Julia Piaskowski
@jpiaskowski.bsky.social
ag stats stan
https://jpiaskowski.gitlab.io/
https://jpiaskowski.gitlab.io/
Pinned
Julia Piaskowski
@jpiaskowski.bsky.social
· Nov 23
"I don’t have lately. I have always. I have a constant blur of plates spinning and knives on the floor and needy, panicked faces at the door, of which you are but one of many." -- A consulting statistician, probably
I do wonder if what we will need is a truth and reconciliation process to describe, document and preserve the evidence of what is happening. We cannot allow this to happen again.
Kyle Kingsbury is not a journalist. He is not an op-ed writer.
He is a computer safety researcher.
And he has written one of the most compelling, comprehensive accounts of the ongoing hell in Chicago that you could possibly imagine.
In under 1600 words.
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
He is a computer safety researcher.
And he has written one of the most compelling, comprehensive accounts of the ongoing hell in Chicago that you could possibly imagine.
In under 1600 words.
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
November 10, 2025 at 4:18 PM
I do wonder if what we will need is a truth and reconciliation process to describe, document and preserve the evidence of what is happening. We cannot allow this to happen again.
Props to the article's opening sentence by Sandra Epson: "Earth, it’s said, is home to more than 10,000 AI startups. They’re more abundant than cheetahs. They outnumber dawn redwoods."
These graphs of self-taught teenagers' startup to design agricultural herbicides is something else. 'Bindwell’s website once described these [AI] models as insanely fast [that] could predict, in mere seconds, the results of experiments that would have taken days' www.wired.com/story/ai-sta...
November 10, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Props to the article's opening sentence by Sandra Epson: "Earth, it’s said, is home to more than 10,000 AI startups. They’re more abundant than cheetahs. They outnumber dawn redwoods."
These graphs of self-taught teenagers' startup to design agricultural herbicides is something else. 'Bindwell’s website once described these [AI] models as insanely fast [that] could predict, in mere seconds, the results of experiments that would have taken days' www.wired.com/story/ai-sta...
November 10, 2025 at 4:06 PM
These graphs of self-taught teenagers' startup to design agricultural herbicides is something else. 'Bindwell’s website once described these [AI] models as insanely fast [that] could predict, in mere seconds, the results of experiments that would have taken days' www.wired.com/story/ai-sta...
This whole thing is a quite a tale: "a few teens had in a handful of months built their own LLMs, learned the biochemistry of pest control, used their models to identify potential molecules, and were now pipetting away in their own lab..."
November 9, 2025 at 7:27 PM
This whole thing is a quite a tale: "a few teens had in a handful of months built their own LLMs, learned the biochemistry of pest control, used their models to identify potential molecules, and were now pipetting away in their own lab..."
*laughs in realtor*
November 9, 2025 at 6:41 PM
*laughs in realtor*
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
⏰ Last chance to register for #CDSM2025!
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
November 8, 2025 at 9:05 AM
⏰ Last chance to register for #CDSM2025!
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
time travel assassination targets
normal people: Hitler, Stalin, Leopold II
data analysts: whoever invented dates
normal people: Hitler, Stalin, Leopold II
data analysts: whoever invented dates
November 3, 2025 at 3:12 PM
time travel assassination targets
normal people: Hitler, Stalin, Leopold II
data analysts: whoever invented dates
normal people: Hitler, Stalin, Leopold II
data analysts: whoever invented dates
The sort of argument my high schooler makes for not doing chores.
There is a legal case for a third term—but it is strewn with obstacles
Trump 2028
There is a legal case for a third term—but it is strewn with obstacles
econ.st
October 31, 2025 at 1:40 AM
The sort of argument my high schooler makes for not doing chores.
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
It's like LLMs in the past few months realized that little reprexes are cool, but people aren't realizing that and just going with the fake code. Can't wait for this to inevitably make it into published stuff.
Newest LLM tell/quirk in coding assignments this semester: instead of generating code based on the CSVs that I provide, LLMs have been inventing datasets with rnorm() and sample() (and an obligatory set.seed(42)) and then making plots with the fake data.
I'm so tired.
I'm so tired.
October 30, 2025 at 7:22 PM
It's like LLMs in the past few months realized that little reprexes are cool, but people aren't realizing that and just going with the fake code. Can't wait for this to inevitably make it into published stuff.
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
ICYMI: Our latest shows what happens to transcriptional and metabolic profiles in a desiccated soil bacterium.
To simplify things, I've attached a visual abstract.
Comments on the preprint are welcome!
#microsky #microbesky
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
To simplify things, I've attached a visual abstract.
Comments on the preprint are welcome!
#microsky #microbesky
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
October 30, 2025 at 7:35 PM
ICYMI: Our latest shows what happens to transcriptional and metabolic profiles in a desiccated soil bacterium.
To simplify things, I've attached a visual abstract.
Comments on the preprint are welcome!
#microsky #microbesky
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
To simplify things, I've attached a visual abstract.
Comments on the preprint are welcome!
#microsky #microbesky
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
Why are we treating this guy like he's some elder great statesmen or a distinguished scientist?! He's a very rich dude who got lucky and whose fortune was built on anti-trust violations. He's not even a good programmer!
“Although climate change will have serious consequences — particularly for people in the poorest countries — it will not lead to humanity’s demise.”
So just...🖕🏾to those who have the least.
Also worth noting that focusing on climate change contradicts the AI full court press from SV.
So just...🖕🏾to those who have the least.
Also worth noting that focusing on climate change contradicts the AI full court press from SV.
