probably me ⚧︎
@wildforestwitch.bsky.social
polish-irish • nonbinary • they/them • climate action now!
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Uncertainty is not your friend: In a new paper published in One Earth, scientists argue that uncertainties in climate projections mean Earth system components could be at a higher risk than we think of reaching crucial tipping points. 🌊
eos.org/articles/ear...
eos.org/articles/ear...
Earth’s Climate May Go from Greenhouse to Hothouse - Eos
Uncertainty in climate models could mean Earth systems are perilously close to their tipping points, scientists warn.
eos.org
February 12, 2026 at 12:24 PM
Uncertainty is not your friend: In a new paper published in One Earth, scientists argue that uncertainties in climate projections mean Earth system components could be at a higher risk than we think of reaching crucial tipping points. 🌊
eos.org/articles/ear...
eos.org/articles/ear...
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
The graph says it all - its already happening
Shows how over 20 years critical ocean current AMOC is slowing
2009/2010 there was a 30% reduction in heat being transferred to Europe as a result of that weakening
which brought freezing temps in 2010 to UK/Europe
13 cm sea level rise New York
Shows how over 20 years critical ocean current AMOC is slowing
2009/2010 there was a 30% reduction in heat being transferred to Europe as a result of that weakening
which brought freezing temps in 2010 to UK/Europe
13 cm sea level rise New York
February 12, 2026 at 2:31 PM
The graph says it all - its already happening
Shows how over 20 years critical ocean current AMOC is slowing
2009/2010 there was a 30% reduction in heat being transferred to Europe as a result of that weakening
which brought freezing temps in 2010 to UK/Europe
13 cm sea level rise New York
Shows how over 20 years critical ocean current AMOC is slowing
2009/2010 there was a 30% reduction in heat being transferred to Europe as a result of that weakening
which brought freezing temps in 2010 to UK/Europe
13 cm sea level rise New York
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Biodiversity loss is emerging as systemic risk to global economy & financial stability. Report points to "inadequate or perverse" incentives, weak institutional support & enforcement. Despite need for "transformative change", $7.3 trillion in public & private funds goes to nature-harming activities
Did you know that biodiversity loss is one of the biggest threats to businesses? The @ipbes.net #BizBiodiversity report urges companies to act now to safeguard nature and their own futures.
Learn more with @reuters.com: www.reuters.com/sustainabili...
Learn more with @reuters.com: www.reuters.com/sustainabili...
Companies told to protect nature now or face extinction themselves
Biodiversity loss is emerging as a systemic risk to the global economy and financial stability, a landmark report said on Monday, urging companies to act now or potentially face extinction themselves.
www.reuters.com
February 16, 2026 at 11:46 AM
Biodiversity loss is emerging as systemic risk to global economy & financial stability. Report points to "inadequate or perverse" incentives, weak institutional support & enforcement. Despite need for "transformative change", $7.3 trillion in public & private funds goes to nature-harming activities
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Tremendous coverage from @channel4news.bsky.social on the science of #AMOC collapse 👏
Do take the time to watch this and take it in.
This story needs to be shared and absorbed.
#EmergencyOnPlanetEarth
Do take the time to watch this and take it in.
This story needs to be shared and absorbed.
#EmergencyOnPlanetEarth
February 13, 2026 at 12:20 PM
Tremendous coverage from @channel4news.bsky.social on the science of #AMOC collapse 👏
Do take the time to watch this and take it in.
This story needs to be shared and absorbed.
#EmergencyOnPlanetEarth
Do take the time to watch this and take it in.
This story needs to be shared and absorbed.
#EmergencyOnPlanetEarth
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
"In October, the government classified the AMOC collapse as a national security risk. It amounts to a reckoning with national survival."
And a major #AMOC change would seriously impact the world at large, even the tropics - not just Iceland. 🌊
www.adn.com/nation-world...
And a major #AMOC change would seriously impact the world at large, even the tropics - not just Iceland. 🌊
www.adn.com/nation-world...
How a warming planet could turn Iceland into a glacier
The disruption of a current that carries heat north from the tropics would make much of the world hotter while turning Iceland into “one giant glacier.”
www.adn.com
February 11, 2026 at 9:53 AM
"In October, the government classified the AMOC collapse as a national security risk. It amounts to a reckoning with national survival."
