Will Jennings 🗳️
@drjennings.bsky.social
61K followers 4.9K following 5.7K posts
I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, geography, place, trust. I run on espresso.
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drjennings.bsky.social
Can’t study English these days because of anti-woke.
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
tiagoventura.bsky.social
How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?

Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
joxley.jmoxley.co.uk
Think an underpriced 2029 scenario is "ungovernable mess".
robfordmancs.bsky.social
Four parties within a 5 point swing of first place and five parties on 12% plus.

This would be pure chaos under first past the post.
electionmaps.uk
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 27% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 17% (+1)
LDM: 17% (+2)
GRN: 12% (+1)
SNP: 4% (+1)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 5-6 Oct.
Changes w/ 28-29 Sep.
drjennings.bsky.social
It's always nice to stand back from a book manuscript... that's a lot of pages (and it ain't all of them!).
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
tusk81.bsky.social
When US citizen Leo Garcia Venegas tried to prove his identity by showing federal agents his REAL ID, they dismissed it as a fake and kept him detained, releasing him only after they bothered to run his Social Security number.

Just a few weeks later, they detained him again:
Mass Deportation Is A Threat To Us All
Aided by the Supreme Court and the insidious "Kavanaugh stop," the administration's chaotic mass deportation operations are sweeping up Americans – including children and U.S. military veterans.
americasvoicecnn.substack.com
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
omaromalleykhan.bsky.social
I know statistics are poorly understood and are misused. But facts matter

Between the 1991, 2001, 2011 and 2021 Census *every* ethnic group in the UK has become *less* geographically segregated and *all* groups, majority and minorities, are more likely to interact with people not like them
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
emmavj.bsky.social
What is nick candy talking about? Did he grow up the son of a landowner in feudal times
sundersays.bsky.social
Party donor Nick Candy says "I cherish the values we grew up with here in the West. But today you are more likely to find the values we grew up with in Dubai and Abu Dhabi.’

Via Sam Leith in the Spectator
www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-...
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
drjennings.bsky.social
Reform pushes for 85% migrant population certainly is a new direction for the party.
sundersays.bsky.social
The UAE is an authoritarian autocracy, a petro-state with no income tax for citizens, to bribe them for the lack of democratic voice or free speech

It is 85% migrant, a segregated society with a ban on integration in principle and practice, few rights, equal opportunities, nor voice for incomers
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
sundersays.bsky.social
The UAE is an authoritarian autocracy, a petro-state with no income tax for citizens, to bribe them for the lack of democratic voice or free speech

It is 85% migrant, a segregated society with a ban on integration in principle and practice, few rights, equal opportunities, nor voice for incomers
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
donmoyn.bsky.social
About 1 in 3 US Nobel prize winners are immigrants.
About 1 in 4 were government employees at some point.
About 44% of all Nobel prize winners were educated in US higher education.
As Trump demands a Nobel prize, he is destroying the means by which America came to dominate the prizes.

Sources below
tomlevenson.bsky.social
Two things of note in today's announcement of the 2025 Nobel physics prize (besides the work being honored).

1: The US institutional dominance of the prize continues.
2: 2 of the three laureates are immigrants, drawn here decades ago by the then-unmatched opportunities for science here...

1/
Nobel Prize in Physics Is Awarded for Work in Quantum Mechanics
www.nytimes.com
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
jonmladd.bsky.social
In 2012, I published a book about the collapse in trust in the mainstream media. I argued that a widely trusted media establishment was probably incompatible with a polarized party system that is heavily sorted by ideology. /1 www.jonathanmladd.com/why-american...
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
kendrawrites.com
This image is from Los Angeles in 1992. What are you doing here?
cnn.com
CNN @cnn.com · 1d
"President Donald Trump and his top aides are using the word 'insurrection' more frequently to describe anti-ICE protests in places like Portland," writes Zachary B. Wolf. https://cnn.it/4pWYmzr
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
huwcdavies.bsky.social
In what’s *not* racist this week: finding the growth of non-white populations ‘concerning’ or ‘disturbing’.
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
chrisgiles.ft.com
Food prices have risen a lot more than other stuff since Covid...

My newsletter asks whether they are now a leading indicator of inflation

www.ft.com/content/de31...
drjennings.bsky.social
I’m curious what the optimum level of Conservative>Reform defectors is for Reform. Too many familiar faces and big beasts would erode their ‘not-the-Conservatives’ brand.
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
andyoregon.bsky.social
Jess Waters recycling the same guy over and over to represent “former” different enemies
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️
juliusgoat.bsky.social
CNN: Trump says violence on streets of Portland is rising.
Still from the movie Heat; Robert DeNiro and Val Kilmer run in traffic holding high powered rifles.
Reposted by Will Jennings 🗳️