Joseph
josephsattler.bsky.social
Joseph
@josephsattler.bsky.social
Berlin based | Foreign & Security Policy | Advisor & Analyst | views private |
Mainly Türkiye-Almanya işleri
Media & pundits frame the 300 Boing deal as a personal present by Erdoğan to Trump. But it’s not some “unpredictable deal-making”. THY said in 2023 that the will buy hundreds of planes to have more than 800 by the time of its centenary in 2033. Question was just if Airbus or Boing gets the order.
September 22, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Reposted by Joseph
There’s no actual deal though
All eyes were on the Alaska meeting, but another one took place the Friday before: Trump actually successfully brokered a peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

Not so much thanks to his own skill but because Russia simply sucks as an ally.

The Europe Dispatch with @phillipspobrien.bsky.social
A TRIPP to the South Caucasus
While Trump's Alaska meeting was only a success for Russia, he was more successful in brokering peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Minna Ålander takes a look at the other Friday peace deal meeting.
open.substack.com
August 16, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Reposted by Joseph
Wir sind seit Jahren in der Defensive. Ständig Fakten checken, Lügen entkräften, Narrative dekonstruieren - während die Rechten ungehindert neue Giftpfeile schießen. Wir löschen Feuer, aber bauen kein Haus. Diese Taktik ist nicht Widerstand. Sie ist Erschöpfung.
July 17, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Reposted by Joseph
What does governance look like when truth is tribal, deliberation is dead, and accountability is optional? That’s not democracy. It’s managed chaos, until it becomes enforced order.
June 11, 2025 at 7:05 AM
Reposted by Joseph
The conditions that have led to what’s happening in the US today exist in democracies around the world.
They are an inevitable outcome of our collective failure to adapt to fundamental changes in the information ecosystem on which our democracies were originally built.
June 7, 2025 at 8:39 PM
Reposted by Joseph
I will repeat myself but impossible not to. Ogawa‘s Memory Police has come into life in Turkey, which has become a country of disappearing objects as authoritarianism deepens.
May 8, 2025 at 5:22 AM
Reposted by Joseph
Yozgat izlenimleri: Yozgatlılar bu çapta mitingi 1983’te Özal, 2002’de Erdoğan yapabildi. Biz 50 yıldır CHP’yi burada görmedik dediler. CHP'nin tarihî mitinginin ardından kentte neler konuşuldu?

aposto.com/s/yozgattan-...
Aposto | Yozgat'tan izlenimler: CHP'nin tarihî mitinginin ardından kentte neler konuşuldu?
Hayatın yavaş aktığı, 100 bin nüfuslu Yozgat; muhafazakar-milliyetçiliğin “kalesi”; siyasette ise yaprak kıpırdamayan bir şehirdi. Ta ki geçen aya kadar... Toplumsal meselelerde gerçekte yaşanan, ço...
aposto.com
April 20, 2025 at 7:25 AM
Reposted by Joseph
When I argued the other day that nonviolent protests are not the most effective way to protest against democratic backsliding, some people got very angry. Contrary to what many of them argued, I wasn't making stuff up to defend the status quo. I study politics in an autocratic regime: Turkey.+
April 10, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Reposted by Joseph
this is a good piece talking to @whitejenny.bsky.social, the rarest kind of writer who actually understands Islamists in Turkey
"The question is, what can happen? The judiciary isn’t working anymore. People come out on the street, but we know that they can be put down. It’s very dangerous. Turkey will end up being a lesson in some way," @whitejenny.bsky.social told @ichotiner.bsky.social.
Is Turkey’s Declining Democracy a Model for Trump’s America?
After purging the judiciary, cracking down on the media, and jailing political opponents, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces protests on a scale not seen in a decade.
www.newyorker.com
March 29, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Reposted by Joseph
"Stopping Autocratic Legalism in America – Before It Is Too Late"

SCOTT CUMMINGS (@eui-eu.bsky.social) on the autocratic playbook behind targeting law firms, the role of lawyers in democratic backsliding, and why it's time for lawyers to take action now.

verfassungsblog.de/stopping-aut...
March 26, 2025 at 12:47 PM
Reposted by Joseph
It is simply astounding how, in just over two months, the US has almost caught up with two decades of democratic backsliding in Turkey.
I received a heartbreaking email today: A paper in a special issue I’m editing is being retracted because one of its authors is afraid of losing their job and their legal status in the U.S. if they publish a scientific study on evolution. Yes, on evolution, nature's engine of diversity.
March 30, 2025 at 2:23 AM
There were always “Waffenbrüderschafts-Nostalgiker” around.
But path dependency and security interests seem to converge at the moment. Still, for Germany questions of polarized public opinion and democracy hardly can just be ignored for a new relationship with Turkey.
WWI redux. When Russia and Britain (now USA) align, Turkey has to team up with Germany.
For those thinking hard about Europe’s security future, three thoughts: Türkiye Türkiye Türkiye
March 16, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Reposted by Joseph
It is nothing more than an emotion-stoking hate machine aimed to forward the narrow political agenda and world view of its owner.

If you are still using it, be aware that you are deliberately exposing yourself to this.
March 16, 2025 at 6:08 PM
The majority of the population in 🇹🇷 thinks there will be a new world war. Highest of all 14 countries assessed. 🇩🇪 perception is noteworthy and quite different in relation.
March 4, 2025 at 9:02 AM
In order to make deals, sides have to be able to agree on the definition of some concepts along the way. Such as the goal, that is “peace”. They used the term continuously but what they meant did not align at all during the conversation.
March 1, 2025 at 12:11 AM
Reposted by Joseph
Parliamentary arithmetic still matters.

A reminder that Turkey's governing party does not have a majority, and its de facto coalition does not wield a three-fifths majority in the Grand National Assembly.

You need the latter to change the constitution or call an early election.
November 24, 2024 at 9:15 AM
Reposted by Joseph
Eternal heaven must be pretty awkward for Joseph
December 12, 2023 at 5:55 PM