Bill Gates Says Climate Change ‘Will Not Lead to Humanity’s Demise’
www.nytimes.com
October 29, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Why are we treating this guy like he's some elder great statesmen or a distinguished scientist?! He's a very rich dude who got lucky and whose fortune was built on anti-trust violations. He's not even a good programmer!
Version 2.0.0 of emmeans is out! Notable changes: new look to the plots, qdrg() now an S3 method, and new maintainer (me, Russ still highly involved). cran.r-project.org/package=emme...
emmeans: Estimated Marginal Means, aka Least-Squares Means
Obtain estimated marginal means (EMMs) for many linear, generalized linear, and mixed models. Compute contrasts or linear functions of EMMs, trends, and comparisons of slopes. Plots and other displays...
cran.r-project.org
October 29, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Version 2.0.0 of emmeans is out! Notable changes: new look to the plots, qdrg() now an S3 method, and new maintainer (me, Russ still highly involved). cran.r-project.org/package=emme...
Me, screaming: That is not even how you use that word in a sentence! It makes no sense!
academics: *shrug*. meh, close enough, stop being picky.
academics: *shrug*. meh, close enough, stop being picky.
October 28, 2025 at 6:07 AM
Me, screaming: That is not even how you use that word in a sentence! It makes no sense!
academics: *shrug*. meh, close enough, stop being picky.
academics: *shrug*. meh, close enough, stop being picky.
Truly an amazing display of racism, classism, and eugenics. I've always found these "mask off" moments to be incredibly clarifying and I hope, impossible to live down.
May I present a former clerk to Justice Gorsuch.
October 27, 2025 at 1:14 AM
Truly an amazing display of racism, classism, and eugenics. I've always found these "mask off" moments to be incredibly clarifying and I hope, impossible to live down.
And one for school lunch debt! Let American's children eat.
If I were running the DNC, there would be Democratic Party sponsored food relief banks across the country right now that specifically welcomed anyone regardless of party affiliation.
Along with the food, there could be voter registration and links to runforsomething.net
Along with the food, there could be voter registration and links to runforsomething.net
October 27, 2025 at 1:12 AM
And one for school lunch debt! Let American's children eat.
Nope
Former Mayor Rahm Emanuel said Thursday a decision on whether to pursue the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination comes down to whether he thinks he can meet “both the challenge and the promise of tomorrow” and execute on it.
Rahm Emanuel points to record, trust with Republicans as he considers presidential bid
Former Chicago mayor and Japan ambassador Rahm Emanuel said at a City Club of Chicago luncheon he needs to have something unique to say and know he can execute on it to run for president.
trib.al
October 24, 2025 at 3:48 AM
Nope
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
Updating my LEGO White House
October 23, 2025 at 2:51 AM
Updating my LEGO White House
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
For DC, this combined with federal workers who are furloughed now needing to access the local food banks, will be devastating
I want more people to care that SNAP benefits are being cut off on November 1. 40% of SNAP beneficiaries are children. This is callous and vile.
October 22, 2025 at 2:44 AM
For DC, this combined with federal workers who are furloughed now needing to access the local food banks, will be devastating
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
The recording is now available so that you can confirm that I indeed have a German accent and color-match my outfits with my Zoom background.
youtu.be/YL0co26ng-g?...
youtu.be/YL0co26ng-g?...
October 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
The recording is now available so that you can confirm that I indeed have a German accent and color-match my outfits with my Zoom background.
youtu.be/YL0co26ng-g?...
youtu.be/YL0co26ng-g?...
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
Everyone knows that Meta is basically single-handedly behind the "do age verification in the app store" push, right?
Government mandated online age verification is dangerous, doesn't work, and poses a massive threat to human rights and free expression no matter where/how it's done. Full stop.
Government mandated online age verification is dangerous, doesn't work, and poses a massive threat to human rights and free expression no matter where/how it's done. Full stop.
October 16, 2025 at 8:41 PM
Everyone knows that Meta is basically single-handedly behind the "do age verification in the app store" push, right?
Government mandated online age verification is dangerous, doesn't work, and poses a massive threat to human rights and free expression no matter where/how it's done. Full stop.
Government mandated online age verification is dangerous, doesn't work, and poses a massive threat to human rights and free expression no matter where/how it's done. Full stop.
This essay by @jeetheer.bsky.social on that particular 'presidential' post is worth a read about how the Pres thinks he can and should treat Americans. www.thenation.com/article/poli...
October 20, 2025 at 4:41 PM
This essay by @jeetheer.bsky.social on that particular 'presidential' post is worth a read about how the Pres thinks he can and should treat Americans. www.thenation.com/article/poli...
The dread I feel when I tell a client they need an ordinal model:
Ordinal semiparametric cumulative probability models have an amazing variety of statistical methods as special cases, including proportional odds and proportional hazards models - hbiostat.org/rmsc/ordsurv... #Statistics #StatsSky
October 20, 2025 at 4:13 PM
The dread I feel when I tell a client they need an ordinal model:
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
i see you're doing something online that you have effortlessly done 100,000 times. would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? w
October 20, 2025 at 2:38 PM
i see you're doing something online that you have effortlessly done 100,000 times. would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? would you like to use this ai tool? w
Ya know, I just wanted to know more about major land use areas.
October 16, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Ya know, I just wanted to know more about major land use areas.
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
The vague term "political violence" is used specifically bc of its elasticity. It can be contorted to include a murder (despite the motive and perpetrator being unknown), property damage (committed for life-preserving reasons), or protesters using signs as shields when they are attacked by police.
September 11, 2025 at 4:25 AM
The vague term "political violence" is used specifically bc of its elasticity. It can be contorted to include a murder (despite the motive and perpetrator being unknown), property damage (committed for life-preserving reasons), or protesters using signs as shields when they are attacked by police.