And a major #AMOC change would seriously impact the world at large, even the tropics - not just Iceland. 🌊
www.adn.com/nation-world...
And a major #AMOC change would seriously impact the world at large, even the tropics - not just Iceland. 🌊
www.adn.com/nation-world...
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
All these point in one direction: the climate is changing, and the rapid changes started after the steam engine was invented and society started using fossil fuels to generate heat and power on an industrial scale.
Perhaps we ought to think about curtailing our use of fossil fuels?
Just an idea.
Perhaps we ought to think about curtailing our use of fossil fuels?
Just an idea.
February 13, 2026 at 1:23 PM
All these point in one direction: the climate is changing, and the rapid changes started after the steam engine was invented and society started using fossil fuels to generate heat and power on an industrial scale.
Perhaps we ought to think about curtailing our use of fossil fuels?
Just an idea.
Perhaps we ought to think about curtailing our use of fossil fuels?
Just an idea.
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
February 13, 2026 at 11:33 AM
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Southern right whale recovery reverses as reproduction declines, which could be the result of climate change, scientists say.
share.google/cxVKUdqaZD8V...
share.google/cxVKUdqaZD8V...
Southern right whale recovery reverses as reproduction declines
Southern right whales are having fewer calves as sea ice shrinks. Scientists say this species may now be a warning sign of climate change.
share.google
February 15, 2026 at 12:36 AM
Southern right whale recovery reverses as reproduction declines, which could be the result of climate change, scientists say.
share.google/cxVKUdqaZD8V...
share.google/cxVKUdqaZD8V...
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
The amount of people trying to pass off AI generated images as "work" they "designed" to deliberately dupe customers is truly nuts. Anything that ANYONE makes themselves will always be more valuable and interesting than result of a prompt churned out by a machine off the back of the work of artists.
February 15, 2026 at 1:05 PM
The amount of people trying to pass off AI generated images as "work" they "designed" to deliberately dupe customers is truly nuts. Anything that ANYONE makes themselves will always be more valuable and interesting than result of a prompt churned out by a machine off the back of the work of artists.
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
UK facing more rain and flood risks due to climate crisis, new study warns www.independent.co.uk/climate-chan...
UK facing more rain and flood risks due to climate crisis, new study warns
Extra rainfall now falling on UK each winter due to global warming ‘would fill three million Olympic-sized swimming pools’
www.independent.co.uk
February 16, 2026 at 9:43 AM
UK facing more rain and flood risks due to climate crisis, new study warns www.independent.co.uk/climate-chan...
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Global ecosystem collapse is a real prospect. An appropriate response would be for us to restore our own ecosystems and diversify our food production.
www.irishexaminer.com/lifestyle/ou...
www.irishexaminer.com/lifestyle/ou...
Pádraic Fogarty: Ecosystem collapse is real and is happening here now
Ireland can breeze through the collapse of our own ecosystems because of the stabilising effect of much larger ecosystems elsewhere. Now those ecosystems too are at risk of collapse, due principally t...
www.irishexaminer.com
February 15, 2026 at 9:46 AM
Global ecosystem collapse is a real prospect. An appropriate response would be for us to restore our own ecosystems and diversify our food production.
www.irishexaminer.com/lifestyle/ou...
www.irishexaminer.com/lifestyle/ou...
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
"Addressing this injustice requires a living politics of care. This means a political system that recognises vulnerability as socially produced and demands solidarity, equity and accountability"
Preventable deaths in a warming world: how politics shapes who lives and who dies
Preventable suffering is both widespread and socially produced.
theconversation.com
February 16, 2026 at 7:39 AM
"Addressing this injustice requires a living politics of care. This means a political system that recognises vulnerability as socially produced and demands solidarity, equity and accountability"
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Study: Energy-hungry data centres and air con wiping out climate gains made by renewables
www.businessgreen.com/news/4525611...
www.businessgreen.com/news/4525611...
Study: Energy-hungry data centres and air con wiping out climate gains made by renewables
Report warns rapid expansion of renewables is largely covering fast-growing energy demand from data centres and cooling systems rather than displacing fossil fuels
www.businessgreen.com
February 16, 2026 at 10:28 AM
Study: Energy-hungry data centres and air con wiping out climate gains made by renewables
www.businessgreen.com/news/4525611...
www.businessgreen.com/news/4525611...
