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Tom Radcliffe

@tjradcliffe.bsky.social

1.2K followers 260 following 4.9K posts

Physicist, Breakthrough Prize Laureate (SNO), poet, engineer, writer, actor, sailor, canoeist, kayaker, boat-builder, businessman, philosopher (Bayesian), executive, entrepreneur (unsuccessful), consulting scientist, inventor, husband, father, grandfather.

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · Dec 12

My latest book, a sword-cell-phone novel-in-verse that riffs on "Romeo and Juliet", but Romeo's friends aren't all idiots. Nobody dies, lots of people end up in bed. "A fabulous modern take on Romeo and Juliet set in a gritty urban backdrop"-Emily Thompson, ReedsyDiscovery siduri.net/books/capule...

Capuleft and Montaright

A sword-and-cell-phone nove-in-verse!

siduri.net

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 1h

Naively, there as been a 30 day delay in the case curve. Since the *underlying dynamics* of the measles outbreak in BC have not changed--that is, the overall vaccination rate of school age kids has not increased by more than a few percent, from 69 to low 70's--the growth curve should be similar. :-(

Graph of officially reported measles cases in BC between July 1st 2025 and early October, showing a mysterious flat-lining in September followed by a return to growth. The data up to Sept 1st are well-fit by an exponential line shown here with a doubling time of 39 days. The same curve shifted by 30 days is also shown, and isn't a bad fit to the first three data points in October.

Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 1h

This becomes a very simple litmus test for who in the Gang Of Pedos is an active pedophile and who was simply willing to rub shoulders with pedophiles for the sake of power and position.

Ron Filipkowski @ronfilipkowski.bsky.social · 3h

All to cover up the Epstein files.

Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

Mark Ungrin @mark-ungrin.bsky.social · 10h

As usual, the best argument against using cookbook "Evidence Based Medicine" approaches in place of science is watching what happens when people do.

If it can't get inside you, it can't make you sick.

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 2h

"It's a toss up" is a hopeful message at this point, and Iran in 1979 is very different culturally, economically, and politically from the US in 2025. Is a win for democracy assured? No. Will there be violence? There already is. Can democracy quite plausibly win? Yes.

Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

Matt Oliver @sameo416.bsky.social · 3h

It’s astounding that no one says - hey isn’t there a field of science specifically specializing in respiratory protection?

This is a bit like me sponsoring an electrical engineering review of neurosurgery papers. Hey it’s all electricity…

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 3h

WOOT! Vive le droit à la réparation!

James Andrew Smith @drsmith.bsky.social · 3h

On CBC: they’re introducing a right to repair bill in Québec!

Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 3h

We're not there yet, but looking at how other autocratic regimes collapse, the temporal distance between 'Everyone Loves the Leader' and 'No one will admit in public they ever supported that guy' can be *very* short.

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 3h

I love it when historians are hopeful based on a reasonable parsing of actual data: they have a lot more comparitors than most of us. This really gives me some sliver of optimism about the future of the US.

"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 4h

Put another way: with Trump's approval solidly around -9-10, it's a safe bet he is probably underwater *with Texans* and he may not be much above water with Texas National Guard.

'Murder your fellow citizens so a guy you don't really like can be a God-King' is probably not a strong offer.

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 3h

New chart incoming in a bit (I've generated it but for some reason this machine doesn't upload images properly so gotta wait 'til I'm downstairs)

Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 3h

BC has only about 70% MMR uptake at school entry, and unlike Doug Ford's Conservative Ontario our NDP government dismisses the possibility of a vaccine mandate for school attendance. Hardcore anti-vaxx is small in Canada: 1-2% in BC. Most of the under-vaccination is complacency and poor PH policy.

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 3h

Wouldn't it just.

Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

The Vertlartnic @thev.bsky.social · Aug 5

Sunscreen Does Not Work, Says Study That Made Participants Drink It

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Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

The Vertlartnic @thev.bsky.social · Sep 4

Doctors Thrilled You’re Post-Covid, Recommend Rest, Flu, And Some More Covid

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Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

The Vertlartnic @thev.bsky.social · Sep 2

Why Catching Covid Endlessly Is Better Than Not Catching It Enough, And Two Other Things We Tell Ourselves To Feel Better When We’re Sick Yet Again

Some people who are sick endlessly
Headline:
Why Catching Covid Endlessly Is Better Than Not Catching It Enough, And Two Other Things We Tell Ourselves To Feel Better When We’re Sick Yet Again
Story by Slant Gatherwool and Derek Pimhole

Photo from Adobe

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 6h

The measles outbreak was "over" in BC for about three weeks.

Now cases are growing again.

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 7h

Yeah, but the machines were *created* by men[*], so really, it's almost the same thing :-/

[* this is probably false]

Prof Anna Watts @profannawatts.bsky.social · 8h

Lol the Nobels can't even acknowledge women's contribution to discovery. But sure let's acknowledge The Machines.

