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Michael Hendricks 🇨🇦 @michaelhendricks.bsky.social · 1h

...meanwhile the ratio of dependents (children + elderly) to workers has gone DOWN by a third over the same time period and won't reach 1960s levels until 2040+. There is no demographic crisis.... there is a resource distribution crisis.

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Michael Hendricks 🇨🇦 @michaelhendricks.bsky.social · 1h

This is the lie at the center of the "demographic crisis" framing. In the US, per worker productivity has tripled since the 1960s. But instead of increasing compensation or various forms of dependent care, this **enormous** new surplus goes to private profits, asset inflation, and rent extraction...

Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

People really don't like do deal with US labor productivity being *vastly* larger than even a couple generations ago.

US labor productivity and real hourly compensation from 1973 to 2024 both increase steadily.

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Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

...what does the fever swamp think geoengineering is?

Philip Bump @pbump.com · 1h

wow what happened to the "free state of florida" smh

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Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 1h

ICE is not only chasing down every random brown person in Chicago, they have a cameraman following them to film this for social media. Cruelty and inhumanity as content.

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C. Henry @henryhenryhenry.com · 1h

right now the primary problem I see is that to the mostly uninterested middle it is not immediately clear that the opposition groups to the revanchist Trump regime can 1) guarantee future safety and 2) deliver any future benefits, either social, economic, or political

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C. Henry @henryhenryhenry.com · 1h

Miller's instinct is to propagandize with one hand and repress opposition supporters on the other, and it's a delicate balance that better experts than him have tried to design around and failed (from the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual below)

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C. Henry @henryhenryhenry.com · 1h

this unleashes a thorny collective action problem: civvies want to stay safe, and they'll become more active supporters of the side that can keep them safe; but they also fear future reprisals from the opposition if they support one side too strongly.

How “Free” is Free Riding in Civil Wars?: Violence, Insurgency, and the Collective Action Problem | World Politics | Cambridge Core

How “Free” is Free Riding in Civil Wars?: Violence, Insurgency, and the Collective Action Problem - Volume 59 Issue 2

www.cambridge.org

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C. Henry @henryhenryhenry.com · 1h

your post gets at the heart of it. in any civil conflict there is a wide civilian middle that lacks ideological reasons and/or material pressures to become a 'combatant' (broadly defined). but as political violence worsens, they can be persuaded to support the side that can guarantee their security.

Greg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 5h

Miller has a real theory of the case: A latent majority out there can be sleepwalked into authoritarianism with enough numbing agitprop. Polls show majorities reject the autocratic abuses but Miller plainly thinks voters in the middle lack conviction about any of it.

newrepublic.com/article/2014...

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Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

I've some how gotten my phone to believe "csn" is a word that's as equally valid as "can."

There's no hope for this thing.

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Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

Amazing new frontiers in either typos or shitty autocorrect this morning.

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Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

Culture war is they only thing they take seriously.

Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 1h

The Speaker of the House has firm views that Bad Bunny is a terrible pick for singing at the Super Bowl, but hasn't had time to watch the President's speech to our military leadership or form an opinion whether furloughed federal workers should be paid or Illinois' governor should be thrown in jail.

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Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 1h

The Speaker of the House has firm views that Bad Bunny is a terrible pick for singing at the Super Bowl, but hasn't had time to watch the President's speech to our military leadership or form an opinion whether furloughed federal workers should be paid or Illinois' governor should be thrown in jail.

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ktb ⧉ @kevinbaker.bsky.social · 1h

The current climate owes more to the campus repression and institutional cowardice of a year ago than many would like to admit.

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Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

There's very clearly a kind of "folk industrial Malthusianism" out there that is even more demented than then agriarian original.

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Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

Industrialism changes things.

Automation changes things.

Societies today are vastly richer than people tend to imagine.

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Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

People really want to think about us all as subsistence peasants where the old are a "burden" that must be spread across dozens of more people who sacrifice a small part of their subsistence level production.

This does not describe our historical moment, nor has it for like 150 years.

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Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 1h

People really don't like do deal with US labor productivity being *vastly* larger than even a couple generations ago.

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Lord Businessman II @lordbusinessman.bsky.social · 2h

hahaha someone talked to legal counsel

Jennifer Shutt @jennifershutt.bsky.social · 3h

Speaker Johnson appears to say furloughed federal workers should get back pay under 2019 law

"It has always been the case. It is tradition and I think it is statutory law that federal employees be paid. And that’s my position."

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Eladio Bobadilla @eladiobobadilla.com · 2h

Don't underestimate ridicule. It's a powerful tool for anyone with a conscience in this moment. And it's an underrated political strategy, especially against a group of people so evil but also so deeply incompetent, so pathetically insecure, and so morally heinous.

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ryan cooper @ryanlcooper.com · 3h

if blue state governors and mayors aren't already thinking about the reliability of various police forces nominally under their control, they should start immediately

southpaw @nycsouthpaw.bsky.social · 3h

The situation in America is not great. www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...

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Philip Amies @amiesphilip.bsky.social · 4h

Cross sections from a geological map show deep 'valleys' in the Wash

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Philip Amies @amiesphilip.bsky.social · 4h

We can see the Carstone on the beach and at the base of Hunstanton Cliff. Then we see the Hunstanton Formation, rubbly to massive chalks with marl bands; typically pink to brick-red (due to disseminated haematite). Above it is WEST MELBURY MARLY CHALK FORMATION AND ZIG ZAG CHALK FORMATION.

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Philip Amies @amiesphilip.bsky.social · 5h

@hydrology.nl created this superb elevation illustration of the mouth of The Wash embayment and the west of the North Norfolk coast, prompts me to make a thread of some historic map images.

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Prisonculture @prisonculture.bsky.social · 3h

This very very very bad. I cannot stress this enough. I said that they crossed the Rubicon with arresting Ras Baraka several months ago. This is very bad and portends more bad things for regular people.

Gregory Pratt @royalpratt.bsky.social · 4h

The President of the United States is calling for the mayor of Chicago and governor of Illinois to be jailed.

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Laura Helmuth @laurahelmuth.bsky.social · 5h

Six of the nine Nobel Prize winners this year work in the U.S.
Three of the six were born outside the U.S., which is the pattern most years. No country has benefited more from welcoming immigrants from around the world.
www.nobelprize.org

The official website of the Nobel Prize - NobelPrize.org

The Nobel Prize rewards science, humanism and peace efforts. This is one of the central concepts in the will of Alfred Nobel, and it also permeates the outreach activities that have been developed for...

www.nobelprize.org

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