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Great, plain English, Brainstorm piece by @ucc.ie researchers on what it would take to decarbonised #DublinAirport -- more than you would think @rte.ie
How much land & power are required to decarbonise Dublin Airport?
Decarbonising the emissions associated with flights from Dublin Airport would need much more land and electricity than you might think
www.rte.ie
February 16, 2026 at 9:37 AM
Great, plain English, Brainstorm piece by @ucc.ie researchers on what it would take to decarbonised #DublinAirport -- more than you would think @rte.ie
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
”In 2023, a joint Guardian investigation found that, based on analysis of a significant percentage of the projects, more than 90% of offsets did not represent genuine carbon reductions, according to independent research published by journals including Science, PNAS and Conservation Biology.”
‘There is no money’: As carbon markets collapse, what happens to the forests they promised to protect?
After it was found most offsets did not represent real carbon reductions, the money dried up. But successful schemes such as Kasigau in Kenya now face a stark future
www.theguardian.com
February 13, 2026 at 8:38 AM
”In 2023, a joint Guardian investigation found that, based on analysis of a significant percentage of the projects, more than 90% of offsets did not represent genuine carbon reductions, according to independent research published by journals including Science, PNAS and Conservation Biology.”
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Excellent & informative breakdown of how hard it will be to decaebonise Dublin Airport flights at current levels via various options.
There isn't enough space or energy capacity to grow/generate enough SAF or plant enough trees.
Demand management has to become a key lever at reducing emissions.
There isn't enough space or energy capacity to grow/generate enough SAF or plant enough trees.
Demand management has to become a key lever at reducing emissions.
How much land and power would it take to decarbonise Dublin Airport?
Check out our new RTE Brainstorm article: www.rte.ie/brainstorm/2...
Check out our new RTE Brainstorm article: www.rte.ie/brainstorm/2...
February 16, 2026 at 10:35 AM
Excellent & informative breakdown of how hard it will be to decaebonise Dublin Airport flights at current levels via various options.
There isn't enough space or energy capacity to grow/generate enough SAF or plant enough trees.
Demand management has to become a key lever at reducing emissions.
There isn't enough space or energy capacity to grow/generate enough SAF or plant enough trees.
Demand management has to become a key lever at reducing emissions.
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
How much land and power would it take to decarbonise Dublin Airport?
Check out our new RTE Brainstorm article: www.rte.ie/brainstorm/2...
Check out our new RTE Brainstorm article: www.rte.ie/brainstorm/2...
February 16, 2026 at 9:48 AM
How much land and power would it take to decarbonise Dublin Airport?
Check out our new RTE Brainstorm article: www.rte.ie/brainstorm/2...
Check out our new RTE Brainstorm article: www.rte.ie/brainstorm/2...
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
The cost of carbon emissions per tonne based on the damages in the future has to be discounted, requiring both knowledge of climate science and ethical judgment
The emission is practically permanent and part of it acidifies the ocean.
A politician cannot simply say that it is 30 euros or 80 euros.
The emission is practically permanent and part of it acidifies the ocean.
A politician cannot simply say that it is 30 euros or 80 euros.
February 16, 2026 at 9:13 AM
The cost of carbon emissions per tonne based on the damages in the future has to be discounted, requiring both knowledge of climate science and ethical judgment
The emission is practically permanent and part of it acidifies the ocean.
A politician cannot simply say that it is 30 euros or 80 euros.
The emission is practically permanent and part of it acidifies the ocean.
A politician cannot simply say that it is 30 euros or 80 euros.
ratio
The expert who led the review into children's gender healthcare in the UK has said young people have been "weaponised" and misled about the realities of transitioning by social media.
Children 'weaponised', says author of UK gender report
The expert who led the review into children's gender healthcare in the UK has said young people have been "weaponised" and misled about the realities of transitioning by social media.
www.rte.ie
February 16, 2026 at 2:45 AM
ratio
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Absolutely abysmal seeing this biased drivel from Ireland’s state broadcaster. Appalling to see my taxes pay for this. I’m going to leave a thread of some of the extensive and highly critical academic response to the Cass review, all of which is easily accessible on the internet
The expert who led the review into children's gender healthcare in the UK has said young people have been "weaponised" and misled about the realities of transitioning by social media.
