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Sam Lillo @samlillo.bsky.social · 15h

Don't see a satellite intensity estimate of 170kt in the Atlantic everyday. Or well, ever.

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Dakota Smith @weatherdak.bsky.social · 14h

Stunning satellite imagery of Hurricane Melissa tonight.

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Nathan Santo Domingo @nsdwx.bsky.social · 13h

Hurricane #Melissa down to 919mb per latest Hurricane Hunters recon data. Keeping Jamaica and Cuba in my thoughts tonight, this is going to be a generational hurricane event.

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Steve Bowen @stevebowen.bsky.social · 23h

#Melissa: 2025's fourth Atlantic storm to meet the definition of rapid intensification (RI); strengthen by 30 knots (35 mph) in a 24-hr period.

Each 2025 Atlantic major hurricane has seen explosive >50 knot (60 mph) strengthening in 24 hrs.

Only 2025, 2020, 2008, and 2005 have achieved this feat.

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Kurtis M. @stormorknot.bsky.social · 23h

#NHC is using dire language in their key messages for #Melissa

“Extensive infrastructural damage, long-duration power and
communication outages, and isolation of communities are expected.”

#wxsky #weathersky #weather #wxrisk #majorhurricane #jamaicawx #catastrophe #hurricaneseason

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Phil Williams @philinvestigates.com · 1d

The U.S. is “on a trajectory” toward authoritarian rule, according to a sobering new intelligence-style assessment by former US intelligence and national security officials, who warn democratic backsliding may soon become entrenched without organized resistance. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

US ‘on a trajectory’ toward authoritarian rule, ex-officials warn

A network of former intelligence and security officers says democratic decline is accelerating under Trump’s rule

www.theguardian.com

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Kurtis M. @stormorknot.bsky.social · 1d

SAR satellite images are showing the intensity of #Melissa. #Jamaica will have to brace for what looks like a catastrophic and generational storm. It is shaping up to bring catastrophic winds and flooding to the Island.

#hurricane #wxsky #weathersky #majorhurricane #hurricaneseason #climaterisk

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Kim Wood @drkimwood.bsky.social · 1d

Melissa has rapidly intensified into a category 4 major hurricane according to preliminary NHC estimates:
- from 60 to 120 kt in 24 hours (⬆️ 60 kt)
- from 90 to 110 kt in just 6 hours (⬆️ 20 kt)

This slow-moving storm will not only deliver damaging winds & storm surge but also catastrophic rainfall.

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Dr. Jeff Masters @drjeffmasters.bsky.social · 2d

Now a hurricane, #Melissa is poised to rapidly intensify into a potentially catastrophic major hurricane by Sunday. The latest from @bhensonweather.bsky.social and I: yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/10/hurr...

Hurricane Melissa poised to rapidly intensify as it heads toward Jamaica » Yale Climate Connections

The ingredients are in place for Melissa to become a catastrophic major hurricane before the weekend is out.

yaleclimateconnections.org

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