Headline from an article in Nature this week that states "Prizes must recognize machine contributions to discovery. The future of science will be written by humans and machines together. Awards should reflect that reality."

Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 7h

Marjorie Taylor Green... voice of reason. Did not have this on my bingo card even a little bit. She's still insane, but not so insane she can't see blunt force reality headed her way in the mid-terms if she doesn't speak for her constituents on this.

‘Everyone’s just getting destroyed’: MTG calls on Johnson to bring House back to DC and rails on GOP handling of health care | CNN Politics

GOP Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene broke sharply with her party leaders on Wednesday as they tried to project a united front in the deepening standoff with Democrats over health care and the government s...

www.cnn.com

Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

Bean & Sprout's Mom @beansproutsmom.bsky.social · 10h

See also "Rapid review: Evaluating the effectiveness of hard hats against head injury."

The #MedSky application of 'rapid reviews' to the laws of physics needs to die. ASAP.

@mark-ungrin.bsky.social @sameo416.bsky.social @gosiagasperophd.bsky.social @cdcofbc.bsky.social @ires.ubc.ca

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 8h

I have a theory, which is mine, which belongs to me, which is: POLLUTANTS YOU DON'T INHALE CAN'T HURT YOU, AND RESPIRATORS AS A MATTER OF PHYSICS AND ENGINEERING DESIGN VALIDATED BY DECADES OF STUDIES AND USE DRAMATICALLY REDUCE INHALED POLLUTANTS. But sure, limited evidence, yada yada. Assholes.

Bean & Sprout's Mom @beansproutsmom.bsky.social · 10h

Rapid review: Evaluating the effectiveness of masks and respirators against wildfire smoke

"The evidence on the effect of wearing a mask or respirator on pollutant exposure and human health endpoints during combustion-derived air pollution episodes is limited. " 🙃

ncceh.ca/resources/ev...

Rapid review: Evaluating the effectiveness of masks and respirators against wildfire smoke

Evidence on effectiveness of masks in reducing health impacts from wildfire smoke and air pollution.

ncceh.ca

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Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

Mark Ungrin @mark-ungrin.bsky.social · 9h

There's easy money in EBM syntheses though, as long as you've got the right connections to get funded. Turn the crank, pretend you're doing actual science, inflate your CV, and you too can climb the ladder in institutional medicine and launder your silly opinions into policy and guidance.

The rise and fall of EBM.

B G Charlton, A Miles; The rise and fall of EBM., QJM: An International Journal of Medicine, Volume 91, Issue 5, 1 May 1998, Pages 371–374, https://doi.org

academic.oup.com

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 8h

"If the court's judgement is acted on that would be bad for the person the judgement is against so it shouldn't be acted on" is a hell of a get out of jail free card.

Lawrence Hurley @lawrencehurley.bsky.social · 10h

Alex Jones has asked the Supreme Court to immediately put his almost $1.5 billion defamation judgment on hold, citing the imminent threat of InfoWars being handed over to The Onion.

If there isn't a stay, "InfoWars will have been acquired by its ideological nemesis and destroyed," the filing says.

Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 12h

“Asshole with a thin leftist veneer” is what a substantial number of people want, because they don’t actually want to make the world better, they want to feel they’re part of a club and that their resentment of life and desire for someone to tell them how to think is justified.

fleurdor.bsky.social @fleurdor.bsky.social · 12h

I have never understood this guy's appeal. He's just an asshole with a thin leftist veneer. Like Vaush with even less substance.

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Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 10h

Nothing bizarre about the NDP supporting state over-reach. Look at Eby's Bill 7 etc, which are pure NDP policy writ large: just a massive power grab, like their power-grab election in BC in 2020 instead of, you know, fighting the 2nd wave of covid and stopping thousands from dying. That is the NDP.

Tom Radcliffe @tjradcliffe.bsky.social · 11h

This has an ominous "Jews trying to leave Germany in 1936" feel to it, doesn't it?

Leah Feiger @leahfeiger.bsky.social · 11h

WIRED spoke with Mark Bray, the Rutgers historian trying to flee to Spain with his family after an online campaign from far-right influencers was followed by death threats. He was turned back from the airport on his first attempt.

read @davidgilbert.bsky.social:

He Wrote a Book About Antifa. Death Threats Are Driving Him Out of the US

Rutgers historian Mark Bray is trying to flee to Spain after after an online campaign from far-right influencers was followed by death threats. He was turned back at the airport on his first attempt.

www.wired.com

Reposted by Tom Radcliffe

emily moonlight @threnody.bsky.social · 14h

just watched a dozen people ask microsoft copilot experts their most pressing questions and those questions were 90% “how do i turn it off?” and “when i turn it off, is it really off or is it spying on me?”

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