Children 'weaponised', says author of UK gender report
The expert who led the review into children's gender healthcare in the UK has said young people have been "weaponised" and misled about the realities of transitioning by social media.
www.rte.ie
February 15, 2026 at 3:20 PM
Absolutely abysmal seeing this biased drivel from Ireland’s state broadcaster. Appalling to see my taxes pay for this. I’m going to leave a thread of some of the extensive and highly critical academic response to the Cass review, all of which is easily accessible on the internet
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Middle East and North Africa with 37C, Central Asia with up to 33C, SE Asia 39C, dozens of thousands of records from Morocco to Korea.
If you think it can't get worse, you are so wrong,coz next week it will get far worse.
Prepare to watch something beyond any imagination
If you think it can't get worse, you are so wrong,coz next week it will get far worse.
Prepare to watch something beyond any imagination
February 15, 2026 at 12:37 PM
Middle East and North Africa with 37C, Central Asia with up to 33C, SE Asia 39C, dozens of thousands of records from Morocco to Korea.
If you think it can't get worse, you are so wrong,coz next week it will get far worse.
Prepare to watch something beyond any imagination
If you think it can't get worse, you are so wrong,coz next week it will get far worse.
Prepare to watch something beyond any imagination
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Focusing primarily on behavioral tweaks and tech substitution avoids the deeper issue of scale….total throughput, population pressure, and cumulative ecological simplification.
Without addressing those, optimism becomes faith in decoupling rather than ecological modeling.
Without addressing those, optimism becomes faith in decoupling rather than ecological modeling.
Don’t Let Climate Fatalism Become a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
The idea that it’s “too late” to reduce emissions fuels cynicism and despair, putting us on an even worse trajectory.
www.zmescience.com
February 14, 2026 at 12:30 PM
Focusing primarily on behavioral tweaks and tech substitution avoids the deeper issue of scale….total throughput, population pressure, and cumulative ecological simplification.
Without addressing those, optimism becomes faith in decoupling rather than ecological modeling.
Without addressing those, optimism becomes faith in decoupling rather than ecological modeling.
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
(Climate) "Coverage is punctuated by bursts of attention to late-year international climate conferences, but the recent decline persists even when you smooth that out. And it appears poised to continue. The real question is how far coverage can fall."
by open.substack.com/pub/reportea...
by open.substack.com/pub/reportea...
February 8, 2026 at 2:42 PM
(Climate) "Coverage is punctuated by bursts of attention to late-year international climate conferences, but the recent decline persists even when you smooth that out. And it appears poised to continue. The real question is how far coverage can fall."
by open.substack.com/pub/reportea...
by open.substack.com/pub/reportea...
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
This is a really good primer on the limits of infinite growth. People hate the term degrowth, which whatever, but you can't be a rational person and think everyone on earth can consume like your average American and still have a habitable planet.
Economic growth is still heating the planet. Is there any way out?
Rising GDP continues to mean more carbon emissions and wider damage to the planet. Can the two be decoupled?
www.theguardian.com
February 9, 2026 at 6:15 PM
This is a really good primer on the limits of infinite growth. People hate the term degrowth, which whatever, but you can't be a rational person and think everyone on earth can consume like your average American and still have a habitable planet.
Reposted by probably me ⚧︎
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
The latest CO2 data just came in from Mauna Loa and the 3-year rate of CO2 growth just hit a new record high, now growing at a rate of 7.97 ppm per 3 years.
(That dip in the mid-1990's is Mt. Pinatubo. Google is your friend.)
Code Yikes!
The latest CO2 data just came in from Mauna Loa and the 3-year rate of CO2 growth just hit a new record high, now growing at a rate of 7.97 ppm per 3 years.
(That dip in the mid-1990's is Mt. Pinatubo. Google is your friend.)
January 6, 2026 at 2:48 PM
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
The latest CO2 data just came in from Mauna Loa and the 3-year rate of CO2 growth just hit a new record high, now growing at a rate of 7.97 ppm per 3 years.
(That dip in the mid-1990's is Mt. Pinatubo. Google is your friend.)
Code Yikes!
The latest CO2 data just came in from Mauna Loa and the 3-year rate of CO2 growth just hit a new record high, now growing at a rate of 7.97 ppm per 3 years.
(That dip in the mid-1990's is Mt. Pinatubo. Google is your friend.)