Grégory Claeys
@gregclaeys.bsky.social
640 followers 580 following 5 posts
Director of the Economics Department of @strategieplan.bsky.social, Senior Fellow (on leave for public service) at @bruegel.bsky.social, Associate Professor of Economics at Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers in Paris
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Reposted by Grégory Claeys
alemanno.bsky.social
Do you want to better understand EU’s rearming attempt?

Best explainer by @euobserver.com laying down the baseline of EU-27 military imports

euobserver.com/eu-and-the-w...
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
mijrahman.bsky.social
The debate over how much of the (1,5, 150, soon more) €bn should be spent on EU vs non-EU defence manufacturers is about to move decisively in France's direction

Macron just has to sit back at this point. Trump is winning the argument for him 🇪🇺🇫🇷
guntramwolff.bsky.social
Let's be clear. Buying American weapons is a real risk to European security at this point due to political interference. Actually, it's an issue to anyone in the world relying on top US military equipment. Cc @jakluge.de
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
lucasguttenberg.bsky.social
In the pandemic timeline, we are now in early April 2020. This is when the Commission put SURE on the table (and around the same time, the fiscal rules were unplugged). Five weeks later, Macron and Merkel put NGEU on the table. This is where this should be headed eventually as well.
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
katemcnamara.bsky.social
Well, as America implodes from within, it’d be a *great* time for the EU to finally do official Eurobonds. It’d likely be very attractive as a safe haven given the destruction of US hegemony & spillover to US T-bills. Bonus: Eurobonds can finance a desperately needed European security build up! 🇪🇺💶 ‼️
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
sandertordoir.bsky.social
Lots of over-engineered debt brake proposals around. Nothing easy off the shelf. Except….

….Just getting rid of it.

Fits really well in the spirit of deregulation, folks, come on!

One regulation less. Beautiful. And less duplicative because we have EU fiscal rules!
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
gabrielzucman.bsky.social
Cela semble absurde, et j’ai été choqué la première fois que je l’ai compris, mais la France – il n'y a pas d'autre mot – est bien un paradis fiscal pour milliardaire

Explications détaillées 🧵
gregclaeys.bsky.social
Opportunity of a lifetime: Bruegel is looking for its next Deputy Director. Don't hesitate to apply or share with your networks: www.bruegel.org/careers/depu...
Deputy director
Deadline for applications: 16 March 2025, 23:59 CET
www.bruegel.org
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
sandertordoir.bsky.social
Deindustrialisation angst grips Germany.

In a new study, Brad Setser and I unpack how badly Germany's trading relationship with China has backfired, and how its industry might weather the second China shock.

With terrific accompanying reporting in Handelsblatt/FT.
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www.cer.eu/publications...
How German industry can survive the second China shock
China's industrial subsidies and aggressive export-led growth are undercutting German manufacturing. To defend its automotive and engineering sectors, Germany must finally get tough on China with trad...
www.cer.eu
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
mathieucarpentier.bsky.social
La Gouvernement a rendu public l'avis du Conseil d'Etat sur l'interprétation de l'article 45 de la LOLF et la possibilité de déposer un projet de loi spéciale (PLS).

(J'ai supprimé un précédent tweet erroné).

Bref thread:

www.conseil-etat.fr/avis-consult...
www.conseil-etat.fr
gregclaeys.bsky.social
End of an era: @pkrugman.bsky.social's last column in the @nytimes.com one of the first econ bloggers I followed frequently when I became interested in economic policy. I still remember looking forward to his next column during the great financial crisis www.nytimes.com/2024/12/09/o...
Opinion | My Last Column: Finding Hope in an Age of Resentment
Where have all the good vibes gone?
www.nytimes.com
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
heimbergecon.bsky.social
At the height of the €zone crisis, the 🇬🇷 government was spending nearly 20% of all its revenue on interest payments.

🇫🇷 is now spending around 4% on interest payments.
Reposted by Grégory Claeys
josephpolitano.bsky.social
Here’s a crazy fact for you: Spain and Germany have now seen basically the exact same amount of economic growth post-2008. Would have been unthinkable to people during most of the 2010s. Spain has seen ~10 percentage points more cumulative growth since 2017.
A graph comparing Spanish and German gdp, which diverge in 2008 but reconverge between 2017-2024